TRENDS IN COMMUNIST MEDIA

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CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8
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C
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40
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November 11, 2016
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March 19, 1999
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15
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October 1, 1975
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REPORT
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1 .. A proved. For Release 4999/03/26 ; CIA60015-8 1. OCTOBER 1.975 SOVIET - IS^AELI R ELATIONS MOSCOW MEDIA SILENT ON USSR-1SRAELI FOREIGN MINISTERS MEETING Moscow's silence on the 24 September private meeting in New York between Soviet Foreign Minister Cromyko and Israeli Foreign Minister Allon is consistent with Soviet media treatment of other reported high-level Soviet-Israeli contacts since 10 June 1967, when the USSR broke diplomatic relations with Tel Aviv.* Presumably Moscow chooses not to acknowledge such contacts to avoid conveying the impression, particularly to Arab observers, that it might be considering improving or even restoring Soviet- Israeli relations. Moscow has on occasion, however, acknowledged low-level, unofficial Soviet contacts, most recently in a brief 1 October TASS report on the conclusion of an Israeli delegation's visit to the USSR. Gromyko, in his UN Ceneral Assembly address this year, did not ment?on the issue of Soviet-Israeli relations, although in his UNGA speech last year he had reiterated Brezhnev's J,ine 1974 formulation to the effect that real progress in a Mideast settlement would create conditions for the development of relations with all Middle East states. UNOFFICIAL In contrast to its reticence on high-level contacts, CONTACTS Moscow has sometimes publicized various unofficial contacts and exchanges of visits by low-level delegations. However, there has been only one monitored reference in Soviet media to the most recent visit of an Israeli delegation to the USSR, when TASS on 1 October reported the 22 September- 1 October visit of a five-member Israeli delegation composed of politicians and journalists. Since the period of this visit encompassed the Gromyko-Allon meeting, Moscow may have sought to avoid speculation that the meetings were related; a Moscow-datelined dispatch in the British Communist Party organ, MORNING STAR, on 27 September cited an Israeli source as cautioning that the two events should not be linked. In contrast, Israeli media--as with pap'. Soviet-Israeli contacts--have speculated at length on possible connections and implications of the recent meetings, generally along lines favoring improved relations with the USSR. * Past contacts ignored by Moscow-but reported by U.S., Israeli, West European, Chinese, and some Arab media--include several meetings since summer 1970 between Soviet and Israeli ambassadors in Washington and a meeting between Gromyko and Foreign Minister Eban at the time of the Geneva Mideast-,;eace conference in December 1973. CIawN.d W 000017 1W wftftU I?O OM .1I a1M tau of N ON", Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL IBIS TRENDS Approved For Release 1999/09/26 CIA-RDP86T00608k66b 1&d15-8 In acknowledging previous low-level. meetings and delegations, Moscow has attempted to justify them by suggesting that they illustrate the popular appeal. of the Soviet "peace policy" and way of life; occasionally the contacts have been placed in the context of a Soviet-Israeli "friendship movement." Such contacts have included--in addition to mutual visits by delegations concerned with sports, medicine, religion, and journalism--visits to the USSR by groups of Israeli "progressive public figures" invited btu an organization such as the Soviet Peace Committee to "study Soviet life" and meet with their parliamentary, journalistic, and/or academic Soviet counterparts. CRITICISM OF As wit-i past Soviet-Israeli contacts, Moscow's CONTACTS recent meetings have subjected it to criticism from Arab and Chinese sources. A Cairo radio commentary on the 26th, for example, denounced the "duplicity" of "rejectionist elements within the Arab homeland and outside it" who declare one policy and pursue another, citing the secret development of Soviet-Israeli relations as an example and referring to the Gromyko-Allon meeting and the recent Israeli delegation visit. Peking, too, wasted little time in charging, in a 26 September NCNA dispatch, that the Gromyko-Allon meeting was "glaring proof" of Soviet-Israeli "collusion" against the Arabs, pointing out the simultaneous Israeli delegation's USSR visit and recoiling that the USSR had sent two envoys to Israel lase April.* Although presently ignoring such criticism, Moscow has occasionally responded defensively to past speculation in world media that Soviet-Israeli contacts could be a harbinger of improved--or even restored--relations and would, in any case, imply weakened Soviet support for the Arabs. Referring to attendance by a Soviet delegation at a 20-22 January 1972 conference of the "Israeli-Soviet Friendship Association" in 1s1:ae1, for example, a 17 March 1.972 NEW TIMES article defended r::e against charges that it was part of a "mythical 'Soviet Flan for rapp.ochement with Israel."' Earlier, criticism of a 1971 irr:.eli delegation's visit to Moscow was handled through TASS publicity for a Cairo ROSE AL-YUSUF article stressing that, contrary to "hostile propaganda" by some concerning the visit, the USSR had "not taken a single step backward" in support of the Arab cause. * Moscow and Peking have previously exchanged accusations about each other's reported contacts with Israel. PEOPLE'S DAILY lambasted Moscow in a January 1972 article for having sent a "good-will" delegation to Israel; Moscow in turn accused Peking of "backstage intrigues" with Tel Aviv. For details, see the TRENDS of 2 February 1972, pages 35-36, and 11 August 1971, pages 24-25. CIMIIIN - 000077 d I..$hed M.. *Nth, ft. O.I. .11K.. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CONFIDE USSR-ISRAEL The most recent authoritative statement of Moscow's RELATIONS position or restoration of diplomatic relations with Israel was made by Brezhnev in a 14 June .1974 speech in which he said that the Soviet position on n final Midca:;t settlement was well. known and that "progress in the field of settlement will create the conditions for the development of our relationships with all countries of the Near East." Subsequent Soviet comment on the issue generally fol.lowe. Brezhncv'a formulation, as In Cromyl.o's 24 September 1974 UNGA address when he protested accusations that Moscow's Midei&t position was "one-sided" in favor of the Acal's and added: "Progress which is not ill.ustory but real In the matter of a Near East settlement will create the preconditions for the Soviet Union to develop relations with all Near East states, including Israel." Prior to Brezhnev's Jun'` 1974 speech, the Soviet position since Jure 1.967 had been exemplified in such remarks as those by Kosygin at a 5 April 1973 press conference in Stockholm, reported in the 13 April Soviet NEW TIMES. Asked whether the USSR should not have diplomatic relations with Israel, as well as with the Arab states, if Moscow wished to contribute to a Mideast settlement, Kosygin replied that It would be possible "if Israel and the Arab countries were in the same position." But he emphasized that, on the contrary, Israel was "the aggressor in the Near East" and that the Arab states were "struggling for the return of their native land." Under such conditions, he said, the USSR could only condemn Israel and help the Arabs. Recent Soviet statements have blurred the issue of what the exact preconditions for improved relations with Israel would be--whether "progress" toward a settlement or the actual conclusion of a "settlement on a just basis." A report on an Israeli Communist Party visit to the USSR in June 1975, for example, carried by TASS on 13 June and published in PRAVDA on the 15th, stated that "settlement of the Near East question on a just basis will create favorable preconditions for the development of the Soviet Union's relations with all, without exception, states of the Near East, including Israel."* * Delegations of the pro-Moscow Israeli CP, led by party secretary general Meir Vilner, have visited Moscow at least every other year--in June 1973, December 1971 (when Vilner met with Demichev) and June 1969 (when Vilner was received by Brezhnev, after attending the international. communist conference in Moscow that month). CIMtlN.d -? 000017 all 11N1t11. 11M1 /q. .1 ..Y. roved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL I'fliS TREND, I OCTOBER 1975 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 - 20 - ill BFR WARSAW PACT LINKS PROGRESS TO NEW WESTERN INITIATIVE The seventh round of Lite VI(Jnna forco redur.tinn ttilkii ISot under way on 26 September w.i th Moscow and Lite Eat;t E.uropennr; expressing guarded optI.minm that Lite talks could lead to concrete: rotiu.i.ts if the Wentcrn countricn adopted a "renlistlc" approach. While acknowledging that Lite negotlatorn hack n difficult tank, Wnrnnw Pact c:ommentntort; have emphasized Lite need to move ahead quickly now, suggesting that Lite successful c.onc.luni.on of the European t5ecurlty conference in ilelulnki has net Lite stage for progress in the achievement of military detente. fly contrasting the ['act's "Colic 11.Latory" attitude to the Wcnt's "Intransigence" and recalling previous Pact "concessions" to Western proposals, comment hat; made It quite clear that the communist countries believe Lite ball is now in the West's court, and several commentators have openly hinted that it new Western initiative is expected In the seventh round. As for previous M13FR sessions, comment by Moscow and the East European participants has been limited and on an unauthoritative level, with Soviet leaders making only perfunctory mention of the current round. Foreign Minister Gromyko, in a brief reference to the talks in his UN Ceneral Assembly address on 23 September, said there must 5e an agreement that will not harm "anyone's security," a theme continuously expressed in communist media. Gromyko added only that the Soviet Union would contribute "in every possible way" to the success of the talks. Oleg Khlestov, the Soviet Union's chief delegate to the talks, did little more than echo Gromyko when he spoke to correspondents upon arriving in Vienna, but he did note that there were now "new, more favorable possibilities" for advancing the work. The West's proposals at the Vienna talks, based on an assessment that the Warsaw Pact has a numerical superiority in ground forces and tanks, have evoked a Moscow counter-argument that there is an "approxin.ate equilibrium," a historic "balance of forces" that has prevented the outbreak of conflict for more than 25 years. Thus Moscow has argued that NATO's proposals--calling for any asymmetrical reduction of ground forces without taking into consideration air forces and tactical nuclear weapons--would upset the existing balance and give NATO a unilateral advantage. Defending the Soviet position, Moscow's Radio Peace and Progress, in a broadcast in German on 23 September, recalled that "numerous" statel.;ents at various times by "Western officials" have implied that the--e are "no disproportions" in the balance of forces in central Europe. The radio reported Defense Secretary Schlesinger as saying in July 1973 that the Cltt.ll'N Dt n0001] #.IC.Itllt.ll, dtt1064 !