WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 110-75.4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010012-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 21
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 20, 2001
• Sequence Number: 12
• Publication Date: July 16, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 0110-?5?Y
OAS: MOST OF THE OAS DELEGATES ASSEMBLING ON JULY 16, 197!"
IN SAN JOSE, COSTA RICA, HOPE TO GO BEYOND THE ;TATED PURPOSE
OF THE CONFERENCE, WHICH IS TO COMPLETE AGREEMENT ON AMENDMENTS
TO THE RIO TREATY.Y
ONE OF THE AMENDMENTS ALREADY ON THE AGENDA WOULD ALTER
THE REQUIREMENTS FOR LIFTING SANCTIONS IMPOSED AGAINST A
MEMBER STATE FROM THE PRESENT TWO-THIRDS RULE TO A SIMPLE
MAJORITY--A CHANGE THAT IS EXPECTED TO HAVE UNANIMOUS SUPPORT?Y
A NUMBER OF OAS MEMBERS WOULD LIKE TO FOLLOW UP APPROVAL
OF THE AMENDMENT WITH IMMEDIATE ACTION SPECIFICALLY LIFTING
THE SANCTIONS AGAINST THE CASTRO REGIME. THE AMENDMENTS NOW
ON THE AGENDA WOULD NOT BECOME EFFECTIVE UNTIL THEY ARE
RATIFIED BY TWO THIRDS OF THE MEMBERS, A PROCESS THAT MIGHT
L; TAKE TWO YEARS OR MORE- Y
3 THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT HOWEVER THE CUBAN
, SANCTIONS ARE APPROACHED, THE TWO-THIRDS RULE WILL STILL BE
-!SIN EFFECT AT SAN JOSE. THE TWELVE STATES THAT VOTED TO LIFT
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THE CUBA SANCTIONS LAST NOVEMBER AT QUITO WILL PROBABLY DO
S
DO AGAIN; TWO ADDITIONAL. VOTES WILL BE REQUIRED FOR APPROVAL?Y
COUNTRIES THAT FAVOR LIFTING THE SANCTIONS ARE COUNTING
ON SOME OF THE SMALL COUNTRIES LIKE HAITI TO INTERPRET
WASHINGTONM'S DECLARED INTENT TO FIND A SOLUTION TO THE
CUBAN ISSUE AT SAN JOSE AS TACIT APPROVAL?Y
THE ANTI-CASTRO GOVERNMENTS--CHILE, URUGUAY, AND
PARAGUAY--HOPE TO BLOCK ANY MOVE TO END THE SANCTIONS-
{CONFIDENTIAL} E-2IMPDET?rl
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16 JULY 1975
OCI/WHD
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MIDDLE EAST AFRICA BRIEF 110-75.Y
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0 11F7URN TO PER
1. EGYPT: FOREIGN MINISTER FAHMI INFORMED UN SECRETARY
GENERAL WALDHEIM ON TUESDAY THAT EGYPT CANNOT NOW AGREE TO RENElW THE
UN MANDATE-I WHICH EXPIRES ON JULY 24. HE ARGUED THAT ISRAEL
IS USING THE PRESENCE OF UN FORCES IN THE SINAI TO
PERPETUATE ITS OCCUPATION OF EGYPTIAN TERRITORY.Y
FAHMI CLEARLY LEFT ROOM, HOWEVER-BOTH IN HIS CAREFULLY
WORDED AND DELIBERATELY VAGUE LETTER TO WALDHEIM APID IN
LATER REMARKS AT A CAIRO PRESS CONFERENCE-FOR THE POSSIBILITY
THAT REAL PROGRESS TOWARD A SINAI DISENGAGEMENT AGREEMENT
BEFORE THE EXPIRATION DATE MIGHT ALTER EGYPT'S POSITION-Y
HE SAID THAT EGYPT IS NOT CALLING FOR THE REMOVAL OF
THE UN FORCES AND SEEMED TO IMPLY THAT THE EGYPTIANS WOULD
NOT NECESSARILY OBJECT IF THE UN SECURITY COUNCIL PROCEEDED
TO RENEW THE MANDATE WITHOUT EGYPT'S EXPRESS CONSENT-M
IN JUSTIFYING EGYPT'S CASE FOR WITHHOLDING APPROVAL AT
? THIS TIME, FAHMI ARGUED THAT ALL SECURITY COUNCIL RESOLUTIONS
ESTABLISHING AND EXTENDING THE UN MANDATE HAD ENVISIONED
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THE UN FORCE AS A FACTOR ASSIST:iNG IN THE SEARCH FOR PEACE.
