WASTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 180-75.4

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
24
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 23, 2001
Sequence Number: 
82
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 21, 1975
Content Type: 
CABLE
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9.pdf936.06 KB
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~o C/s z-:,e Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001 82-9 secret NOIORN Secret Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 'SECRET NOFORN WESTERN HEPIISPHERE BRIEF 180-75?V //BRAZIL: BRAZIL'S RUSH TO RECOGNIZE THE POPULAR MOVEMENT FOR THE LIBERATION Of ANGOLA ON THE DAY THE AFRICAN TERRITORY BECAME INDEPENDE?!r REQUIRES MORE EXPLANATION THAN THE BRAZILIANS HAVE SO FAf SEEN FIT TO GIVE. AT FIRST GLANCE, THE ACTION SEEMS TO CONTRADICT THEPPOLICY IMPLICIT IN THE INSTRUCTIONS GIVEN TO THE BRAZILIAN MISSION IN LUANDA WHEN IT WAS ESTABLISHED LAST JANUARY, WHICH WZRE TO OBSERVE EVENTS. CLOSELY, BUT TO STAY OUT OP DOMESTIC MATTERS.//V /IFOREIGH MINISTRY OFFICIALS CAN MAINTAIN THAT RECOGNITION DOES ROT MEAN APPROVAL AND THAT BRASILIA HAS, IN STRICT LEGAL TERPS.. MERELY ACKNOWLEDGED THAT THE MPLA IS IN DE FACTO CONTROL OF THE ANGOLAN CAPITAL. THE F IR NZI OF THIS SHAKY POSTURE, HOWEVER, WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE TESTED BY THE WARRING AFRICAN MOVEMENTS IN ACTIONS THAT COULD PROVE HIGHLY EMBARRASSING TO THE BRAZILIANS. THE DIPLOMATIC GESTURE PROBABLY HAS ALREADY CAUSED SOME CHAGRIN AMONG ?C'NSERVATIVE BRAZILIAN MILITARY OFFICERS, WHO SEC THAT THEIR GOVERN- MENT IS VIRTUALLY ALONE INRRECOGNIZING A REGIME THAT OWES ITS EXISTENCE TO SOVIET AND CUBAN MILITARY SUPPORT.//Y Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 SECRET NOFORN //THE ACT OF RECOGNITION SEEDS TO BE A GAMBLE THAT, OVER THE LONG TERfl, THE ANGOLANS 'RILL RE?IE lBER ONLY THAT BRAZIL WAS AMONG THE FIRST TO RECOGNIZE THE NEW NATION. FOREIGN MINISTER ANTONIO AZERED4 DA SILVEIRA HAS SAID PRIVATELY THAT A MAJOR CONSIDERATION UZI TO SPUR THE ESTABLISHMENT OF RELATIONS BETWEEN BRAZIL AND MOZAMBIQUE--VIRICH FOLLOWED ON NOVEflBER IS. ULTIMATELY THE BRAZILIANS SEEK TO EXPAND TRADE RELATIONS AND FORGE CLOSER DIPLOMATIC TIES WITH THE EflERGINs NATIONS OF PORTUGUESE AFRICA. THESE ASPIRATIONS MAY PROVE TO BE OVERLY OPTIMISTIC DESPITE BRAZIL'S APPARENT EAGERNESS TO ERASE THE PAST. BECAUSE OP BRAZIL'S HISTORICAL INVOLVEMENT IN THE AFRICAN SLAVE TRADE AND ITS TACIT SUPPORT Of PORTUGUESE FOREIGN POLICY, IT IS ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS RESENTED THAN THE PORTUGUESE THEMSELVES. {CONFIDENTIAL NOFORN} E-2 IflPDET.,i SDO NOVE1BER 21, 1475 16U27 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 VU 13VIIVV IVIrJJHI~C', ApprQy,gg &,PE,Jj%q&e 2001/08/21: CIA-RD PIDDLE EAST AFRICA BRIEF 180-?5.Y 0 INUIX DISSEM BY: 0 NO IND/x 0 mrsu"mTO PER P 1, SPANISH SAHARA: ALGERIA HAS SHARPLY DENOUNCED THE RECENT SPANISH-MOROCCAN-MAURITANIAN AGREEMENT ON SPANISH SAHARA AND SET THE STAGE FOR A FULL-SCALE UN DEBATE ON THE FUTURE OF THE TERRITORY.Y IN A FORMAL NOTE ATTACHED TO UN SECRETARY GENERAL WALDHEIM'S LATEST REPORT ON SPANISH SAHARA, ALGERIA DECLARED THE TRIPARTITE AGREEMENT NULL AIID VOID AND ATTACKED SPAIN FOR NOT FULFILLING ITS RESPONSIBILITIES AS THE ADMINISTERING POWER OF A NON-SELF-GOVERN.tNG TERRITORY. ALGIERS ARGUED THAT SPAIN COULD TRANSFER ADMINISTRATIVE RESPONSIBILITIES ONLY TO THE