OLMDER TRADE MISSION TO THE USSR

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CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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15
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December 22, 2016
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November 16, 2010
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24
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January 11, 1985
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MEMO
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 -SC RE-1-- The Director of Central Intelligence Washington, D.C. 20505 National Intelligence Council NIC #00178-85 11 January 1985 MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence Deputy Director of Central Intelligence Assistant NIO for Economics SUBJECT: Olmer Trade Mission to the USSR 1. I thought you would be interested in some background on Lionel Olmer's trip to the Soviet Union. As you can see from NSDD 155, the SIG-IEP took a close look at his proposed agenda and sought assurances that the discussions would be kept within narrow bounds. 2. We only have press guidance on the results of the meetings at this time. Olmer told correspondents that a future ministerial meeting was "possible." By Monday noon, we should have a better reading on the substance of the discussions. I will forward a summary of these results prior to your afternoon meeting with Olmer. 3. Several other major countries plan trade missions to the USSR in the near future. The Japanese, for example, recently held talks on possible trade expansion. An analysis of projects underway, however, indicates that any upturn in Japan-USSR trade relations will be extremely limited. Attachments: As stated Cl By Signer Decl OADR All portions Secret SECRET Derived fm Multiple Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 NIC #00178-85 11 January 1985 SUBJECT: 01mer Trade Mission to the USSR DCI/NIC/A/NI0/Econ: Dist: Ori g - DCI 1 - DDCI 1 - ExDir 1 - OCI/SA/IA 1 - ER 1 - C/NIC 1 - VC/NIC 1 - 0. Low, A/NI0/Econ 1 - DOI Registry 2-I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Background on Olmer Trade Mission to the USSR The purported reason for the Olmer trade mission to the USSR was to discuss obstacles to the expansion of non-strategic trade and to explore if there should be a meeting of the Cabinet level US-USSR Joint Commercial Commission. Olmer said he intended (a) to raise the issues of non-discriminatory treatment of US firms seeking to export, (b) to discuss possible areas for mutually beneficial trade expansion, and (c) to explain our current export control policy. Per agreement in the SIG-IEP, Olmer was to hold these discussions within the context of current export control policies and was not to discuss changes in oil and gas equipment and technology controls "pending further policy clarification." US firms currently are generally excluded from Soviet bid lists and prevented from promoting their products in the USSR. US sales to the USSR last year totaled just under $3 billion, with agricultural goods accounting for 75 percent of the total. Soviet sales to the US last year were around $500 million with ammonia, fuel oil, and palladium the lead export items. In discussing the trip at a SIG-IEP on 18 December 1984, Baldrige assured members that the primary purpose of the trip was to lay the groundwork for possible future discussions between him and