B11 FAHMI'S ARGUMENTATION, HOLIEVER-I IN ORDER TO STALL
O'i NEGOTIATIONS HAS EXPLOITED THE QUIET BROUGHT ABOUT 3Y
HE WI TROOPS.'
LEAVING EGYPT SOME ROOM FOR MANEUVER ON ITS DECISION,
FAHMI DECLARED THAT ^tJITH NO FURTHER STEPS TAKEN TOWARD
PEACE" DAND IN THESE CIRCUMSTANCES," EGYPT BELIEVES AN
EXTENSION OF THE MANDATE UOULD DEFEAT THE PURPOSE FOR LHICH
THE FORCE WAS ESTABLISHED. //HE 'SEEMED TO BE SAYING THAT
ISRAEL AND THE US STILL HAVE TIME IN WHICH TO CHANGE
"ACIRCUMSTANCES^ EIAND ALTER EGYPT'S DECISION. FAN--!MI SAID I..;
HIS PRESS CONFERENCE THAT EGYPT STILL WELCOMES US EFFORTS
TO MEDIATE A DISENGAGEMENT AGREEMENT.'//M
IN UNPREPARED REMARK'S AT THE PRESS CONFERENCE, FAHMI
ALSO LAID ON THE UN MUCH OF THE RESPONSIBILITY FOR PRESSURING
ISRAEL. UITHOUT SPECIFICALLY ADVOCATING EXPULSION OF ISRAEL
FROM THE UN9, HE NOTED THAT THE GENERAL ASSEMBLY MUST DECIDE
iJHE T H_ER ISRAEL IS TO REMAIN A MEMBER- Y
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THE .TIMING OF THE EGYPTIAN ANNOUNCEMENT IS CLEARLY
DESIGNED TO SIGNAL THE LIMITS OF EGYPT'S PATIENCE AND TO
PUT MORE STEAM INTO THE NEGOTIATING PROCESS. EGYPTIAN MEDIA
HAVE SHOWN OBVIOUS CHAGRIN AT ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER RABIf1'S
STATEMENT LAST WEEKEND THAT AN INTERIM AGREEMENT COULD TAKE
WEEKS OR EVEN MONTHS TO NEGOTIATE?Y
BY DECLARING ITS DESIRE FOR CONTINUED NEGOTIATIONS AND
ITS PASSIVE WILLINGNESS TO ACCEPT THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF
UN FORCES IN THE SINAI, BUT AT THE SAME TIME UITHHOLD.T.f1G ITS
FORMAL CONSENT TO THIS PRESENCE, EGYPT ACi-IEVES A DUAL.
