HANDBOOK OF ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 1984
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Directorate of
Intelligence
Handbook of
Economic Statistics,
1984
Secret
Secret
CPAS 84-10002/A
September 1984
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Directorate of
Intelligence
Handbook of
Economic Statistics,
1984
This paper was prepared by the Statistical Analysis
Staff, Office of Current Production and Analytic
Support. Comments and queries are welcome and may
be directed to the Chief, Statistical Analysis Staff,
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Secret
CPAS 84-10002/A
September 1984
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Soviet and East European Economic Aid
Extended to Less Developed Countries
Figure 2.
USSR: Military Agreements With Less Developed Countries
Figure 4.
Communist Economic Technicians in Less Developed Countries
5
Figure 5.
Trainees From Less Developed Countries in
Communist Countries
6
Table 1.
Gross Official Bilateral Capital Flows to the Less Developed Countries
7
Table 2.
Communist Economic Aid to the Less Developed Countries
8
Table 3.
Communist Economic Aid Extended to the Less Developed Countries, 1983
9
Table 4.
Communist Economic Aid Extended to the Less Developed Countries, 1954-83
10-11
Table 5.
Arms Deliveries to the Less Developed Countries
12
Table 6.
Communist Military Agreements Concluded and Deliveries to the Less
Developed Countries
13
Table 7.
Communist Economic Technicians in the Less Developed Countries, 1983
14-17
Table 8.
Trainees Departing From the Less Developed Countries for Training
in Communist Countries
18
Table 9.
Communist Training of Less Developed Country Military
Personnel in Communist Countries, 1983
Table 10.
USSR: Economic and Military Aid Agreements
With Selected Client States
Table 11.
USSR: Economic and Military Aid Deliveries
to Selected Client States
Table 12.
USSR: Economic Assistance to Cuba
22
Table 13.
East European Debt, by Source
23
Secret
CPAS 84-10002/A
September 1984
ILLEGIB
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Figure 1
Soviet and East European Economic Aid Extended to Less Developed Countries
Africa
USSR
1954-73: US $9.3 billion
Eastern Europe
1954-73: US $5.0 billion
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Figure 2
USSR: Military Agreements With Less Developed Countries
Middle East
Africa
Latin America
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ILLEGIB
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Figure 4
Communist Economic Technicians in Less Developed Countries
Africa
Middle East
Latin America
1980
116,825
1983
177,190
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Figure 5
Trainees From Less Developed Countries in Communist Countries
Academic
Technical
Mililarv
1970
7.845
1980
19.700
1975
13.880
1983
26.900
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Gross Official Bilateral Capital
Flows to the Less Developed Countries a
Total
28,429
29,176
32,200
41,729
44,290
54,246
50,892
53,713
Development Assistance Committee b
21,210
21,848
24,803
32,399
35,369
43,221
40,946
44,990
United States
6,451
6,908
7,079
8,632
8,023
10,953
9,530
12,510
United Kingdom
991
1,020
1,396
1,925
2,780
2,739
3,253
2,670
Japan
3,760
3,425
4,266
6,255
5,792
7,026
8,337
9,177
Other developed countries c
4,601
4,849
6,090
7,845
8,818
10,283
9,088
10,453
OPEC d
6,239
6,098
6,067
8,130
7,816
9,690
8,466
6,803
Communist countries a
980
1,230
1,330
1,200
1,105
1,335
1,480
1,920
Eastern Europe
270
400
505
425
305
300
385
485
China
210
355
275
290
225
225
245
270
a Total gross official capital flows include official develop- c Including Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, d Official development assistance-data for other official
ment assistance, which is concessional, and other official Finland, Italy, Norway, the Netherlands, Sweden, and flows are not available for OPEC.
flows, which are less concessional or are primarily trade Switzerland; also including Portugal for the period 1954-72. a Rounded to the nearest $5 million.
facilitating in character. New Zealand became a DAC member in 1974. Disburse-
b Members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation ments by all donors to China and Yugoslavia are excluded.
and Development.