SAHARAN PEOPLE OR, FAILING THAT, TO THE UN ITSELF.Y SPAIN, HOWEVER, CLAIMS TO HAVE ACTED IN ACCORDANCE WITH UN DIRECTIVES. THE SPANISH HAVE RATIONALIZED THEIR DECISION TO TRANSFER ADMINISTRATION OF THE TERRITORY TO RABAT AND NOUAKCHOTT BY ASSERTING ;THAT THE QUESTION OF SOVEREIGNTY IS A SEPARATE ISSUE THAT ONLY THE -UN CAN RESOLVE-10 2 ALGERIA ALSO INSISTED THAT MOROCCO AND MAURITANIA DO NOT HAVE THE '.RIGHT TO EXERCISE AUTHORITY IN THE TERRITORY UNLESS THE GENERAL rwaUhuT,oN REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM 4 * USE PREVIOUS UU R CUING MLSSA(,t Apprsgggd,F,qg Rgj%a,p 2001/08/21: CIA-RDF.A Imoux DISSEM BY: H No INO1x NIrupN To PER U - .,Ls # ASSEMBLY OFFICIALLY RE000NIZ;`:S THAT THEIR CLAIMS TAKE PRECEDENCE OVER SELF-DETERMINATION. THU ALGERIANS HAVE BEEN TRYING T-.) RETURN THE SAHARAN PR09LEM TO THE VENERAL ASSEMBLY, WHXCH IN PAST RESOLUTIONS HAS STRONGLY SUtPPORTED THE PRINCIPLE Of SELF- DETERMINATION.Y ALGERIAN PRE'."S STATEHHENTS SUGGEST ALGIERS IS WILLING TO. SUPPORT A STRUGGLE BY THE POLISARIO FRONT, A PRO-INDEPENDENCE SAHARAN GUERRILLA MOVEMENT THAT ALGIERS BACKS. A RECENT ARTICLE IN AL-SHAAB, A DAILY NEWSPAPER THAT USUALLY REFLECTS THE VIEWS OF THE BOUMEDIENE GOVERNMENT, DECLARED THE BEST RESPONSE TO THE TRIPARTITE DEAL WAS THE DETERMINATION OF THE SAHARAN PEOPLE TO RESIST THE MOROCCAN- MAURITANIAN "INVADERS." THE ARTICLE ADDED THAT ALGERIA, AS A MATTER OF PRINCIPLE, WOULD SUPPORT SAHARANS STRUGGLING TO LIBERATE THEIR TERRITORY.Y ALGERIA IS UNLIKELY T INITIATE DIRECT MILITARY INTERVENTION, BUT IT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPLY ARMS, A SANCTUARY, A PROPAGANDA :OUTLET, AND POSSIBLY SOME "VOLUNTEERS" TO THE POLISARIO FRONT. :,ALGERIAN TRUCKS WERE RECENTLY OBSERVED IN THE MAURITANIAN PORT CITY REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 USE PREVIOUS OUTGOING MESSAGE s" I Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDR 1IlQ82 9 i ? SIGNAL CCNTlM USX ONLY C A l 11 OMF .0? 0 a 0 0 a 0 4 G INOI DISSEM BY: 0 NU fhoux 0 nurunNro PER 0 I. /ILO9 # OF NOUADHIBOU, ALLEGEDLY SECURING SUPPLIES FOR POLISARIO UNITS IN THE SOUTHERN SAHARAN BORDER AREA WHERE THERE APPARENTLY IS SUBSTANTIAL SYMPATHY FOR THE FRONT.Y THE POLISARIO FRONT IS-QUIETLY ACQUIRING A FOOTHOLD IN THE SAHARA. UNITS OF THE POLISARIO FRONT HAVE TAKEN OVER THE SOUTHERN SAHARAN TOWN OF GUERA AND HAVE ESTABLISHED THEMSELVES ALONG THE MAURITANIAN-SAHARAN BORDER IN AN ATTEMPT TO FILL THE VACUUM CREATED BY SPAIN'S WITHDRAWAL FROM TWO THIRDS OF THE TERRITORY. THE FRONT HAS DECLARED IT WILL FORCIBLY RESIST THE AGREED-UPON MAURITANIAN-MOROCCAN ADMINISTRATION OF THE REGION. {CONFIDENTIALI- E-2 IMPDET.d DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM 1,11m USE PREVIOUS 4s UP L V%lI / r%.7 t T I L.,. JJ r%%J L_ o ' Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP> SIGNAL CRNTT!R UaU ONLY a 3 AGO col Ac, TOO TPS u"a oCl 0 M,1= 0' 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFIORN __EAST ASIA BRIEF 180-75Y 0 INOSx DISSEM BY: _ 0 No IND.x _ 0 xrrummTo PER 0 I- PILSS 1. MALAYSIA: A POWER PLAY BY PRIME MINISTER RAZAK AGAINST HIS CHIEF RIVAL, DUTUK HARUN IDRIS, HAS CAUSED NEW POLITICAL TENSION AND APPREHENSION THAT COMMUNAL STRIFE MAY ERUPT AGAIN.Y RAZAK HAS THREATENED TO BRING EMBEZZLEMENT CHARGES AGAINST HARUN UNLESS THE LATTER AGREES TO POLITICAL EXILE BY ACCEPTING THE POST OF PERMANENT REPRESENTATIVE TO THE UN. RAZAK'S DEADLINE PASSED ON TUESDAY, AND IT APPEARS THAT HARUN