FOELBER PUBLICATION ESTIMATES OF SOVIET DEFENSE EXPENDITURES: METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP87M01152R000200130015-5
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
3
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
April 13, 2010
Sequence Number: 
15
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 20, 1985
Content Type: 
MEMO
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP87M01152R000200130015-5.pdf55.26 KB
Body: 
r ~- ITI A I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MO1152R000200130015-5 OLL 85-2459 20 Aug 1985 MEMORANDUM FOR: Chief, Liaison Division Deputy Chief, Liaison Division's Liaison Division Liaison Division Liaison Division Office of Legislative Liaison Foelber Publication "Estimates of Soviet Defense Expenditures: Methodological Issues and Policy Implications 1. I am bringing the attached publication to your attention in case you are interested in or have been involved in the issue of the Agency's estimates of Soviet defense spending. The report is unusual, in my opinion, because it was written by an analyst from the Library of Congress. However, Foelber does a good job reviewing the history and the various issues involved in the defense spending controversy. --He reviews the methodologies of all the actors in the play (CIA, DIA, Bill Lee, etc) --He analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of the various methods --He reviews the intended purpose of the different estimates of the intelligence community. 2. Foelber presents an even handed analysis of the subject. The agency is neither discredited nor overly praised. On balance, the bottom line is the that the subject is terribly complex--almost mind-boggling; many of the complex issues have no clearcut answers. Attachment ALL PORTIONS CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87M01152R000200130015-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MOl 152R000200130015-5 Distribution: Original - Addressees (w/att, to be returned to RL Chrono) 1 - OLL Record (w/o att) / 1 - OLL Chrono (w/o att) 1 - RL Chrono (w/att) 1 - Subject File (w/o att) LD/OLL mdo (20 Aug 85) Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MOl 152R000200130015-5 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MO1152R000200130015-5 Iq Next 2 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MO1152R000200130015-5