Foreign Trade Minister Patolichev. CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 00 QUFAIIH ZNY CCCCC ZUC STATE ZZH UTSVH25 (10 RIJEHC DE QUEHAO OnS11/01 0111747 ZNY CCCCC ZZH 0 1117422 JArd AS F'4 AMFM1ASSY MUSC')q T:7 0?fr_.1L/~tCSTATE ?tAS~+)C I''IFOIATF b12f+ kUFW0C/USO:)C +ASHnC IMMEDIATE INFO PUFHLG/AMC(INSUL LENINGWAD OSAS RUFWUd/A4EA94SSY QUALIN OS92 AUEHAK/AMFMHASSY ANKARA 3nh2 WUEW1H/A*E?40ASSY ATHENS 2792 RUFWUL/AMF-*J44SSY WI MN 0 .3;A AUE14AS/AME14ASSY H USSELS 4171 RUOKPtJQ/AMEMcA$SY CnPENHAGF~1 263() RUFHLI/AMFMSASSY LISRON 1AQF RUENLO/4ME 4r ASSY LONDON Qbb() RUFWHCi/Af4EM-)ASSY LUXEM' DURC~ 1 1 1 S RUEHMf)/AMFMRASSY MADRID 3114 RUr)KSHO/AMEMRASSY OSLO 2197 WUENOT/AMEMAASSY OTTAWA 2744 RUFHFR/AMEM6ASSY PARIS 6992 RUEWK,)/4MEMAASSY REYKJAVIK 1()()e RUE4RO/AME.HASSY 004E 0796 RUOKCiPO/AmEMAASSY THE HAGUE 2963 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 C C KUFMJA/USMTSSION US4EQLIN 6526 RI1DKEr3Q/A?'IE1iRASSY 3EPN 1003 RUFHNK/AMEMBASSY HELSINKI 4502 RUOKFMQ/AMEMRASSY STOCKNULM 3091 f RUENVI/ATMEMaASSY VIENNA 1279 RUOKP4/AMEMAASSY BELGRADE 0776 RJF IE~i#*- rvMi M A jSv t1EQLIN 7112 G RUOKAP/AME04ASSY EUCHAREST 1Sr)9 RUDKDA/A,+1E4E4ASSY BUDAPEST OS46 RUDKRP/AMFMPASSY PQAGUE 1244 ? RUOKSA/AME49ASSY SOFIA n496 RUDKP*/AMEMHASSY OAQSA* 2750 RUF.$ U/AMCONS(JL MUq1CH 94L6 QUE~1RJ/AME;ME4ASSY AEIJIVG 7119 QUEHKO/AMEMSASSY T')KYn 76AS gr C C O N F I D E N T I A L LIMITED nFFICTAL IISE MOSCow nOStt USDOC FiIP lnnn/OS/TTA/UNpEp SECQETARY EILM"FQ ( uSWIC F!!++ E.O. E.O. 12.35',1 P..I/A TAGSI ECOrl, Fr4D? .IQ, iJS SUq.jECTI *r) I(pJG GonUP 39 FXPFPTS& OLMEP PRESS Cn~JFEQE^ICE 1. SUr*MAUY$ IINDEQ SFCQE'TnPY riF CnMMEPCE nL'4EP HFLO A PRF_SS C(JrvFFWFr?ICE 1inQ *FSTFQN CORQESPQMUENrs IN W'ISCra t-l r I: r_ 1 ?1 rlr 14? U Q} in r ` r?/;CI Sc' THr_ _;C, t%fITIcS R f F' P S -,-n' C1 I),'Fr. '. ;.~IIcgQ J,neKTN' r Q'IfIr "F F'/Pr-QTS. OLMFU SOME CAUTT'.)USLY nN FUTURE PQnSC'ECTS Fr)P QILATEQAL TRADE. Arin WAS NfNCOW'lTTTAL QFGAQnTPIG TI,--E PnSSIRTLTTY THAT A FIILL JOTNt CnoMEQCTAL CnMMTSST(+N 01ULrl MFET THIS YEAR. HE EMPHASIZED THAT II.S. DOLIC_TES ON ExpnPT Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 2. IN ADDITION TO HANDI4G nUT A ORF.,SS PELEASE IDARAGRAPH 4 SELOw), i1LMFR DREW LARGELY ON POINTS COI'ITAINEn IN REFTEL A TO nFSCRIAE THE WORKING C,ROIIP'S TASK nor EXAMINING ? THE PROBLEMS AND PAnSPRCTS 'FOR U.S.-SOVTET BILATERAL TRADE. nLMER NOTED THAT THE MAJOR OR.JECTIVF OF THE wnaKIrJG GROUP WAS TO nFTERMTNE THE MERITS (IF CONVENING A 4EETTPIG OF THE FULL JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION (JCC). IHFN ASKED AAn0T THE PnSSTRTLITY OF A JCC MEETING, nLMER EMDHASIZFO THAT, AS YET, NEITHER SIDE HAO TAKEN A FIRM POSITION IM THE MATTER. WE AnnED THAT HIS REPORT TO COMMERCE SECRETARY RALnRIGE KnULn HELD CLARIFY THE I.S? VIEW rnAAUD HOLDING A JCC MEETING. PRESSED TO COMMENT ON THE OnSSIHLF VENUUF FOR A MEETING, PARTICULARLY IN VIE. OF SOVIET FORETON TPAI)E MINISTFR PATOLICHFV'S TN.AFTLTTY TO TRAVEL, nLMER ALLC1wFn THAT (. THE U.S. SIDE i i1IILO NOT NECESSARILY STAND r1N PpnT(1C')L CS AND *OULO CON=SIDER MoSCOw AS A ST TE FOR A SECOMn CONSECUTIVE JCC MEETING, SHOULD gfTH SIDES AGPFF TO HOLD THE JCC. 3. nLMER STRESSED THAT U.S. POLICIES (IN EXPORT COMT HAD UNOERGONF Mn CHANGE AND THAT THE SOVIET SIDE NAS SO TNFIIN'NED nIIRIyG THE IQkIf,.iG GROUP uFETINr. HE ME-.Tltl..iFi- -S I^Ll 'I.S. GFF,iRTS DURING THE +EETTrd, TO EOt,r_xTy THE SI)VIET SDFCTALISTS pcr,Awntr`jG ('.S. LICENSING PRACTICES, PARTICIIL.APLY SINCE THOSE PRACTICES ARE NOT AS RESTRICTIVE AS THE SOVIETS LIKE TO SUGGEST. RESPONDING TO A OIIESTION AMOUT PERSONAL Cf1MPOTERS. HE OESCRIAED THE IVCnRDnPATION OF NEW COCOM AGREFMFNTS INTO U.S. REGULATIONS, EFFECTIVE .JANUARY 1. OLMER (.. NOTED THAT THE wr?RKING GROUP REVIEMED IN A GENERAL *AY A NUMAER OF AREAS 3F DOSSIALE COOPERATION, APFAS *HTCH THE SOVIETS ARID ')*So AIISINESSMFN FRO.