PURPOSE. IT AVOIDS DIRECTLY PROVOKING A BREAKDOWN IN NEGO'TTATIO;;S
AND A RISE IN MILITARY TENSIONS, BUT IT ALSO SERVES A LWARNIPIG,
DISCLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE
BUFFER FORCE, AND THUS AVOIDS SOME OF THE STIGMA THAT IJOULD
ACCOMPANY AN EVENTUAL RESORT TO MILITARY ACTION IF IT Si-iOIJLD
COME TO BELIEVE THAT NEGOTIATIONS ARE LEADING NO!JHERE?Y
INITIAL ISRAELI REACTION HAS BEEN CAUTIOUS. GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS IN COMMENTING TO. THE PRESS, REPORTEDLY CONFINED
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THEMSELVES TO REITERATING TEL AVIV'S POSITION-THAT IT !JILL
NOT BE PRESSURED INTO AN AGREEMENT WITH EGYPT UNDER THE THREAT
OF DEADLINES AND THAT IT 'RECOGNIZES NO CONNECTION 9E'-1'[-Jc-EN
DATES SUCH AS THAT FOR THE EXPIRATION OF THE UN MANDATE AND
THE ONGOING INDIRECT NEGOTIATIONS WITH EGYPT.Y
TEL AVIV APPEARS TO HAVE CONSIDERED THE POSSIBILITY OF
THE EGYPTIAN MOVE AND ITS RESPONSE BEFOREHAND, DESPITE PRESS
REPORTS THAT IT UAS CAUGHT BY SURPRISE. PRIOR TO THE
EGYPTIAN ANNOUNCEMENT, FOR INSTANCE, JERUSALEM RADIO'S
INTERNATIONAL SERVICE BROADCAST A REPORT CLAIMING THAT ISRAELI
"1GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS" WOULD REGARD THE EXPIRATION OF THE 0111
MANDATE AS A 3"TECHNICAL VIOLATION" OF THE DISENGAGEMENT
AGREEMENT, NOT SIGNIFICANT IN ITSELF. NEVERTHELESS, IN AN
APPARENT EFFORT TO FORCE A QUICK DECISION, TEL AVIV REPORTEDLY
HAS ASKED THE UN SECURITY COUNCIL TO EXTEND THE UN MANDAT "FOR SI;;
MORE MONTHS. {O:1CONFIDENTILA}Y
2. ANGOLA: THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE 1_1-OERA T ION OF ANGOLA i1A5
APPARENTLY BEEN 03LIGED TO WITHDRAW ITS FORCES FROM LIUA;?1DA
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AFTER ALMOST A WEEK OF HEAVY FIGHTING IN ANGOLA'S DEVELOPING
CIVIL WAR. THE FRONT'S CHIEF REPRESENTATIVE IN THE
TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT,' JOHNNY EDUARDO PTNNOCI,, HAS TA;E'1
REFUGE IN NEIGHBORING ZAIRE. HE ANNOUNCED YESTERDAY THAT HE
HAS RESIGNED FROM THE GOVERNMENT, EFFECTIVELY DESTROYING
THE SIX-MONTH-OLD TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT-Y
PINNOCK DECLARED HE WOULD RETURN TO ANGOLA TO FIGHT THE
POPULAR MOVEMENT, WHICH, HE SAID, IS NOW CONTROLLED JY
"EXTREMISTS' WHO HAVE TAKEN OVER FROM AGOSTINHO NETO.Y
PINNOCK MAY HOPE THAT THE THREAT OF ALL-OUT CIVIL (JAR
CONVEYED IN HIS RESIGNATION WILL PROVOKE THE PORTUGIJESE
INTO IMPOSING A CEASE-FIRE THROUGH FORCE OF ARMS. THE
NATIONAL FRONT PROBABLY BELIEVES ITS ONLY CHANCE FOR
SURVIVAL IS A PORTUGUESE-IMPOSED TRUCE THAT WOULD STICK
UNTIL A NATIONAL ELECTION CAN BE HELD.Y THE FRONT'S WITHDRAWAL MILITARILY FROM LUANDA APPARENTLY