IS DEFYING THE PRIME MINISTER.Y AS HEAD OF THE UNITED MALAYS NATIONAL ORGANIZATION YOUTH- MOVEMENT AND CHIEF MINISTER OF POPULOUS SELANGOR STATE, WHICH SURROUNDS KUALA LUMPUR, HARUN ALSO HAS AN IMPORTANT INDEPENDENT POLITICAL BASE FROM WHICH TO CHALLENGE RAZAK. HARUN ALSO HAS BUILT A POPULAR FOLLOWING BY CHAMPIONING NARROW MALAY INTERESTS AND PLAYING ON ANTI-CHINESE FEELING WITHIN THE MALAY COMMUNITY. HE HAS FOR YEARS COMPLICATED RAZAK'S EFFORTS TO KEEP MALAYSIA'S COMMUNAL PROBLEMS IN BALANCE. HARUN, A HERO TO MANY LESS SOPHISTICATED MALAYS, IS SUSPECTED OF HAVING PLAYED A ROLE IN FOMENTING THE DESTRUCTIVE ANTI-CHINESE COMMUNAL RIOTS IN 9 1'69.Y RSWSINO OPPICPR COORDINATING OPPICURS AUTNSNnCATINa OPPICSR CI.ASSI/ICATION REPRC'7UCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM USE PREVIOUS It ,,,,12E ~~.,..,..,..- Or.1F 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN COOPPIMATUM OP CIM REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED 0 ETHNIC CHINESE LEADERS ARE CONCERNED THAT AN OPEN CONFRONTATION BETWEEN THE TWO PARTY LEADERS MIGHT LEAD TO VIOLENCE THAT COULD EASILY ASSUME ANTI-CHINESE OVERTONES. RAZAK RECOGNIZES THIS DANGER, HOWEVER, AND IN REPORTEDLY,.. IS PUTTING HIS INTERNAL SECURITY FORCES ON ALERT. {CONFIDENTIAL.}4 24?// CHINA: AFTER YEARS OF INNER PARTY WRANGLING?OVE R EDUCATIONAL POLICY, PEKING HAS APPARENTLY SECURED MAO'S ENDORSEMENT FOR POLICY CHANGES THAT WOULD RAISE THE LEVEL OF ACADEMIC TRAINING IN CHINA'S UNIVERSITIES.//y //THE RENEWED CONCERN FOR ACADEMIC QUALITY, IN LINE WITH CHINA'S DRIVE TO MODERNIZE THE ECONOMY BY THE END OF THE CENTURY, WOULD IN EFFECT REVERSE THE EDUCATIONAL POLICIES ADOPTED DURING THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION OF THE MID-19605. THOSE POLICIES, WHICH PUT PRIMARY EMPHASIS ON. POLITICS RATHER THAN ON SCHOLASTIC 4 ACHIEVEMENT, WERE STAUNCHLY DEFENDED BY THE PARTY'S LEFT WING AND HAVE RENDERED CHINA'S UNIVERSITIES VIRTUALLY INEFFECTIVE AS INSTITUTES OF HIGHER LEARNING.//M DATE: ORIG. UNIT: EXT: Approyg4 jF.qreN ~&2001/08/21: CIA-RDP //ACCORDING TO A DOCUMENT CIRCULATING IN CHINA, MAO HAS 0 , 1NOex . 0 NO 1NOOx 0 Nxyu*"ro_ PER E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21-: CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 USE PREVIOUS UU I C,UIN(3 MS/(, Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T SIGNAL CONT[R US^ ONLY AGE CO1 ACP TOO TP^ MRO OCI OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN PAGE OP PAODU 4 IMMIX DISSEM BY: No INDEX NITUAN T'O PER CALLED FOR MORE STUDY OF BASIC SCIENTIFIC THEORY AND HAS WARNED STUDENTS TO LEARN FROM THEIR TEACHERS RATHER THAN WASTE TIME STATING THEIR OWN OPINIONS. HE REPORTEDLY HAS ASKED CHINAN'S INTELLECTUALS, WHO HAVE LOfG BEEN COWED BY ATTACKS. FROM PARTY LEFTISTS, TO HELP IMPROVE THE UNIVERSITY CURRICULUM.//y //DURING THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION, PARTY LEFTISTS DISMISSED THE STUDY OF BASIC SCIENTIFIC THEORY AS UNNECESSARY AND PROMOTED THE NOTION THAT STUDENTS WERE ON A PAR WITH THEIR TEACHERS. THEY ALSO ADVOCATED THAT UNIVERSITIES DEVOTE MOST OF THEIR TIME TO TEACHING POLITICS, WHICH CONSISTED MAINLY OF MAO'S WRITINGS.