LETTER FROM(Sanitized)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86M00612R000100040037-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 10, 2004
• Sequence Number: 37
• Content Type: MF

STAT Approved For Release 2004/05/12 : CIA-RDP86M00612R000100040037-0
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Approved For Release 2004/05/12 : CIA-RDP86M00612R000100040037-0
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1 May 1967
Mr. John Bross
24.30 E Street, N. W.
Washington, D. C. 20505
Sometime soon I would like to follow up on the conversation that
you and Andy Marshall had recently concerning a possibe RAND
program of research in the area of intelligence. I am in
Washington frequently and would be delighted to meet with you,
and perhaps Dick Helms, at some mutually convenient time.
As Andy probably told you, we are currently surveying a number
o areas in which RAND could develop study programs c:urin tht:
next two or three years., One which seems promising to me is
the area of intelligence. Below I mention. a few topic areas and
intelligence problems that occur to us as being potentially
interesting to RAND and, we would hope, to the intelligence
coE-ii unit - In order to conduct major programs of effective
s-tTTZI es on intelligence problems, however, RAND would have to
recruit additional experienced people and special arrangements
would have to be made for access to and storage of appropriate
materials, either at a RAND facility or at a facility easily
available to the RAND people working on the program. The
potential payoff from improvements in. the methods of .ntell_;Tenct
analysis, or in the efficjenvy y , ! i t Y r _ which. the intelligence con ur
cperates, are so great that any program of studies promising
improvernents seems likely to be worthwhile.
The nature of the relationship of RAND to the intelligence cornrnunit
in contracting for a program of studies on intelligence problerris
s..uald be, I believe, as follows: On RAND's part, we would
commit ourselves to build up appropriate staff and a study progu?am
ILLEGIB
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'101111 Bross
for a continuing effort on some broadly specified intelligcr,cc
areas. The intellicncom u 1 ould,comititselitc
support of this program of study. The nature of the nro:tran
would be in part directly, responsive to requests for .R ,;+{r'.r
p _ ar problems of current interest to people in the ii ;..ac;
onffniunit and in part determined by the people working
project at RAND. Past experience has indicated that the f2eeci.m
generate projects and to pursue them is an important eci ~il re n n:~
for he recruiting and retaining o. first-rate personnel and ; ac he
continued effective functioning of any overall research prod ram- ri
exact balance between the two general types of effort wouoci be a
matter of discussion anareement between RAND anc, represe itat - r
of the intelligence ommun For a variety of reasons, it si.e:Y
reasonable that any program would start at a fairly low level
funding and build up over a period of two or three years :o a
specified, continuing level.
Areas of research that, such a program of studies might conce _?r. z..
with have been~di scussed among a few knowledgeable people h,:re,
The following are some areas that occur to us, but we would )e
glad t_Q_sUrvey the field with you and others in the intelligence
communi
1. Studies relating to problems of program budgeting ar.(
in intelligence. As you know, I am aware of your ;iudy whit.
attempts to measure the cost-effectiveness of some major
collection systems. This is a new area for cost -effective-ae-s-i
studies and, as part of a RAND program, some effo' zr iit
be devoted to the development of improved cost-effec.iven::ss
analysis methods 4ppropriate to the evaluation of maor
intelligence programs.
Program budgeting in the intelligence area faces some of Llle
same problems that it does in the general purpose fo ce
area in the Pentagon. The various parts of the geriorai
purpose forces (or of intelligence organization collection
systems, etc.) are miilti-purpose and can be involved in
many types of activities against many different targeis.
We need some new ideas as to howa best to implement
,,. program budgeting systems (or to carry out cost- efic:ctiv=,nes
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studies) in this s :uation. Perhaps particular studies of
problems of program budgeting in the intelligence arc
would be an appropriate framework within which L