*4 UISTFC HAD nTSCUSSEn C PRIOR Ill THE MEETING OF THE WORKING GR(IUP. IN RESPONSE c c Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 r USDOC FOP SOHO/TA/AS/WAQCHEY ? USDOC FOR 4200/IEP/EUR1OAS/FVAQGO Eon. 123561 N/4 TAGS1 ECON, FTRD, Up, US SUBJECTI *r1PKI"iG GROUP OF EXDERTSI OLMER PRESS C!1NFFPFNCE TO A IIIIEST I ON, OLMER TOtICHFD RP I EFLY TIN U. S. CnNCFr1N ABOUT LOSS OF SOVIET ACCREnITATTr1N HY THE U.S. FIRM CALIF'JQNIA TNTERNAr10NAL TRAnF ANO THE SOVIET DRESS C ALLEOATIDNS OF F-SDI'INAGF AND TMDRODEQ POSTNESS PRACTICES ON THE DART CF A C 'APANY EXECUTIVE. 4. THE FOLLOWING IS T-!E TEXT OF THF U.S. nFLFGATIO OS PRESS RELEASE OF JANUARY to ON THE wfQKTNG GRIIIIP MEErINGZ ODUTE THE 'I.S.-t1.S.S.R. HPPKTNG GWnUo (IF FXPEPTS MET JANUARY 8.9 IN MOSCn* TO DISCUSS RILATERAL TQAnF RELATTONS AN') THE POSSTiTLITIFS FLIP rLADE EXPANSION. THF UeS. Ci DF_Lt= ,ATItr! AS HFAhFp 4Y UN.NI)ER SECQFTAPY OF CDMMERCF- LIONEL H. OLUFR. THE S"JVIFT OELF_CATInN WAS HFAnEO HY DEP'ITY FnPEI4,N TRADE -+INISTEP VLAnItIR SUJSHK(1V. THE PRINCIPAL otJPC)r)SF OR THE MEETINI6S wA5 TO EXPLORE WHETHER THFQF *AS ENOUGH CnMMON GROUND TO WARRANT CONVENING A MEETING OF THE U.S.U.S.S.Q. JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION, A MINISTERIAL-LEVEL TRADE GP(1t1D wHTCH IS CHAIRED AY U.S. SECRETARY OF COMMERCE MALCnLM RALnRTGF ANO SOVIET FOREIGN TRAOg MINISTER NIKOLAI PATOLICWEV. THE DISCUSSIONS COVERED THF STATUS OF TQAnE, OBSTACLES TO TPAnE. AND THE PP'SPECTS FOR TRADE EXPANSION. THE TALKS WERE FPAVK ANO DTRFCT, WITH EACH SIDE RAISING THE OBSTACLES IT SAN TO THE EXPANSION OF TRADE. EACH SIDE ALS[1 EXOLAINEO THE AREAS IN *HTCH IT RELIEVFD AN EXPANSION or TRADE WOULD RE RENFFICTAL. THE 11?S, DELEGATION FXDLATNED THAT THE UNITED STATES WAS INTERESTED IN EXPANDING PEACEFUL TRADE, AND, STRESSED THE U.S. I4TROEST IN TRADE GQnNTH -VAS ONLY IN THOSE Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 AREAS THAT HFPE f OvSISTENT WITH U.S. FXPf0RT CnNTQfI1, POLICIES AND ',ITH OTHER U.S. LAWS GUVFPFIT"NG RTLATFRAL TRADE. UNDER SECRETARY (1LMER STATED THE U.S. VIEW THAT TWFQF 40 WAS CONSIDFPAMLE RnnM FOP AN FXPANSTnN OF MtUTUALLY- BENEFICIAL TRADE wiTNIN THE OPESENTLY?OFLINEATFD AREAS. U.S. EXPORTS TO THE U.S.S.P. APE ONLY DOLS ?.Q QTLLTDP', G OF -HIGH An OERCE-,IT 4HE Ar;RTCULTUPAL PPt1(1t.ICTS. SOVIET EXPORTS TO TdF' UNITED STATES ARE D(1LS SDn MILLIn^i. A 04NGE OF OaSTACI.ES SEEN AY EACH 5InF *FOE OISCUSSFO? *ITH AN "PEN FXCHAVGE OF VTF*S. THE Dt1FPl-SE OF THE ? LI14ITED OFFICIAL USE SECTION 13 OF 03 MUSCnw nnS11 USnOC FOR lnnrl/nS/ITA/v?VDER SECQFTAPY 0LMFR USOOC FOR Sgnn/TA/AS/WAQCHEY USDnC FOR A2nn/TEP/EUQ/OAS/FVAQGn E.D. 12.35b3 N/A TAGS$ ECnN. FTQ0. OR. US SUBJECTS WORKING GQ1UO IF EXPERTSS OLMER PRFSS CONFFPENCF C WORKTNG GROUP 4FETT4G NAS ONLY TO DISCUSS VTEWS AND POSITIONS. NOT TO NEGOTIATE DIFFEPENCFS. AREAS IN WHICH U.S. CUMPANIFS AND SOVIET (PGANI7ATTONS MIGHT UNDERTAKE PROJECTS OR EXPAND TRADE wEQF ALSO DISCUSSED IN A PRELI4INARY FASHION, alto THE UNnFQSTANDTNG THAT NO DECISIONS 41EPF TO RE WADE AT THIS DOTNT. ROTH STIES BELIEVED TNEQE WAS SIGNIFICANT OVFRLAPPING OF AREAS OF INTEREST. (,. UNDER SECRETARY OLMER EXPRESSED THE SATISFACTION IF THE U.S. OELEGATInN WITH THE TONE ANO SURSTANCF OF T14F MEETINGS. HF EXPLAINED, H(1.EVER. THAT THE DECISION ON WHETHER THE UNITED STATES NOW MANTEn TO MOLD A MEETING OF THE CAOINET-LEVEL U.5.