HAS PRODUCED A LULL IN THE FIGHTING. PORTUGUESE OFFICIALS
SAY, HOWEVER, THAT 5,000 FRONT TROOPS ARE ADVANCING ON THE-
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CAPITAL FROM NORTHERN ANGOLA. THE ROUTE WILL TAKE THEM THROUGH
TERRITORY CONTROLLED BY THE POPULAR MOVEMENT-Y
PORTUGUESE FOREIGN MINISTER ANTUNES, NOW 1JACK IIN LIS30;-J
AFTER A FRUITLESS EFFORT TO ARRANGE A CEASE-FIIiE EARLY TUTS
WEEK, HAS INFORMED UN SECRETARY GENERAL WALDHEIM THAT LISBON
MAY HAVE TO TAKE 017EMERGENCY MEASURES" TO RESTORE ORDER-Y
THE PRESS IN LISBON IS REPORTING THAT PORTUGAL IS
CONSIDERING SENDING MORE TROOPS TO ANGOLA. SOME 2t1,t100
PORTUGUESE TROOPS ARE THERE NOW, MOST OF THEM IN MID AROUND
LUANDA. THEY HAVE NOT INTERVENED IN THE RECENT FIGHTING. WE
THINK IT UNLIKELY THAT LISBON COULD IMPOSE ORDER THROUGH
FORCE OF ARMS EVEN IF IT WANTED TO. {CONFIDENTIAL}Y
3. INDIA: OPPOSITION PARTIES ARE SAID TO BE PLANNING A
NATIONWIDE, TEN-DAY PROTEST BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY. ACCORDI';G TO
SOURCES IN BOMBAY, THE CAMPAIGN WILL FEATURE SIMULTANEOUS ANTI-
GOVERNMENT SPEECHES BY PROMINENT OPPOSITION POLITICIANS, 1H0 EYP'ECT
SlICCED NG
TO BE ARRESTED. OTHERS ARE TO REPEAT THE PATTERN ON EACH
DAY, 1?JITH THE MOVEMENT REACHING A CLIMAX ON JULY 'i,. THE GO','E11NF.r,'T-1
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UHICH ALMOST CERTAINLY KNOWS OF THE REPORTED PLANS, IS WELL
EQUIPPED TO PUT DOWN ANY SUCH PROTEST AND IJILL NOT HESITATE TO
ARREST PARTICIPANTS. PRESS CENSORSHIP WILL SHARPLY LIMIT PUBLIC
KNOWLEDGE OF ANY OPPOSITION ACTIVITIES THAT MATERIALIZE.
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EUROPEAN. BRIEF 110-75.Y
1. PORTUGAL: NO VIOLENT INCIDENTS WERE REPORTED ON TUESDAY
AS THOUSANDS OF SOCIALISTS HELD THEIR FIRST MASS RALLY SINCE
WITHDRAW:CNG FROM THE GOVERNMENT LAST FRIDAY- TENSION REMAINS
HIGH IN LISBON, HOWEVER, AND RISING POLITICAL AND E:CONOMIC
DIFFICULTIES ARE PUSHING POLITICAL ACTIVISTS OF ALL STRIPES TO
CONSIDER THE USE OF FORCE.Y
A SECRET MEETING
OF TWO REVOLUTIO;NIARY COUNCIL MEi13ERS WITH HIGH-RANKING
OFFICIALS OF THE SOCIALIST PARTY. THEY REPORTEDLY DISCUSSED
THE POSSIBILITY OF SEIZING CONTROL OF SEVERAL MILITARY UNIFTS
AND USING THEM TO INCITE A POPULAR UPRISING. THE GROUP
APPARENTLY HAS NOT DECIDED WHETHER TO CARRY OUT THE PLAN-:
FEARING THAT ITS OWN ARE ^EING 1;1;1TCH'D C 1f'.i:FIJL _`( '
AND THAT THE PEOPLE iIT_c 1-T NOT RESPOND TO A :'f:D
UPRISING. THE GROUP R :POR'i EDLY 13E LIEVE`> THAT AN '.l? ;?SIN(
ORIGINATING WITH CIVILIAN MILITA'ITI FF'Of'I
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//THE POLITICAL PARTIES ARE REPORTEDLY PREPARING FOR
