Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
Release Decision: 
Original Classification: 
Document Page Count: 
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 13, 2010
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 5, 1985
Content Type: 
PDF icon CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2.pdf91.58 KB
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110602-2 SECRET/NOFORN The Director of Central Intelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 National Intelligence Council MEMORANDUM FOR: Distribution FROM: NIC 04470-85 5 September 1985 Charles E. Allen National Intelligence Officer for Counterterrorism and Narcotics SUBJECT: Proposed Agenda for 24 September 1985 Counterterrorism Warning and Forecast Meeting The Monthly Warning and Forecast Meeting of the Interagency Intelligence Committee on Terrorism will be held on Tuesday, 24 September 1985 at 1400 hours in Room 7E62. CIA Headquarters. Please phone your attendance intentions to and have your clearances verified to us by your security officer by COB 21 September . The following topics are on the agenda. A brief presentation will be made by a Community analyst followed by a short disucssion period. Attendees should come prepared to fullysparticipate in the followup discussion. Keep in mind that our objective is to address near- to mid-term threats, make forecasts,, and identify collection gaps, rather than to review current intelligence. Discussion sou Include comments regarding intelligence gaps, collection requirements, and suggestions/recommendations for improving collection and analysis on a particular threat. -- Implications of Increased AVC/M-19 Cooperation. (0 DIA I/2hr) - What is the evidence of more active cooperation between the AVC and M-19? 25X1 25X1 SECRET/NOFORN Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2 -- Potential for More Leftist Terrorist Violence in Chile. IA hr Can we expect an increase/decrease in violence in the wake of the 12th anniversary of the Pinochet regime? What do we know about external support; for example, is Cuba or the Soviet Union the more dominant actor in Chile or is there a division of responsibilities? - What are the prospects for a coordinated campaign against Pinochet by regional forces headquartered in Argentina? -- Prospects for Iranian Retaliation A ainst Selected Persian Gulf Arab States in Res onse to Recent Iraqi acs on har Island. T_ _] CIA 1/2 hr) -- Is Iran likely to employ terrorism to retaliate against those states it believes support Iraq; what are the likely targets; do we expect to see oil export facilities in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia targeted? What are the implications for Bahrain of an Iranian-sponsored terrorist campaign in the Gulf? How would Saudi Arabia respond to a threat to topple the Bahrainian government? - Does Iran have effective control of its assets--Dawa and Radical Shia--in the Gulf; are they undertaking terrorist operations on their own? -- Terrorism in South Africa. CIA 1/2 hr) - What is the likelihood that terrorist groups will take advantage of the currnet state of civil unrest and political problems confronting Pretoria? - What is the position of the ANC on the use of violence against the white population/what agitation tactics are being advocated by the ANC? - What are the likely prospects that terrorists will attack South African businesses and Embassies abroad? 2 SECRET/NOFORN Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2 - What foreign backing do these groups enjoy? -- Other business. V Ru pest - JSoc HI4f _ Sus 3 SECRET/NOFORN Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2