-SOVIET JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION WAS A OECTSIOV THAT Kn,'LD RE MADE AFTER HE Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 41 9 r 25X1 THE U.S.-U.S.S.Q. anRKivr, GQIUP OF EXPERTS VAS FnRMFI) IN 1974 WIDER THE TERMS OF THE U,S.-U.S.S.R. 1_nNG-TERM AGQEEMFNT Tfl FACILITATE ECONnOIC, IMOUSTPTAL. ANr) TECHNICAL 0000?QATION. THAT AGRFEMENT WAS FxTFPIr)En TN JUNF_ 19A? FfP A FUQTwFR 1A YEAQS, RY MUTUAL AGREEMENT OF THE UNITED STATES ANf) THE SOVIET M 410N, THIS MEETING OF THE 4OPK I MG GROUP N A S THE FIRST SINCE 197A* LINQIIOTE. HARTMAN Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 The Washington Post January 11, 1985 U.S.-Soviet Trade Talks Likely to Resume ;Joint Group May Be Revived After 6 Years By Celestine Bohlen washin ft Feat RacNp Sarvin MOSCOW, Jan. 10-After a six- .year freeze, Cabinet-level meetings between the United States and the .Soviet Union on trade issues are ,likely to resume, a U.S. Commerce Department official said here today. It seems to me there is reason for optimism," said Undersecretary of Commerce Lionel H. Olmer at a press conference winding up 2% days of talks with Soviet trade of- ficials. Olmer, heading a delegation of 10 U.S. officials, said the main purpose of his visit was to determine if a meeting of the Joint U.S.-U.S.S.R. ,Commercial Commission would be . worthwhile. The commission, chaired by U.S. Commerce Secre- tary Malcolm Baldrige and Soviet ,Foreign Trade Minister Nikolai Pa- ,tolichev, has not met since Decem- her 1978. A final decision has not yet been made, but Olmer said his meetings here with Patolichev and Vladimir Sushkov, deputy foreign trade min- ister and head of the Soviet dele- gation, indicated that a ministerial meeting was possible. - "It seemed there are a number of areas where we can talk usefully and productively about expanding inonstrategic trade," Ohner said. Official U.S.-Soviet contacts on issues were broken off after .trade the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in December 1979. Since then, .trade relations have been buffeted .first by a U.S. embargo on grain ,sales and then, after martial law was declared in Poland in Decem- ber 1981, by a U.S. effort to block the sale of equipment for a Siberian natural gas pipeline. The 1980 grain embargo has since been lifted, replaced by a five- year grain agreement signed in 1983, and U.S. companies now can sell pipe-laying equipment to the Soviet Union, provided it is not con- sidered "strategic," Ohner noted today. But U.S.-Soviet trade is still be- low what it was in 1979. According to the Soviet news agency Tass, the United States has fallen from sec- ond to seventh place among the So- viet Union's capitalist trading part- ners. While citing a potential for "sig- nificant expansion" in U.S.