-ad u. M.IM nem dale of tt.t Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL Fn 1S 'i'RP:NUS Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86TO0608Rd0t686I11Gdd1kv-8 - 21 - III tuation In Europe was "frtt.rly utnb'ic" and the United States ''would .1 ike to keep It: dolt way," and quoted West German I)eI'eone Minister l,elhc~r as tidying at; Idle as July 1975 that there is it state of "dynamic balance" in Europe. POLI SII COMMr:NT The most det:a 1.1 ed d tncuss ion of the t;evt'nth round and of the issues dividing the sides carp in an arItelo by Andrze) Rayzacher, Poland's leading MIIFR commentator, in , he 10 September issue of ZYG I E, WARSZAWY. Rayzacher described "defint.t.ion of forces" at?; "one of the chief controver.smai. problems"-- an Issue that Is "substantive" rather than "technical.." Rayzacher criticized NATO for It,-; "stubborn .Insistence" on the "so-called common ccl.ling" on manpower and the two-phase asymmetrical reduction proposal which, he alleged, would allow 11e West European NATO countries to "increase their troops." Here, and two other times; In ltis article, Rayzacher hinted at the Warsaw Pact's concern over the West German military force. Ile argued that tinder the Western plan only U.S. and Soviet forces would be reduced in an Initial phase, with reduction of the other. NATO armed forces "to be worked out" In some future phase. This vague scheme, Rayzacher stressed, would leave 75 percent of NATO's forces, most significantly the West German liundeswehr, beyond the range of any reduction obligations. Recalling that NATO had refused to go along with any "acceptable freeze" on manpowere while the talks were under way, the Polish commentator pointed out that the numerical strength of the FRG armed forces was increased :just this year to the highest level ever. However, Rayzacher did not mention increases in the number of U.S. forces in Europe, as did Moscow in its Radio Peace and Progress commentary on the 23d. SOVIET COMMENT Sparse Moscow comment has tended to be somewhat more polemical and less substantive than Rayzacher's article. The only Soviet press comment pegged to the new round, a 25 September IZVESTIYA article co-authored by K. Pereveshchikov and N. Polyanov, said that "never before has such great responsibility rested on the negotiators as it does now." Recalling the "spirit of Helsinki" and the "good intentions" and "firm pledges" at the CSCE, the IZVESTIYA article asserted that it was now "necessary and possible" to continue moving forward "energetically" at Vienna. Indicating that the West European NATO countries were the main obstacles to a new 3reakthrough in the talks, IZVESTIYA said: "Only the United States has declared its readiness to make specific commitments regarding the reduction of its own troops." "Those Western states" whose armed forces in central Europe constitute the main part of the NATO force "stubbornly" refuse to make such commitments, the paper continued. ClMMh111r 000073 Au11M1,01, dKu1111M1N In Me l7I bon l111 1I'11.1 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIbENYIAL IBIS TRENDS 1 OCTOBER 19 Zs Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 22- Referring to the lack of 'results in '-the previous gix .rounds of talks and the "reckless" rhetoric of former 'NATO Chief of Staff General Coodpaster and Defehse'Secretary - Schlesinger, "the IZVESTIYA article questioned whether NATO really had .any real desire 'for progress at Vienna. 't'here must be military 'detente., the article stressed; there is simply "no'otherlway, given the present correlation of European and world forces." And'in conclugion,'IZVESTIYA warned: "Time does not wait. It must be retietnbered that the arms race has its own negative logic. 'And `it'may 'prove'to*have highly dangerous consequences in Europe.with'its numerous states, ',major. industrial cities and densely populated regions. Only military detente can reduce the risk of their,turning'into a worldwide thermonuclear catastrophe." CIN.l0...1 000017 wi.nYOO.ab..Uu.IR.e w.!enthI mmM ane or uw.. ' 'CbNKIIENYIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608RQQQ ,$QJ1601Qr -8 CASTRO DISCUSSES DOMESTIC ISSUES. U.S. RELATIONS IN CDR SPEECH Prime Minister Fidel Castro's 29 September address on the 15th anniversary of Cuba's chief mass organization, the committees for Defense of the Revolution, was moderate in tone and devoted largely to domestic issues, including the forthcoming first congress of the Cuban Communist Party. In contrast to last year's speech, which focused on Chilean affairs and harshly indicted U.S. "illegal, dirty and criminal" activities in that country and elsewhere, this year's speech did not mention Chile and dealt rather lightly with the United States.* Castro all but ignored his old enemy, the Organization of American States, which last year was berated for its "shameless and prostituted" role in failing to condemn U.S. actions in Latin America. Castro this year briefly dismissed the United States' partial lifting of the ban on trade with Cuba as "measures that do not carry much weight." In his only significant remarks on U.S.-Cuban relations, he called U.S. criticism of Cuba's support for Puerto Rican independence out of order and said "there can never be improved relations if this is to be based on renunciation of a single one of our fundamental principles." RELATIONS Castro has shown sensitivity to Latin leftists' charges WITH U.S. of accommodation since the thaw in U.S.-Cuban relations began, and he has been at pains to reaffirm his independence and revolutionary outlook. The strident tone of his 1974 CDR anniversary speech could be partially explained by his need to comment on the then recent revelations of U.S. Government involvement in Chile and by President Ford's defense of such actions. This year Castro apparently felt less press:ure to defend his revo- lutionary credentials, but he did respond to Secretary Kissinger's 9 September criticism of Cuban support for the Puerto Rican "inde- pendence movement." Castro rejected as unjustified "strong statements" from the United States on this subject, noting that Cuba and Puerto Rico had been "the last two colonies on this continent" and that "Cuban solidarity with Puerto Rico dates back to the last century." Castro made no specific promise of continued support for Puerto Rico, but made it clear that he would not be pressured. He insisted that Cubans were "more interested in the purity of their principles" than in any economic advantages to be gained from the complete lifting of the U.S. trade ban. He added that "we :.ill withstand a blockade with dignity for all the time that is necessary." * Castro's 1974 CDR speech is discussed in the TRENDS of 2 October, 1974, pages 18-20. CIM40Id @r 000073 AotWMUnll, dQb..iNed .I. month, rrom dole of 1..o.. