CHINA: INTERNATIONAL TRADE QUARTERLY REVIEW FOURTH QUARTER, 1979

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Approved F r O e~s'6s /1e2J05 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 China: International Trade Quarterly Review Fourth Quarter, 1979 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 May 1980 -003 This publication is prepared for the use of US Government officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to meet their specific requirements. US Government officials may obtain additional copies of this document directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. Requesters outside the US Government may obtain subscriptions to CIA publications similar to this one by addressing inquiries to: Document Expediting (DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gift Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Requesters outside the US Government not interested in subscription service may purchase specific publications either in paper copy or microform from: Photoduplication Service Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or, National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 (To expedite service call the NTIS Order Desk (703) 557-4650) National ee9aM1A12/05 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 Assessment Center China: International Trade Quarterly Review Fourth Quarter, 1979 Research for this report was completed on 17 April 1980. Comments and queries on this unclassified report are welcome and may be directed to: Director for Public Affairs Central Intelligence Agency Washington, D.C. 20505 (703) 351-7676 For information on obtaining additional copies, see the inside of front cover. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 ER CIT 80-003 May 1980 Fourth Quarter Trade Developments 1 1979 in Review 2 Whole Plant and Technology Purchases 2 Stop Everything 2 A Hard Look 4 Back on Track, Slowly 4 The Road Ahead 5 Agricultural Imports, Exports Up Sharply 6 Record Level Imports 6 Exports Jump 7 Fertilizer Imports Down 7 Nitrogen Imports Off Sharply 7 Phosphorous Imports Down, Potassium Up 8 Prospects: Large, Stable Imports 8 Exports, f.o.b., by Area and Country 9 Imports, f.o.b., by Area and Country 11 Trade Balances, f.o.b., by Area and Country, 13 Exports and Imports 15 Exports to Japan 16 Imports From Japan 17 Exports to United States 18 Imports From United States 19 Yuan/US Dollar Exchange Rate 20 Contracts for Whole-Plant and Technology Imports 21 Value of Agricultural Trade 31 Volume of Agricultural Trade 32 I. Exports 2. Imports 3. Trade Balance 4. Trade in Agricultural Products China: International Trade Quarterly Review Fourth Quarter, 1979 Chinese imports kept pace with exports in the fourth quarter, despite a sharp decrease in steel purchases. Imports of $4 billion were 15 percent above third- quarter levels. Surprisingly large agricultural pur- chases-particularly cotton-prevented a decline in imports. The United States was a major beneficiary: US exports leaped to $638 million from $377 million in the previous quarter, making the United States second only to Japan as a supplier of goods to China. Japan's exports to China increased by $133 million, as shipments of several oil rigs offset a decline in steel exports, but they remain considerably below first- and second-quarter levels. Western Europe's exports to China declined as a consequence of China's shrinking demand for steel and other industrial goods. Chinese exports continued to show strong growth in the fourth quarter. Exports of $4 billion were 14 percent above third-quarter levels and 33 percent above fourth- quarter levels in 1978. Burgeoning light industrial activity in the Chinese counties around Hong Kong enabled sales to the colony to surpass $900 million, up 20 percent from the third quarter. The dollar value of sales to Japan was flat despite sharp price increases. Oil volume declined and for the year barely missed the 7.6 million metric tons (150,000 b/d) agreed upon in the China-Japan Long Term Trade Agreement. Textiles were down sharply following record second- and third-quarter sales. Exports to the United States continued to increase-a decline in clothing exports was counterbalanced by an increase in petroleum sales-as did exports to Western Europe. The number of major plant and technology negotia- tions increased in the fourth quarter although only one major contract was signed, for a $312-million tube mill for the Baoshan steel complex. The lack of a well- specified economic plan to a large degree caused the slow pace of the capital import program. A secondary problem is the continued reluctance of the conservative bureaucracy to accept the risks associated with debt financing. Two important agreements with Japan, however, illustrate the fundamental changes that are occurring in Beijing's attitudes toward foreign participation in the economy. On 6 December 1979 the China National Oil Corporation signed an agreement with Japan's National Oil Company (JNOC) for joint exploration and development of the Bohai Gulf. The JNOC will provide funds for most of the $250 million-exploration effort and another $500 million-49 percent-of expected development costs. China will draw $500 million on an existing line of credit with the Japan Export-Import Bank to cover all but $20 million of its 51 percent share. JNOC will have rights to 42.5 percent of the oil produced over the next 15 years. Within a couple of years, similar agreements are expected with Western oil companies currently con- ducting free seismological surveys along China's southern coast. A few days after the conclusion of the oil agreement, visiting Japanese Prime Minister Ohira announced in Beijing the first phase of an aid program which China had requested. In Japan's fiscal year 1980, 50 billion yen ($200 million) is to be disbursed toward six infrastructure projects in China. The projects-three for improvements to railroads, two related to improve- ments in port facilities, and one for a hydroelectric power plant-are designed primarily to increase China's coal export capabilities. Over the next five to 10 years, as actual contracts for these projects are signed, Beijing expects to receive $1.5 billion in Japanese aid; China had originally requested close to $5 billion. This, along with a small Belgian aid project, is the first foreign aid China has accepted since the Russians withdrew their assistance in the early 1960s. 1 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 1979 was a year of adjustment for Chinese foreign trade and for the economy as a whole. The year opened with considerable confusion in the trade bureaucracy. Record fourth-quarter 1978 and first-quarter 1979 trade deficits strained hard currency reserves and strengthened the hand of fiscal conservatives in Beijing. There was an immediate pullback in import orders, to the point of upsetting relations with foreign suppliers. These difficulties, however, did not pre- cipitate calls for a return to autarkic trade policies. Recognizing the continued need for Western capital and technology, Beijing implemented a three-pronged strategy to ensure China's ability to pay. Massive credits-$27 billion-were lined up in order to draw out repayments. Export-oriented light industry was given higher priority, and a new law allowing direct With trade approximately in balance and billions of dollars in Western credit lines awaiting Beijing's use, China's financial situation was improved greatly by the end of the year. The adjustment process, however, was not without costs. Only $2 billion of major Western plant contracts were signed-not much help in modernizing the economy. Doubts, both domestic and foreign, about the efficacy of the joint venture law had prevented any meaningful foreign investment in China. A major question, yet unanswered, is whether Beijing can expediently determine its investment and financing needs. In perhaps the most far-reaching decision of the year, the State Council agreed to some experimental moves toward decentralizing foreign trade authority giving selected provinces, municipal- ities, and export-oriented firms control over a larger share of their own foreign exchange earnings. foreign investment in China was promulgated. A Whole Plant and Technology Purchases number of administrative changes were made to Beijing concluded only a few major contracts for whole expedite the new policies (see tables 1-8). plants in 1979. Early in the year, negotiations were interrupted while Beijing took a closer look at 1978 Import growth slowed immediately and on a quarter- purchases; many newly-signed contracts were sus- to-quarter basis was relatively flat until the fourth pended. These moves coincided with a major quarter. For the full year, we estimate that imports reassessment of development strategy which subse- were up a hefty 44 percent to $14.7 billion.' Imports of quently led to a reordering of investment priorities. steel-by far the largest import item-fell sharply in Major organizational changes affecting trade and the second half as Chinese investment priorities finance also added to the confusion and uncertainty shifted. Imports of cotton, on the other hand, raced surrounding foreign trade work. These changes are still upward to supply the burgeoning demand for finished working their way through the system. Although broad textile exports. sectoral priorities are now set, a great deal of uncertainty still surrounds individual projects. We Exports, following a seasonal first-quarter decline, expect a marked increase of whole plant purchases increased steadily, bringing trade into balance in the once these problems are resolved. second half, after a first-half $1.2 billion deficit. The yearend total for exports-$13.5 billion-was up 35 percent from 1978.' Textiles, with large volume increases, and petroleum, with both volume and sharp price increases, led Chinese export growth (see figures 1, 2, and 3). ' Our import estimate-convertcd into yuan on a quarterly basis and adjusted to a cost, insurance, and freight basis to correspond to Chinese practice-is equivalent to 24.8 billion yuan, precisely Beijing's import target; but it is 3 percent higher than the annual total (24.3 billion yuan) announced by the PRC. ' This estimate is equivalent to 21.0 billion yuan, slightly less than the reported figure of 21.2 billion yuan. In either case exports far surpassed the 19.2 billion yuan ($12.4 billion) goal (see table 9). Stop Everything. On 15 February, exactly one year after the signing of the China-Japan Long Term Trade Agreement, Beijing informed more than 20 Japanese companies that contracts they had signed with China's National Technical Import Corporation had failed to receive Bank of China approval. As a result, the contracts-valued at more than $2.5 billion-were suspended while China reexamined the projects and the financial commitments associated with them. