LETTER TO JOHN E. ENDICOTT FROM WILLIAM J. CASEY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87M00539R003205240008-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 39
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 7, 2010
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: July 2, 1985
• Content Type: LETTER

STAT
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The Director of Central Intelligence
N"iVn,U 020505
DDT_ D3. 091-g
0 2 JUL 1985
Col John E. Endicott, USAF
Acting Director, Institute for
National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Department of Defense
Washington, D.C. 20319
Dear Colonel Endicott:
Enclosed are the suggested research themes that you requested in a letter
to me on 7 May. They represent new ideas, topics taken off our exploratory
lists and areas we would like to explore more fully, but for which we do not
have an available resource. Our analysts would be pleased to,talk to NDU
students should they choose to work on any of these topics.
will be in touch with
ou b
h
y
y p
one to arrange a meeting in
late dune to explain more fully the focus of our 1986 Research Program.
Hopefully, this will help you in advising your students on topics. He will,
at that time, also pass to you any late topic submissions from our offices.
We at CIA appreciate this opportunity to contribute and look forward to
sharing in the product of NDU research where appropriate.
Sincerely,
Z O W1lam J. Casey
William J. Casey
Enclosures
As stated
Distribution:
Original - Addressee
1 - DCI
1 - DCI Registry
1 - DDI
1- DDI Registry
1 - PES File
1 - PES Chrono
DDI/MPS/PES (17 Jun 85)
Downgrade to Unclassified
upon removal of enclosure
CONFIDENTIAL
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Spain and NATO
Brief Elaboration: This study would focus on the potential Spanish role
in the integrated NATO military structure, should Madrid decide--based on
the promised national referendum--to remain in the Alliance. Will Spanish
forces be fully integrated into NATO, what potential roles could Spanish
forces play in the defense of Central and Southern Europe, what are the
trends in Spanish force capabilities and modernization, what issues will
the Alliance face over the near and long term (e.g. location and command
of an Iberian Command, the question of Gibraltar, etc.)
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
FY 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/EURA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: China's Navy: Prospects for Force Projection
Brief Elaboration: Some of China's neighbors have voiced concerns
that, with military modernization, the PRC navy will gain
a formidable force projection capability over the next decade.
This study would assess the Chinese navy today and examine its
potential of becoming a regional naval power. Particular emphasis
would be given to the impact of Western military acquisitions on
China's naval warfighting options.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Within the next year,4
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Office of East Asia, Central Intelligence Agency
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACAD194IC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Gorbachev's Generation: Eastern Europe's Emerging Leaders
Brief Elaboration: Several Warsaw Pact leaders are already well into their
seventies and likely to depart the political. scene. The purpose of this
inquiry is to examine possible successors--people of Gorbachev's generation
probably--whose perspectives have been shaped primarily by the post-World
War II experience. The researcher must first identify principal candidates
for leadership, then examine their backgrounds and writings and attempt to
project their views of the relationship with the Soviet Union and the West.
Time frame during Which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: Sumer of 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/Office of Central Reference
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies-
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Role of Chinese Academy of Sciences in Response to Chinese
S&T Reforms
Brief Elaboration: The following questions should be addressed: In actuality,
how has the role and scope of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. changed in
response to the call for S&T reform? Are the Chinese following through on
cutting down the size of the Academy? Are Government officials serious about
changing the terms of funding, about going from government grants to earning
one's way by contracting to production needs, and about allocation of
personnel fran Academy institutes to Ministry research units? Are Academy
researchers moving rapidly from basic to applied research? Is there any
significant resistance on the part of the researchers to the sweeping changes
imposed by the S&T reforms?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/OSWR
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details: In March 1985 the Chinese Catmmist Party officially
called for new reforms in Science & Technology. The reforms call for the
size and advisory role of the Chinese Academy of Sciences to be changed;
its focus will be on applied research rather than basic research. There
are other aspects of the reform regarding the funding and allocation of
scientific personnel that will lead to closer links between research
and production units. The contract system and entities, such as
technology markets, will came into play.
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-1986
Topic: Africa: The Counterinsurgency Experience
Precis: Governments in Angola, Mozambique, and Ethiopia have
been receiving Soviet assistance to combat insurgency
within their territories. A research paper should
examine and describe the Soviet counterinsurgency
strategy, assess its success and failure, and speculate
on likely trends in tactics and strategy.
Timing: Schedule not critical.
