TALKING POINTS FOR(SANITIZED)THE FUTURE OF HONG KONG

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87T00495R001301510007-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 18, 2011
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: September 14, 1983
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/18: CIA-RDP87TOO495ROO1301510007-3
National Intelligence Council
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
NIC-6238-83
14 September 1983
FROM: Herbert E. Meyer
Vice Chairman, National Intelligence Council
SUBJECT: Talking Points
The Future of Hong Kong
1. This NIE, the first to be prepared on this subject, is on the NFIB
agenda for 15 September. The Estimate was readily coordinated by the agency
representatives, and we know of no dissents or problems concerning it.
2. The tone of the NIE is pessimistic: it does not rule out a
continuing fairly prosperous and vital Hong Kong in the years ahead, before
and after the retrocession of the area to the PRC in 1997, but estimates that
the more likely course is lessening confidence in Hong Kong's future and hence
a gradual decline in its vitality. The NIE also estimates the consequences
for American interests of various Hong Kong outcomes.
3. The NIE's judgments are widely shared,/
The Consul General in Hong Kong and his deputy do hold
more optimistic views, but they are virtually alone in such belief.
Herbert E. Meyer
CL BY SIGNER
DECL OADR
t.i
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C 20505
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/18: CIA-RDP87TOO495ROO1301510007-3
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