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86Ba0985R000300050013-1 Communist Countries The move by Beijing was intended partly to pressure the Japanese into providing long-promised credits, but it also reflected China's recognition of three other fundamental problems. Firstly, the signing in 1978 of $7 billion of cash contracts had left Beijing danger- ously low on foreign exchange; reserves had fallen to less than $2 billion by the time Beijing's suspension obviated the need for further downpayments. Sec- ondly, the pace of whole plant signings at yearend 1978-more than $3 billion worth in one month-left planners uncertain about the economic feasibility of many projects. For example, in the case of petro- chemical plants, the availability of feedstocks was questioned. Finally, the suspensions reflected Beijing's recognition that many of its purchases had not been directed toward the economy's most pressing needs. The suspension of contracts was accompanied, with few exceptions, by a halt in negotiations. Negotiations with Western oil companies were among the few that continued unaffected during the early months of 1979. In April, letters of intent were signed with several US companies for seismic work in the South China Sea, and negotiations continued with French, Italian, and British firms for similar work in the Yellow and Fast China Seas. Most negotiations for nonferrous metals projects, iron and steel mlls, and petrochemical plants were halted abruptly. A Hard Look. In the months following, Beijing took several corrective measures that affected whole-plant purchases. The first was a reordering of investment With Non-Communist Countries Billion US $ I I I I I I I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 I I I I I I I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 priorities. Agriculture, light industry, power, building materials, and transportation were identified as need- ing greater investment, at the expense of heavy industry, especially steel. The emphasis in light indus- try was to go to export-oriented goods such as textiles and consumer electronics. Major organizational changes also were made as Beijing began to delegate decisionmaking authority to lower levels. Provincial- and even municipal-level organizations were negotiating small whole-plant con- tracts.' These organizations, besides assuming respon- sibility for the profitability of their investments, in many cases were expected to raise their own financing. Higher level organizational changes also were made. The Bank of China, for example, was separated from The People's Bank to tighten control over foreign exchange reserves. In addition, the Foreign Exchange Control Commission was established to supervise foreign currency borrowing. The changes were in- tended to prevent financial crises similar to the one that occurred in February. Back on Track, Slowly. Acquisitions of whole plants resumed in late May with the reinstatement of several of the suspended Japanese contracts. The reinstatement followed Tokyo's offer of $10 billion of credits to help finance future whole-plant deals. By July, all of the Japanese contracts, except one for a 300,000 ton-per-year ethylene plant which was can- celed, had been signed and approved. Of the reinstated contracts, those for the Baoshan steel mill were the only ones placed on a credit basis. The remaining contracts, like all others signed in 1978, called for cash payments. Negotiations also increased by midyear. The direction of the talks reflected Beijing's new priorities. For example, discussions of thermal and hydropower projects began almost immediately. But foreign steel firms that in late 1978 had been negotiating contracts worth more than $20 billion were informed that most ' Beijing has yet to define publicly the buying limits placed on lower level organizations. Western traders, however, have said that some provincial-level authorities may negotiate deals as large as $100 million. Most municipal authorities have lower spending limits. of these projects were being shelved indefinitely. Beijing also began seeking foreigners willing to pur- chase equity shares in light industry projects under China's new joint venture law. Despite the quickened pace of negotiations for major equipment, contract signings by yearend 1979 amounted to only about $2 billion. This was particu- larly disappointing to Westerners and Japanese who expected purchases to increase after they agreed to provide China with over $27 billion in credits. Among foreign exporters West German firms were the most successful in 1979, participating in two major projects worth nearly half a billion dollars. French firms share one of these projects and also are involved in an important high-voltage power transmission project. A Belgian consortium will handle a third major contract worth perhaps $200 million. Japan's share of 1979 whole-plant business amounted to 18 percent, unlike 1978 when purchases from Japan accounted for 64 percent of the total orders ? (see table 10). Several factors accounted for the decline in value of 1979 contract signings. Organizational changes made early in the year probably slowed the decisionmaking process. Provincial- and municipal-level organizations, unaccustomed to dealing with foreign businessmen and unfamiliar with bureaucratic procedures, experienced problems in arranging major equipment orders. Re- ports also indicate that the central trade bureaucracies have been reluctant to yield authority to provincial- level units. Beijing's attempts to make beneficiaries of major projects find the foreign exchange necessary to finance the projects also may have slowed progress. Another factor that may have held back whole-plant purchases was the continued presence of a small radical element in the Politburo. Although the Dengists generally had managed to consolidate their power, media propagandists still felt a need to criticize those who failed to recognize the importance of technology imports-suggesting continued opposition to import policies. 4In addition, an aid package to help China build or modernize two harbors, three railroad lines, and a hydropower plant will cost Tokyo $200 million in fiscal 1980 and an undetermined amount in the future. The aid package could result in considerable future sales of Japanese machinery and equipment. A preliminary agreement for offshore oil exploration could further increase Japan's share in future equipment experts to China. Although few contracts have been signed, recent purchases reflect a Beijing that now is more organized and systematic in its decisionmaking. Instead of purchasing facilities as independent units without providing for upstream and downstream processes, more projects are being considered as systems that require inputs and downstream handling facilities. The growing number of design and engineering contracts also exemplifies Beijing's modified approach to tech- nology imports. Rather than purchasing an entire new bulldozer plant, for example, Beijing has contracted with a major Japanese manufacturer to modify two plants; similarly, a British firm is to help renovate a Guangzhou shipyard. The RoadAhead. China's continued efforts throughout 1979 to line up low-interest foreign credits bode well for future plant and technology imports. Although problems from organizational and procedural changes made in 1979 probably will hold purchases to a modest level this year, we expect imports to increase. Beijing's recognition that Western equipment and technology are essential to the modernization effort presages future purchases on the scale of those in 1978. Future purchases are likely to reflect lessons learned before the readjustment decisions in early 1979. Repeated imports of identical sets of equipment, common in 1978, should occur much less frequently. In the next few years sizable contracts for technology and managerial expertise will enable China to duplicate Western and Japanese machinery. In addition, Beijing will put greater emphasis on updating existing facili- ties and equipment rather than purchasing expensive whole plants. Light industry and infrastructure projects will remain the focal point of China's whole-plant program over the next few years. Tourism's ability to generate foreign exchange makes hotel construction an attractive proposition. Plans to build expensive, multi- storied, luxury hotels using mostly imported materials now call for smaller, economy-class hotels constructed with materials produced domestically. Beijing