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608Rp?0-8 Castro thus gave support to Cuban President Dorticos' earlier indirect response to Kissinger's criticise, and, in a more muted fashion, to Dorticos' reaffirmation of Cuban solidarity with Puerto Rican independence,,* Castro's remarks on Puerto Rico were singled out by prestigious commentrtor Guido Garcia Inclan, over Havana's domestic service on the 29th, as the most significant part of the prime minister's speech. Garcia Inclan reported Castro's rejection of "recent attacks by some Yankee authorities" and pra;',sed "our Fidel., whose honor and dignity not even the Yankees have destroyed with their dirty tricks." PCC PARTY Castro gave considerAble attention to the first congress CONGRESS of the Cuban Conn unist Party, scheduled for mid-December, noting that "beginning with the first congress, we will be living in a new phase of the revolution." Although Cuban media have been publicizing the forthcoming congress, Castro had not devoted much attention to it in his 26 July Moncada barracks speech, and his remarks in this CDR anniversary speech were among his most extensive to date. Castro explained that the congress would "establish the guidelines that the people, the state, the mass organizations and the country" will follow for the next five years, and hr. promised that "our party will be extraordinarily strengthened by the congress." The Cuban prime minister said that as a result of the congress, "our revolution will follow superior structures of organization"--a reference to the institutionalization process and administrative reorganization going on in the country, much of which is to be ratified at the party meeting. Castro also indicated that policies to be adopted at the congress would enhance Cuba's international prestige, telling Cubans that "we will be having more influence in the international revo'.u- tionpry movement and we will be helping in the path toward the liberation of other peoples." * Dorticos' speech at the recent "international conference of solidarity with the independence of Puerto Rico" is discussed in the TRENDS of 10 September 1975, page 23. "b ..U.n.O.A Ms I'm Appr ",id For date of m... lease 1999/09/2%? I - tP86T00608R000200160015-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/ TF M1M*DP86T00608RQOJO2 e 0015-8 1. OCTOBER 1975 ROMANIA - CEMA ROMANIA ADVOCATES SOCIALIST ROLE IN WORLD ECONOMIC FORUMS Implicitly rejecting Moscow's standard contention that CEMA insulates its member-countries against the Jolts of world economic instability, an article in Romania's party daily SCINTEIA on 21 September asserted that CEMA member-countries must protect their own economics by parti- cipating in broader international forum3 concerned with solving the world's economic problems. Apparently aimed at justifying Romania's own participation in economic talks outside the CEMA framework, the article, written by Romania's international economics institute director Costin Murgescu, is consistent with Bucharest's efforts to identify more closely with the Third World. Murgea"u's remarks on this subject were contained in an article advocating that CEMA members diversify their economic relations. In addition to favoring expansion c' bil.aterial cooperation with non- {,EMA countries, he. disputed "certt.in theoreticians" who he said contended that the world's economic problems should be dealt with on a "bloc-to-bloc" basis. Murgescu declared that current international economic problems could be solved only by "concerted actions at the world level" and with the consensus of all states. Although he did not identify which world organizations he had in mind, he cited the current discussions now underway within "various international bodies" on such issues as raw material supplie>a, food shortages, price indexing, multilateral commercial negotiations, and the reorganization of the international monetary system. Murgescu stressed that the socialist countries must take part in these talks not only to aid the world's developing countries but also to protect their own self-interest since, in the final analysis, world economic instability has "direct and secondary effects" on the socialist economies. A continued absence of the socialist countries from these talks, he asserted, could have a "negative impact on their own development" and could "create the danger of isolating them from the world economy." In an apparent reference to the current participation of Western developed countries in these talks, Murgescu also claimed that the socialis. countries' participation was imperative to "orient" the activities of these organizations "in the ri?ht direction," that is, toward democratization of international lations. Murgescu drew particular attention to Romania's "untiring activity" to enhance the "pre:7ence" of the socialist countries in the world economy and its "nur ?ous initiatives and pronouncements." He cited a Romanian declaration circulated at the September UN General Assembly elwull< 1.0000> YI.Yllull, M'INU11N 4t IIIMIM ft o ~Mi o 1 I,.. Approve r Release 19991M20 VVfA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 Approved For Release I 999/09/I 1 P86T00608FM02UM00015-8 i OCTOBER 1915 seventh special session on international economic cooperation which culled on "rill cuuntrien" to participate in cntnblinhing a "new international economic order." In a thinly veiled criticism of Moscow and the other orthodox CEMA member-countries, Murgencu portrayed such activity an "the moot telling refutation" of accusations that Romania was guilty of "narrowness" and "r tional isolation." CONFDFN*W, Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/F'!'DP86T00608??11(0',4~9Q15-8 POLAND GIEREK REGIME SCORES POOR WORK DISCIPLINE PRIOR TO CONGRESS Followitd tltf publication on 5 September of the guidelines for the 7th PZPR congress in December, guidelines wl;ich stressed the primacy of "work quality," speeches by P7.1'it First Secretary Edward Glerek and articles In TRYBUNA LUDU have frequently complained about poor work discipline, apparently forecasting the theme of the upcoming Polish party congress. This emphasis on "work" contrasts sharply with the welfare orientation of the last party congress in 1971 and, coupled with recent price increases fur meat and milk, may reflect a break- down in the rapport between the workers and Gierek'a regime that could lead to a renewal of the