FUTURE UNCERTAINTIES. A :SOCIALIST PARTY MILITANT HAS
STRESSED THE NECESSITY FOR THE SOCIALISTS TO ARM
THEMSELVES TO PROTECT AGAINST THE COMMUNISTS. ARMED MILITIA.,
WHICH HE CLAIMS HAS BEEN TRAINING IN PORTUGAL FOR TEN YEARS,
AS WELL AS THE PRO-COMMUNIST PORTUGUESE DEMOCRA'T'IC NOVEf1Ef1 T ' S
"UR3AN ARNY0 WHICH ALLEGE:.L IS DELL EQUIPPED-11Y
//THESE THREE MILITANT FORCES ARE REPORTEDLY INDEPE NDc?! T
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A LIAISON. ACCORDING TO INTERNAL 25X1C
POWER STRUGGLES HAVE LEFT THE MILITARY TOO CONFUSED AND
DISORGANIZED TO DEAL EFFECTIVELY WITH PARTY?-INITIATED
ACTIONS.//Y
PORTUGUESE EXILES ARE ALSO KEEPING CLOSE_ TASK ON THE
INTERNAL SITUATION AND NAY SEE THE GRO1?IING CHAOS AF A CHANC::
FOR THEM TO MAKE A MOVE 0 THEIR ONN ? THEY UNDOP 3 I ;,E DI_Y HAV.=
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ARE ANY LINKS 3ETWEEN THE EXILE GROUPS AND THE SOCIALISTS
OR DISENCHANTED ELEMENTS IN THE MILITARY.Y
SINCE THE ABORTIVE COUP LAST MARCH, PLOTTERS BOTH WITHIN
PORTUGAL AND OUTSIDE HAVE GENERALLY BELIEVED THAT A MOVE TO
TOPPLE THE PRESENT LEFTIST REGIME COULD NOT SUCCEED UNTIL THE
DETERIORATION OF THE ECONOMY HAD COMPLETELY ERODED POPULAR
SUPPORT FOR THE REVOLUTION. INDICATES THAT
MOST GROUPS DO NOT BELIEVE THAT THIS POINT' HILL BE REACHED
FOR ANOTHER FEW MONTHS AND HAVE PLANNED THEIR ACTIVITIES
ACCORDINGLY. ANY ATTEMPT TO MOVE UP THEIR TIMETABLE TO TAKE
ADVANTAGE i,,F THE CURRENT SITUATION WILL RISK THE SAME KIND
OF ILL-PREPARED, POORLY COORDINATED EFFORT THAT LED TO THE
MARCH DEBACLE AND THE ARMED FORCES MOVEMENT'S SUBSE2UENT
SHARP TURN TO THE LEFT. {SECRET} E-2 IMPDET.H
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~?T5~+A6fi I'~'': ~.'?. ~. `.:],r Af(r.f ..AI .TIl 'll !iu0~1' CITE I..: ? . 1''~1'll~f+l:11111:M1, 1111
EAST A`-IA 'BRIEF 110-75?Y
1- KOREA: NORTH KOREAN LEADER KIM IL-SON HAS DENOUNCED A
RECENT PROPOSAL BY 0S!IPPOR T ERS OF SOUTH KOREA FOR TEf-;1INA'i ):.SIG
THE UN COMMAND IN KOREA?Y
KI'l TOLD A DELEGATION OF VISITING JAPANESE SOCIALISTS EARLIER
THIS WEEK THAT THE PROPOSAL WAS ONLY A "CONSPIRACY AIMED AT
PERPETUATING THE DIVISION OF THE PENINSULA." THE PROPOSAL CALLS
FOR DISOANDING THE UN COMIIMND IN SOUTH KOREA, PROVIDED THAT NORTH
KOREA AGREES TO CONTINUE TO RESPECT THE 1953 KOREAN ARMISTICE
AGREEMENT THAT THE UN COMMAND SIGNED FOR THE ALLIED SIDE.Y
NORTH KOREA'S REJECTION NO DOLI!T REFLECTED THE FACT THAT
AT THE UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY LAST FALL PYONGYANG'S BACKERS. CAME
WITHIN ONE VOTE OF PASSING A RESOLUTION CALLING FOP I H UN-
CONDITIONAL WITHDRAWAL OF US FORCES AND THE UN COMMAND FROM