Agency: CIA/DDI Office of African and Latin American Analysis
Contact:
Research Director, DDI/ALA
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-1986
Topic: The Caribbean: The Church Takes Action
Precis: The Church in several Caribbean countries appears to be
taking a more active role in domestic political affairs.
A research paper should determine how widespread this
activity is, the motivating factors, the impact on
internal politics, and the governments' responses.
Timing: Schedule not critical.
Agency: CIA/DDI Office of African and Latin American Analysis
Contact:
Research Director, DDI/ALA
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-1986
Topic: Central America: Impact of Increasing Refugees
Precis: Civil war, political oppression, and economic conditions
have created a substantial flow of refugees throughout
Central America. A research paper should address not
only the political, military, and economic aspects of
refugee movements, but also the sociological and
psychological aspects, the effects on longer-term
stability in the region, and the implications for the
US.
Timing: Schedule not critical.
A enc : CIA/DDI Office of African and Latin American Analysis
Contact:
Research Director, DDI/ALA
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-1986
Topic: Uruguay: Prospects for Sanguinetti
Precis: The civilian government that took office in March 1985
following 12 years of military rule faces an array of
sensitive political issues and difficult economic
challenges. Indeed, the advent of democracy raises the
opportunity and likelihood for popular demands for
changes. A research paper should examine the new
government's performance to date and assess the
prospects for political stability and economic recovery.
Timing: Schedule not critical.
Agency: CIA/DDI Office of African and Latin American Analysis
Contact:
Research Director, DDI/ALA
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
Topic:
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Soviet Methodology for Unified ASW Detection Techniques
Brief Elaboration: ASW detection techniques are often evaluated in isolation -
acoustic, as opposed to non-acoustic; active, as opposed to passive, acoustic
system; magnetic, radioactive, wake, temperature, and bioluminescence
signatures within the non-acoustic male. However, the effectiveness of a number
of interacting systems may be much greater than the utility of any one of them.
Soviet interest along these lines is indicated by the fact that oceanographic'
research aircraft have been observed to carry a suite of sensor types. A
study of the potential interaction of these devices is, therefore, likely
to be more realistic than single evaluations of Soviet sensor effectiveness.
Also, such a study may suggest advantageous combinations of US detection
systems.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: indefinite
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/OSWR
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Relevant efforts
1. JASCN's non-acoustic ASW project
2. Suter 1985 OSWR non-acoustic ASW study program
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Unauthorized Disclosures of Classified Information in the News Media.
Brief Elaboration: The publication of classified information by the news
media has become commonplace. This could-occur only as a result of
gross violations of security by cleared and trusted individuals. What
are the implications to national security? To morality and trustworthiness
of individuals entrusted with classified information? Is there something
basically wrong with our approach to security? Do journalists understand
the erosion, over time, of our national safety resulting from such stories?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Probably indefinite
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Intelligence Community Staff/Security Committee
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
4'
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Egypt: Penetration of the Economy by the Military
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/NESA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies.
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: The Libya - Sudan Rapprochement
Brief Elaboration: Implications for the Region and the United States
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
FY 1986 -
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/NESA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies.
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
Topic:
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a, separate sheet for each topic.)
Instability in Somalia: Role of r..ilitary Sector Commanders
Brief Elaboration: Somalia's ongoing internal and external
confliects give the country's tregtona1 commanders a key
role in the military-dominated Siad regime, and thus they
directly influence its stability or instability. Pegional
insurgency and refugee problems are intensified by intertribal
rivalries. The research should focus on the tribal backgrounds
of these officers and on their handling of the military and
political problems in their 4reas Hof responsibility, particularly
with regard to tribal relations.
- Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: Ongoing--regional problems are unlikely to resolve
themselves in the .foreseeable futiA,re.
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, ,Office of Central Reference
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
secure
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
fnwcInrNTItt
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 UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: The Role of the Church in Philippine Politics
Brief Elaboration: The Catholic Church is the most influential social
institution in the Philippines. Some proponents of "liberation theology"
have become more and more involved in politics and political movements--
even joining insurgent groups. We are interested in the mainstream church.
What are its views on the succession issue? On the insurgency? On economics?
How does it make its views known and, most importantly, wbo listens to them?
In short, how much clout does the church have? Examples of policies that the
church has advocated and that have been adopted would be worthwhile.
Tine frame during which research on this topic my be useful to policy
makers:
The next 12 to 18 months.
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/OCR
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies.