also will continue to tap Western technology in the oil and coal industries, but production data will not reflect this effort until at least the mid-1980s. Negotiations for nonferrous metals projects, which ended in early 1979, have resumed. Both domestic demand and export potential probably will make nonferrous metals manu- facturing a high priority as soon as the requisite infrastructure is in place. Although hundreds of compensation deals reportedly have been signed, progress on joint ventures has been and probably will continue to be slow. Foreign investors are wary of China's vague joint venture law and the absence of supporting legislation that would clarify Beijing's position on issues like taxes and. profit remittances. When Beijing deals with these problems interest in joint ventures should increase, particularly among overseas Chinese. Agricultural Imports, Exports Up Sharply Despite another sharp increase in imports of agricul- tural commodities, China's surplus from its agricul- tural trade grew in 1979, helping to offset the growing deficit in nonagricultural trade. Imports of farm products increased by 34 percent, but a 25-percent increase in exports raised the agricultural surplus to an estimated $940 million. Beijing's revised growth strategy has reinforced the post-1976 trends in farm trade, characterized by rapidly rising imports and strong export growth. The Chinese decision early last year to further improve living standards has encouraged imports of foodstuffs; and the decision to strengthen export performance has led to higher imports of cotton for the domestic textile industry. The United States has emerged as a major beneficiary of both decisions; last year China was the ninth largest importer of US agricultural products, taking 3 percent of US farm exports. Record Level Imports. Record volume imports of grain and cotton, a large volume increase in soybean imports, and generally higher world prices for agricultural commodities are responsible for the dollar growth in agricultural imports during 1979 (see tables 11 and 12). Imports of two other important commodities, sugar and vegetable oils, remained at very high levels. The sharp increase in imports last year continues the trend since the leadership change in 1976. Imports of farm products grew by 33 percent in 1977,' 21 percent in 1978, and 34 percent in 1979. Beijing is using these imports to expand supplies while waiting for new policies aimed at raising domestic agricultural production to take effect. The major factor behind continuing heavy cotton imports-which in 1979 grew by 27 percent in value and 19 percent in volume-seems to be the accelerated export push in China's textile industry. Cotton imports presently constitute about 20 percent of total cotton supplies. Sugar imports are similarly important additions to domestic production, accounting for more than a third of China's sugar consumption. The recent growth in imports has made China an increasingly important, and in some cases dominant, factor in world agricultural markets. For example, China rivals Japan as an importer of cotton, and outstrips the next largest cotton importer. A sizable share of Canadian and Australian wheat exports now go to China. Imports of corn, sugar, soybeans, and soybean oil, although small in relation to total world trade in these commodities, also occasionally have had a significant impact on international markets. The United States has become the leading supplier of agricultural products to China. In 1979, almost a third of China's farm imports came from the United States. The United States was the leading supplier of corn, cotton, soybeans, and soybean oil last year, and an important supplier of wheat. Farm imports should continue their strong growth over the next few years. Beijing's present policies seem to preclude any large reductions in farm imports over the near term. The decision to boost further consumption effectively prohibits the substitution of increases in domestic production for imports. A number of factors determine the size and pattern of imports: the success of the new agricultural policies, population control, future trade policy, and the leadership attitude toward consumption. ' This rate is for growth over the 1973-76 average; imports were abnormally low in 1976. 6 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 Exports Jump. The unusually large, 25-percent expan- sion of agricultural exports during 1979 was made possible by excellent harvests in 1978 and 1979-and by a general rise in international agricultural prices. Gains in 1979 continued the upward trend in farm exports in recent years, although since the early 1.970s they have declined as a percentage of total exports. Meat, fish, fruits, and vegetables probably remained the top export items in 1979. Natural textile fibers, crude animal materials, and grain also continued as important exports. Hong Kong and Japan are China's major markets, together importing half of total farm exports. Almost all live animal exports go to Hong Kong. Most exports of soybeans go to Japan. Singapore and the developed countries account for another 20 percent of agricul- tural exports. Developing countries and Communist countries account for the remainder. The capacity of these markets to absorb additional agricultural products, while growing, could limit the future expansion of Chinese exports. Sales to Hong Kong have been growing at rates well below the growth rate for total agricultural exports. Exports to other markets have grown rapidly in recent years; but as these markets become saturated, growth will slow. Changes in the composition of agricultural exports have not been dramatic, but there have been some discernible trends. Products that require large areas of cultivable land, such as grain and oilseeds, have declined in relative importance while commodities such as animal products, silk, fruits and vegetables, and tea and spices have grown in importance. For the next few years, unless there is a major drop in prices, and as long as domestic output continues to rise, agricultural exports are likely to continue their strong growth. The new agricultural policies promise addi- tional supplies of exportable products. Farm exports, however, will expand more slowly than total exports. Fertilizer Imports Down Import substitution finally is having an effect on China's fertilizer imports. Imports are estimated to have declined 18 percent in volume in 1979, compared with an average annual growth rate of 39 percent during 1976-78. Fertilizer imports had been expected I I I I I 1 I 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 to slow as Beijing opened its 13 imported urea plants, but the decline in 1979 was a surprise. The rising prices of chemical fertilizer imports also played a role in the drop. Nitrogen Imports Off Sharply. A sizable drop in nitrogen imports caused the overall decline. Purchases of nitrogen fertilizer-which accounted for 83 percent of fertilizer imports in 1978-fell 23 percent in 1979. These cuts can be linked to the opening of most of the large imported urea plants. All thirteen plants, im- ported in the mid-1970s, are now complete; 10 are believed to be operating at capacity. When all are in full production, they will add an estimated 7.8 million tons of urea annually to China's fertilizer capacity. The growth of fertilizer output in 1979 reflects the contribution of the imported plants. Chemical fertil- izer production totaled 10.65 million tons of nutrients last year, a 23-percent gain over 1978. Escalating fertilizer prices, brought on by skyrocketing oil prices, also contributed to the decline in imports of nitrogen fertilizer. The price of urea imported from Japan, China's largest supplier, rose from $138 per ton in 1978 to $170 per ton in 1979. A recently concluded contract for 1980 calls for prices of more than $200 per ton. Phosphorous Imports Down, Potassium Up. Imports of phosphorous and potassium fertilizers were less af- fected by price increases, although phosphorous im- ports declined. Potassium imports rose by 24 percent. Imports of these fertilizers should continue to grow. Nitrogen fertilizer had grown to a disproportionately large share of fertilizer imports; a more efficient nutrient mix with larger proportions of phosphorous and potassium is necessary to maximize crop yields. Prospects: Large, Stable Imports. The high priority accorded agriculture ensures that fertilizer imports will continue to command a large share of China's foreign exchange expenditures. Imports totaled $507 million in 1978, and higher prices will push the 1979 total to about $480 million, despite smaller volume imports as shown in the following tabulation: Quantity (Thousand metric tons) of Nutrient Content Value (Million US $) 1976 1,009 230 1977 1,523 337 1978 2,173 507 1979 1,720 480 The rate of fertilizer application in China still lags behind application rates in most developed countries, and increased agricultural productivity is the key to feeding its growing population. The structure of fertilizer imports will change, however, with a further shift to phosphorous and potassium fertilizers. The decline in imports in 1979 is probably an aberration from the expected trend of the 1980s. A likely scenario is for imports to remain at a relatively stable level, with minor fluctuations. This view is based upon Beijing's continuing efforts to develop the domes- tic fertilizer industry. Recent plant purchases from the West will add about a million tons of ammonia capacity in the early 1980s. Nevertheless, the large plant imports that occurred in the mid-1970s have not been repeated, and output growth may not match the gains of the last decade. The Chinese apparently have had some success at duplicating imported amonia-urea plants; but it will be many years before these new skills have a significant impact on domestic industry. Addi- tional plant imports and more rapid technology trans- fers are needed to prevent fertilizer production growth from slowing in the 1980s. Otherwise, Beijing will be forced to pay ever-higher prices for imported fertilizers to meet its agricultural needs. WORLD .................... 