tensions which toppled the Gomulka regime in December 1970. The new party congress guidelines stressed orthodoxy in other aspects of policy as well, underscoring the "key importance" of Poland's ties with the USSR, denouncing Maoism, and calling for a new world conference of co,nmuniet parties. The main thrust of the Gierck regime's intensified pressure on the workers was set forth in a 23 September TRYBUNA LUDU editorial article entitled "Quantity, Quality and Productivity." The article was notably blunt in calling attention to problems stemming from poor productivity, in a manner likely to further stir up worker resentment, noting among other things that the rate of average wage increases had exceeded the growth in productivity. It called for intensification of "the discipline of employment and wages," which must be adhered to with "iron-clad strictness." The article in effect took the line that everything conducive to better performance, e.uch as more modern machinery and favorable working conditions, had been provided, but chat the workers had not lived up to their part of the bargain. Thus the article pointed out that losses due to defective production were growing at a rate that could not be offset by production of acceptable quality. The article appeared to convey the threat of dace work pay as a remedy, registering approval of the principle of monetary incentives-- a system resented during the Gomulka regime an a device for squeezing more production out of the workers with little real monetary gain. The article stressed that "better remuneration: better pay for a better effort," was a principle beneficial to both the worker and the state and was socially justified. Poor work performance and absenteeism were attacked in a Sapocinski article in the 17 September TRYBUNA LUDU, reprinted also in the same day's ZYCIE WARSZAWY, ZOLNIERZ WOLNOSCI, GLOS PRACY and SZTANDAR MLODYCH. The article deplored "incomplete use of the working day" car"w W am?$ & isu . rq uMwuAw *-We $W *a of me" Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL in 1;; TRI:NOS Approved For Release 1999/09/26: CIA-RDP86T00d0 ff6Vdtdb 160015-8 211 - and noted that rtbnetttpelnrn wrtn "decidedly excennive" and thnt nicknenn nbnpntepIno wan on the I.ncrenne. It cited ntnIIntIcn to show that worker productivity In 1975 wan worne than mat year. Thin year, It said, more than 100 key plnntn fctll.eel to fulfil their goaln and had it rem).lnod production nhorI:fnll of over 23.5 billion zloLyn In the January-Augunt period, while for the name period In 1974 there were only 130 such plnntn with it ahortfn11 of 1305 million zlotys. A regional party paper, the Wroclaw CA7.1TA ROI30TNICZA, rtlno sounded the alarm En an article on the 17th out''lecj "Raw StatIatien" pointing out that total worker abaanteelam In Wroclaw Voivodahlp had increased by 31 percent and "un,luntIlled" rtbnenteel.am by 26 peeccnt. Similarly, a 15 September TRYIUNA LUDU editorial citln;.h lazinean, dinhonenty, and paranlttam noted an "alarming" rlne in absenteeism Mince 1970, including it sharp Increnne En 1975 ever last year. GIEREK SPI'ECFIES Manifesting nwarcnesa of the dangers of worker discontent, Gierek has couched his demands for better work discipline and productivity in somewhat softer terms than the party prens. Thus, in dine-jading the new congress guideline; at the PZPR Central. Committee plenum on the 4th, the Polish leader nebulously blamed "poor labor organization" for the fact that, deupite the benefit of shorter working hours, absenteeism was or the rise and machines were standing idle. Attributing continued shortages of consumer goods in part to recession in the capitalist world ard to the failure of agricultural production to meet increased consumer demands, he conceded that "we recently again Increased the purchase prices of meat, milk, and other farm produce," for the purpose of stimulating output of these productr.. Gierek offered little comfort to the consumer in noting that the only remedies for this situation were improvements in production, in food processing, and "in the shaping of consumption." Gierek issued a direct appeal for improved work discipline, at a youth meeting in Koszalin on the 6th. Following general criticism of too much waste in production due to neglect or incompetence, he called on the young workers to help boost labor productivity through i-apiu' d punctuailty, exactitude, and a sense of duty. Addressing party activists at Sosnowiec mine on the 19th, Gierek reiterated his complaint at the 4 September plenum that shorter working hours had been accompanied by increased absenteeism and idle machines. On the potentially expl sive meat shortage, he told his audience that his regime thad tried to improve the situation by diverting meat earmarked for export to the home market and by importing more meat, but Gierek was strikingly candid regarding the lack of prospects for improvement. He predicted that meat production would not be able to keep pace with demand and that lower-buicket workers who get wage increases might have co spend their entire increments for the purchase of higher-priced meat, adding that "I am afraid there might be some more troubles here." Cy"%" I, 00001) AWMUM..ri, NHU..hed M. -AM MMV d." of -a" Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL FBI!; 'I'll EIND.3 Approved For Release 1999/09/26: CIA-RDP86T00608R100020O16Q015-8 C1I1NA NATIONAL DAY CELEBRATIONS LOW-KEYED) NC EDITORIAL ISSUED The celebration of the 26th anniversary of the PRC's founding on 1 October was a lackluster affair, highlighted by an anniversary eve reception given by Vice Premier Teng IIuiao-ping "in the name of" the ailing Chou En-lni, who did not attend, the first time he has failed to appear for the occasion. All currently active Peking-based Politburo leaders have publicly welcomed National Day except for trade union leader Ni Chih-fu, who inexplicably dropped from public view several months ago. Of those Politburo members not currently in Peking, party Vice Chairman Wang Hung-wen appeared in Shanghai and Chen Hsi-lien and Saifudin were in Sinkiang. Reports on other provincially based Politburo members are not yet available. In his toast at the reception, Teng noted the need