INTELLIGENCE ALERT MEMORANDUM: POSSIBILITY OF INTER-COMMUNAL FIGHTING AND FURTHER TURKISH INTERVENTION IN CYPRUS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000100240001-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: November 11, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 8, 1999
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: January 17, 1975
• Content Type: MEMO

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Bence Alert Mem~r~ndu~m
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THE DIRECTOR O.F CENTRAL INTELLIGE\TCE NIo
17 January 1975
MEi`10RANDUK FOR: The Honorable Henry A. Kissinger
Assistant to the President
(National Security Affairs)
SUBJECT Intelligence Alert riemorandum: Possibility of
Inter-Communal Fighting and of Further Turkish
Intervention in Cyprus
1. An airlift of Turkish Cypriot refugees from the British
base on Cyprus is scheduled to begin tomorrow. We ore. concerned
that the angry response of Greek Cypriots to the release might
result in new intercommunal fighting and possibly provoke a vio-
lent reaction by mainland Turkish forces on Cyprus.
2. Greek Cypriot demonstrators bro'.ce through the perimeter
defense of t'lkrotiri today following t~vo days o.E orderly demonstra-
tions througb.out the Greek Cypriot sector. The Greek Cypriot cleul-
onstraters succeeded in blocking the road that the refugees must .25X6
tra~~el to reach the embarkation point for the airlift to the
25X6. Turkish mainland.
One Greek Cypriot was killed when he was struck by a vehicla. So
far, there is no evidence that Greek Cypriots are taking out their
wrath on the approximately 12,00 Turkish Cypriots w}io continue to
live in Greek controlled areas of the island.
3. The potential for trouble will magnify if the Greek
Cypriots prevent the airlift- from beginning or i.f clashes develop
betcaeen Greek and Turkish Cypriots elsewhere on the island. Ankara
might attack towards Akrotiri with some of the 34,000 troops esti-
mated nosy on the i:,~.and to protect the evacuation process. They
might also consider landin' fresh troops near the British hasa area.
No sizeable Turkish fleet has been detected in the area. Our
judgment at this point, however, is that while. demonsL-r.atz.or.s r,ai].1
continue they will not be of SULf1C.LE'nt scale to stop the air~ift.
The potent:i.al for. trouble elsewhere on the island is somewhat
};neater. Both Cynri.ot conununiti.~s are welt arlnccl, although the.
Greek Cypriot :lationzl Guard will pr.obab.ly be dep].o}red in an effort
to prevent serious inr.idents. Cleri.des anti Denktasll met today as
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scheduled in the negotiations for a Cyprus settlement. No public
co~nent was made on the refubee problem.
4.' This judgment has been coordinated among analysts in CIA,
DI_4, State and NSA.
25X1 C
25X1A
w:'~. Colby
`~irector
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