2,394.9 NON-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES.. 1,932.8 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... 859.0 EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 505.0 Australia........... 31.7 Japan ............... 466.1 NORTH AMERICA.......... 60.1 Canada .............. 13.8 United States....... 46.3 WESTERN EUROPE......... 293.8 Belgium ............. 10.2 France .............. 46.9 West Germany ........ 73.9 Italy ............... 44.9 Netherlands......... 21.7 Norway .............. 2.9 Spain ............... 11.2 Sweden .............. 12.2 Switzerland ......... 8.5 United Kingdom...... 47.1 LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 1,073.8 SOUTHEAST ASIA......... 722.3 Hong Kong ........... 511.0 Indonesia ........... 44.0 Malaysia............ 35.3 Philippines ......... 27.0 Singapore ........... 66.5 Thailand ............ 9.4 2.145.3 2,275.2 2,527.4 3,019.3 1,785.6 1,946.4 2,132.5 2,540.7 828.9 912.1 921.1 1,115.1 451.5 494.5 522.9 639.4 35.5 32.0 31.5 41.7 411.6 457.9 486.8 591.2 94.5 112.3 102.1 97.6 15.7, 26.1 21.1 19.9 78.7 86.2 81.0 77.7 282.9 305.3 296.1 378.1 10.2 9.7 8.7 10.6 39.9 55.9 44.3 56-2 71.5 79.9 777 89.7 33.2 35.4 35.9 69.6 27.2 25.2 28.7 28.0 2.6 2.8 2.1 3.4 12.8 15.1 12.0 19.5 11.7 9.9 12.1 15.1 10.8 10.3 11.0 11.4 43.7 41.7 45.4 55.0 956.8 1,034.4 1,211.5 1.425.6 657.1 723.6 847.8 982.1 463.3 526.8 580.3 678.9 22.9 24.5 27.1 32.4 38.7 46.1 60.2 65.6 22.5 25.4 28.7 35.7 75.6 66.4 90.8 93.0 10.0 10.5 32.9 31.7 2,796.9 3,149.9 3,528.3 4.028.4 2,446.7 2,765.0 3.095.1 3,512.2 1.163.2 1,306.8 1,499.1 1,646.7 598.7 717.1 830.3 845.2 50.1 38.6 39.7 37.9 543.4 671.6 780.3 795.5 136.0 179.8 208.7 211.5 34.7 35.3 42.2 29.7 101.3 144.5 166.5 181.8 428.4 409.9 460.1 589.9 12.4 13.5 15.0* 14.3 60.6 60.4 69.0 94.3 92.4 102.3 115.7 153.7 58.4 69.0 79.3* 98.3 26.9 32.8 34.3 42.0 3.5 3.0 3.4* 4.5 27.2 22.6 30.8* 29.9 15.7 14.8 17.0* 24.3 11.0 10.0 11.7 14.9 92-4 61.1 57.6 70.3 1,283.5 1,458.2 1,596.0 1,865.5 849.5 967.3 1,068.5 1,261.8 597.0 693.3 770.5* 924.2 20.4* 29.2 32.8 37. 5 49.2 43.8 46.3* 54.1 23.0 27.2 18.1* 20.8 85.5 91.2 104.0 114.6 41-2 44.7* 54.6 62.5 SOUTH ASIA. ............ 30.8 24.0 24.1 36.3 49.8 56.6 Pakistan ............ 14.4* 13.4 14.2 15.8 18.9 17.8 Sri Lanka........... 8.8 .O 1.3 4.2 11.5 20.5 61.5 53.4 61.1 20.0 22.4 25.6 20.9 7.9* 9.0 MIDDLE EAST............ 155.9 121.3 125.6 145.6 170.1 161.0 181.3 203.4 232.5 Bahrain ............. 11.2 4.3 4.6 5.1 6.1* 5.7 6.4 7.2 8.2 Iran...... 17-0 12.9 13.7 15.2 18.2* 17.0 19.2 21.5 24.6 Iraq ..... Approved For*Release 20011112/05 i4Cb4-RQB8fiB0098.5#200030?05001Selo 22.4 25.5 Kuwait .............. 33.2 23.0 21.8 21.4 25.2* 23.7 26.7 29.9 34.2 Syria ............... 10.4 7.9 7.3 19.0 13.2* 11.9 13.3 14.9 17.1 8,076.5 9,966.9 13,503.7 6,722.7 8,405.0 11,818.9 2,939.3 3,777.0 5.615.8 1,631.1 2,108.3 2,991.4 124.2 140.7 166.3 1,485.7 1,947.5 2,790.9 280.4 406.5 736.1 77.3 82.8 141.9 203.1 323.6 594.2 1,027.8 1,262.3 1,888.3 35.1 39.1 55.2 168.6 196.3 284.3 250.4 318.7 464.2 141.6 174.1 305.1 82.3 109.1 136.0 9.6 11.0 14.4 36.2 59.4 110.5 50.7 48.6 71.8 34.0 43.5 47.5 159.4 185.7 281.4 3,783.3 4,627.9 6,203.1 2,517.7 3,210.6 4,147.0 1,735.4 2,249.4 2,985.0 146.2 106.9 119.9 133.8 210.6 193.4 79.1 112.2 89.1 261.8 325.8 395.2 64.0 85.1 202.9 106.7 134.2 232.5 51.7 62 5 85.9 29.6 17.0 58.3 585.8 562.5 778.6 59.2 20.0 27.5 72.6 60.0 82.5 48.1 62.2 85.6 123.7 91.5 114.6 43.5 47.4 57.2 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 TABLE I NORTH AFRICA ........... 42.9 35.8 36.6 40.7 48.2 47.4 49.8 56.2 64.8 145.2 161.1 218.2 Egypt_ ............ 13.4 11.1 11.9 13.2 15.7* 14.8 16.7 18.7 21.3 45.3 52.0 71.5 Libya ............... 10.41 9.7 10.3 11.5 13.7 12.9 14.5 16.3 18.6 47.4 45.2 62.2 SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ...... 104.6 102.9 104.8 122.9 152.3 143.2 161.2 180.5 206.5 369.7 482.8 691.5 Nigeria.. ........... 36.0 32.6 34.9 38.7 46.1* 43.4 48.8 546 62.5 133.5 152.4 209.4 Sudan ............... 6.7 10.5 113 12.5 149* 14.0 15.8 177 20.2 26.9 493 677 Tanzania............ * 5.5 5.1 5.4 6.0 7.2 67 7.6 8.5 9.7 18.7 23.6 32.5 Zambia .............. 1.8 * 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.4 23 2.5 2.8 3.2 8.5 7.9 10.9 LATIN AMERICA ......... 17.3 15.7 19.8 18.3 23.1 25.7 37.0 34.0 38.8 58.3 76.7 135.4 Argentina ........... .3 .4 .4 .6 1.1 1.1* 1.6 1.7 2.0 .8 2.4 6.4 Brazil .............. .1 .0 .1 .1 4.2 4.1 13.3 7.2* 8.2 .4 4.3 32.8 Peru ................ * .3 .3 .3 .3 .4 .3 .4 .4 .5 .9 1.2 1.7 COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 462.1 359.7 328.7 394.9 478.6 350.3 385.0 433.2 516.2 1,353.8 1,561.9 1,684.8 USSR ................... 92.4 678 31.7 64.3 93.5 43.0 35.9 40.4* 46.2 177.8 257.3 165.5 EASTERN EUROPE ......... 230.5 222.6 222.9 248.4 287.2 225.2 256.8 289.4 352.0 706.2 981.0 1,123.4 Czechoslovakia...... 26.4 29.1 31.2 34.5 41.2 24.0 27.4 31.2 34.4 89.1 136.0 117.0 East Germany ........ 32.6 29.5 31.6 35.1 41.8 * 39.3 44.2 49.5 56.6 110.0 138.0 189.6 Hungary ............. 19.1 10.3 14.7 22.6 18.3 6.3 11.7 14.0 21.2 357 65.8 53.2 Poland .............. 24.5 18.0 18.6 23.1 31.6 14.4 19.3 24.6 46.5 54.4 91.3 104.8 Romania ............. 81.0 88.9 95.2 105.5 125.7 * 118.3 133.1 148.9 170.4 273.2 415.3 570.7 Yugoslavia .......... 14.8 15.5 15.0 20.1 19.7 15.0 12.0 10.7* 11.3 35.9 70.2 49.1 69.3 74.1 82.2 98.0 82.0 92.3 103.4 118.1 WORLD .................... 96.90 93.65 93.66 93.65 93.10 77.71 76.05 74.57 60.16 9783 93.49 7126 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 99.90 9394 100-00 100.00 98.19 LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 93.09 86.57 86.84 87.50 86.14 6977 66.42 62.45 40.38 95.36 86.75 5826 COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 100.00 97.87 9754 97.71 97.75 32.77 31.19 31.56 23.92 100.00 97.72 29.38 1/ Country listings for any given area are not exhaustive: only major trade partners are presented. Country data for all quarters to the right of an asterisk are extrapolated and are subject to change. 2/ Kampuchea, Cuba, Mongolian Republic, Laos. North Korea, and Vietnam. 3/ Includes quarterly data that have been interpolated from annual trade partner data. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 TABLE 2 CHINA: IMPORTS, FOB, BY AREA AND COUNTRY 1/ WORLD .................... 2,050-1 NON-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES.- 1,682.3 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 1,359.7 EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 754.3 Australia ........... 193.6 Japan ............... 551.9 NORTH AMERICA .......... 169.7 Canada .............. 87.9 United States ....... 81.8 WESTERN EUROPE ......... 435.7 Belgium ............. 16.1 France .............. 27.0 West Germany ........ 165.7 Italy ............... 35.8 Netherlands......... 20.9 Norway .............. 55.5 Spain ............... 8.5 Sweden. ............. 14-8 Switzerland......... 18.8 United Kingdom ...... 30.5 1,869.3 2,385.6 2,545.3 3,463.6 1,582.6 2.062.0 2,188.5 2,906.8 1,331.1 1,677.7 1,818.7 2,440.5 657.8 902.7 895.6 1,165.7 151.0 134.0 106.7 91.1 497.6 754.2 7734 1,048.7 175.9 243.6 380.3 506.9 784 124.5 1384 100.8 97.5 119.1 241.9 406.1 497.4 531.4 542.8 767.9 38-8 45.9 447 76.0 30.9 47.0 495 71.8 250.7 227.3 223.6 293.6 38.8 42.5 40.9 66.2 19.8 18.9 25.5 70.8 24.3 11.8 16.0 7.7 11.0 16.6 13.3 25.4 9.5 14:1 23.4 37.4 24.3 19.1 22.8 284 30.7 44.8 427 57.4 LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES- 322.5 251.4 384.2 SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 94.5 58.0 92.9 Hong Kong ........... 14.4 12.3 16.4 Indonesia ........... .0 -0 -0 Malaysia............ 29.6 18.5 13.4 Philippines ......... 22.4 6.1 28.6 Singapore ........... 12.9 9.3 12.4 Thailand ............ 9.3 9.3 20.1 3,549.0 3,621.6 3,529.4 4,041.3 3,081.5 3,178.6 3,064.3 3,502.7 2,453.5 2,582.8 2,382.9 2,680.7 1,155.3 1,220.1 958.6 1.146.3 130.8 166.5 191.6 245.0 1,000.7 1,035.6 755.6 888.3 523.3 454.2 517.9 7337 128.0 139.8 141.3 96.2 395.3 314.4 376.6 637.5 774.9 908.5 53.9 449 97.7 72.4 322.0 389.2 65.2 87.7 59.2 37.3 13.0 12.3 34.1 42.1 24.8 30.4 24.8 23.4 55.8 139.9 369.7 466.4 628.0 595.8 76.3 129.9 167.0 172.2 14.3 20.0 44.2 77.5 .0 .0 .0* .0 25.9 52.5 61.0 19.4 91 3.7 4.8 15.6 14.2 22.0 33.0 43.6 10.7 16.2 21.1 12.9 SOUTH ASIA ............. 31.7 21.0 29.9 36.3 40.3 41.2 36.5 Pakistan ............ 11.0 12.6 15.5 16.8 22.7 23.4 23.9 Sri Lanka ........... 14.8 .0 8.6 13.2 9.1 9.0 3.7 906.4 800.6 13.2* 13.5 85.1 84.0 410.1 371.2 63.6* 50.4 26.8 36.1 4.1* 7.8 30.2* 19.7 22.0* 34.2 27.5 432 177.6 90.0 MIDDLE EAST ............ Bahrain ............. Iran ................ Iraq-- . - . Approved for Kuwait .............. Syria ............... 65.7 455 45.6 31.3 49.8 76.6 75.2 2.0 * .