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Advocates of Detente: Proponents of Improved Soviet-American Relations
Brief Elaboration: The purpose of this research is to test the thesis that there
are proponents of detente in significant positions in the USSR. The suggested
methodology is to study the writings and speeches of select group of officials who
we suspect favor a better relationship, and assuming we verify an.orientation
toward detente, examine their influence and political prospects.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: We hope to make a decision on the viability of this topic as a finished
publication by the end of March 1986. If it is established as a potentially
useful paper then we hope to press on to publication by the end of FY 86.
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/Office of Central Reference,
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Senior Analyst OCR/UE
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details: This is a very tentative offering. is currently
abroad and this suggestion was made without consulting him. It is made now to
keep open the possibility that an NDU researcher might usefully work on the topic.
Russian language ability would be very helpful in researching this topic.
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies-
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
rnNF 1 nFNT T AI
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Malaysian Defense Decision Making
Brief Elaboration: In recent years, Malaysia has embarked on a military
modernization program. Modernization efforts and attendant weapons purchases
have underscored a serious gap in our knowledge of Malaysian defense decision
making. The proposed research project is intended to develop an accurate
picture of the decisionmaking process, define the key players involved, and
assess their relative influence.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Fy 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/OEA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Chief, ITM
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies.
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
The Philippine Business Community: A Continuing Source of Political Activism?
Brief Elaboration:
Since the assassination of Benigno Aquino in August 1983, the business
community--a traditional supporter of President Marcos--has become involved
in the opposition to the Marcos regime. Looking ahead to the 1986 local
elections and the 1987 presidential elections, what role is the business
community likely to play in Philippine politics? Is business community
involvement likely to grow or wane over the next few years and what direction
will it take? What role does the state of the economy play in the political
outlook of the business community?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Spring 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
The Armed Forces of the Philippines: The Next Generation
of Leadership
Brief Elaboration:
Paper will examine the values, beliefs, lifestyles and interpersonal
relationships of current Philippine field grade officers, with
emphasis on those from the Academy classes of the late 1960s and
early 1970s. Questions to be addressed include: what ideas and ideals
do these officers hold about their/the military's role in Philippine
society? What attitudes do they hold concerning the US, the USSR,
and the Third World? How does the current leadership perceive this
next generation, and what efforts might they make to influence/direct
or coopt it?
Time frame during which research on this topic say be useful to policy
makers:
Topic is of high current interest to senior DOD, State and NSC
officials; immediate research during 1Q FY 86 is preferrable.
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Centre1 Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and may 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University,
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
New Zealand's Opposition: Prospects for the National Party
Brief Elaboration:
Why is Jim McLay's popularity so low and can it be expected to improve?
Who might challenge him for party leadership? Why and when? In what
ways is National's policy platform different from Labor's? What is
National's "natural constitutency"? Is it growing or shrinking? What
new groups is National targeting? Will the New Zealand Party ever rejoin
National? How strong is Muldoon's influence now? Into what factions is
the party split? How powerful is each? What is the power base of each?
What are its policy suggestions--if any--or are the factions based on
personal loyalties?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Fall 1985 through Spring 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for Yational Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
Indonesia: Ambivalence Toward Ronoil Foreign Investment
Brief Elaboration:
Although foreign investment plays a crucial role in-Indonesia's
economic development and the government actively seeks new investment,
the ambivalence of influential Indonesians compounds the difficulties
caused by corruption and inefficiency. Expected shortfalls in
foreign exchange earnings in the next few years and Jakarta's
desire to avoid foreign debt problems increase the incentives to
attract new investment, but the outcome remains in doubt.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Winter 1985-86
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and may 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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 IINrI ACCTGTrn
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
Singapore at the Crossroads: The City State in Transition
Brief Elaboration:
With Singapore's booming, export-led economy slowing dramatically in 1985,
the government will face severe pressures for changes in economic policy.
What changes are likely? Will they be restricting or liberalizing? What
political and social policy changes can be expected? Will Lee Kuan Yew
again be the architect or the reforms, or will younger ministers indeed
take the lead? Who? Will Lee use the present economic stagnation as a
test of his successors or as an excuse to extend his tenure as Prime
Minister? Will Lee Kuan Yew resign and become President as rumored? What
can be expected of Lee Kuan Yew as a president--since it is doubtful he
will be satisfied to be a icure ea ? Asse seu hero le rs' succession
Tice frame during which research t ea a may policy chances.
Bakers:
Fall 1985 through Spring 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
The Australian Labor Party and the Trade Union Movement:
Still a Strong Partnership?