-Soviet trade, Ohner noted that even in 1979, U.S. manufacturing exports to the Soviet Union were $700 mil- lion, a fraction of U.S. world trade. "It's not great when measured against half a trillion dollars in ex- ports and imports,* Olmer said. This week's talks focused on ways to improve the trading climate and to ease business contacts within the framework of existing restric- tions, Olmer said. He singled out agribusiness, pet- rochemicals and consumer products as fields where U.S. business groups felt American firms could meet Soviet needs. The Soviets, for their part, want to increase their exports to the United States, but were not explicit about the type of products, Olmer said. Conceding that the U.S. market for Soviet goods is "very small" Ohner said, LIONEL H. OLMER .:. sees "reason for optimism" "Tie problem of marketing Soviet goods is a Soviet problem." Restrictions on the sale of "stra- tegic" goods and technology, as well as longstanding preconditions on granting the. Soviet Union most- favored-nation trading status, were not discussed this week, Olmer said. 'here is no intention, no senti- ment, no interest in pursuing changes" in those areas, he said. The United States has tied most- favored-nation status to greater freedom for Soviet citizens to em- igrate and has signed agreements with 14 nations limiting the transfer of technology to Warsaw Pact coun- tries. Ohner said the Soviets were not aware that the 15-nation committee that monitors sensitive exports to the Soviet Bloc had changed its rules recently to allow the sale of personal computers to countries in the bloc. Those changes were adopted along with tighter restric- tions on the sale of more sophisti- cated computer technology. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 US Favors Expansion Of Trade With Soviets January 11, 1985 By ALBERT AXEBANK Journal of Can..a sv.oi MOSCOW - U.S. U~ of Commerce Lionel H. Olmer said Thursday be had told the Soviet Union there is "considerable room" for an expansion of mutually beneficial trade between the two countries within the presently delineated areas. Mr. Olmer told a news gathering in Moscow that be had met and held lengthy talks with Soviet Foreign Trade Minister Nikolai Patolichev and his deputy, Vladimir Sushkov. The U.S. Commerce official and his delegation were to return to Washington next Monday and discuss with Secretary of Commerce Mal- colm Baldrige whether there is enough common ground to warrant convening a ministerial-level meet- ing with the Soviets. , Mr. O1mer said, in reply to a question from this newspaper, that the Reagan administration "favors expansion of peaceful trade with the U.S.S.R. in non-strategic areas." He said recent decisions of the United States and its awes had resulted in an eating of some restrictions on Soviet trade, for example on sales of person- al computers to the Soviet Union. At the same time, Mr. Olmer said be raised with Soviet officials" the problems existing U-S, legislation dealing with Soviet t trade, including Soviet trade and economic council recently had come up with a number of projects in which the Soviets were interested. He said the Commerce bepartment has been examining these projects for approval. .. Mr. Olmer said a member of his delegation had explained to the Sovi- ets about anti-dumping laws in the United States. The Commerce official said a Soviet-American working group of experts was formed in 1974 under the terms of the U.S.