NOVEMBER WARNING AND FORECAST AGENDA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87R00529R000100080021-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 7, 2011
• Sequence Number: 21
• Publication Date: November 12, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/07: CIA-RDP87R00529R000100080021-3
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
NIC-05152/86
12 November 1986
Acting National Intelligence Officer for Europe
SUBJECT: November Warning and Forecast Agenda
1. The November Warning and Forecast meeting will be held at 1025 on
Wednesday, 19 November 1986, room 7-E-62, CIA Headquarters. The meeting
will be devoted to West Europe's adjustments to the Rejkjavik summit.
2. Presentations and discussions should be forward-looking, seeking
to forecast likely future scenarios rather than sum up current trends.
Presentations should be limited to five minutes each to allow ample time
for discussion.
3. I suggest the following agenda:
10:25 - 10:35: Opening Remarks. (NIO/EUR)
10:35 - 11:10: The Impact in NATO. (DIA)
How do the new parameters of disarmament talks following
Reykjavik affect Allied views on the balance betweeen conventional
and nuclear deterrence in strategic planning? What is the emerging
allied view on US intentions towards the Alliance and on their own
status in the Alliance? How will those factors affect their
participation in specific NATO programs?
11:10 - 11:50: The Domestic Political Impact in Europe. (EURA)
How has the Iceland meeting affected the left's view on security
issues in key allied states? What is the impact on center-right
forces sympathetic to the US? Will there be an effect on the
elections in the UK, and FRG? What is the broader impact on public
opinion likely to be and how will this affect support for
"Atlanticism" as opposed to Euro-centered policies?
CL BY SIGNER
DECL OADR
DERV MULTIPLE
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SECRET NOFORN
11:50 - 12:15: The Allies and Disarmament Talks. (INR)
How have the Allies' views of disarmament issues and the process
of negotations been affected in the wake of Reykjavik? Have
differences between the Allies and the US widened or narrowed? How
is the USSR likely to play disarmament issues and to what effect?
3. Please have your clearances certified (Attn: NIC Admin/POC:
and call our office with your attendance plans
by COB Friday, 14 November 1986.
2
SECRET NOFORN
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