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 12.2 4.9 6.3 6.7 9.1 * 9.4 9.6 ?Izse 2001/J2/05 t~ly4-RDP8~B00003dU0001 66 9.7 19.5 10.1 1.1 2.5 25.7* 26.2 681.4 822.1 231.6 306.8 94.6* 161.6 -O .0 57.2* 54.4 20.5* 23.5 41.0 46.4 15.1 17.3 59.3 67.9 233 267 27.2* 31.2 71.1 81.6 .0 .0 9.4 10.8 10.6 12.2 10.4 11.9 25.6 29.3 6.602.9 10.263.9 14,741.4 5,536.1 8,739.9 12,827.3 4,166.0 7,268.1 10,099.9 2,453.5 3,621.9 4,480.3 461.0 482.9 734.0 1.954.9 3,073.9 3,680.2 517.8 1,306.7 2,229.1 346.5 442.1 505.3 171.3 864.6 1,723.8 1,194.7 2,339.5 3,390.5 48.0 205.4 125.5 95.3 199.2 339.2 500.7 995.2 1,492.5 88.9 188.4 266.9 52.5 135.0 1594 96.3 59.7 37.1 21.3 66.3 1261 45.3 84.4 111.4 56.9 94.6 118.9 108.9 175.6 463.3 1,370.1 1,471.8 2,727.4 441.7 357.1 877.6 444 62.9 377.9 .0 .0 .0 119.9 110.3 192.0 109.1 47.4 64.4 59.4 57.9 164.0 102.0 56.3 66.3 82.8 127.6 204.9 17.3 67.6 97.3 47.4 31.0 71.1 205.2 172.1 304.5 15.3 -0 .0 39.9 27.0 39.2 20.0 30.8 44.4 39.9 22.8 43.3 55.2 33.2 106.7 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B009R000300050013-1 --CONTINUED CHINA: IMPORTS. FOB, BY AREA AND COUNTRY 1/ NORTH AFRICA ........... 17.6 20.6 26.5 29.9 40.0 40.3 39.4 38.5 44.1 73.7 117.0 152.3 Egypt ............... 10.6 11.6 15.1 16.1 21.9* 22.7 23.1 22.5 25.8 34.1 64.8 94.1 Libya ............... * .4 .3 .4 .5 .6 .6 .6 .6 .7 1.2 1.8 2.6 SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 49.2 39.3 49.5 51.4 74.6 77.1 78.5 76.6 87.7 185.5 214.8 320.0 Nigeria ............. .0 2.2 2.8 3.0 4.1* 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.8 11.7 12.1 17.6 Sudan ............... 15.8 5.4 7.0 7.5 10.2* 10.5 10.7 10.4 12.0 56.3 30.0 43.6 Tanzania ............ * 6.4 5.9 7.2 7.8 10.6 10.9 11.1 10.8 12.4 20.7 21.4 45.3 Zambia .............. 6.1$ 5.6 7.0 7.5 10.2 10.5 10.7 10.5 12.0 29.0 2T.3 43.6 LATIN AMERICA ......... 63.8 67.0 139.8 144.6 131.7 225.8 194.0 904.1 234.1 381,1 4F3 1 858 Argentina ........... 7.5 1.1 16.8 28.6 15.1 112.6* 75.5 73.8 84.5 87.1 61.6 346.4 Brazil .............. 21.8 24.0 35.9 35.1 31.6 24.8 28.9 43.3* 49.6 162.7 126.6 146.6 Peru ................ * 7.6 7.0 8.6 9.3 12.6 13.0 13.3 12.9 14.8 29.3 37.5 54.0 COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ...... 367.8 286.7 323.6 356.8 556.8 467.5 443.0 465.1 538.6 1,066.8 1,524.0 1,914.1 USSR ................... 79.3 42.2 31.0 51.0 118.0 69.6 25.2 44.2* 50.6 161.8 242.2 189.6 EASTERN EUROPE ......... 208.7 185.8 216.6 224.4 328.1 283.5 301.4 307.2 357.7 649.1 955.0 1,249.9 Czechoslovakia...... 22.9 21.1 26.0 28.1 38.0 28.5 29.5 27.7 31.3 73.4 113.1 117.0 East Germany........ 35.9 32.7 42.3 45.3 61.6* 63.7 64.8 63.3 72.5 115.0 182.0 264.3 Hungary ............. 17.0 4.9 10.0 12.6 30.0 3.9 12.9 19.2 31.9 32.0 57.5 67.9 Poland .............. 10.6 17.6 22.8 24.4 33.2 34.7 30.3 38.7 44.4 60.7 98.0 148.1 Romania ............. 74.6 67.3 87.1 93.3 126-8* 131.0 133.4 130.2 149.2 239.2 374.4 543.8 Yugoslavia .......... 22.5 6.5 4.4 5.7 18.1 5.7 13.8 12.5* 10.7 48.0 34.7 42.7 OTHER 2/........... 79.8 58.7 76.0 81.4 110.7 114.3 116.4 113.7 130.2 255.9 326.8 474.6 PERCENT OF ESTIMATE OBTAINED FROM TRADE PARTNER DATA: 3/ WORLD .................... 98.31 96.27 95.73 95.51 95.54 83.43 81.01 80.32 69.71 98.73 95.71 78.33 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 93.92 100.00 100.00 98.38 LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 89.25 80.83 80.43 76.85 75.24 55.59 37.36 43.18 20.84 93.87 77.95 38.03 COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 100.00 92.48 91.75 91.93 93.00 33.89 28.98 33.95 23.83 100.00 92.39 29.94 1/ Country listings for any given area are not exhaustive: only major trade partners are presented. Country data for all quarters to the right of an asterisk are extrapolated ~ d are subject to change. 2/ Kampuchea, Cuba, Mongolian Republic, Laos, N, th Korea, and Vietnam. 3/ Includes quarterly data that have been interlolated from annual trade partner data. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 TABLE 3 CHINA: TRADE BALANCES, FOB, BY AREA AND COUNTRY If WORLD .................... 344.8 NON-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES.. 250.5 DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... -500.8 EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. -249.3 Australia ........... -161.9 Japan ............... -85.8 NORTH AMERICA.......... -109.6 Canada .............. -74.1 United States ....... -35.5 WESTERN EUROPE ......... -141.9 Belgium ............. -5.9 France .............. 19.9 West Germany........ -91.8 Italy ............... 9.1 Netherlands ......... -8 Norway .............. -52.7 Spain ............... 2.7 Sweden .............. -2.6 Switzerland......... -10.3 United Kingdom...... 16.6 276.0 -110.4 203.0 -115.5 -502.3 -765.7 -206.3 -408.2 -1156 -102.1 -86.0 -296.3 -81.4 -131.3 -62.7 -98.4 -18.8 -32.9 -214.5 -226.1 -28.6 -36.2 9.0 8.9 -179.2 -147.4 -5.6 -7.1 7.4 63 -21.7 -9.0 1.8 -1.5 2.2 -4.2 -13.5 -8.8 13.0 -3.1 LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 751.3 705.3 SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 627.8 599-0 Hong Kong ........... 496.6 451.1 Indonesia ........... 44.0 22.9 Malaysia ............ 5.6 20.2 Philippines......... 4.6 16.4 Singapore ........... 53.7 66.3 Thailand ............ .1 .7 -17.9 -444.3 -752.0 -56.0 -366.2 -634.8 -897.7 -1325.4 -1,290.3 -372.7 -5263 -556.5 -75.2 -49.4 -80.7 -286.6 -457.5 -4573 -278.2 -409.3 -387.3 -117.3 -80.9 -93.3 -160.9 -328.4 -294.0 -2468 -389.8 -36.0 -65.4 -5.2 -156 -145.9 -203.9 -5.0 3.4 3-2 -42.8 -13.8 -4.2 -1.3 -5.9 -11.3 -22.3 -11.8 -17.0 2.7 -2.4 -471.7 -1.1 -12.9 -413.7 30.8 9.4 -1276.1 -883.8 -1034.0 -503.0 -128.3 -301.1 -127.9 -152.0 -207.1 -364.0 24.7 -92.8 -2744 -309.2 -522.2 -104.5 -99.1 -66.5 -169.9 -210.1 -455.7 -346.5 -498.7 -446.3 -210.7 -41.5 -31.4 1.8* .8 -37.1 -12.0 -16.1 10.3 -229.6 -286.9 -2944 -217.5 -6.8 -18.7 157* 47.9 -32.3 -4.5 7.5 5.9 -9.5 -9.2 -.7% -3.2 -6-9 -19.5 .63E 10.2 -9-1 -15-6 -5-0* -9-9 -13.8 -13.4 -15.8 -28.3 36.6 -78.8 -120.0 -19.7 650.2 841.7 959.2 655.5 862.4 630.8 7715 852.2 682.5 795.1 510.5 566.0 658.9 5528 615.8 24.5 27.1 32.4 20-4* 29.2 32.6 34.3 13.1 -11.8 24.4 -3.2 19.6 32.0 18.2 11.6 54.0 76.6 71.0 52.5 47.5 -9.6 22.2 15.5 20.1 31.8* SOUTH ASIA ............. -.8 3.0 -5-9 Pakistan ............ 3.41: .9 -1.3 Sri Lanka ........... -6-0 .0 -7.2 MIDDLE EAST ............ 90.1 75.8 80.0 Bahrain ............. 92 4.3 4.6 Iran ................ 48 8.0 7.4 .0 9.5 15.3 -.9 -3.8 -5.6 -9.1 2.3 11.5 25.0 -3.9 17.2 1143 120.4 84.4 106.1 5.1 6.13E 5.7 64 8.5 9.1* 7.6 96 Iraq....... * 7i 7 1 7.0 9.1 Kuwai t.....AjiproQed For e~ease 2'1~12/061:.IA-I11~p486B01~t >5R0002900500ar3.-a Syria ............... .8 -11.6 -2.8 17.9 10-7* -13.9 -12.8 914.6 1,043.4 836.9 955.0 675.9* 762.6 32.8 37.5 -10-9* -.4 -2.4 -2.8 63.0 68.2 39.5 45.2 -.9 -1.1 -19.3* -22.1 132.3 151.0 7.2 8.2 12.1 13.8 11.8 13.3 19.5 223 -10.6 -12.2 1,473.5 -297.0 -1,237.7 1,186.6 -334.9 -1,008.4 -1,226.7 -3,491.1 -4,4841 -822.4 -1,513.6 -1,489.0 -336.8 -342.3 -567.7 -469.2 -1,126.4 -889.3 -237.4 -900.2 -1,493.0 -269.2 -359-3 -363.4 31.8 -541.0 -1,129.6 -1669 -1,077.2 -1,502.2 -12.9 -166.3 -70-3 73.3 -2.9 -54.9 -250.3 -676.5 -1,028.3 52.7 -14.3 38.2 29.8 -25.9 -23-4 -86.7 -48.7 -22-7 14.9 -6.9 -156 5.4 -35.6 -39.6 -22.9 -51.1 -71.4 50.5 10.1 -1819 2,413.3 3,1562 3,475.7 2,076.0 2,853.6 3,269.4 1,691.0 2,186.5 2,607.2 146.2 106.9 1199 13.9 100.2 1.4 -30.0 64.8 24.7 202.4 267.9 231.2 -38.1 28.8 136.5 23.9 6.6 27.6 34.4 -5.1 -11.4 -178 -14.0 -12.8 380.6 390.3 474.1 43.8 20.0 27.5 327 33.0 43.3 28.1 31.4 41.2 83.8 68.7 71.3 -11.7 14.2 -49.5 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 TABLE 3 NORTH AFRICA........... 25.3 15.2 10.0 10.8 8.1 7.1 10.4 17.8 20.8 71.5 44.1 55.8 Egypt ............... 2.8 -.5 -3.1 -2.9 -6.2* -7.9 -6.4 -3.9 -4.5 11.1 -12.8 -22.6 Libya ............... *10.0 94 9.9 11.0 13.1 12.3 13.9 15.7 17.9 462 43.4 59.6 SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 55.4 63.6 55.3 71.5 77.7 66.2 82.8 103.9 118.7 184.2 268.0 371.5 Nigeria ............. 36.0 30.4 32.1 35.7 42.0* 39.2 44.5 50.4 57.7 121.8 140.3 191.8 Sudan ............... -9.2 5.2 4.3 5.0 4.8* 35 5.1 72 8.3 -294 19.3 24.1 Tanzania ............ * -.9 -.8 -1-8 -1.8 -3.4 -4.2 -3.5 -2.4 -2.7 -2.0 -7.8 -12.8 Zambia .............. -4.3 * -3.9 -5.2 -5.5 -7.8 -8.3 -8.2 -7.6 -8.7 -20.5 -224 -328 LATIN AMERICA ......... -466 -51.3 -120.0 -126.4 -108.6 -200.1 -157.0 -170.3 -195.2 -3228 -406.4 -722.7 Argentina........... -7.3 -.7 -16.4 -28.0 -14.1 -111.5* -74.0 -72.0 -825 -86.3 -59.2 -340.0 Brazil .............. -21.8 -24.0 -35.8 -35.0 -27.4 -20.7 -15.7 -36.1$ -41.4 -162.2 -122.3 -113.8 Peru ................ *-7.3 -6.7 -8.3 -9.0 -12.2 -12.7 -12.9 -12.5 -143 -28.3 -36.3 -52.4 COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 94.3 73.0 5.1 38.0 -78.1 -117.2 -58.0 -31.9 -22.3 287.0 37.9 -229.3 USSR ................... 13.1 25.6 .7 13.3 -24.5 -26.6 10.7 -3.8* -4.4 16.0 15.1 -24.1 EASTERN EUROPE ......... 21.7 36.8 63 23.9 -40.9 -583 -44.6 -17.8 -5.8 57.1 26.0 -126.5 Czechoslovakia...... 3.5 8.1 52 6.5 3.2 -4.5 -2.1 3.5 3.1 157 22.9 .0 East Germany -------- -3.3 -3.2 -10.7 -10.2 _19.8* -24.4 -20.6 -13.8 -15.9 -5.0 -44.0 -74.7 Hungary ............. 2.1 5.4 4.7 10.0 -11.7 2.4 -1.2 -5.2 -10.7 3.7 8.3 -14.7 Poland .............. 13.9 .4 -4.2 -1.3 -1.6 -20.3 -11.0 -141 2.1 -6.3 -6.7 -43.3 Romania ............. 6.4 21.6 8.1 12.2 -1.1* -12.8 -.3 18.7 21.2 34.0 40.9 26.8 Yugoslavia .......... -7.7 9.0 10.6 14.3 1.6 93 -1.8 -1.7* .6 -12.2 35.5 6.3 if Country listings for any given area are not exhaustive: only major trade partners are presented. Country data for all quarters to the right of an asterisk are extrapolated and are subject to change. 2/ Kampuchea, Cuba, Mongolian Republic, Laos, North Korea, and Vietnam. 1970 .................. 1971 ................... 1972 ................... 1973 ................... 1974 .................. 1975 ................... 1976 ................... 1977 ................... 1978 ................... 1979 ................... Imports f.o.b. 1970 ................... 1971 ................... 1972 ................... 1973 ................... 1974 ------------------- 1975 ................... 1976 ................... 1977 ................... 1978 ................... 1979 ................... Imports c.i.f. 1970 ................... 