TALKING POINTS FOR THE A/DDI

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T01017R000403690001-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 18, 2011
• Sequence Number: 1
• Publication Date: March 20, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/18: CIA-RDP86T01017R000403690001-8 ?e
D
ATE
/- ;1 /G-
Talking Points for the A/DDI
EURA/WE/IA OC
R
17 March 1986
DO
C N
O CUR
M fj
(p- 00ilS'
P&
PD
I
Spain: The NATO Referendum
i-Scx)zCE D 25X1
The referendum last Wednesday was a decisive vote for
continued NATO membership -- 53 percent in favor, 40 percent
against, and 7 percent blank or spoiled ballots. Only 60 percent
of the electorate voted, about 15 to 20 percent below the level
of participation in other recent elections.
Key
--Gonzalez's personal popularity. Polls had shown Socialist
voters to be almost evenly divided, but a large number
evidently decided at the eleventh hour to support NATO out
of concern that a referendum defeat could weaken Gonzalez
or even lead to his resignation.
presence in Spain.
--Limits on membership. While anti-Western leftists agitated
for withdrawal from the Alliance and Conservatives pushed
for full integration, Gonzalez came out for a qualified
membership. The referendum proposal rejected military
integration, or any change in Spain's nonnuclear status,
and called for a gradual reduction in the US military
The referendum victory is a defeat for the left and will
reinforce the momentum of recent years toward increased Spanish
security cooperation with the West.
--It will permit Gonzalez to continue to quietly build
Spain's ties to NATO through participation ,in NATO
political and committees
Gonzalez's concern, however, with maintaining his domestic
political position probably will make him reluctant to rapidly
increase security cooperation with the West.
He is likely to shrink from placing Spanish forces
under a NATO commander.
Gonzalez is also likely to push for at least a
"cosmetic" reduction in the US military presence.
After the referendum he said publicly that Foreign
Minister Fernandez-Ordonez would pursue this topic
with the US Secretary of State in May.
We also believe that the Gonzalez team will almost
certainly prove as tough as its predecessors in
renegotiating a bilateral base agreement -- the
current one expires in 1988.
25X1
25X1
25X1
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/18: CIA-RDP86T01017R000403690001-8
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/18: CIA-RDP86T01017R000403690001-8
SUBJECT: Talking Points for the A/DDI
Distribution:
1 - A/DDI
1 - D/EURA
2 - EURA Production Staff
4 - IMC/CB
1 - C/WE
1 - WE/IAB Production File
1 - WE/IAB
ORIG: EURA/WE/IAB
(19 March 1986)
25X1
25X1
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/01/18: CIA-RDP86T01017R000403690001-8