Brief Elaboration:
In what ways has the Labor Party government under Prime Minister Hawke
failed to live up to trade union expectations? What political and eco-
nomic constraints does Hawke face in this arena? What effects will the
affiliation of right wing unions in Victoria have on the Australian Labor
Party? What will be the outcome of the dispute between the ACTU and
Queenland Premier Bjelke-Petersen? What longterm trend does this indicate
for ALP-ACTU relations? What predictions can be made for swings either
to the right or to the left by the ALP and by the ACTU? Who are the
young leaders of the ACTU and which can be expected to rise to power?
Will any of them enter politics?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Fall 1985 through Spring 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTO VON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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 UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
The Indonesian Military: A Profile of. Its Interests in the Economy
Brief Elaboration: The Indonesian military is extensively involved in economic activity.
The military runs a substantial number of business operations in direct support of its
own activities--such as uniform manufacture--as well as income producing operations--such
as timber--to subsidize operating budgets. The extent of the military's involvement in the
economy is unknown. Observers can only say that it is 3 very extensive and accounts for
a substantial portion of the military's operational funds. Some of the published academic
literature on the subject gives a good background on the extent of the military's
economic activities. Discussion with academics and US military and other personnel who
have served in Indonesia would provide substantial additional information on the subject.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: Any time during FY1986.
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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 1INC1_ASSIFIFD
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: The Philippines: Next Generation of Political Leadership:
. Conflict or Compromise?
Brief Elaboration: The current leadership is marked by the Philippine
tradition of personality politics, borrowing directly from the cultural
underpinnings of strong paton-client obligations. The upcoming generation
of leaders has cut its political teeth on post-martial law politics, which
have been dominated by President Marcos. This generation has begun focusing
on issues when pledging political allegiances. How different will
Philippine policy be under these new leaders--especially as it affects
US interests. Will the emphasis on issues decline after Marcos has left the
scene or will there be a new political order in Philippine society.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Summer 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Central Intelligence Agency, Office of East Asian Analysis
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
STAT
Telephone or A=VON number:
STAT
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUD. ES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Japan: How Cooperative on International Issues ?
Brief Elaboration: Research should look at Japan's record for cooperation with
the United States/West on issues outside the economic sphere=-cooperation in
international bodies like the UN, IAEA, World Bank, etc., and on issues like
international terrorism.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: By spring 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic: CIA/DDI/OEA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute'for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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 IINri AccTFTrn
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Japan's military/industrial complex
Brief Elaboration: The research should be designed to determine if Japan
in fact has or is building what could be described as a military-industrial
complex. The Japan Defense Agency is placing greater emphasis on domestic
production of weapons systems. How will this affect Japanese defense
industries? What direction and future do we see for Japan's defense industries?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers: During FY 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic: CIA/DDI/OEA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
STAT and May 1986:
STAT
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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10 JUN L.-
NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: China's Think Tanks, Economists and Economic Policy
Brief Elaboration: How economic theory is formulated, refined and
translated into policy. Who are the most influential economists, institutes;
how do they exercise influence?
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
1985-86
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/OEA,
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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 NAtl r T nr.,r, A I
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: China's Interest in Dual Use Technologies
Brief Elaboration:
China's priorities for S&T development over the next
several years include integrated circuits; computers, software,
and peripheral equipment; composite materials; fiber optics;
and lasers. While development of these technologies is designed
to help meet domestic industrial requirements and to enable
China to enter new export markets, these technologies also have
military applications. We require a study that examines the
military applications for these technologies and how their
development fits into China's priorities for military modernization.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
1985=86
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/OEA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 198fi:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
CONFIDENTIAL
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 puri Acctrtrn
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Western Europe and Japan: Security Cooperation
Brief Elaboration: Talks underway or scheduled between Japan, France, and
West Germany on arms control and defense issues underscore the growing
appreciation in both Europe and Japan of common security interests. The
Europeans regard Japan as a leader in technology and will seek to,improve
relations with the Japanese. They also view 'Japan as a competitor in
strategic technologies and are concerned that the gap between Europe and
Japan will widen. This paper would look at the cooperative aspects of this
budding relationship as well as its competitive nature and would assess long
term trends and their implications for US policy.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/EURA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies.
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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 UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: NATO: Declining Out-of-Area Combat Capabilities
Brief Elaboration: This study focus on those NATO Allies in Europe that
maintain capability for out-of-area combat operations, particularly France,
the United Kingdom, and to a lesser extent Italy. Despite the creation of
the French Rapid Action Force, British lessons-learned from the Falklands
campaign, and growing Italian interest in the protection of its interests
in the Mediterranean, fiscal constraints are having a negative impact on
their force structure and capabilities. The paper would assess these trends
and the implications for the US in terms of potential Allied support for US
out-of-area contingencies.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers :
FY 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DDI/EURA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies.
