FOELBER PUBLICATION ESTIMATES OF SOVIET DEFENSE EXPENDITURES: METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87M01152R000200130015-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 13, 2010
• Sequence Number: 15
• Publication Date: August 20, 1985
• Content Type: MEMO

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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MO1152R000200130015-5
OLL 85-2459
20 Aug 1985
MEMORANDUM FOR: Chief, Liaison Division
Deputy Chief, Liaison Division's
Liaison Division
Liaison Division
Liaison Division
Office of Legislative Liaison
Foelber Publication "Estimates of Soviet
Defense Expenditures: Methodological Issues
and Policy Implications
1. I am bringing the attached publication to your
attention in case you are interested in or have been involved
in the issue of the Agency's estimates of Soviet defense
spending. The report is unusual, in my opinion, because it was
written by an analyst from the Library of Congress. However,
Foelber does a good job reviewing the history and the various
issues involved in the defense spending controversy.
--He reviews the methodologies of all the actors in
the play (CIA, DIA, Bill Lee, etc)
--He analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of the
various methods
--He reviews the intended purpose of the different
estimates of the intelligence community.
2. Foelber presents an even handed analysis of the
subject. The agency is neither discredited nor overly
praised. On balance, the bottom line is the that the subject
is terribly complex--almost mind-boggling; many of the complex
issues have no clearcut answers.
Attachment
ALL PORTIONS CONFIDENTIAL
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87M01152R000200130015-5
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MOl 152R000200130015-5
Distribution:
Original - Addressees
(w/att, to be returned to RL Chrono)
1 - OLL Record
(w/o att) /
1 - OLL Chrono
(w/o att)
1 - RL Chrono
(w/att)
1 - Subject File
(w/o att)
LD/OLL
mdo (20 Aug 85)
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/04/13: CIA-RDP87MOl 152R000200130015-5
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