(UNTITLED)

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
16
Document Creation Date: 
January 12, 2017
Document Release Date: 
March 14, 2011
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
February 1, 1986
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
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PDF icon CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4.pdf263.5 KB
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 ?ET CONTROL RECORD REPORT FOR DOCUMENT GI*10013C*86 DOCUMENT NO.: G I*10013C*86 DOCUMENT DATE 860228 CONTROL NO. : NO. COPIES : 645 PAPER CLASS SEE SPEC1566-86 FOR TYPED DISSEM COPY NUMBERS NO. IDEN.NO. CPYS RECIPIENT 0465-0466 2 0079996 FILE COPY/SOURCED COPY CONTROL BRANCH/CPAS/PDG/IMC 0467-0499 33 0079997 EXTRA COPIES STAFF 0500-0605 106 0079998 SUPPLEMENTAL DISSEM STAFF VIA AGENCY RECORDS CENTER 0606-0614 9 0079999 WEEKEND FOLDER COPIES (A-9) NOTE: 3 CYS FOR SECRET Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Directorate of Intelligence Worldwide Active Measures Alert February 1986 PF40JBCT NUMBER 0 T - / s ` 6 - _ 6, Secret v, EXTRA COPIES AIL ) - j ~ ~ 10 L RECORD TER 5J o - v L NUMBER OF COPIES ~ DISSEM DATE (' U I JOB NUMBER 73 $_ YUrt... C C'. OOM a''GO7 HQS U ADi 'c PEQU1REt'1FNTS Secret GI 86-10013C February 1986 Cody 4 6 6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Directorate of Intelligence Measures Alert Worldwide Active This quarterly was produced by and coordinated within the Directorate of Intelligence. Comments and 25X1 queries are welcome and may be directed to 25X1 Secret GI 86-10013C Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Part 1. Ongoing Campaigns: Highlights and Prospects 1 Continuing Push Against SDI 1 Manipulating the International Year of Peace Nicaraguan Disinformation About the Catholic Church 2 Part 2. Prospective Campaigns 3 Arms Reduction in the Pacific 3 25X1 Secret GI 86-1001.3 February 1986 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 This quarterly publication is designed to provide timely updates of ongoing active measures campaigns by the USSR and its allies as well as warning of future campaigns. It has three parts: ? Part I provides a brief assessment of the major ongoing active measures campaigns worldwide and new developments that we expect in those campaigns in the future. ? Part 2 provides a highlighted assessment of expected new active measures initiatives during the coming months. ? Part 3 is an annotated calendar of key events over the next year that we anticipate will figure prominently in campaigns by the Soviets and their allies. Secret GI 86-10013C e ruarv 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Measures Alert Part 1. Ongoing Campaigns: Highlights and Prospects Continuing Push Against SDI The Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) continues to be the target of a worldwide Soviet campaign. In recent months, Soviet-backed conferences attacking SDI have been held in a number of countries, including Australia, Laos, Ghana, Finland, Bangladesh, and India. There is no si n that this effort will diminish in the near future as the Soviets and their allies are seeking to use many events associated with the International Year of Peace as anti-SDI forums, and are trying to co-opt a French scientific institute into sponsoring an international conference in April as a means of securing a propa- ganda platform on SDI. Moscow's East European and Communist Party allies are still heavily involved in the anti-SDI effort. Manipulating the International Year of Peace Through well-placed Soviets in the UN Secretariat, Moscow has control of the calendar, preparations, and implementation of worldwide activities in support of the UN-designated International Year of Peace (IYP). Soviet UN Under Secretary General Ustinov is calendar of IYP events indicates that about one-fifth are being hosted by Bloc countries or Soviet-con- trolled front organizations. (Soviets and their allies will make strong efforts to influence almost all of the remaining events in directions ad- verse to US interests. "peace" proposals. The centerpiece of Soviet efforts will be the World Congress for the UN International Year of Peace to be held in Copenhagen in October: the Danish prepa- ratory committee-a front of the Soviet-controlled World Peace Council (WPC)--has invited UN Secre- tary General Perez de Cuellar to address the gather- ing. We expect that, with the WPC controlling the agenda and Soviet front organizations packing the delegate list, the Congress will strongly back Soviet 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Several recent articles in the official Sandinista news- paper Barricada have attempted to link the Vatican with both the CIA and the political right. We expect this campaign to continue for at least the next several months as the regime seeks to discredit the church's voice on the domestic and international political scenes. Nicaraguan Disinformation About the Catholic Church The Sandinista media over the past few months have stepped up their disinformation campaign against the international and Nicaraguan Catholic churches. Secret 2 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Soviet Foreign Minister Shevardnadze during his recent visit to Japan indicated that the Soviets might be willing to reduce the number of SS-20s in Asia in exchange for reductions in US F-16s in Japan and Tomahawk missiles in the US Pacific Fleet. Moscow is likely to play up this possibility for Asian audiences to capitalize on strong antinuclear sentiment in Japan and the South Pacific. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 efforts to place anti-US and anti-NATO material in the Spanish media. Spanish referendum on NATO. As the referendum approaches, the Soviets- hoping to derail continued Spanish membership in NATO-probably will intensify with Japan, and perhaps Europe. Economic summit, Tokyo. The Soviets are likely to use active measures to heighten existing tensions over trade issues among the seven Western industrial democracies attending the summit in an effort to create serious political differ- ences between them and to enhance the opportunities for increased Soviet trade to create a nuclear-weapons-free zone in the Pacific region. International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War Conference, Cologne. New Zealand Prime Minister Lange has agreed to deliver the keynote address, and Moscow is likely to exploit his appearance as a means of intensifying its efforts International Conference on Sanctions Against South Africa, Washington, D.C. The Soviet Union almost certainly will try to intensify criticism of US South African policy. The UN General Assembly's Special Committee Against Apart- heid (SCAR) is sponsoring the event and the UN Secretariat's Center Against Apartheid will la a large role in it. control initiative. UN Conference on Disarmament and Development, Paris. Through its influence in the UNESCO secretariat, which the Soviets have been using to push UNESCO into disarmament research, Moscow will attempt to exploit the conference-which is French President Mitterrand's pet project linking Third World development and debt problems to arms spending-to gain support for Gorbachev's new arms Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Pyri Si Nonaligned Movement (NAM) summit, Harare, Zimbabwe. The Soviets are likely to manipulate NAM delegations to adopt resolutions compatible with Soviet foreign policy objectives in the Third World. Previous summits have been the occasion for active measures campaigns vilifying US policies in Central America, debt crisis, and unemployment. 11th World Trade Union Congress, Berlin. This quadrennial meeting of the World Federation of Trade Unions-a Soviet front-will likely emphasize a variety of Soviet propaganda initiatives on such issues as disarmament, the international 15-19 October World Congress for the UN International Year of Peace, Copenhagen. (See text for details.) Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87T01127R000400350002-4 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4 Secret Secret Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/03/14: CIA-RDP87TO1127R000400350002-4