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
UNCLASSIFIED
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic: Allied Views of the Chemical Weapons Issue
Brief Elaboration: One or two papers could explore various aspects of the
chemical weapons issue in Western Europe. One paper could focus on offensive
chemical weapons issues, particularly European views on US stockpile
modernization and weapons storage in Europe as well as European doctrinal
approaches to the use of chemical weapons in wartime and NATO's approach to
deterrence of Soviet CW use. Allied CW defensive capabilities and improvement
planning also could be addresses. A second paper could focus on the arms control
aspects, particularly Allied policies, approaches to, and expectations of the
chemical negotiations taking place under the UN Conference on Disarmament.
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
FY 1986
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
CIA/DIA/EURA
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies-
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
CONFIDENTIAL/NOFORN
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DATE
TRANSMITTAL SLIP
TO:
DCI Registry
ROOM NO.
71060
BUILDING
Hdqs
REMARKS:
FROM:
1
ROOM NO.
BUILDING
6F44
Hdqs
FORM No' R FORM 36-8
1 FEB 55 241 WHICH MAY BE USED.
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STAT
To 5.: For direct response with
please.
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EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT
ROUTING SLIP
ACTION
INFO
DATE
INITIAL
1
DCI
2
DDCI
X
3
EXDIR
X
4
D/ICS
X
5
DDI
X
6
DDA
7
DDO
8
DDS&T
9
Chm/NIC
10
GC
1.1
IG
12.
Compt
.13
D/Pers
14
D/OLL
15
D/PAO
16
SA/IA
17
AO/DCI
C/IPD/OIS
19
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21
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DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE
NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
WASHINGTON. D.C. 20319
REPLY TO
ATTENTION OF:
7 May 1985
Institute for National Strategic Studies
Honorable William J. Casey
Director
Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, DC 20505
Dear Mr. Casey:
One of the primary goals of Lieutenant General Richard D. Lawrence,
the President of the National Defense University, has been the
redirection of the research efforts of the University's faculty, staff,
and students toward addressing the needs of the policy-making community.
He has created the Institute for National Strategic Studies to foster
such policy-oriented work at NDU. Each of our students at the Industrial
College of the Armed Forces and the National War College, many of whom
are nationally recognized authorities in their areas of expertise, must
fulfill a research requirement during their year here. While the
selection of topics is a matter of personal choice, we have tried to
persuade as many students as possible to examine currently important
national security issues and directly assist officials who formulate and
execute foreign and defense policies. During the course of the next
several months you will be receiving copies of those acceptable student
products concerning topics which you suggested to us last year.
As we did a year ago, we are writing to a number of officials in the
policy community to learn what longer term research topics most interest
you and your staff. We will provide your suggestions to our students as
they make their selections in the fall, and we will forward their
research to you upon completion. Any topics you provided to us last year
which have not already been researched could be made available to our
students again, but interests and points of contact change each year.
You may wish to update the entire list. We will encourage interaction
between your organization and our students during the course of their
research as well as send you at least one progress report.
General Lawrence has given the Institute for National Strategic
Studies the responsibility for collecting and coordinating the research
topics. Please have your staff use the format enclosed, and we would
appreciate receiving responses by 20 June. For each topic, please
provide a point of contact in your agency and an indication of the time
frame during which research on this topic would be of use to you. If you
have any questions, please contact me at [phone] or
AUTOVON 335-1190.
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This University is committed to producing studies illuminating
important national security issues for senior policy-makers. We look
forward to your cooperation and involvement in this process, and we
welcome the possibility of face-to-face exchanges concerning topics of
mutual interest.
Respectfully,
John E. Endicott
Colonel, U.S. Air Force
Acting Director
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
Brief Elaboration:
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL STRATEGIC STUDIES
SUGGESTED RESEARCH TOPIC FOR STUDENT RESEARCH
ACADEMIC YEAR 1985-86
(Please use a separate sheet for each topic.)
Topic:
Brief Elaboration:
Time frame during which research on this topic may be useful to policy
makers:
Agency and office requesting research on the topic:
Person in the agency to contact for further details between August 1985
and May 1986:
Telephone or AUTOVON number:
Any other details:
Please return to: Acting Director
Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Fort McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319-6000
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