-U.S.S.R. l ng-term the linkage of such trade with Soviet emigration policies- Mr . Olmer said the talks in Mos- cow covered the status of trade, obstacles to trade and the prospects for trade expansion. He called the talks frank and direct, with each side raising the obstacles it saw to in- creased trade. Each side also ex- plained the areas in which it believed an expansion of trade would be beneficial. U.S exports to the Soviet Union were approximately $3 billion last year, of which 80 percent was agricul- tural products. Soviet exports to the United States totaled about $500 million. Mr. Olmer said there was a potential for U.S. firms to make profits in Soviet trade and also to make a "contribution" to Soviet- American understanding. He said some difficulties with the Soviets were not capable of resolu- tion, that some difficulties can be resolved and that in a third area there were no difficulties. The official said U.S. Ambassador Arthur Hartman had proposed last year a U.S. pam- phlet, which was published, setting forth those American products for export to the Soviet Union that did not require a license Mr. Olmer said the American- SEE US FAVORS, PAGE 3A agreement to facilitate economic, industrial and technical cooperation. He said that agreement was extended in June 1984 for a further 10 years by mutual agreement of both countries. He said his meeting in Moscow this week was the first of such a working group since 1978. Mr. Olmer said the Soviets had agreed to meet with an official of a US firm, CIT, which had lost its official Soviet accreditation. Soviet Trade Talks Ended 4W to as New aa. 1 IS MOSCOW, Jan. 10-'Ilse head of an American trade delegation said today that he was optimistic about the pos- sibilities for a meeting between Com- and the Soviet Foreign Trade ter, Nikolai S. Patolichev.- Ending two days of talks, Under- secretary of Commerce Lionel H. Olmer said, however, that he had made it clear that there was no ques- tion of the United States' reviewing its policy of trade restrictions on goods with possible military applica- tions. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 CONFIDENTIAL NIO/ECON NCOM:25X1 PP RUEAIIB ZNY CCCCC ZOC STATE ZZH PP RUEHC DE RUEHC #2431 0040707 ZNY CCCCC ZZH P 0405552 JAN 85 ZEX FM SECSTATE WASHDC TO COCOM CAPITALS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY RUEHWL/AMEMBASSY WELLINGTON PRIORITY 0000 RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA PRIORITY 0000 RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING PRIORITY 0000 RUEHWL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL PRIORITY 0000 BT C O N F I DENT I A L STATE 002431 E.O. 12356: DECL:OADR TAGS: ETRD, UR SUBJECT: US-USSR WORKING GROUP OF EXPERTS' MEETING 1. COMMERCE UNDER SECRETARY LIONEL OLMER WILL LEAD AN INTERAGENCY U.S. DELEGATION TO MOSCOW FOR AN ECONOMIC EXPERTS' GROUP MEETING ON JANUARY 8-10. THIS MEETING, WHICH IS BEING HELD UNDER THE PROVISIONS OF THE U.S.-SOVIET LONG TERM ECONOMIC, INDUSTRIAL AND TECHNICAL AGREEMENT. IS THE FIRST MEETING OF THIS GROUP SINCE 1978. IN ADDITION TO COMMERCE, REPRESENTATIVES FROM THE DEPARTMENTS OF STATE, TREASURY. AND AGRICULTURE AND THE OFFICE OF THE SPECIAL TRADE REPRESNTATIVE WILL BE REPRESENTED ON THE U.S. DELEGATION. 2. THE PURPOSE OF THE WORKING GROUP IS TO REVIEW THE STATUS OF OVERALL U.S.-SOVIET ECONOMIC RELATIONS, TO DISCUSS PRESENT OBSTACLES TO THE EXPANSION OF NON-STRATEGIC TRADE, AND TO EXPLORE IF THERE SHOULD BE A MEETING OF THE CABINET-LEVEL U.S.