SOUTH KOREA. NORTH K~`:_AN DIPLO:IATS HAVE MADE IT CL '"AR,,
THEY i;uIL.L 1';;Y AGAIN A T THE GE ;E'AL A`.:SEf10L'I SESS. ON i ' FAI..L ,
REJECTING THE P ROPO.SAL, iIM TOLD) THE
THAT THE FIRST STEP EAS:_;;G TENSION IN KOREA N,lJ::'i
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1JI T HDR 1iiAI. OF (IS F'0 (:I:3, i10!.I IN SOUTH IINr)CN TiII" "(IIT.;ir1' OF T IlE
UN-// CCON;`IDENT IALJ,Y
2. iNJOr;TII KOREA: A L.OOK AT 'I'I11,_- POI.. T_'i':CCA1. COi11-11TTE:E: OF THE:
KOREAN UO~H:;ERS PANTY -[1:1W11} CE:i T i?AL C.OH11'.TTF INP,I-
CATES T;IAT 1T IS A S'T'ABLE I_CADEF;SI-III' GROUP-
PREVIOUS I;F:SEARCH :-iA3 S'jGGESTED THAT TllE CONN'CT T EE
HAD E (PA!P)i_D GREATLY IN ["E-CENT YEAH AND !;;AS NF.I_A--
T IVELY U`!S'i ABLE IN TT:; !_O JE FFF ANKS - Ir'
25X1 B
ONE T:ii:? OF THE PE:OPL E C;;r'p:LED '%S COi1MIT1'1=E 1-1F:N-
BERS F(,'!; THE LAST T ;-'O ''F:A~; : SHOULD i;OT :3E L:r.S'iEl)
AS SUCH. MOST 0= T.;^-7 _ii\~ DO NOT E,ELOHG ON THE,
C OMiI- T 'L Al "'\E HAD BEEN CO`;'r :'l D ;W, TO MOVE AND 0:J ' !_''. T CAI.
STA? T L. :G -' APIDITY . T ~.E' :_7
'A :
,L--$ \ ,"ii.u i . i ,I l li I it i
DATE:
OR1 G:
I1N IT:
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PAP?G,) U'_T1:)\i !-:Y 07.11-R T'! Al '7HF IS ;Vi.`li.i O;=?1!: 1 , !';'0; '+!, -
 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010012-6
OUTGOING MESSAGE
N i
c_rrrvN a :aNi.v H'-
.ViNAL -- _ _ I ...i ..... _.
nnc C111 A 11 ror. Tra It NO ucI r'- ?.'
SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM
CONF:
5X1 B
HAD LED ANALYSTS TO DELI
INSTABILITY IN PARTY POLITICS AND SIGNIFICANT POL-
ICY FAILURES IN MANY ADMINISTRATIVE AREAS. OUt', NEW
D INOrx DISSEi4 L'Y:
D NO INOP v
0 I,F.TUPN ") PER
DEFINITION OF THE POLITICAL COMMITTEE
NOW INDICATES A FIVE-YEAR
RECORD OF STABILITY UNDER THE FIRM AND FATHERLY HAND
OF KIM IL-SONG-Y
THE OLDER, EXPANDED DEFINITION OF THE POLITICAL
COMMITTEE PRODUCED A ROSTER OF APPROXIMATELY 1.5 FULL
MEMBERS AND 1? CANDIDATES- OUR REDEFINED COMMITTEE
HAS 14 FULL MEMBERS AND ONLY 8 CANDIDATES, A TOTAL OF
22? THIS REDUCED PROPORTION OF CANDIDATES TO FULL
MEMBERS IS IN KEEPING WITH THE COMPOSITION OF THE
TRADITIONAL POLITICAL. COMMITTEE TN NORTH KOREA?Y
CONSTRUCTED ON THE BASIS OF OFFICIAL
. FICATIONS, THE NORTH KOREAN POLITICAL COMMITTEE
FORMS A DISCRETE UNIT AT THE TOP OF THE CENTRAL
DATE:
ORIG:
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~F!. C. 1i'NG O=F:Ci~4. COTINiI'N 1ITINC OF'P I!:P ftS
C .ss'"c?,1011 REPRODUCTION FJY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIAITfD 2 ,;;I:IDET
 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP8.6T00608R0003000-1-0012-&:
OUTGOING
SIGN V. Cr?? NT11f+ f.
