CONFERENCE - NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION INTELLIGENCE THROUGH THE 1980S

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87R00029R000200300005-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 23, 2007
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: June 19, 1981
• Content Type: MEMO

THE DIRECTOR OF
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
Deputy Director for National Foreign Assessment
NOTE FOR: Deputy Director for National
Foreign Assessment
SUBJECT: Conference - Nuclear Proliferation
Intelligence Through the 1980s
NOTE FOR: Deputy Director of Central
Intelligence
Special Assistant for Nuclear
Proliferation Intelligence
This notebook contains background materials
for next week's proliferation conference--I hope
the planes will be flying. Please let me know
if you would like to discuss the talking points
prepared for your use (Tab B). II I met
with Admiral Inman this morning to discuss
conference preparations and his talking points-
(Tab E). I also thanked him for his participation.
He underscored the importance of the topic and
noted his agreement to keynnte the conference
F__ I
The attached notebook contains background
materials for the subject conference.
THE DIRECTOR OF
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
Deputy Director for National Foreign Assessment
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Suggested Talking Points for DD/NFA Presentation, "National Foreign
Assessment: Organization, Priorities, and Trends" (0930 hours, Thursday,
25 June 1981)
concern about the spread of
nuclear capabilities and weapons to additional countries,
particularly those in volatile areas of the Third World.
--This problem and other highly complex Third World issues are
receiving greater attention and emphasis within the Intelligence
Community. And the relevant research and analysis capabilities
of the National Foreign Assessment Center are being upgraded. We
attach a high priority to this effort.
--Concerning the treatment of proliferation-related issues, I
believe that the intelligence process can only benefit from
a close working relationship between you--the policy officials--
and intelligence analysts and managers.
--Feedback from the policy side as part of a close policy-intelligence
interchange inevitably will carry the benefit of improving what
we call "national foreign assessment" in this vital area.
--Our collective efforts will increase in importance as we move
through this decade--a decade that carries the potential for the
emergence of additional nuclear-armed states, as well as more
countries that will be in the international market selling
their nuclear materials and facilities.
--In conjunction with your work in the area of proliferation policy,
I invite you to call on me when you have needs for intelligence
support that are not being met. I hope, of course, that we will
be able to anticipate your needs in many instances.
will tell you more about how we are set up to
support you in the proliferation area. In his capacity as
my special assistant for nuclear proliferation intelligence,
his functions and responsibilities are quite like those of
the National Intelligence Officers.
25X1
25X1
CONFIDENTIAL
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e potential acquisition onuclear weapons by additional
countries, a subject that has received considerable atten-
tion by the Intelligence Community in recent years.
--It is an issue whose priority is formally recognized by
intelligence to be of critical importance to US political,
economic, and military interests.
--A number of agencies of the NFIB have either initiated or
participate in a diverse set of collection programs tailored
to produce information pertaining to the motivations of
countries and their nuclear progress and goals. Some are
quite innovative and are paying off now. We must wait a
while to see the fruits of others.
W
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Suggested Talking Points for DDCI Presentation, "Nuclear Proliferation:
The Role of the Intelligence Community" (0900 hours, Thursday, 25 June)
--You will later receive detailed briefings concerning the
status of the most important of these collection efforts.
You will get a better sense for their payoff in the dis-
cussions of particular countries of concern that are on
your agenda for today.
--On the analysis and assessments side of our business we
have been giving increasing attention to the decisionmaking
process and political determinants that underlie a national,
weapons-oriented, nuclear development effort.
--Unfortunately, the information needed for this purpose is
the weakest component of our intelligence base. And this,
of course, is a consequence of the great secrecy typically
surrounding the handling o# these matters by national
authorities.
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the broad
question with which you will be grappling--the spread
of nuclear capabilities to Third World countries--and
the chaotic political conditions of the Middle East.
--The discussions that take place here are sure to con-
tribute to the course being followed or set for dealing
with the principal countries of current concern--India,
Pakistan, Libya, Iraq, Israel, and South Africa. In
this connection, we should hope to come away with a
better understanding of the phenomena stimulating these
countries to build nuclear explosives.
--The Administration in its recent review of its nuclear
proliferation and cooperation policies committed itself
to a continuing strong intelligence effort. It also
has stated that improvements will be made as needed. I
trust that you will be able to identify such needs as
one outcome of the deliberations that will take place
over the next two days.
--In the meantime, the DCI and I will do our part to en-
sure that intelligence in this area will be the best
available.
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