1971 ................... 1972 ------------------- 1973 ------------------- 1974................... 1975 ................... 1976 ................... 1977 ------------------- 1978 ...... ............ 1979 ................... I II III IV YEAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 504.1 482.1 472.1 697.3 2,155.9 560-3 548.4 576.1 848.7 2,533.5 728.3 757.7 787.9 946.6 3,220.5 9355 1,181.6 1,392.1 1,590.4 5,099.4 1,497.1 1,726.0 1,618.5 1,891.1 6,732.4 1,554.8 1,702.3 1,742.0 2.123.1 7,121.9 1,775.4 1,593.0 1,737.8 2,162.0 7,268.3 1,900.0 1,847.5 1,933.8 2,394.9 8,076.5 2,145.3 2,275.2 2,527.4 3,019.3 9,966.9 2,7969 3,149.9 3,528.3 4,028.4 13,503.7 494.2 590.6 496.4 463.0 2,044.2 455.6 525.0 572.1 590.5 2,143.1 564.0 598.5 555.5 866.7 2,584.2 888.9 1,051.5 1,236.5 1,449.2 4,626.1 1,547.1 1,705.3 1,878.0 1,676.6 6,806.8 1.668.4 1,643.2 1,775.5 1,744.5 6,829.6 1,850.1 1,630.2 1,164.0 933.5 5,577.7 1,233.2 1,408.7 1,910.9 2,050.1 6,602.9 1,869.3 2,385.6 2,545.3 3,463.6 10,263.9 3,549.0 3,621.6 3,529.4 4,041.3 14,741.4 536.0 638.4 536.9 500.4 2,211.8 491.6 567.6 616.8 637.0 2,312.9 610.1 648.9 601.4 939.3 2,799.2 965.1 1,142.2 1,343.7 1,572.5 5,023.5 1,683.6 1,848.5 2,035.9 1,807.3 7,375.2 1,802.1 1,782.8 1,921.0 1,895.4 7,399.2 1,999.7 1,773.5 1,258.4 1,001.7 6,033.4 1,324.4 1,520.7 2,062.9 2,217.8 7,125.7 2,032.7 2,584.9 2,759.1 3,750.9 11,127.7 3,849.2 3,937.4 3,843.0 4,383.0 16,012.8 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 TABLE 5 Total Exports... ......... 466.1 411.6 457.9 486.7 591.3 543.4 671.7 780.2 795.5 1 485.7 1 947.5 2 790 7 Foodstuffs ............. 112.0 85.8 97.7 108.6 166.2 150.8 138.7 147.1 184.2 , 347.1 , 458.2 , . 620.8 Meat ----------------- 4.0 4.1 3.2 3.4 8.7 4.5 6.2 9.1 10.0 12.8 19.5 29.9 Fish ................. 26.6 11.4 33.1 32.6 45.8 37.5 40.7 47.5 38.6 55.5 123.0 164.3 Dairy Goods.......... 3.5 3.6 4.6 6.3 4.3 4.2 4.4 5.1 4.6 13.4 18.7 18.2 Fruits & Vegetables.. 28.5 12.3 12.8 17.1 50.4 26.5 18.1 13.1 46.8 87.9 92.6 104.5 Coffee, Tea, Spices.. 2.7 2.9 2.2 2.9 1.9 3.6 3.0 3.2 5.4 10.1 9.9 15.1 Oil Seeds ............ 14.1 10.1 4.9 8.0 18.4 37.9 22.3 25.8 24.5 45.7 41.4 110.5 Prepared Foodstuffs.. 7.8 15.7 11.4 10.9 14.6 14.8 15.0 16.2 19.2 47.1 52.6 65.2 Crude Minerals & Metals 229.7 174.1 181.9 224 1 950 R 909 9 ?Al -q 381 3 1707 59R 9 090o I one 1 Natural Steatite..... 9.1 6.9 7.3 12.2 12.8 13.4 13.6 16.3 20.2 33.0 39.3 63.6 Coal ................. 6.0 4.9 5.7 9.3 15.2 12.5 13.1 19.3 20.5 19.1 35.1 65.3 Crude Petroleum ...... 209.1 158.4 164.7 191.8 211.2 163.0 197.6 308.0 281.9 629..1 726.1 950.5 Petroleum Products... 3.4 2.0 3.0 8.8 7.8 8.6 14.7 30.6 50.8 9.5 21.6 104.6 Chemicals .............. 11.6 13.3 10.6 12.2 16.0 17.5 24.4 30.7 37.1 45.8 52.1 109.7 Inorganic Chemicals.. 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.4 3.8 4.6 5.8 10.4 Organic Chemicals.... 2.0 2.4 1.9 3.2 3.4 3.2 6.9 14.4 16.3 6.7 10.9 40.8 Essential Oils....... .7 .2 .3 .7 .6 1.0 .9 1.8 1.6 2.4 1.8 5.2 Pyrotechnics......... 1.3 2.6 .9 .9 1.9 3.2 3.8 3.1 4.1 6.0 6.2 14.2 Rosin & Raisin....... 5.0 5.4 4.3 4.2 6.1 5.6 8.0 5.3 7.9 21.1 19.9 26.9 Crude Materials ........ 11.9 15.6 18.3 14.3 14.2 24.4 33.1 23.1 26.8 47.4 62.4 107.4 Raw Hides & Skins.... 1.0 .7 .9 1.0 7 1.4 2.O 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.2 7.2 Furskins & Products.. 5.0 4.0 5.1 6.9 5.8 5.6 8.7 7.5 8.5 17.4 21.8 30.3 Wood ................. 2.2 2.5 3.8 4.5 3.3 4.7 6.0 9.0 7.8 9.1 14.1 27.5 Textiles ............... 74.5 109.9 130.5 107.8 123.1 124.2 209.4 171.6 136.4 290.2 471.3 641.5 Silk, Raw & Cocoons.. 14.9 39.9 53.2 18.8 31.1 30.9 77.9 30.4 9.8 85.2 143.1 149.1 Silk Products ........ 18.9 23.0 16.4 19.8 21.8 17.3 28.9 26.1 22.2 56.2 81.0 94.4 Cotton Fabrics....... 8.0 11.3 20.4 20.8 22.0 24.9 29.3 22.5 22.2 28.5 74.5 98.9 Rugs & Carpets....... 4.1 2.2 4.3 4.5 5.3 5.0 7.8 9.0 9.2 11.3 16.4 31.1 Clothing ............. 13.0 17.8 15.1 24.1 21.4 26.0 33.6 53.4 42.7 55.5 78.4 155.7 Other Textile Art.... 6.4 6.6 8.3 11.1 10.3 9.4 13.1 13.8 16.3 21.8 36.2 52.7 Other Manufactured..... 26.4 13.0 18.9 19.7 21.0 24.4 24.2 26.3 31.4 57.0 72.5 106.3 Foot Wear ............ .9 .7 .9 .6 1.2 1.6 1.3 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.4 8.0 Base Metals.......... 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.7 2.0 4.1 4.0 4.5 2.7 4.4 7.1 15.3 Machinery ............ .2 .2 .1 .2 .2 .2 .2 .3 .6 .6 .7 1.3 Basketwork ........... 4.6 8.6 9.4 2.6 5.5 12.6 16.2 4.6 8.8 20.6 26.1 42.2 Artwork & Antiques... 13.2 1.2 5.4 3.2 1.3 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.2 17.3 11.2 9.6 1/ Data is from the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Trade and is slightly different from the IMF data which we use in Tables 1 - 4. We have reduced the Japanese imports c.i.f. by 5% to reflect Chinese exports f.o.b. Categories are based on the Brussels Tariff Nomenclature (BTN) which Japan uses. We will continue to use Standard International Tariff Classification (SITC) nomenclature in the annual - 2nd quarter - edition that includes commodity detail of all Chinese Trade. Total Imports............ 551.9 497.6 754.2 773.3 1,048.6 1,000.8 1,035.6 755.5 888.3 1,954.9 7 3,073.7 24 7 3,680.2 46 0 Foodstuffs ............. 9.1 5.1 10.6 6.2 2.8 11.9 17.3 8.2 8.5 23. . . Animal & Veg. Fats.-- 1.4 1.5 1.3 2.3 1.4 1.0 .7 8 2.0 2.1 6-4 4.6 Crude Minerals & Metals 1.3 .5 .1 2.0 6.2 16.6 5.8 .7 3 1.7 9.8 23.4 ------------- Cement .0 -0 2.0 6.1 16.1 5-5 .0 .0 8.1 21.6 -- Chemicals .............. 103.6 91.9 84.1 119.8 125.0 134.1 107.2 94.3 122.0 347.0 420.8 457.5 Inorganic Chemicals.. 11.4 10.3 9.6 10.9 11.4 13.5 10.0 11.9 10.5 32.1 42.2 46.0 Organic Chemicals.... 29.1 30.9 17.6 35.0 30.6 36.2 21.6 12.2 17.7 98.3 114.1 87.7 Fertilizer........... 39.3 28.5 36.9 38.2 47.7 42.1 44.9 42.1 55.2 134.6 151.3 184.4 Dyes & Indigo........ 1.2 1.0 .8 2.9 5.6 5.5 2.2 3.3 4.3 2.9 10.3 15.2 Insecticides......... 1.1 2.1 2.2 2.5 3.1 2.9 6.8 3.4 2.6 5.7 9.9 15.7 Resins & Plastics.. 15.3 13.8 13.4 20.9 16.9 20.8 12.8 14.1 21.8 48.4 65.0 69.6 Crude Materials ........ 2.7 1.2 3.8 7.3 16.0 10.5 10.6 4.8 4.9 13.6 28.3 30.9 Rubber ............... 2.7 1.2 3.7 6.3 15.4 9.0 8.9 3.8 3.3 13.6 26.6 25.0 Textile Fibre & Product 63.3 44.3 62.4 50.3 42.6 38.2 40.2 35.3 49.4 199.6 199.7 163.1 Synthetic Fibre...... 60.5 40.9 58.7 44.8 40.0 34.2 34.4 27.8 40.1 191.8 184.3 136.4 Cotton ............... .2 .2 .6 .9 .1 .3 1.6 1.6 1.8 .4 1.8 5.3 Iron & Steel ........ 250.8 254.0 408.3 406.9 598.8 516.5 578.2 330.4 289.2 1,071.9 1,667.9 1.714.3 Bars & Rods.......... 34.4 48.8 44.1 54.7 88.2 110.2 80.6 54.5 71.8 120.8 235.8 317.2 Sheets ............... 83.7 111.5 192.3 158.8 196.8 186.0 226.1 73.5 68.9 445.6 659.3 554.4 Alloy ................ 40.1 24.1 57.0 44.2 49.9 47.2 70.1 30.0 19.5 144.7 175.3 166.8 Tubes & Pipes........ 45.1 22.7 59.7 69.0 117.5 89.3 127.0 123.9 69.5 188.3 268.9 409.7 .......... Wire 11.6 7.9 12.8 16.8 25.5 15.5 17.6 17.2 17.7 31.4 63.0 68.0 ....... Nonferrous Metals ...... 14.9 4.6 15.9 3.9 43 31 2.3 21.7 7.9 41.4 28.7 17.1 Copper ............... 6.7 1.2 4.0 .2 .8 1.6 1.3 2.4 2.4 6.8 6.2 7.7 Aluminum...... ...... 7.4 2.5 11.1 3.5 3.1 1.3 .7 1.2 5.5 33.0 20.1 8.8 Non-Electric Machinery. 29.4 37.8 84.3 47.3 70.5 88.8 105.6 95.4 125.4 70.1 240.0 415.2 Engines .............. 3.5 4.8 4.4 4.5 6.6 4.6 5.3 3.8 5.3 8.9 20.3 19.0 Compressors... Pumps 1.3 1.5 9.9 7.0 3.2 10.6 5.7 5.5 8.4 8.4 21.5 30.1 . Lifting Machinery.... 3.0 .6 2.1 .3 3.4 7.1 7.1 6.8 9.5 3.8 6.4 30.6 Excavating Machinery. 2.3 3.1 .9 6.9 30.7 27.1 27.0 23.7 21.1 4.7 41.6 98.9 Machine Tools ........ 1.5 2.4 6.2 4.2 5.2 2.5 8.0 8.6 12.5 3.4 17.9 31.7 Electrical Machinery... 6.2 11.4 10.3 29.4 12.2 16.0 28.3 52.2 66.7 14.4 63.2 163.3 Power Machinery ...... .6 .5 .9 1.3 2.3 1.4 2.9 5.0 6.6 3.9 5.1 15.9 Telegraph Television 1.9 .5 .3 4.1 1.2 2.9 10.9 30.5 38.1 2.4 6.2 82.3 . Furnaces ............. .0 -8 -3 2.8 2.2 5.2 2.6 2.8 5.9 .6 6.1 16.5 Other Manufactured ..... 70.5 45.7 74.4 100.1 170.2 165.0 140-1 130.4 213.9 171.5 391.5 649.4 Paper & Paperboard... 18.4 9.8 9.8 11.5 5.8 19.0 18.6 24.0 16.4 30.8 36.9 78.0 Printed Matter ....... .5 .4 .4 .9 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.1' .6 1.2 3.3 5.8 Railway Equipment.... .6 .1 .8 .0 2.4 2.3 1.1 1.6 1.7 2.9 3.4 6.7 Vehicles ............. 31.3 23.3 33.2 63.5 122.3 66.5 60.5 41.6 37.2 62.1 242.3 205.9 Ships.............. _ 9.6 4.0 18.6 8.1 22.2 46.9 23.6 23.9 119.3 52.2 53.0 213.8 Precision InAVplnera For fie?ease 26171 2/0 59:'GIA-RbPi6BOb~ 65R000 bOb5OO -? 32.8 32.3 18.3 41.8 120.3 1/ Data is from the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Trade and is slightly different from the IMF data which we use in Tables 1 - Categories are based on the Brussels Tariff Nomenclature (BTN) which Japan uses. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 ABLE 7 Total Imports.,, ........ 79.4 86.7 80.8 77.2 100.8 144.8 165.3 180.5 324 1 591 4 Agricultural Goods.,... 16.6 22.2 17.0 14.3 17.9 26.3 23.0 23.3 . 70.2 . 90.4 Shellfish..,....,,... .1 .2 .1 .4 3.7 4.4 5.8 1.7 .8 15.6 Nuts ................ 2.1 .5 2.7 2.4 1.2 1.7 2.9 2.1 7.7 7.8 Sugar & Sirups....... .0 .1 .1 .1 .5 1.3 2.0 2.9 .3 6.7 Tea .................. .6 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.4 4.8 7.7 Spices ............... .6 .8 1.0 .6 1.6 1.3 .6 .7 2.9 4.1 Feather, Downs,.,,... 8.2 14.2 7.2 3.7 3.5 6.6 4.7 5.5 33.4 20.3 Wood & Paper Products.. 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.4 6.5 6.6 6.1 8.7 20.7 27.9 Bamboo Products 4.3 4.7 4.5 4.8 5.8 5-8 5.3 7 .7 18.3 24.6 Textile Fiber & Prod,.. 25.4 32.6 34.7 26.9 35.6 39.4 73.1 53.3 119.6 201.5 Wool, Animal Hair,... 1.7 1.6 .5 .7 1.5 .3 .8 1.7 4.5 4.3 Silk Fiber & Yarn.... 6 .7 1.7 1.7 1.3 1.6 3.0 2.1 4.7 8.0 Cotton Fabrics....... 