//Y //IN THEIR ATTACKS ON THE EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM AND ON TEACHERS IN PARTICULAR, THE LEFTISTS WERE IN FACT ECHOING I`AO'S OWN SENTIMENTS AT THE TIME. HIS RECENT REPUDIATION OF THESE POLICIES, HOWEVER, MAKES IT IMPOSSIBLE FOR PARTY LEFTISTS TO CONTEND THAT THEY ARE ACTING ON BEHALF OF MAO IN THEIR OPPOSITION TO HIGHER EDUCATIONAL STANDARDS. THE CHAIRMAN'S TURNABOUT ON THIS ISSUE IS 2 THE LATEST AND MOST STARTLING CONFIRMATION THAT HE HAS NOW ABANDONED SOME OF HIS VISIONARY IDEAS OF THE LATE 1"150S AND 1960S DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 4Af?'G"~1O" REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 RGLAASINp OMPICOR COrOROINATiNO O/PN:~Rf FORM 112 F USE PREVIOUS UU I UUINU NltbbAW* Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP8 SIGNAL CE YTER USf ONLY COI ACr TOO TP OMF 0 0 0 U a 0 0 13 IHOIx . ,. DISSEM BY:. ,. 0 _ NO IRO/71 RmTum? To. PER. .- . . 0 - IA ?IUS --- # AND THAT THE PARTY LEFT WING IS CURRENTLY IN ECLIPSE.//M //POSSIBLY EMBOLDENED BY MAO'S SHOW OF SUPPORT FOR THE NEW EDUCATIONAL POLICIES, THE MINISTER OF EDUCATION MADE A SPEECH IN SEPTEMBER STRONGLY CRITICIZING THE EDUCATIONAL POLICIES OF THE: CULTURAL REVOLUTION. THE MINISTER CLAIMED THAT THE GOAL OF EDUCATION IS NOT TO SEND STUDENTS TO THE RURAL AREAS TO WORK AS COMMON LABORERS BUT TO EQUIP THEM WITH FUNDAMENTAL KNOWLEDGE THAT THEY CAN APPLY TO THEIR FIELD OF WORK. HE SPECIFICALLY CRITICIZED PEKING UNIVERSITY FOR FAILING TO EDUCATE ITS STUDENTS PROPERLY.?//Y //PEKING IS NOT LIKELY IN THE SHORT TERM TO ABANDON ITS POLICY OF SENDING THE MAJORITY OF UNIVERSITY GRADUATES TO THE COUNTRYSIDE, WHERE THEY ARE MOST NEEDED. WHATEVER CHANGES MAY OCCUR IN THIS POLICY OVER THE LONGER TERM ARE LIKELY TO BE GRADUAL.//Y //AS A RESULT OF THE MINISTER'S SPEECH, PEKING AND TSINGHUA 3 UNIVERSITIES, TWO OF CHINA'S BEST, ANNOUNCED THAT CURRENT CURRICULA 2 WILL BE REVAMPED, THAT SCIENCE AND RESEARCH WILL BE EMPHASIZED, AND THAT ENTERING STUDENTS WILL BE REQUIRED TO TAKE EXAMINATIONS. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM 12E USE PREVIOUS uU I UUINU rnlSbPvt a Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86 SIGNAL CINTOR U!R ONLY a AO^ COI :.ter TOO T/S M110 DCI OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o INO?r DISSEM BY: 0 .!40 INOUI 0 morTUmNTO PER 0 I. PILL! # .ENTRANCE EXAMINATIONS HAVE BEEN A PARTICULARLY CONTENTIOUS. ISSUE SINCE 1973, WHEN A COALITION OF PARTY LEFTISTS AND SOME MILITARY MEN OPPOSED THEIR USE AND FORCED PEKING TO PUT LESS EMPHASIS ON //CHINA'S INTELLECTUALS REPORTEDLY HAVE BEEN RELUCTANT TO HELP THE UNIVERSITIES IMPROVE THEIR CURRICULA FOR FEAR THAT' EDUCATIONAL POLICY WILL SUFFER YET ANOTHER REVERSAL. DESPITE THEIR MISGIVINGS, IT APPEARS THAT THE MAJORITY OF CHINA'S POLITICAL LEADERS ARE INTENT ON IMPROVING THE EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM AS THE FIRST STEP TOWARD MODERNIZING SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY.//Y //ALTHOUGH PREMIER CHOU EN-LAI COMPLAINED AS EARLY AS LAST JANUARY-THAT THE CURRENT EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM IS NOT ADEQUATE FOR CHINA3'S ECONOMIC NEEDS, IT WAS APPARENTLY NOT UNTIL MAO'S APPROVAL OF CHANGES WAS MADE KNOWN IN JUNE THAT EDUCATORS BEGAN MAKING :4 IMPROVEMENTS. MAO'S RECENT STATEMENTS ON EDUCATION, HIS FIRST SINCE THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION, HAVE BEEN THE MISSING INGREDIENT IN THE LONG-STANDING EFFORTS OF PEOPLE LIKE CHOU EN-LAI AND TENG HSIAO-PING TO MAKE MUCH-NEEDED CHANGES IN THE UNIVERSITIES. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: CLASSWICATw< REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED ? E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM 1 :PF USE PREVIOUS Apprgyg,.gyp P*gjgg; c 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP$ $go6o8 ooo3 OMF - 13 ' 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN {SECRET NOFORN NOCONTRA CT}//Y E-2, IMPDET.d SDO_ DDODO--- DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 1VAEMBER 81 21, 1975 12019 OCI/FLO 9106 FORM ?_,-A 12E iNDIX DISSEM BY: No INOUx MITUfN TO PER _ ., I? FlL/! REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: 11A 010725 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : 'CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 USE PREVIOUS *Aug Apl*AVbE"' ?t Rbf `1 se 2001/08/21^: CIA-R OMB' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INOU DISSEM BY: 0 NO u.oU 0 marupi>-o PER EUROPEAN BRIEF 180-75Y 1. PORTUGAL: INFORMED SOURCES IN LISBON SAY THE GOVERNMENT'S STRATEGY OF SUSPENDING ITS ACTIVITIES ON THURSDAY CONSTITUTES AN ULTIMATUM TO PRESIDENT COSTA GOMES TO FIRE SECURITY CHIEF OTELO DE CARVALHO AND ARMY CHIEF OF STAFF CARLOS FABIAO.Y THE CENTER-LEFT POPULAR DEMOCRATIC PARTY HAS STATED THAT THE GOVERNMENTON'S ACTION WAS ENDORSED BY THEM, THE SOCIALISTS, AND THE "ANTUNES NINE" AND THAT THEIR DEMANDS ARE NOT NEGOTIABLE.', ALTHOUGH NO RESOLUTION OF THE DISPUTE IS ANTICIPATED FOR SEVERAL DAYS, DURENG WHICH TIME COSTA GOMES IS EXPECTED TO PROPOSE VARIOUS COMPROMISE SOLUTIONS, IN THE END IT IS HOPED THE PRESIDENT WILL BOW TO THE GOVERNMENT'S WISHES. IF HE FAILS TO GO ALONG, IT IS AVERRED, HE MAY BE REPLACED--BUT THE PLAN FOR ACCOMPLISHING-THIS IS NOT SPELLED OUT.'1' WHILE THE GOVERNMENT PROBABLY FEELS IT HAS NO VIABLE ALTERNATIVE SHORT OF O;,TRIGHT RESIGNATION OR CAPITULATION TO COMMUNIST DEMANDS FOR GREATER REPRESENTATION, ITS PRESENT COURSE DOES CONTAIN SOME IMIN RISKS22: 4' REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 USE PREVIOUS Acid ApVf,?WaNPb"r R se 2001/08/210: CIA~RliIh4 011E 0 0 0 0 0 0 ^ PAD^ 0 IP PILU # --COSTA GOMES COULD TRY TO DISMANTLE THE CABINET AND APPOINT A NEW PRIME MINISTER, BUT THIS COULD PROBABLY BE BLOCKED BY THE ANTUNES GROUP'S MAJORITY IN THE REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL?M --THE PRESIDENT COULD APPEAL TO THE ARMED FORCES MOVEMENT ASSEMBLY FOR SUPPORT, EVERT THOUGH TF+IS EXTREME-LEFT BODY HAS NOT BEEN CONVENED SIICE PRO-COMMUNIST FOC:MER PRIME MINISTER,GONCALVES WAS OUSTED IN SEPTEMBE:R.V --THE GOVERNMENT'S ACTION COULD BE MET BY VIOLENCE FROM THE FAR LEFT AND THE COMMUNISTS.M THE LEFT BIAS QUICK TO CENSURE THE GOVERNMENT'S MOVE458311IflIAIa BUT ITS RESPONSE, AS USUAL, FELL SHORT OF VIOLENCE. THE COMMUNIST PARTY ISSUED RADIO APPEALS TO ALL LEFTIST GROUPS TO STAGE A DEMONSTRATION A'T 'rH PRESIDENTIAL PALACE. SOME 5,000 TO 10,000 PARTICIPANTS EXCORIATED 'THE GOVERNMENT AND SHOUTED SUPPORT FOR GENERAL CARVALHO.Y THIS DEMONSTRATION HAD LITTLE DIRECT IMPACT ON THE PROCEEDINGS OF THE REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL--WHICH WISELY MOVED OUT OF TOWN TO CONDUCT ITS DEBATE ON THE GOVERNMENT'S ACTION. NEVERTHELESS, COSTA DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: FORM 12E 0 IND.