-U.S.S.R. JOINT - COMMERCIAL COMMISSION (JCC). THE JCC WAS ESTABLISHED IN 1972 BUT HAS NOT MET SINCE 1978. IT IS CHAIRED ON THE U.S. SIDE BY SECRETARY OF COMMERCE BALDRIGE AND ON THE SOVIET SIDE BY FOREIGN TRADE MINISTER PATOLICHEV. THE USG HAS AGREED TO CONSIDER PROSPECTS FOR A JCC MEETING AS PART OF THE OVERALL EFFORT TO ESTABLISH A MORE CONSTRUCTIVE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE SOVIET UNION, BUT HAS INSISTED THAT A JCC MEETING CAN ONLY BE HELD IF IT WILL RESULT IN CONCRETE STEPS BY BOTH SIDES TO FACILITATE THE EXPANSION OF NON-STRATEGIC TRADE. THE MISSION OF THE WORKING GROUP IS TO DETERMINE IF THERE IS A SUFFICIENT OVERLAPPING OF TRADE INTERESTS TO ENABLE A SUCCESSFUL JCC MEETING. CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 CONFIDENTIAL 3. WE 00 NOT EXPECT A SHARP RISE IN TRADE AS A RESULT OF THE MEETING. BUT BELIEVE THAT IT WILL HAVE A POSITIVE IMPACT ON OUR OVERALL ECONOMIC RELATIONS. U.S. SALES TO THE USSR IN 1984 ARE EXPECTED TO BE DOLS 2.9 BILLION WITH OVER 75 PERCENT OF THESE BEING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES. SOVIET SALES TO THE U.S. IN 1984 WILL BE ABOUT DOLS 500 MILLION WITH AMMONIA. LIGHT FUEL OIL, AND PALLADIUM BEING THE LEADING SOVIET EXPORT ITEMS. 4. THE WORKING GROUP WILL HOLD DISCUSSIONS ON THE STATUS OF U.S.-SOVIET TRADE, WILL REVIEW OBSTACLES TO THE EXPANSION OF THAT TRADE, AND WILL SEEK TO IDENTIFY AREAS IN WHICH BOTH SIDES BELIEVE AN EXPANSION OF COMMERCE WOULD BE IN THEIR MUTUAL INTEREST. THE U.S. DEL WILL EMPHASIZE THE USG VIEW THAT THERE IS ROOM FOR AN EXPANSION OF NON-STRATEGIC TRADE WITHIN THE PARAMETERS OF PRESENT EXPORT CONTROL POLICIES. THE U.S. DEL WILL STRESS THE EFFECT THAT SOVIET PRACTICES ARE HAVING ON THE ABILITY OF U.S. FIRMS TO CONDUCT NON-STRATEGIC BUSINESS -- PRACTICES SUCH AS REMOVING U.S. FIRMS FROM BID LISTS, PREVENTING U.S. COMPANY PROMOTION EFFORTS. AND INSTRUCTING PURCHASING OFFICIALS TO AVOID BUYING U.S. PRODUCTS. IN ADDITION TO THESE ISSUES WE ALSO INTEND TO RAISE OUR CONCERNS WITH SOVIET HUMAN RIGHTS AND EMIGRATION POLICIES. 5. THE SOVIET DEL IS EXPECTED TO RAISE EXPORT CONTROLS AND CONTRACT SANCTITY AS MAJOR TRADE OBSTACLES AND TO REPEAT LONG-STANDING SOVIET COMPLAINTS REGARDING LACK OF MFN TREATMENT IN THE U.S. MARKET AND LACK OF OFFICIAL U.S. EXPORT FINANCING. THE SOVIET DEL WILL ALSO RAISE VARIOUS SPECIFIC U.S. RESTRICTIONS ON SOVIET EXPORTS TO THE UNITED STATES, SUCH AS ON FURS. NICKEL. AND POTASH. WE ARE ALSO EXPECTING THE SOVIETS TO EXPRESS INTEREST IN U.S. OIL AND GAS EQUIPMENT EXPORTS AND IN THE POSSIBILIITY OF U.S. COMPANY PARTICIPATION IN SOVIET ENERGY PROJECTS. 6. ALL US DEL DISCUSSIONS IN THE WORKING GROUP WILL BE WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF PRESENT EXPORT CONTROL POLICIES. THE US DEL WILL NOT BE DISCUSSING ANY EXPANSION OF GOODS OR TECHNOLOGIES AVAILABLE TO THE SOVIET UNION BEYOND THOSE PERMITTED UNDER PRESENT CONTROL REGULATIONS AND POLICIES. IN PARTICULAR, THE US DEL IS NOT GOING TO BE DISCUSSING CHANGES IN OIL AND GAS EQUIPMENT AND TECHNOLOGY CONTROLS OR AGREE TO AN ACTIVE PROGRAM FOR TRADE EXPANSION IN THIS AREA, PENDING FURTHER POLICY CLARIFICATION. 7. WE EXPECT THAT THIS MEETING WILL ATTRACT CONSIDERABLE ATTENTION FROM OUR ALLIES SINCE IT IS THE FIRST HIGH LEVEL GOVERNMENT-TO-GOVERNMENT CONTACT WE HAVE HAD WITH THE SOVIETS ON ECONOMIC/COMMERCIAL MATTERS. EXCEPTING AGRICULTURE, SINCE THE INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN. WE BELIEVE THAT IT IS PARTICULARLY IMPORTANT THAT THESE COUNTRIES HAVE A FULL UNDERSTANDING OF THE SCOPE OF OUR ECONOMIC DISCUSSIONS WITH THE SOVIETS BECAUSE WE WANT OUR COCOM PARTNERS TO UNDERSTAND THAT BEGINNING A DIALOGUE WITH THE SOVIETS ON TRADE MATTERS WILL NOT LEAD TO AN UNRAVELING OF TRADE CONTROLS NOW IN PLACE. WE THEREFORE WOULD LIKE TO HAVE POSTS APPROACH ALLIED GOVERNMENTS PRIOR TO THE OLMER MEETING AND OFFER THEM A FULL BRIEFING USING PARAS. 