to "promote stability and unity" in order to attain the goal, announced by Chou at the National People's Congress last January, of building "CW.na into a powerful socialist country before thu end of the century." Teng gave a special welcome to Cambodian Prince Sihanouk among the many foreign guests and reaffirmed Chinese determination to liberate Taiwan. Notably absent at the reception were representatives of the Burmese and Indonesian Communist parties resident in Peking, who have been routinely noted at such receptions by NCNA in past years. The anniversary was also marked by the usual round of parties and cultural events in Peking's parks, but it iailed to trigger the customary RED FLAG-PEOPLE'S DAILY-LIBERATION ARMY DAILY joint editorial which has marked all National Day anniversaries since 1967, except for 1971 when the Lin Piao affair caused cancellation of most National Day events. Prior to 1967 National Day had been greeted by separate editorials in the major Peking newspapers. This year Peking newspapers carried only the usual frontpage photograph of Mao, along with several quotat'.ons from Mao's works calling for greater unity and increased production. NCNA's 1 October review of central newspaper coverage of National Day celebrations did, however, call public attention to a PEOPLE'S DAILY editorial issued the same day to mark the 20th anniversary of the founding of the Sinkiang Autonomous Region. The editorial focused on the celebrations in Sinkiang to jointly welcome the anniversary of the founding of the PRC and the anniversary of establishment of the Sinkiang Uighur Autonomous Region. CIN *.d. ? 000011 A _ , MNwl~w Y..Mpe Q.$,S bol?M~.11..y. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL PISIS TRENDS t is :'b t 1.97 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T0060Fbbb~016 015-8 - 10- NCNA's 30 September nnmel.ist of offl.cinl.n attending the National. Day eve recewation contained no major new rehabilitees. Former I'LA Chief of Staff Lu Jut-ching, the fi'irnt high-level victim of the cultural revolution, who reappenred for the first time two months ago for Army Day, appears to have been assigned to new official duties within the central military apparatus. Lo was teamed, without t.tt.le, among several central military leaders attending the reception. Lo was criticized during the cultural revoltitt.on for peeking to place professionalism and military technique above politics, and his rehabilitation underscores Peking's current stress on improving military training for the PLA. PRC STRESSES NEED FOR MATERIAL INPUTS TO AGRICULTURE in the wake of China's national agricultural conference at Tachai, which began on 15 September with Teng Hvino-ping and other top leaders in attendance, PRC media have sttvssed agricultural capital construction and mechanization as the basic means for achieving significant production increases in the coming five-year plan. period.* The slogan guiding the campaign calls for development of TachaL-type counties, continuing a stress on the county as an economic unit which has been evident during the current five-year plan ending this year. Unit self-reliance is still the watchward in agricultural development, although Hsiyang County deputy secretary Wang Chin-tzu noted in a conference speech reported by NCNA on 29 September that 17 percent of the county's mechanization funds were gained through "state investment," indicating there is at least some flexibility on the issue. Discussions L,i the conference seem to indicate no major moves toward communization will be made during the five-year plan period. Wang noted, for instance, that ideological education on the "communist goal" must be carried out, but stated the need to "correctly adhere to the socialist principle of to each according to his work." t. 26 September commentary by a PEOPLE'S DAILY correspondent noted explicitly that all "important policies which deal with the system of ownership and distribution must be handled with caution. They must not be casually changed, or still less replaced by self-designed policies." A Kwangsi provincial broadcast on 20 September discussed in some detail the problem of propagating communism while practicing socialism. It noted that "some comrades" worried that propagating communism might "violate and undermine" present economic policies. * Initial PRC reportage on the Tachai conference is discussed in the TRENDS of 17 September 1975, pages 23-24. ouwe.d OOOQ-7 .d * .IN daft of fn d CONFIDENTIAL we .1" i. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL 1151:5 'T'RENDS Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R06012vi'#bd-1558 - 31 - Tlw broadcast stated that "we must think of communism while working an socialism" and must encourage voluntary moves toward communist norms. However, it warned against regarding "the fostering and propagating of buds of communism as a license for immediately changing the nocialist policies," and that premature implementation of comn,uniam would "obstruct and sabotage the growth of communist factors." The Tachni conference has placed special emphasis on the role of local party committee leadership, calling it the "key issue" in developing Tachai-type counties. In addition to the usual injunctions that party counittec members retain close relations with the masses and that ideological reforms continue, the 26 September PEJPLE'S DAILY commentary directly addressed the issue of le:_.dership instability because of ideological campaigns. It stated that adjustments and consolidations of "a few" leading groups were necessary in building leading groups ideologically, but that efforts must be made to "maintain the relative stability of cadres to a certain degree." One area in which there seems to be some uncertainty as to priorities is agricultural capital construction. For example, Kirin Province on 11 September noted the need to carry out both short and long-term capital construction projects, with "stress laid on efforts for this autumn and winter." Kiangsi radio on 21 September also stated that water conservation priority must be given to small projects, not "big and modern" ones. On the other hand, by 21 September Kirin radio was stating that "priority should be given