STATE/INR REQUEST FOR UPDATE OF PAK SNIE, AND ASSESSMENT OF ARGENTINE NUCLEAR PROGRAM

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87R00029R000200420055-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: March 22, 2007
• Sequence Number: 55
• Publication Date: June 4, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 200T/03123 ~t~'~"P87R00029R000200420055-2
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SUBJECT: State/INR Request for Update of Pak SNIE, and
Assessment of Argentine Nuclear Program
I propose the fallowing in response to the request (which I
mentioned at this A.M.'s NIO meeting):
--Pakistan. A short (2=3 printed page) memo to holders
~SNIE 31-81: "Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons Program:
The Next Three Years" which would say a) that Paks
have not slowed their efforts to get the bomb, and b)
t ere is new evi ence of significant PRC assistance
on at least the weapons-design side. Our estimate
on timing for the availability of material (late
82-early 83/84) might be adjusted somewhat.
--~~Ar~~e~__~n~~~t~~~in~a. A relatively short (3-5 printed page) SNIE
ocu~ssing on a) intentions concerning production o~
nuclear explosives, b) the principal political and
financial constraints, and c) incentives that might
exist in the aftermath of the Falklands conflict to
develop and acquire nuclear weapons.
Both papers would follow fast-track procedures. The Argentine
paper could be part of a broader assessment/estimate that NIO/LA
(and NIO/GPF?) will be doin Drafters:
for Pak paper, and or Argentine assessment ve iscussed
with both). Next s eps i you agree with the above:
--Notify of request and suggested
follow-up 4 une .
--Discuss with C/NIC for his perspective and approval
(4 June).
--Call R. Martin (INR) and inform him of approach to
be taken (7 June).
--Draft concept/TOR for both papers and have C/NIC
approve and send to Reps (9 June).
cc: C/NIC
NIO/NESA
NIO/LA
25X1
25X1
SECRETI ~ 25x1
AnnrnuPC~ For RPIPa 007[03/23 C;IA-RDP87R0 0298000200420055-2