9.4 11.3 8.4 8.8 7.0 4.3 7.1 6.1 38.0 24.5 Silk Fabrics.......,. 3 .2 .7 3 .6 .5 .4 .7 1.5 2.2 Rugs & Carpets...... 2.8 2.4 2.5 2.8 4.8 3.4 5.1 3.9 10.5 17.2 Clothes ............. 8.8 13.9 19.5 10.6 18.4 27.5 53.3 34.2 52.8 133.4 Chemicals .............. 5.3 4.2 5.1 7.8 6.3 8-6 13.8 19.9 22.5 48.7 Inorganic........,... .8 .6 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.7 5.2 10.8 3.6 18.7 Essential Oils.....,. 1,9 1.4 1.0 2.7 1.2 1.5 1.3 2-0 7.0 5.9 Petroleum ............. 10.6 32.1 16.0 37,7 96.5 Crude ............... 10.6 32.1 13.0 16.0 71.8 Products ............. 3.0 21.7 24.7 Nonmetallic Minerals... 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.3 3.4 2.5 2.4 5.4 9.6 Metals & Metal Prod.,.. 13.7 5.8 5.9 6.5 5.8 6.8 7.2 11.0 32.0 30.7 Ores ................. 1.4 1.6 .8 2.6 1.7 2.9 2.4 4.5 6.4 11.5 Tin. ................. 10.0 1.8 3.0 .7 .5 .4 1.8 15.5 2.7 Machinery & Transp. Eq. .1 .2 .1 .1 .2 .3 .4 .4 5 1.3 Miscellaneous........., 12.1 15.0 11.5 14.6 16.6 21.3 23.2 23.8 53.3 85.0 Footwear._ ......... .9 .7 .8 1.0 1.8 3.6 6.2 3.8 3.4 15.3 Headwear ............. 1.5 4 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.3 1.9 4.3 5.6 Gloves .............. 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.5 4.1 4.1 4.8 4.1 8.8 17,2 Fireworks............ 2.9 4.O 1.2 3.9 3.8 6.3 2.4 3.1 12.1 15.6 Antiques ............. 2.4 4.1 2.2 2-9 3.4 3.0 3.6 3.6 11.6 13,6 l/ Data is from U.S. Customs Bureau and is slightly different from the IMF data used in Tables 1 - 4. U.S. imports are on an f.a.s. basis - very close to f.ob. - hence do not need an adjustment to reflect Chinese exports f.o.b. Categories are based on the TSUSA nomenclature which the U.S. uses, SITC breakdown will be available annually 2/ Computerized data not available for 1977 Total Imports............ 97.5 113.6 230.3 379.6 395.3 314.4 376.7 637.6 821.0 1,724.0 Agricultural Goods..... .0 54.9 101.3 259.7 188.0 113.6 134.5 205.9 415.9 642.0 Corn ................ 111.7 109.7 65.8 4.4 88.7 111.7 268.5 Wheat ................ 309 87.0 132.3 49.3 13.0 129.3 22.4 250.2 214.1 Soybeans ............. 17.5 8.6 15.3 28.0 30.3 64.3 41.4 142.6 Wood & Paper Products.. .7 .0 4.0 .2 3.8 .2 2.6 2.1 4.9 8.6 Printed Matter....... .1 .0 .1 .2 1 .1 .6 .3 .4 1.2 Textile Fiber & Prod... 66.4 34.7 71.9 34.1 86.6 73.7 68.3 224.7 207.2 453.3 Cotton. .............. 54.9 24.9 53.5 24.0 68.2 64.8 36.5 187.5 157.3 357.0 Manmade Fiber........ 11.5 9.6 18.4 8.3 16.0 7.9 30.7 35.4 47.8 90.0 Chemicals .............. 8.3 7.9 24.6 20.3 38.2 18.7 23.1 46.8 61.1 126.8 Inorganic............ .4 .1 .8 .8 4.1 2.4 4.6 2.6 2.1 13.7 Synthetic Resins..... 1.0 .0 .9 .0 5.3 3.8 8.8 12.7 2.0 30.6 Fertilizer........... 1.8 5.6 19.8 11.5 12.5 8.0 1.9 22.2 38.7 44.6 Pesticides........... 2.4 .8 .9 6.1 10.8 2.3 1.4 4.9 10.3 19.4 Nonmetallic Minerals... .0 .0 .0 1.7 .1 .3 .2 .4 1.7 1.0 Metals & Metal Prod.... 3.9 .8 4.7 12.3 19.6 39.1 84.3 59.1 21.6 202.2 Iron & Steel......... .1 .2 .8 .2 8.6 23.7 76.7 53.9 1.3 163.0 Tools ................ 3.6 .5 3.7 6.0 5.8 7.6 2.8 2.3 13.7 18.6 Machinery .............. 13.9 10.5 15.5 36.8 37.1 37.3 34.5 57.0 76.6 165.8 Earth Moving......... 1.4 1.0 2.8 28.5 18.7 21.7 14.1 38.7 33.7 93.2 Material Handling.... .0 .0 1.1 2.4 1.2 .3 .0 5.0 Machine Tools........ 3.0 1.2 .8 1.0 .4 1.0 2.9 .7 6.0 4.9 Data Processing...... .0 .5 .2 .5 1.0 .8 2.O 7.0 1.1 10.9 Communications....... .4 .1 .3 1.0 .8 3.1 2.2 2.O 1.8 8.1 Transportation Equip... 3.1 3.2 2.1 9.0 13.8 17.7 13.8 19.0 17.4 64.3 Motor Vehicles....... 3.1 3.1 2.1 8.0 11.4 14.5 13.4 12.2 16.4 51.6 Aircraft ............. .0 .O .0 .3 .O .5 .4 6.8 .4 7.7 Miscellaneous.......... 1.2 1.5 6.2 5.6 8.2 13.8 15.3 22.7 14.5 59.9 Survey, Navigation Eq .0 .4 1.5 .2 2.8 4.3 8.1 9.2 2.1 24.4 Measuring, Test Eq... .8 .7 4.3 4.0 3.8 6.5 5.2 8.7 9.8 24.2 Movies ............... .0 .0 .O .7 .5 .8 .4 1.3 .8 2.9 1/ Data is from U.S. Customs Bureau and is slightly different from the IMF data used in Table 1 - 4. It, moreover, does not include wheat transhipments through Canada which we have added to the IMF data. Categories are based on the U.S. Schedule B nomenclature. SITC will be available annually. Due to change in U.S. trade nomenclature. 1977 data an Schedule P. basis is not avaiable. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 1970 2.4587 2.4587 2.4587 2.4587 2.4587 1971 2.4587 2.4587 2.3949 2.2673 2.3949 1972 2.2673 2.2673 2,2507 2.2174 2.2507 1973 2.1895 2.0011 1.9179 1.9488 2.0143 1974 2.0190 1.9277 1.9831 1.9204 1.9626 1975 1.7853 1.7702 1.9110 1.9530 1.8549 1976 1.9542 1.9599 1.9340 1,8990 1.9368 1977 1.9039 1.8743 1,8464 1.7931 1.8544 1978 1.6786 1.7115 1.6909 1.6397 1.6802 1979 1.5724 1.5827 1.5142 1.5384 1.5519 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B0685R000300050013-1 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86BOO985ROO0300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports Nation & Firm Type Million Signed US$ Comple- tion NA 1976 Toyo Engineering and Mitsui Toatsu Urea and ammonia 42 Apr 73 NA Toray and Mitsui Shipbuilding Polyester chips 50 May 73 1976 NA 1975 Polyethylene, high-pressure 47 Aug 73 1976 plants Toyo Engineering and Mitsui Toatsu Urea and ammonia 43 Sep 73 NA Mitsui Petrochemi- cal and Mitsui Shipbuilding NISSO Petrochemical 15 Dec 73 1977 Technip and Speichem NA United States M.W. Kellogg Ammonia plants (3) Ammonia plants (5) 130 Nov 73 1976-77 Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Cash deal. Ex-lm and commercial bank financing. Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. financing. Ex-fin and commercial bank financing. Ex-lm and commercial bank financing. France, West Germany, and the United Kingdom. French-led consortium probably involving other firms in Western Europe. Probably progress payments; will provide feedstock for five Dutch urea plants. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B009A000300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Million US $ Signed Comple- tion Comment Netherlands 89 Kellogg Continental Urea plants (3) 34 Feb 73 1976 Subsidiary of M.W. Kellogg. Kellogg Continental Urea plants (5) 55 Sep 73 1977 Subsidiary of M.W. Kellogg. West Germany 4 Friedrich Uhde and Acetaldehyde 4 Jul 73 NA Hoechst United Kingdom 8 Technicolor Ltd. Motion picture-processing plant 8 Jul 73 NA Cash deal. Italy 79 G.I.E Electric-thermal power 79 Nov 73 NA Five-year financing. plants (2) 13 13 Dec 73 NA Toho Titanium Polypropylene catalyst 5 Jan 74 NA Kuraray Polyvinyl alcohol 19 Feb 74 1976 retroehemical Nippon Steel & Hot-strip rolling mill and silicon 229 Jun 74 1977 Hitachi steel plate Nippon Steel Ancillary equipment for 65 Oct 74 1977 West Germany steel mill 296 Uhde Vinyl chloride monomer 19 Jan 74 1976 Demag Cold-rolling mill 200 Mar 74 1977 Uhde Polyethylene 15 Demag Continuous-casting mill 57 Aug 74 1977 Ex-Im and commercial bank financing. Catalyst for Mitsui polypropylene plant. Ex-lm and commercial bank financing. Demag supplying other part of the complex. Consortium of European firms led by Demag. Progress payment. Progress payment. Part of steel complex purchased from Japan and Germany. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B26985R000300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Nation & Firm Type Million US S Signed Comple- tion Comment Nippon Seiko Spherical bearings 3 Apr 75 1976 Progress payments. Koyo Seiko Cylindrical bearings 8 Apr 75 1976 Progress payments. Ibigawa Laminated board 1 Jul 75 NA Ataka Air separation 11 Nov 75 1977 Progress payments; capacity of 35,000 cubic meters per hour. Krupp Dimethyltherephthalate 50 Dec 75 NA Progress payments; capacity of 90,000 metric tons per year. Uhde Ethanol 20 Dec 75 NA Capacity of 100,000 metric tons per year. Rolls Royce Jet engine plant 200 Dec 75 1980 50 jet engines plus manufacturing facility and testing equipment. Mechaniche Moderne Detergent I Sep 75 NA Progress payments. Japan Gasoline Aromatics complex 36 Jan 76 NA Japan Synthetic Rubber Styrene-butadiene rubber 27 Feb 76 NA Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha Hot scarfer 2 Mar 76 NA Ex-Im Bank financing. 5-year Ex-Im Bank financing; capacity of 240,000 metric tons per year. Progress payments. Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Nation & Firm Japan (continued) Type Million us $ Teijin Polyester/polymer 40 Nakajima Seiki Wallpaper plant I Nippon Steel Desulfurization plant 26 Mitsui Cinder pelletizing 14 West Germany 31 Nuevo Pignone Centrifugal compressors technology 8 Finland NA Tamglass Automobile glass plant NA Japan- 20 Chiyoda Natural-gas refining 20 West Germany 39 Zimmer Polyester fiber and film 12 Lurgi Terephthalic acid 27 1978 contracts 6,787 Japan 4,377 Nippon Steel- major contractor Steel mill equipment and technology 2,100 Dainippon Screen Shadow mask plant 11 Asahi Glass Braun glass plant -58 Dainippon Tokyo Fluorescent materials plant 11 Morubeni and Japan Gas Co. Ethylene 170 Signed Comple- Comment tion Mar 76 NA 5-year Ex-Im Bank financing; capacity of 80,000 metric tons per year. Apr 76 NA In. 76 NA Aug 76 NA Jun 76 NA Jun 76 NA Nov 77 1980 5-year Ex-lm Bank financing. Jun 77 1980 Jun 77 1980 US technology from AMOCO. May-Dec 78 1981 Contracts initiated after 15 December failed to gain immediate approval by Bank of China. Negotiations led to reinstatement of the previously suspended contract. May 78 1982 Progress payment; capacity of 3 million square meters per year. Jun 78 _ 1981 For color television tube plant. Jun 78 1981 For color television tube plant. Jun 78 1981 For color television tube plant. Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Japan (continued) Hitachi Color picture tube manufactur- 75 Jul 78 1981 ing facility Methylene diaparaphenylene 36 Aug 78 NA isocyanate plant Hitachi and Toshiba plant Several companies Coal mining equipment 70 Nov 78 NA Sumitomo Metal Copper smelter 100 Nov 78 1982 Mitsui and Toyo Engineering Nitric acid plant 37 Dec 78 NA Chiyoda Chemical Catalytic dewaxing unit 15 Mitsui and Toyo Engineering NPK fertilizer plant 1983 Contract suspended and reinstated. 1981 Contract suspended and reinstated; US technology involved. Japan Gas Co. and Epichlorohydrin-glycerin 50 Dec 78 NA Contract suspended and reinstated. Asahi Glass Marubeni and Ube Ammonia plants (3) 220 Nov-Dec 78 NA Two plant contracts suspended and reinstated. Shinetsu Chemical Vinyl chloride monomer plants 120 Dec 78 NA Contracts suspended and (2) reinstated. Mitsui and Toyo Polyvinyl chloride plants (2) 130 Dec 78 NA Contract suspended and reinstated. Engineering Mitsui Cumene-phenol 40 Dec 78 1983 Contract suspended and reinstated. Mitsui High-density polyethylene 80 Dec 78 1983 Contract suspended and reinstated. Nippon Light Metal Aluminum smelting plant 154 Dec 78 1981 Contract suspended and reinstated. NA Contract suspended and reinstated; US technology involved. Kanebo, Mitsui and Polyester plant 85 Dec 78 1982 Contract suspended and reinstated. Hitachi 1982 All contracts suspended, one cancelled, the rest reinstated Asahi Chemical and Nylon 66 1981 For tire cord production; contract Cheri suspended and reinstated. Japan Gas Co. Hydrocrackers (2) 1981 Contract suspended and reinstated; US technology involved. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86BOO465R000300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Nation & Firm West Germany Million US $ Signed Comply tion Comment Westphalia and others Uhde Ethylene plant Jun 78 Uhde Uhde Polyethylene plant Acetaldehyde plants (3) 105 Jun 78 Jun 78 Lurgi Methanol plant _ 21 Dec 78 Linde Ag Plants to break air into oxygen 90 Dec 78 Uhde Polyvinyl chloride 106 Dec 78 Lurgi Linde Ag Methanol-heavy-oil based Hydrocrackers (2) 53 85 Dec 78 Dec 78 NA NA US technology involved. Lurgi Ammonia-coal based 132 Dec 78 NA Lurgi Purified terephthalic acid 159 Dec 78 NA US technology involved. Lurgi Aromatics complex 345 Dec 78 NA US technology involved. Zimmer Polyester 180 Dec 78 NA World's largest polyester plant. Babcock BSH Gypsum board manufacturing facility 10 Dec 78 NA United Kingdom 379 Vickers Aerospace testing facilities 18 Feb 78 1980 Davy Powergas Oxo-alcohol plants (2) 68 Aug 78 1981 Dowty and others Coalface equipment 200 Sep 78 John Brown Ltd. High-density polyethylene 42 Dec 78 1982 US technology involved. Dunbee-Combex- Marx Ltd. Toy manufacturing plant 51 Dec 78 NA Product-buy-back scheme. Italy 15 Nuevo Pignone Natural gas treatment plant 5 Dec 78 CTIP Societa Per Azioni Dew point control station 10 Dec 78 France 73 Thompson CSF Air traffic control system _ 43 Mar 78 1980 NA Coal-mining equipment 30 Sep 78 NA United States 57 Kaiser Iron ore mine 5 Sep 78 Bethlehem Steel 40 Dec 78 Fluor Corp. Copper mining NA Dec 78 Coca-Cola Bottling Corp. Coca-Cola plant 2 Dec 78 Metacresol, butyl hydroxy toluene, acetone 2 Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86BOP?85R000300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Million US $ Signed Comple- tion Comment Nippon Electric Co. Microwave communications system Matsushita Cathode-ray tube plant 5 Marubeni and Sanyo Radio assembly plant 5 Feb 79 1982 NA Two rayon cellophane plants 30 Mar 79 1984 Swiss technology involved. Tako Bussan Modernization of marine diesel engine factory 5 Apr 79 1983 West German technology involved. Nippon Sheet Glass Co. Glass roll embossing plant 2 Matsushita Black and white TV tube manufacturing facility 5 3 Jun 79 1982 Signed by provincial level authority. Mitsui Bussan Wool processing plant 2 Jun 79 1981 Signed by provincial authorities. Mitsui Caustic soda plant II Jul79 1982 US technology involved. 50 Jul 79 NA Hitachi High power electric transmission line project 7 Jul79 NA Part of 500-kv power grid for Cen tral China. Cash deal. Mitsubishi Heavy Industry Highspeed moulding lines Part of project to renovate Wuhan automobile plant. Kanematsu-Gosho Ltd. Gastrocamera fiberscope plant 1 Ishikawajima Harima Heavy Industries Cement plant 44 Oct 79 1984 NA Bulldozer technology agreement 13 Oct 79 NA Japan Victor Co. Color TV assembly plant 5 Nov 79 1980 For Tianjin plant. Osaka Textile KK Woolen products plant 2 Nov 79 1981 Hong Kong firm (Peninsula Knit- wear) also involved. Matsushita and Sumitomo Color TV assembly plant 4 Dec 79 1980 For Beijing TV plant. Matsushita and Sumitomo Printed circuit board plant 7 Dec 79 NA For Shanghai plant. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 27 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Nation & Firm Type Million US $ Signed Comple- tion West Germany 452 Atlas Copco Tunnel boring equipment for coal mining 8 Jan 79 NA Konrad Hornschuch Two synthetic leather plants 21 Jan 79 1980 Linde AG Fertilizer plant 10 Mar 79 NA Steinmueller Boilers for thermal power plant 100 Oct 79 NA Demag V. K. Narasimah Co. Dec 79 1982 United Kingdom 32 A. P. Appledore Modernization of Guangzhou shipyard 1 Jan 79 1980 NA Coal mining equipment 20 Feb 79 1980 Smith Industries Ltd. Spark plug plant 8 Nov 79 1981 Wright Engineering Ltd. Davy McKee Corp, 1980 United States 39 Fluor Corp. Two oil research facilities I I Jan 79 1981 Container Transport International Two marine container facilities 12 Feb 79 1982 L M. Pei (architect) Hotel design 5 Jun 79 1980 NA Barge shipping project Aug 79 NA Hines, Turner, Kai- Foreign Trade Center 10 Nov 79 NA Australia 25 Great Sincere Co. Yugoslavia Prefabricated motel units for 8 cities. 25 Koper Austria Geilslinger Clutch equipment for transpor- tation vehicles. I Jan 79 NA Comment Reportedly product compensation deal. Part of Yuan Baoshan thermal power plant. For Baoshan steel mill. Supplier credit backed by official guarantee. Small design and engineering contract. Financed by officially-backed credits. Feasibility study for two mines. Design contract only. Design and engineering contract. Design contract only. Production to be increased to 200,000 units per year by 1985. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86Ba5985R000300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Switzerland NA Million Signed US$ 5 5 Apr 79 Comple- Comment tion 1981 Product compensation arrangements. NA Skoda part of deal may actually be much smaller than total value of project. Hong Kong' Harpers Interna- tional Ltd. Bus assembly plant Four Modernizations Hotel Ganghua Electronics TV and radio assembly plant 5 May 79 1981 Contract reportedly signed by Co. provincial authorities. Hopewell Holdings Cement plant Chrysoberyl River Development Ltd. Residential construction project Navel Enterprises Ltd. Wool spinning mill NA Hotel 5 Dec 79 NA Design and financing for White Swan Hotel. Alsthom Atlantique Equipment and technology for 20 Jul 79 NA Part of 500-kv power grid for Cen- and Merlin Gerin high power electric transmission tral China. Alsthom Atlantique Turbogenerators for thermal 117 Oct 79 NA Banque de Paris et Pay Bas will power plant handle financing equipment for 600-MW plant at Yuan Baoshan. Sweden 31 ASEA Equipment and technology for 21 Jul 79 NA Part of 500-kv power grid for Cen- high-power electric tral China. Motala Defibrator Particle board factory 10 Nov 79 NA AB Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B0098A000300050013-1 Contracts for Whole Plant and Technology Imports (continued) Nation & Firm Type Million Signed Comple- US$ tion Italy 5 Nuevo Pignone Centrifugal compressor plant 5 Oct 79 1981 Ateliers de Con- Steam turbine generators 200 Nov 79 NA struction Electriques de Charleroi ' In addition to the contracts listed above, Japan concluded preliminary agreements with Beijing for six major development projects-for which Tokyo has agreed to provide aid-type credits- and for offshore oil exploration. ' Hong Kong businessmen concluded hundreds of small compensation deals and processing arrangements with China in 1979. Many of these projects-which involved an exchange of Hong Kong equipment and technology in return for output produced in Chinese plants-have gone unnoticed and are not included in this table. The total value of these projects may amount to as much as $300 million. Comment Initially China will import 90 percent of compressor parts and produce 10 percent locally. Eventu- ally 90 percent will be produced domestically. Downpayment to be covered by interest-free aid credit. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B00985R000300050013-1 Agricultural Of which: 775 1,090 625 300 655 960 1,370 125 160 165 185 300 290 245 60 150 15 5 115 35 145 414 480 240 175 420 665 845 Agricultural Of which: Live animals 135 195 215 230 245 255 305 Meat and fish 335 335 415 430 375 535 NA Grain 445 715 720 450 395 360 NA Fruits and vegetables 245 315 360 385 500 565 NA Tea and spices NA 100 100 140 180 215 NA Oilseeds 110 135 140 85 85 _ 90 NA Natural textile fibers 330 190 250 285 290 400 NA Crude animal materials 170 185 230 260 335 370 NA Trade Balance 475 -75 290 1,690 1,475 -295 -1,240 Agricultural 610 465 1,640 1,790 865 910 940 -135 -540 -1,350 -100 610 -1,205 -2,180 Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. ' Preliminary estimates for 1979 are based on official trade statistics and estimated tonnages of imported commodities. Approved For Release 2001/12/05: CIA-RDP86B0090JR000300050013-1 Imports Grain Cotton Soybeans Soybean oil Sugar Exports Rice Soybeans 3,128 4,642 7,642 6,790 3,459 2,061 6,937 9,437 10,993 122 237 410 380 164 130 320 508 606 0 2 255 619 36 25 364 109 565 0 10 58 0 11 13 166 104 104 464 749 736 411 313 627 1,676 1,438 1,170 924 899 2,142 1,985 1,440 900 800 1,200 1,000 460 370 310 340 330 178 120 100 275