1-6 AND THE TALKING POINTS BELOW. WE ALSO INTEND TO PROVIDE THEM WITH A READOUT OF THE RESULTS OF THE OLMER MEETING. CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 CONFIDENTIAL ------------------------------------------------------------------------ --- THE JANUARY MEETING OF ECONOMIC AND TRADE EXPERTS IS AN IMPORTANT PART OF OUR EFFORT TO ESTABLISH A MORE CONSTRUCTIVE OVERALL DIALOGUE WITH THE SOVIETS. --- WE SUPPORT THE PRINCIPLE OF ENCOURAGING MUTUALLY BENEFICIAL, NON-STRATEGIC TRADE WHILE MAINTAINING OUR CURRENT REGIME OF TRADE CONTROLS IN SECURITY-SENSITIVE AREAS. --- AT THE MEETING WE PLAN TO EXPLORE WITH THE SOVIETS IF THERE ARE AREAS IN WHICH NON-STRATEGIC TRADE CAN BE EXPANDED ON A MUTUALLY BENEFICIAL BASIS. NO AGREEMENTS OR NEGOTIATIONS WILL TAKE PLACE IN THE WORKING GROUP. THE MEETING IS FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF ASCERTAINING WHETHER IT WOULD BE WORTHWHILE TO SCHEDULE A MEETING OF THE U.S.-U.S.S.R. JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION FOR LATER IN 1985. THISCOMMISSION, WHICH MEETS ON THE MINISTERIAL LEVEL, IS SIMILAR TO OTHER MIXED COMMISSIONS BETWEEN THE SOVIET UNION AND ITS TRADING PARTNERS. -- THE RESUMPTION OF A COMMERCIAL DIALOGUE WITH THE SOVIETS WILL NOT RESULT IN ANY CHANGE IN THIS ADMINISTRATION'S COMMITMENT TO TIGHT CONTROLS ON THE EXPORT OF SECURITY-SENSITIVE EXPORTS TO THE SOVIET UNION. -- WE DO NOT PLAN ANY CHANGES IN OUR POLICY CONCERNING THE EXPORT TO THE SOVIET UNION OF EQUIPMENT AND TECHNOLOGY FOR OIL AND GAS EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION OR AGREE TO AN ACTIVE PROGRAM OF TRADE EXPANSION IN THIS AREA. WE INTEND TO CONTINUE TO REQUIRE A VALIDATED LICENSE FOR SUCH EXPORTS, EXAMINE APPLICATIONS ON A CASE BY CASE BASIS. AND MAINTAIN OUR CURRENT POLICY OF GENERAL APPROVAL FOR SALES OF NON-STRATEGIC EQUIPMENT BUT DENIAL FOR SALES OF TECHNOLOGY. -- SPECIFIC ISSUES WHICH WE PLAN TO RAISE INCLUDE THE NON-DISCRIMINATORY TREATMENT OF U.S. FIRMS SEEKING TO EXPORT TO THE SOVIET UNION, GENERAL BUSINESS FACILITATION MATTERS, AS WELL AS A CLARIFICATION OF OUR CURRENT EXPORT CONTROL POLICY AND ITS EFFECT ON U.S. EXPORTS TO THE SOVIET UNION. WE ALSO INTEND TO RAISE OUR CONCERNS WITH SOVIET HUMAN RIGHTS AND EMIGRATION POLICIES. -- WE EXPECT THE SOVIETS TO RAISE SUCH ISSUES AS THE RELIABILITY OF THE U.S. AS A SUPPLIER AND OBSTACLES FACED BY SOVIET EXPORTS TO THE U.S. SUCH AS THE DENIAL OF MFN. IN ADDITION, THE SOVIETS MAY RAISE CERTAIN SPECIFIC ISSUES SUCH AS THE CONTINUED EXISTENCE OF A BAN ON THE IMPORTATION INTO THE U.S. OF SEVEN KINDS OF FURSKINS, PORT ACCESS REQUIREMENTS FOR SOVIET SHIPS ENTERING U.S. PORTS, AND RESTRICTIONS ON AEROFLOT OPERATIONS IN THE U.S. -- NO SPECIFIC AGREEMENTS WILL COME OUT OF THE JANUARY MEETING, BUT WE HOPE THAT THE EXCHANGE OF INFORMATION WILL BE USEFUL IN EXPANDING OUR DIALOGUE ON ECONOMIC AND TRADE ISSUES. -- IF A U.S.-SOVIET JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION IS HELD LATER THIS YEAR. IT WILL NOT SET A PRECEDENT. MOST OF OUR ALLIES HAVE BEEN HAVING ANNUAL CABINET-LEVEL AND SUB-CABINET-LEVEL TRADE AND ECONOMIC MEETINGS WITH THE CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9 Iq Next 5 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/05: CIA-RDP87T00759R000100020024-9