to major projects," though it still noted the need for speed. The later Kirin broadcast, summarizing findings of a provincial conference, stressed making concerted efforts on large projects one by one and espoused strong leadership, high quality, and the need to budget "sufficient. funds and materials." There also seems to be some confusion over whether any personnel may be diverted to capital construction before the end of the harvest season. The Hupeh provincial radio on 26 September stated categorically that before completion of autumn farm work "we must not divert the labor force to capital construction on a big scale." A KIANGSI DAILY editorial on 21 September had seemed somewhat less adamant in stating that, even before the harvest, areas "should arrange some labor power to carry out farmland capital construction," and in demanding that year-round teams be set up for capital construction. While leaving no doubt that agriculture was the most important factor in China's economic development, recent reports have continued to pay attention to the concept of a balanced economy, Cl.wh.W oooo73 [. moths 1sT Oh. 01 ...... Approve or Release 1999/09/29?:TQi!f'P86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26: CIA-RDP86TOO6O8RQ~pq with industrial growth spurred by agricultural output. The 26 September PEOPLE'S DAILY commentary stated that agricultural development determines the speed of national economic development an a whole, and it noted the goal of Tachni conference participants to "achieve an overall modernization in agriculture, industry, national defense and science and technology." The commentary quoted a delegate from Liaoning as saying that to achieve modernization in agriculture, industry, national defense and science and technology, agriculture was most important. The delegate allegedly criticized Liaoning's past tendency to stress industry rather than agriculture. Similarly, a Fukien broadcast on 24 September declared that "only when agriculture has been developed" can "we accelerate the pace of the modernization of our industry, national defense, and science and technology." The reassurances that agricultural development will aid develop- ment in other sectors may be necessitated by misgivings felt by those in other sectors that they are being neglected. Extensive capital construction and diversion of even more industrial resources to agricultural mechanization implies that, until the completion of "basic" mechanization scheduled for 1980, resources will be scarce for full modernization in other areas. The inclusion of national defense among those sectors dependent on agriculture is an indication that recent efforts to better prepare the PLA for battle must still take a back seat to agriculture, perhaps to the discomfiture of some army leaders. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0200160015-8 clump* b 000017 *uI. RNry 4"."111M 4. MIM hell o.1. H 4W.. CONFIDENTIAL F11I:S TP.I.NDS OCTOBER 1975 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R060200160015-8 - 13 - NOTES MOSCOW ON OPEC PRICE HIKE: Consistent with Moscow's traditional support for higher oil prices, an unattributed Arabic-language commentary broadcast on the 28th voiced approval of the decision by the OPEC ministers at the 24-27 September Vienna meeting to increase crude oil prices by 10 per cent. The commentary--the only monitored Moscow comment thus far on the price hike-- portrayed the ininistn_rs' agreement as "defending the sovereignty and independence" of the oil-producing countries. The commentary made no direct reference to the heated dispute among the OPEC ministers over the size of the price increase, but it did label the agreed-upon increase as "extremely modest" and "motivated by the hope" that the West would adopt a more flexible stance at the Paris energy talks to be resumed 13 October. The commentary portrayed the West as continuing to ignore the interests of the oil-producing countries and "again attempting to blackmail and intimidate" them. Thus, the commentary asserted that "Washington" had warned OPEC that a price hike would "harm relations between the United States and the black gold exporters"--an implicit reference to Secretary Kissinger's 16 September remark that another price increase would severely damage U.S. efforts to establish new relations with the oil producers. MOSCOW ON SPANISH EXECUTIONS: Soviet media promptly reported the 27 September execution of five Spaniards convicted of killing policemen or civil guards, rounding up the wave of West European and other protests and adding condemnation of their own in routine- level comment and denunciations by Soviet public organizations. The "Francoist murderers" and "butchers of the Spanish people" were denounced in statements by Soviet youth and women's organi- zations, according to TASS on the 29th, and a dispatch the next day added protests against the "monstrous crime of the Franco regime" by a Soviet peace committee and the Soviet jurists association. A similar flurry of media comment and public organizations' statements had assailed the December 1970 trial of Basque "patriotic democrats." Commenting cn the present executions, PRAVDA on the 30th predicted that the day was not far off when the "sinister dictatorship" would be swept away. As for Western reaction, IZVESTIYA political commentator Vladimir Lapskiy, in an article reported by TASS on the 29th, observed that "even those Western circles" which had shown indulgence toward Madrid in the past few years had displayed indignation, and it was hard to find a "bo,.rgeois paper" which did not condemn the Spanish regime for the "reprisals." Moscow has only indirectly noted Washington's cautious reaction, expressed in the White House spokesman's remark on the 29th CIMYOU by 000077 Aula.Micwy d.cL.Wf.A oil WA.011 be. 014. of ism, Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 r-ert;s _rm"M T 1 OCTOBER 1975 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIRDP86T00608R000200160015-8 that this was a Spanish internal matter, unconnected to the current U.S.