* DISSEM B": 0 No Imanx a ,,U.., TO PER REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 USE PREVIOUS VIU I V~1I1111~ IYItJJHVC GO ' Aplopov dNF,PRelea~se 2001/08/21 : CIA-R[~ - OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 No INONM 0 w? run" ro PER 0 1. Rua # _GOMES DID LEAVE THE COUNCIL MEETING TO RETUI:N TO LISBON AND ADDRESS THE CROWD. IN A BRIEF STATEMENT HE Cj_LED FOR UNITY AND ASSURED THE DEMONSTRATORS THAT HE WOULD yO EVERYTHING POSSIBLE TO SEE THAT THE COUNCILM'S.DECISIONS WOULD BE IN THE INTERESTS OF THE WORKERS-98 {CONFIDENTIAL} 2. CZECHOSOI..AKIA: FOREIGN MINISTER CHNOUPEK'S MAJOR FOREIGN POLICY SPEECH TO PIE FETERAL ASSEMBLY ON NOVEMBER LL WAS LESS SYCOPHANTIC TOWARD THE SOVIETS THAN HIS LAST MAJOR PARLIAMENTARY ADDRESS ON OCTOBER 13, 11972.Y I DESPITE THE DECREASED ADULATION ACCORDED THE SOVIET UNION IN FII.S RECENT ADDRESS, CHNOUPEK PAID PROPER OBEISANCE TO THE BASIC TENETS OF SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY, INCLUDING THE "BREZHNEV DOCTRINE." IN SHORT, HE SAID NOTHING TO WHICH MOSCOW MIGHT OBJECT.',' THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN CHNOUPEK'S SPEECH THIS TIME AND HIS EARLIER ONE PROBABLY ARE A RESULT OF A GROWING SENSE OF SELF-CONFIDENCE OF BOTH THE REGIME AND THE FOREIGN MINISTER HIMSELF. ALTHOUGH PRAGUE HAS NOT DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM 12E USE PREVIOUS 0 T a Agl3GQ,v& f q&ft1ease 2001/08/21 : CIA- 6TB'i 60&R 06b01 OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 INDEX NO SNOIX DITUXN TO -.COMPLETELY SHED THE PARIAH IMAGE IT GAINED IN THE POST-DUBCEK PERIOD, ITS FOREIGN POLICY HAS SCORED MAJOR SUCCESSES OVER THE PAST THREE YEARS. CHNOUPEV. WITH SOME PRIDE, EMPHASIZED. CZECHOSLOVAKIA'S IN- CREASING ACCEPTABILITY, AS HE TICKED OrF_THE NUMBER OF FOREIGN CONTA(:TS, NEW INTERNATIONAL DOCUMENTS, AND COUNTRIES WITH WHICH PRAGUE HAS ESTABLISHED RE- LATIONS. CHNOUPEK TAKES PERSONAL CREDIT Fvi' THE "FOREIGN POLICY SUCCESSES" ACHIEVED SINCE HE BECAME FOREIGN MINISTER IN DECEMBER 19711U1. IN FACT, HE APPEARS TO HAVE DONE SO WELL THAT, B:' SOME ACCOUNTS, HE IS SLATED TO MOVE UP INTO THE PARTY PRESIDIUM. Y ON BALANCE, CHNOUPEK SEEMED TO BE PROMOTING AN IMAGE 07 A SOVEREIGN COUNTRY THAT FOLLOWS A CO- OR:,INATED FOREIGN POLICY. HIS PERSONAL STYLE AND POLISH MAY HAVE MADE SOME ELEMENTS OF THE ADDRESS APPEAR NEWER THAN THEY WERE. PARTS OF HIS SPEECH WERE CLEARLY AIMED AT THE FOREIGN DIPLOMATS WHO DATE: ORIG: UNii : EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS (PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010082-9 FORM 12E USE PREVSOUS OUTGOING MESSAGE ? y . Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-R T SIONAL CIJNTSR USX ONLY OMF 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 IND.x 0 NO IND.x WERE CONSPICUOUSLY INVITED TO ATTEND. HIS REMARKS ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF CSCE, FOREIGN TRADE-OFFICES IN CZECHOSLOVAKIA, AND THE REUNIFICATION OF DIVIDED FAMILIES WERE DELETED IN THE LOCAL PRESS COVERAGE. -CCONFIDENTIAL} V 3. CZECHOSL!;'/AKIA: CZECHOSLOVAK DISSIDENTS RECENTLY USED A "LITTLE THEATER" PERFORMANCE ON THE OUTSKIRTS OF PRAGUE DIS- CREETLY TO DEMONSTRATE THEIR SOLIDARITY AND THEIR SUBTLE DEFIANCE OF THE REGIME.'' AN UNANNOUNCED, UNADVERTISED, 4ND ADMISSION-FREE PERFORMANCE OF JOHN GAY'S "BEGGARS OPERA" ALLOWED A "FULL CROSS SECTION" OF DISSIDENT INTELLECTUALS TO GATHER PUBLICLY IN STRENGTH AND TO ENJOY DRAMATIC FARE UNCOMMON IN IIEISAK'S "NORMALIZED" CZECHOSLOVAKIA. UNLUCKILY FOR THE LOCAL OFFICIAL WHO PERMITTED THE PERFORMANCE, THE ADAPTATION OF THE PLAY WAS NOT THE APPROVED VERSION BY BERTHOLD BRECHT THAT HAS RUN SUCCESSFULLY IN EAST BERLIN.'' INSTEAD, THE PLAYERS PERFORMED AN ADAPTATION DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUII4G OFFICE IS t,ROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R0003000'J089Y9' OUTGOING MESSAGE