CO. A ., T' 4 I:
OMF n 0 0 n 0 0 0
SECRET HO FOREIGN D:ISSE11
140 I'I I. ^. M
FIFII'.1NTr, PER
PEOPLES COMMITTEE- THERE IS 11AP':ED STABILITY IN
T,-iE RANKING OF FULL POLITICAL COMMITTEE MFMBBERS;
ADJUST M1EN T S AND PROMOTIONS ARE MORE APPARENT IN THE
CANDIDATE ROSTER-Y
ONLY TUO OF THE 15 MEN NAMED AS POLITICAL COM-
MITTEE MEMBERS IN NOVEMBER 1970 ARE" NO LONGER SERV-
ING. ONE DIED; THE 0 i ! r R--pE +P'li1S DLE FOR AGRICUL-
TURAL AFFAIRS--UAS REMOVED FROM OFFICE FOLLOWING
SEVERAL YEARS OF PM' HARVESTS. AN ADDITIONAL OFFI-
CIAL, i.!1-10 JOINED TIME COr1MI T TEE TNJ 19711 UAS REMOVED
EARLIER THIS YEAR IN CONNECTION L!I T H NORTH KOREA'S
11ASSIVE FOREIGN TRADE DEFICIT.
TODAY'S COMMITTEE HAS SEVEN PERSONS IIOi\E THAN
ANNOUNCED AT THE FIFTH PARTY CO`:GRESS? NINE OF THE
22 MEi12ERS HAVE SEEii ;?POINTED SINCE 1970--THREE FULL
MEM3ERS AND SIX CA;.' DIDATFN . NON E:rLIEVE
' '_?
THAT Fr:la TECHNOCRATS SIT ON THE COMMITTEE , THERE
STILL A TR END TOWAP71 INCREASI';' ::P~CIAI_:~"1.I.T'':011? i=
DATE:
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Approved For Release 2001/08/21: CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010012-6
:C? ,,::?~.-,..Ii r'== f Nti 1'.'1 r+'-: li :. i::'.'. tTF=1r??. .f
A:: .,?.~ J': FCC: =_II,
c+.?ssi=rc+'.:v REPRODUCTION BY OTHER TH=.'J THEE 1 SSUIING OFFICE I3 I'ROHI3Ir
 ea 11201/1 CIA-97f T0860$R80p3p001fl012-6
S IGN AL C!!NrCN t.?;. ONLY
17~ COI A'_i TOO TI'9 Mfin 1'CI
SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM
N
0 INOxx DISSL.1,I BY:
0 No INUex
0 nr.TUHN TO PER
EIGN AFFAIRS EXPERTS YU CHANG-SIK AND KIM YONG-NAM
EXEMPLIFY BOTH THIS DEVELOPMENT AND THE INCREASED
RECRUITMENT OF 11EN IN THEIR FORTIES AND FIFTIES.'
THE MOST DRAMATIC CHANGES IN RANK SINCE 1970 IN-
CLUDE THE PROMOTION OF KIM TONG-KYU TO THE POST OF
DPRK VICE PRESIDENT, THE ADVANCEMENT OF MILITARY
CHIEFS CHOE HYON AND 0 CHIN-U, AND THE DOWNGRADING
OF KIM YONG-CHU UHO WAS ONCE REGARDED AS THE MOST
LIKELY SUCCESSOR, TO HIS BROTHER'KIM IL-SONG- HAN
IK-SU, A COLONEL GENERAL IN THE ARMY, SEEMS TO HAVE
SUFFERED THE HIGHLY UNUSUAL FATE OF DEMOTION FROM
FULL TO CANDIDATE MEMBERSHIP, BUT THE OVERALL PRES-
ENCE OF MILITARY SPECIALISTS, LIKE THAT OF THE FOR-
EIGN AFFAIRS SPECIALISTS, HAS EXPANDED.{CONFIDENTIAL}M
3. JAPAN - VIETNAM TOKYO'S EARLIER EXPECTATIONS OF 'AN
IMMINENT EXCHANGE OF EMBASSIES WITH HANOI MAY PROVE TO BE
OVERLY OPTIMISTIC?Y
TALKS BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES HAVE BEEN HUNG
DATE:
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r"LEAV:NO OPPIC!N COORDINATING OFFICERS AUTHEN rICATINO OFFIC?R
cLAAS,'ICATION. REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IM P[i?"r
 App e? qr MI se ff
11 /2A1 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010012-6
T 2
I I
SIGNAL CUNMI
A C) El CO! ACr? C. T . ' F ? C, WI
1'Af.y
SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEf1
0 moan UISSE.`d BY:
0 NO I:.')FR
0 1 I IitUnN TO P FR
UP ON HANOI'S DEMAND THAT JAPAN GRANT A TOTAL l'ID
PACKAGE OF SOME $49 MILLION BEFORE EMBASSIES ARE
OPENED. TOKYO ORIGINALLY HAD OFFERED r17 MILLION,
WITH AN ADDITIONAL AMOUNT TO BE NEGOTIATED AFTER
THE EMr3ASSIES WERE ES T ABISHED.Y
THE JAPANESE FOREIGN OFFICE HAS APPARENTLY
DECIDED IN GENERAL TO MEET HANOI'S DEMANDS, ALTHOUGH
IT MAY TRY TO NEGOTIATE A SLIGHTLY LOWER FIGURE.