-Spanish base negotiations, and that President Ford had "expressed regret at the cycle of violence." TASS political commentator Vladimir Goncharov remarked on the 30th that "those circles" which had been trying to bring Spain into NATO were now keeping silent, aware that "such attempts at the moment could completely compromise the bloc which is advertised as the "stronghold of Western democracy." MOSCOW ON NATO MANEUVERS: A Moscow television feature in early September carried an unusually positive reference to NATO advance notification of this autumn's maneuvers in West Europe, but its impact was later blurred by Soviet press criticism of the NATO maneuvers. The remark was made by Soviet radio and television commentator Aleksandr Druzhinin, participating in a 9 September panel discussion of the European security conference with TASS Director General Zamyatin and IZVESTIY A Chief Editor Tolkunov. In the television discussion--just now available--Druzhinin, responding to remarks by Tolkunov on the Helsinki CSCE document, said: "The measures on mutual trust that you dealt with and which are a part of one of the document's chapters have already produced concrete results. A few days ago the United States, the FRG and Canada informed the Soviet Union three weeks in advance that military exercises by NATO forces would be held in the FRG next month. They did so of their own free will, voluntarily. Could one imagine under the conditions of the cold war that lasted so many years the powers resorting to such an act of good will? Would they have been able to compose a clause on trust that is now part of the Helsinki document? Of course not." The remark preceded negative assessments in the .?-)viet press--PRAVDA on the 15th and IZVESTIYA on the 23d of September-- which acknowledged that NATO's advance notification was theoretically in keeping with "confidence-building" provisions of the Helsinki accord but nevertheless charged that the maneuvers, coming so soon after the July CSCE summit, were not in keeping wiht the "spirit" of Helsinki. (Negative Soviet press reaction to the maneuvers was discussed in the 24 September 1975 TRENDS.) CIN.NN h 000073 AW..wlc.lq l.cL..INN acS t I MS. ..1. St 1.... Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 CONFIDENTIAL F11 IS TREND:; Approved For Release 1999/09/26: CIA-RDP86T00608R000~0~116b1id-W, - '1.'i - DIRK I CONOMY: i'yon};yan}; ;usnau iced on 22 Sc ptember that the I)1'RK had 1prefiilfillecl the six-year economic plan (begun In .1971) more than a year ahead of ;sc hrdu.le rutd, more importantly, he:I'or(? the JOt:h nunivernary of the Korean Work er';s Party on 10 October. A report: by the I)I'IZK's cent:ral stn t.1SLical board carried by K(;NA on the 22d claimed the plan had been fulfilled in "grow output value" one year and four months early In industry. Figures in the report show that goals in tsteeL, iron and cement have not yet been mot, but the report said large Ls for steel and cement would be fulfilled in terms of "production capacity" by 10 October. A 23 September congratulatory message from the party central committee, central people's committee, and administr.ition council and other IPRK comment portrayed the achievement as having laid a foundation for attaining the "ten perspective goals of economic construction," goals the party's 8th plenum in February 1.974 had said were to he attained "in the years of thy, next perspective plan." Current comment did not allude to a new economic plan, and a 24 September KCNA report noted only that the "ten perspective goals" were to be met "in the coming few years." SOUTH VIETNAM PRICE CONTROLS: Citing the need to "struggle against speculation and manipulation of prices" in South Vietnam, the Provisional Revolutionary Government (PRG) on 22 September issued two new regulations requiring the posting of prices for "all" types of goods and services and establishing a PRG commodity and service price list. The 22 September pr.icelist regulations--broadcast by Saigon radio on the 24th--follow in the wake of a high-level PRG statement of the 10th launching a mass campaign directed against the influence of South Vietnam's entrepreneurs who remained behind after the communist takeover, and the PRC announcement on the 22d requiring conversion of former GVN currency to new banknotes issued by the National Bank of Vietnam. The latest regulations called for prices to be posted by "all state-run and joint state-private business organizations, trading cooperatives, and private individuals" and included such diverse items as rice, gasoline, fertilizers, cigarettes, newspapers, and steel rods used in construction. As a possible adjunct to the economic crackdown, South Vietnam authorities have accelerated the drive to return city dwellers to their "native places" in the countryside. Hanoi radio cn the 29th reported that as of mid-September, 191,623 compatriots had been returned from the Saigon-Gia Dinh area. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 : CIA-RDP86T00608ROOMOWWM015-8 1 OCTOBER 1975 APPENDIX MOSCOW, PEKING BROADCAST STATISTICS 22 - 28 SEPTEMBER 1975 Moscow (2767 items) Peking (811 items) UNGA 30th Session (5%) 8% DRV Party-Goverment (--) 16%* [Gromyko Speech (?--) 4%] Delegation in PRC USSR Stakhanovite (--) 7% [DRV-PRC Economic (--) 3%] Movement 40th Anni- versary Agreement Korea (--) 9% [Brezhnev Recep- 4%] [CCP Delegation (--) 8%] tion China (7%) 6% in DPRK UNGA 30th Session (3%) 9% U.S. Astronauts in (--) 4% [Chiao Kuan-hua (--) 3%] USSR Gromyko in Canada Speech Tachai National Agricul- (3%) 3% tural Conference These statistics are based on the volcecost commentary output oL the Moscow and Peking dory estic and international radio services. The term "commentary" Is used to denote the lengthy item-radio talk, speech, press article or editorial, govern. ment or party statement, or diplomatic note. Items of extensive reportage are counted as commentaries. Figures in parentheses indicate volume of comment d?.:;;ing the preceding week. Topics and events given major attention in terms of volume are not always discussed in the body of the Trends. Some may have been covered in prior issues; In other cases the propaganda content may be routine or of minor significance. * This figure excludes brief reports on Mao Tse-tung's meeting *aith DRV delegation. Approved For Release 1999109/26.: CIA-RDP86T00608R000200160015-8