Approved eorSRelease 2001/08/21 : CIA-R Mori NO INOIM NITUNN TO BY AN OUTSPOKEN CRITIC OF THE REGIME, VACLAV HAVEL WHO HAS TURNED THE PLAY INTO A STINGING POLITICAL SATIRE AIMED AT THE PRESENT LEADERSHIP. FOR T_itiSTANCE, THE LANGUAGE OF THE EXPLANATION TO THE BEGGAR-THIEF ON WHY HE SHOULD COOPERATE WITH THE POLICE COULD I?IAVE BEEN LIFTED VERBATIM FROM ANY RECENT SPEECH BY HUSAK ON CZECHOSLOVAK COOPERATION WITH THE SOVIET UNION'.' THE DISSIDErMfA SUCCESSFULLY HOODWINKED THE SECUr.IT'f FORCES BY CONCEALING THE PREPARATIONS FOR THE PERFORMANCE MID BY PASSING WORD OF THE EVENT QUIETLY. THE REGCIIE'S REACTION TO THE PERFORMANCE WAS RAPID AND TOUGFI. ITS ORGANIZER WAS INTERROGATED BY POLICE FOR 13 HOURS, AND STERNLY WARNED AGAINST PUBLICIZING THE EVENT IN WESTERN COUNTRIES. IN AD- DITION, THE ENTIRE CAST, IMAS THREATENED WITH ARREST. THE DISSIDENTS THEMSELVES HAVE SOUGHT TO-SUPPRESS THE STORY, APPARENTLY SATISFIED THIS TIME WITH THEIR MODEST SHOW OF RESISTANCE. {CONFIDENTIAL}M 4. ROMANIA: PRESIDENT CEAUSESCU TOOK ADVANTAGE OF LE DUAN'S 0143IDI 13 gas HE III so milamen ma 113113 so UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R0003000fd0AY9 OUTGOING MESSAGE Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDF! SIGNAL CENTIA USE ONLY OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SECRET NOFORN M1//AGE HANDLING INDIC -!OR MATOMME GROUP O INDEX DISSEM BY: 0 No INOa 0 mITUNNTO PER -VISIT TO ROMANIA FN OM NOVEMBER 13 TO 17 TO ASSERT ONCE MORE BUCHAREST'S DETERMINATION TO PURSUE ITS INDEPENDENT POLICIES, FREE FROM SOVIET INTERFERENCE- Y IN HIS TOAST TO LE DIJAN ON NOVEMBER 17, CEAU- SESCU DECLARED THAT HIS PARTY SEEKS CLOSER RELATIONS WITH ALL COMMUNIST AND WORKERS PARTIES, THUS IMPLI- CITLY INCLUDING 'filE CHINESE. HE ALSO SAID THAT RO- MANIA WANTS TO STRENGTHEN SOCIALIST UNITY BY STRESSING THE EQUAL RIGHTS OF ALL PARTIES, NONJ,NTERFERENCE IN INTERNAL AFFAIRS, AND RESPECT FOR EVERY PARTY'S RIGHT INDEPENDENTLY TO ESTABLISH ITS POLITICAL LINE IN KEEP- ING WITH THE REALITIES OF ITS OWN SITUATION.Y CEAUSESCU WENT ON TO SAY THAT RESPECT FOR IN- DEPENDENCE IN PARTY AFFAIRS MUST ALSO APPLY TO STATE RELATIONS. HE INVOKED THE SPIRIT OF HELSINKI TO PROMOTE SOME FAVORITE THEMES--ELIMINATION OF FOREIGN MILITARY BASES, WITHDRAWAL OF ALL TROOPS WITHIN NA- TIONAL BORDERS,. AND THE DISCONTINUANCE OF MILITARY DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY GTIC5 THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001 %62 OUTGOING MESSAGE a U Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RE SIGNAL CrNTIn US^ ONLY COI ACP TOO TPt BLOCS . Y IN AN ALLUSION TO BUCHAREST'S LONG STRUGGLE AGAINST SOVIET HEGEMONY, CEAUSESCU LAUDED THE NORTH VIETNAMESE FOR DEMONSTRATING THAT A PEOPLE'S DETER- MINATION TO DEFEND THEIR NATIONAL INTERESTS AND THEIR "SACRED RI6IIT" TO DEVELOP ALONG THE ROAD OF SOCIALISM CAN CARPY THEM TO VICTORY NO MATTER WHAT THE ODDS OR THE SACRIFICES.Y LE DUAN'S VISIT, WHICH CAME ON THE EVE OF THE LATEST ROUND OF PREPARATORY TALKS IN EAST BERLIN FOR A EUROPEAN COMMUNIST CONFERENCE, GAVE CEAUSESCU AN IDEAL OPPORTUNITY TO DRIVE HOME BASIC ROMANIAN POSI- TIONS. PARTY SEC"ETARY STEFAN ANDREI WILL PRESS THE CEAUSESCU LINE DURING THE CURRENT DELIBERATIONS IN THE EAST GERMAN CAPITAL. {CONFIDENTIAL}Y 5. ROMANIA; BUCHAREST REPORTEDLY BELIEVES THAT THE OF SYRIAN PRIME MINISTER AYYUBI LAST WEEK WENT "MUCH BETTER THAN EXPECTED-"Y DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86TOO608R000300011gb8fL)S: VU 1 t.u1NU IVI . ML,t Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDIR SIGNAL. CINTIR IJSI ONLY O AO^ COI AC!? TOO TPU MRO OCI OMIT 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MII/AO^ RIPIRuPCI P4IMOIR 0 INOIIX DISSEM BY: 0 P40 IfI09X 0 RWTURNTO PER 0 IF FILMS IN AN EFFORT TO PUT THE BEST FACE POSSIBLE ON THE VISIT, BOTH SIDES PUT ASIDE BILATERAL DIFFERENCES ON A NUMBER OF PROBLEMS-ARAB ANNOYANCE WITH ROMANIA'S ABSENCE FROM THE UN DURING.;~THE VOTE ON ANTI-ZIONISM, THE ARAB BOYCOTT OF THE ROMANIAN NATIONAL AIRLINE TAROM, AND THE PRESENCE OF ROMANIAN CARGO ON BOARD THE FIRST SHIP TO PASS THROUGH THE SUEZ CANAL EN ROUTE TO ISRAEL. MEDIA COVERAGE CENTERED ON THE ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF THE TALKS, BUT RECENT ROMANIAN EFFORTS TO PLAY A PEACE-MAKING ROLE IN THE MIDDLE EAST UNDOUBTEDLY WORKED THEIR WAY INTO THE AGENDA. AYYUBI ARRIVED WITH A LONG LIST OF COMPLAINTS ABOUT PAST ROMANIAN-SYRIAN ECONOMIC RELATIONS, AC- CORDING TO THE EGYPTIAN AMBASSADOR IN BUCHAREST. - THE EGYPTIAN ALSO ASSERTED THAT PRESIDENT SADAT WARNED AYYUBI TO AVOID BEING DRAJN INTO A POLITICAL DISCUSSION WITH CEAUSESCU.Y DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: THE FINAL COMMUNIQUE IS SIMILAR TO OTHERS FORM 1 PF. REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001@BPy USE PREVIOUS OUTGOING ME55AGE Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDR SIGNAL CENTER USE ONLY Aoa COI ACP 700 TP. MR'O Ocl SIGNED BY ROMANIAN AND THE MORE MILITANT ARABS. THERE IS, FOR EXAMPLE, NO REFERENCE TO "GUARAN- TEEING THE SECURITY OF ALL STATES" IN THE MIDDLE EAST. THE COMMUNIQUE DOES } HOWEVER, CONTAIN ONE APPARENT CONCESSION TO Bt;CHAREST--A SYRIAN PLEDGE TO ASSIST ROMANIAN EFFORTS TO PARTICIPATE IN THE NON- ALIGNED MOVEMENT "IN APPROPRIATE FORMS." DAMASCUS HAD REPORTEDLY OPPOSED PREVIOUS ROMANIAN EFFORTS TO ESTABLISH FORMAL TIES TO THE NONALIGNED. {CONFIDENTIAL]Y 6. ALBANIA: fIIE WIDESPREAD PURGES THAT ARE REPORTEDLY SWEEPING THE ALBANIAN BUREAUCRACY HAVE EVIDENTLY NOT AFFECTED THE TOP PARTY LEADERSHIP. ON NOVEMBER 17, A SPECIAL SESSION OF THE PEOPLE'S ASSEMBLY MET TO DRAFT A NEW CONSTITUTION. ALL POLITBURO MEMBERS WERE PRESENT, INCLUDING PARTY CHIEF ENVER HOXHA--WHO IS STILL POLITICALLY VERY ACTIVE DESPI.TE WHATEVER AILMENTS HE MAY HAVE.Y OPENING SPEECHES AT THE ASSEMBLY SESSION STRONG- DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: INOIX NO INO6X IIITU11N TO REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R0003000laDI82 (: Approved Four ReleCase 200170$~2~1GIA-RDPB N SIGNALCRNTIR US! ONLY 0 ...X 0 NO INDEX 0 ,,U,. TO O Ir IILI/ LY SUGGEST THAT HOXHA WILL OBTAIN RATIFICATION OF THE REFORM MEASURES HE HAD APPARENTLY ADOPTED IN ORDER TO STRENGTHEN H'[S OWN AND THE PARTY'S HOLD OVER THE GOVERNMENT'S ADMINISTRATIV.,APPARATUS AND TO REDUCE EXCESSIVE BUREAUCRACY.Y ON THE EVE hF THE SESSION THE PARTY'S OFFICIAL PAPER, ZERI I POPULLIT, PUBLISHED A LEAD EDITORIAL WRITTEN BY RAMIZ ALIA, THE ALBANIAN PARTY'S CHIEF IDEOLOGICAL SPOKESPIAN. ALIA'S RINGING ENDORSEMENT OF HOXHA'S POLICIES CLEARLY SIGNALED TO THE PARTY FAIT1FUL THAT RE6ARDLESS OF THEIR UNSETTLING EFFECT ON DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN POLICY THE RECENT PERSONNEL CHANGES HAVE THE ENDORSEMENT OF TOP LEADERS. {CON- FIDENTIAL}Y E-2, ZMPDET.rl SDO DDODO DA NOVEMBER 2LI 1-175 ORIG: 25X1 A UNIT: OCI/FLO EXT: 9106 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R00030001092-By: 010725