!EVEN IF THE FOREIGN OFFICE CAN' ACHIEVE
A CONSENSUS WITHIN THE GOVERNMENT, DIET APPROVAL
WOULD BE REQUIRED, SINCE ONLY $17 MILLION HAS CEEN
LEGALLY ALLOCATED FOt AID TO N)RTH VIETNAM- DIET
APPROVAL COULD NOT BE OBTAINED BEFORE THIS FALL AT
THE EARLIEST, WHEN AN EX T fRAORD--FNARY SESSION OF THE
DIET MAY BE CALLED TO '~ONSI D R BUDGET MATTERS- TOKYO
IS ALSO CONCERNED T i?AT HANOI MAY 1"N IS T ON DIET P,P-
PROVAL OF ANY AID AGREEMENT BEFORE PERMITTING JA?;!P!
TO OPEN AN EMBASSY-"
DATE:
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 Ap U_r4 Eq, Teas?, fMX? CIA-RDP 6 0 1~0
$:j E
SIGNAL CENRat I..." ONLY
Aid cut -_I. TOG 1) I a.IO R"{I
OMF ^ ^ ^ r0 ^ ^ ^
SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM
AS F.OR TIES WITH SAIGON, TOKYO HAS DECIDED NOT
^ INGOM DISSE!d BY:
^ NO INDEX
^ RFTILIN TO PER
TO RUSH EFFORTS TO NAME A SUCCESSOR TO THE AMBASSA-
DOR IN SAIGON, WHO WAS ASKED TO LEAVE BY THE REVO-
LUTIONARY AUTHORITIES BECAUSE OF HIS PAST ASSOCIATION
WITH THE THIEU REGIME. TOKYO WILL NOT CONSI)ER A
SUCCESSOR UNTIL NEGOTIATIONS WITH HANOI ARE COM-
PLETED--UNLESS THEY DRAG ON ENDLESSLY. SOME EXCHANGE
OF VIEWS BETWEEN JAPANESE DIPLOMATS AND SOUTH VIETNA-
MESE AMBASSADOR PHAM VAN BA IN PARIS, HOWEVER, WILL
CONTINUE-Y
ALTHOUGH THE ISSUE APPARENTLY HAS NOT YET BEEN
RAISED, TOKYO EXPECTS THE SOUTH VIETNAMESE COMMUNIST
REGIME TO DEMAND ECONOMIC AID EQUIVALENT TO THAT
GIVEN THE THIEU IEGIME? THE FINANCE MINISTRY IN PAR-
TICULAR IS KNOWN TO OPPOSE FURTHER AID TO THE SOUTH
,UNLESS SAIGON MAKES SOME EFFORT TO MEET ;,25 MILLION
IN DEBT OBLIGATIONS INCURRED BY THE FORMER SOUTH
VIETNAMESE GOVERNMENT. {CONFIDENTIAL} E-2 IMPDET?rl
DATE:
ORIG:
UNIT:
EXT:
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P";,FA iINO OFFICER? COORDINATING OFFICERS AUTHENTICATI.`IG C)YFICWR
CLASSIFICAT-CN REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET