1985 INTELLIGENCE CAPABILITIES STUDY

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86B00885R000100010095-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
May 22, 2007
Sequence Number: 
95
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 8, 1983
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86B00885R000100010095-1.pdf251.23 KB
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pproved or Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP81 The Deputy Director of C*ntelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 18 February 1983 FROM: EA/DDCI Thanks for the attached. I am sure that you will see that this is consistent with and indeed fits into the'85 Program Guidance. John's overall reaction was that it needs to be rephrased in a more positive manner in many places. In the overview, for example, it would be better to say that the unfolding world situation has confirmed our original assessment rather than to say nothing has happened on the world scene to change our view, etc., etc. We realize that this is an early draft and that you will be receiving comments from others. Keep us posted as it gets polished up. Distribution: Ori - Addressee C) - O/DDCI 1 - ER 40 Approved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP8 The Deputy Director of Cenral Intelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 16 February 1983 NOTE TO: Associate Deputy Director for Intelligence FROM: EA/DDCI Dick, The DDCI recalls that the la '85 Capabilities Stud was written by ith their IPC/ ommuni y hats on. Could you have your current crew take a look at the attached and edit it so that it sounds like an intelligence document. John is concerned about the negative slant. For example, see his comments on the over- view on page 2. We should probably turn this around quickly. Thanks for your help. At n I B00885R000100010095-1 0 25X1.-. 25X1 Approved For Release 2007/05/23 IA-R D B00885R000100010095-:1 INTELLIGENCE COMS'IITY STAFF DCI/ICS 83-4240 8 February 1983 Acting Director, Intelligence - A9g3 Community Staff 1z I cting Chief Planning Policy Staff, ICS 1985 Intelligence Capabilities Study 1. Per John McMahon's request, attached is a copy of the first, and very rough, draft of the update to the 1985 Intelligence Capabilities Study. We are currently reviewing it within the Planning and Policy Staff and intend to prepare a second draft over the weekend. Additionally, we are preparing the initial draft of the DCI's Goals and Objectives which we expect to have ready by the end of this week. And as you know, the DCI's Annual Report to Congress has just been completed and disseminated. We ecognize that all three of these documents an FY-85 Program Guidance must be totally consistent, and we will provide comments to :Bill by the end of this week aimed at ensuring this consistency. 2. Please call if I can be of further help. INFORMATION Approved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP86B00885R000100010095- pproved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDPq 0 SUBJECT: 1985 Intelligence Capabilities Study Distribution: (DCI/ICS 83-4240) Orig - Addressee w/att 1 - C/PBS w/o att 1 - ICS/PPS Subject (Ward) w/att 1 - ICS/PPS Chrono w/o att 1 - ICS Registry w/o att DCI/ICS/PPS (8 Feb 83) 6B00885R000100010095-1 . Approved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP86B00885R000100010095-1 Approved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP86B00885R000100010095-1 Approved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP86B00885R0001000100P5-1 Working Paper 1 February 1983 MEMORANDUM TO HOLDERS OF: 1985 Intelligence Capabilities Study Introduction In a 4 March 1981 memorandum to the Director of Central Intelligence, the Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs requested an estimate of the intelligence capabilities that the United States would require in 1985 to serve as a blueprint for incremental augmentation of currently programmed intelligence capabilities and as a guide for outyear funding. The estimate, entitled, 1985. Intelligence Capabilities Study, was published on 20 October 1981 and presented by the DCI to the President in December 1981. The President, in a memorandum to the DCI dated 6 May 1982, acknowledged the study and commented that it formed an excellent basis as a planning document for improving the quantity and quality of intelligence needed by the country. The study, in turn, served as the basis for the Goals and ObjeG.tives of the Guidance for the formulation of the National Foreign Intelligence Program FY Director of Central Intelligence for the years 1984-1990, and for the DCI's 1984-1988. (S) The Intelligence Community, at the direction of the DCI, has reviewed the 1981 study to assess the continuing validity of the intelligence challenges identified in the original study and to evaluate the progress made by the results of this review form the major part of the report. Intelligence Community in implementing improvements in the overall 25X1 intelligence system deemed necessary to address the specific challenges. The Summary Approved-For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP86B00885R0 Approved For Release 2007/05/23: CIA-RDP86B00885R00010001009~ 1r~irig Paper The challenges a merated in the 1985 Study haveithstood the test of a series of international crises and changes in several key Community positions. The Challenges have been reviewed by the present set of Community leaders, the Intelligence Producers Council and the Executive Steering Group for Strategic Planning, and except for several refinements, have been reaffirmed. World events in "1982 .ranging from arms reduction talks with the USSR, increasingly divergent perceptions from West European countries of vital interests, Third World instability and international economic concerns, together with the Lebanese and Falklands crises confirmed the concerns expressed in the challenge areas. As a result of this review and the play of world events, the Community can continue to direct its planning efforts along the broad outlines established in 1982. 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