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Communist Economic Aid Extended to the
Less Developed Countries, 1983
USSR Eastern China
Europe
Mozambique 16 NEGL Syria
USSR Eastern China
Europe
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Communist Economic Aid Extended to the
Less Developed Countries, 1954-83 a
Eastern
Europe
Eastern
Europe
Total
26,699
13,120
5,921
Mali
122
128
North Africa
3,578
1,279
331
Mauritius
5
35
Algeria
1,347
774
92
Mozambique
194
65
Mauritania
9
10
87
Niger
2
52
Morocco
2,098
214
55
Nigeria
1,207
Tunisia
123
281
97
Rwanda
1
56
Sub-Saharan Africa
3,908
2,245
3,041
5
18
Angola
438
98
Senegal
8
35
52
Benin
14
NA
44
Seychelles
6
4
Botswana
31
Sierra Leone
30
61
Burundi
58
Somalia
164
41
164
Cameroon
103
Sudan
65
269
139
Cape Verde
17
Tanzania
44
87
428
Central African Republic
29
Togo
46
Chad
68
Uganda
42
Comoros
15
Upper Volta
51
Congo
199
Zaire
138
Djibouti
30
Zambia
166
345
Equatorial Guinea
2
27
Zimbabwe
32
26
Ethiopia
975
392
138
East Asia
261
677
422
Gabon
2
25
Burma
16
213
225
The Gambia
NEGL
27
Indonesia
214
367
47
Ghana
106
147
42
Kampuchea b
25
17
92
Guinea
236
130
144
Laos b
6
4
26
Guinea-Bissau
27
8
17
Philippines
76
31
Ivory Coast
Thailand
Kenya
Western Samoa
Lesotho
Liberia
NEGL
23
Madagascar
76
89
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Table 4 (Continued)
USSR Eastern China USSR Eastern China
Europe Europe
Argentina
295
298
..
Nicaragua
262
465
Panama
4
276
253
42
10
..
a Does not include assistance from Cuba, North Korea, and Yugoslavia.
b Agreements prior to formation of Communist government in 1975.
Egypt
1,439
1,308
193
South Asia
7,906
1,595
1,350
Afghanistan
2,889
210
76
Bangladesh
447
686
107
India
3,222
455
..
Pakistan
1,216
151
651
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Arms Deliveries to the Less Developed Countries a
Total
220,085
22,915
28,435
30,475
26,250
Non-Communist countries
137,840
13,950
18,715
19,545
17,830
United States b
68,705
5,975
6,965
8,580
10,715
United Kingdom
13,250
1,565
2,285
1,525
655
France
21,380
2,690
3,980
3,120
3,070
West Germany
9,060
1,160
1,175
690
1,060
Italy
Other
a Data have been rounded to the nearest $5 million. beginning in 1972 is accounted for to some extent by the
b Data are for fiscal years. Until 1972 US Department of inclusion of this category of assistance.
Defense data did not include the Military Assistance Service c Includes Cuba, North Korea, and Yugoslavia.
Funded (MASF) program. The sharp increase in exports
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Communist Military Agreements Concluded and
Deliveries to the Less Developed Countries
Agreements Deliveries Agreements Deliveries Agreements Deliveries Agreements Deliveries
Concluded Concluded Concluded Concluded
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Communist Economic Technicians in
the Less Developed Countries, 1983 a
Total
USSR
Eastern
Europe
China
Cuba
North
Korea
Total
177,190
41,085
83,385
28,790
20,785
3,145
Africa
112,465
22,940
64,085
9,485
13,060
2,895
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Table 7 (continued)
Total USSR Eastern China Cuba North
Europe Korea
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Table 7 (continued)
Communist Economic Technicians in
the Less Developed Countries, 1983 a
Total USSR Eastern China Cuba North
Europe Korea
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Table 7 (continued)
a Minimum estimates of number present for a period of one
month or more. Numbers are rounded to the nearest five.
Total USSR Eastern
Europe
2,175
25
650
1,500
3,775
175
100
3,500
North
Korea
17 Secret
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Trainees Departing From the Less Developed Countries
for Training in Communist Countries a
Total trainees
8,140
9,845
11,755
12,660
13,880
16,350
13,835
14,830
19,030
19,700
19,900
22,990
26,900
USSR and Eastern Europe
7,670
8,795
11,260
12,425
13,290
16,135
13,415
14,685
18,965
19,610
19,750
22,760
26,495
Academic trainees
4,100
4,270
5,375
4,645
5,060
7,965
7,950
8,720
13,865
13,530
12,520
12,825
14,995
USSR and Eastern Europe
4,100
4,070
5,275
4,615
4,995
7,905
7,875
8,665
13,815
13,480
12,465
12,740
14,795
0
200
100
30
65
60
75
55
50
50
55
85
200
Technical trainees
2,835
2,360
3,715
4,380
4,135
5,320
3,155
3,290
2,975
2,745
4,805
5,110
5,715
USSR and Eastern Europe
2,835
2,360
3,715
4,300
4,095
5,265
3,005
3,250
2,975
2,745
4,805
5,035
5,665
China
0
0
0
80
40
55
150
40
0
0
0
75
50
Military trainees
1,205
3,215
2,665
3,635
4,685
3,065
2,730
2,820
2,190
3,425
2,575
5,055
6,190
USSR and Eastern Europe
735
2,365
2,270
3,510
4,200
2,965
2,535
2,770
2,175
3,385
2,480
4,985
6,035
China
470
850
395
125
485
100
195
50
15
40
95
70
155
a Rounded to the nearest five. Data are for persons departing
for training and not necessarily those completing training.
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Table 9
Communist Training of Less Developed Country Military
Personnel in Communist Countries, 1983 a
Total USSR Eastern China Total USSR Eastern China
Europe Europe
a Data refer to the minimum number of persons departing for training.
Numbers are rounded to the nearest five.
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USSR: Economic and Military Aid Agreements With
Selected Client States a
11,751
435
695
566
2,615
2,400
1,596
1,740
1,704
6,618
403
472
566
863
1,048
1,226
1,015
1,025
a Including trade subsidies.
b Estimated.
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USSR: Economic and Military Aid Deliveries
to Selected Client States a
a Including trade subsidies.
b Estimated.
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a Based on official Cuban and Soviet trade data.
b Preliminary.
Based on (a) estimated balance-of-payments aid necessary
to cover Cuban trade deficits with the USSR; (b) Cuban
purchases of capital goods from Moscow; and (c) public
statements by Cuban and Soviet officials concerning the
amount of development aid extended. This aid is repayable,
but terms are highly concessional. Projection for 1983 is
based on preliminary trade data.
32,992
338
1,064
2,946
3,178
4,438
9,555
295
150
320
460
1,415
d Sugar and nickel subsidies are estimated as the difference
between the price Moscow pays for these commodities and
their world market value. The difference is considered a
grant and not subject to repayment.
e The petroleum subsidy reflects the difference between the
value of petroleum purchased from the USSR and the value
of these imports at world market prices. It is considered a
grant and not subject to repayment.
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East European Debt, by Source
1971
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
Eastern Europe
9,510
30,659
38,264
46,572
58,614
70,310
83,645
85,085
80,658
81,975
Commercial
5,396
23,721
29,667
36,388
46,952
55,904
61,658
59,050
53,030
48,041
Official
3,765
6,002
7,168
8,583
9,715
11,862
18,688
21,152
21,133
26,380
IMF/World Bank
349
936
1,429
1,601
1,948
2,544
3,299
4,883
6,495
7,554
Bulgaria
743
2,640
3,198
3,707
4,263
4,032
3,536
3,065
2,757
2,463
Commercial
442
2,453
2,878
3,394
3,935
3,619
3,201
2,695
2,292
1,968
Official
301
187
320
313
328
413
335
370
465
495
Czechoslovakia
485
1,132
1,862
2,616
3,206
4,096
4,926
4,508
4,053
3,707
Commercial
284
926
1,575
2,290
2,798
3,502
4,066
3,703
3,118
2,732
Official
201
206
287
326
408
594
860
805
935
975
East Germany
1,408
5,388
6,292
7,828
9,666
12,312
14,098
14,863
13,039
12,630
Commercial
693
4,423
5,217
6,528
8,166
10,225
11,253
11,583
9,489
8,510
Official
715
965
1,075
1,300
1,500
2,087
2,845
3,280
3,550
4,120
Hungary
1,071
3,135
4,049
5,024
7,290
8,140
9,090
8,699
7,715
8,250
Commercial
968
3,081
3,998
4,965
7,197
8,008
8,790
8,334
6,955
6,940
Official
103
54
51
59
93
132
300
365
525
740
BIS/IMF
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
235
570
Poland
1,399
8,879
12,307
14,621
17,600
21,100
25,000
25,453
24,840
26,400
Commercial
420
6,547
9,159
10,393
12,532
15,300
14,900
14,188
13,660
10,900
Official
979
2,332
3,148
4,228
5,068
5,800
10,100
11,265
11,180
15,500
Romania
1,227
2,924
2,903
3,605
5,221
6,950
9,387
10,160
9,766
9,000
Commercial
585
2,024
1,841
2,306
3,609
5,100
6,537
6,167
5,408
4,900
IMF/World Bank/
CEMA banks
0
194
402
584
812
945
1,180
2,148
2,930
3,200
3,177
6,561
7,653
9,171
11,369
13,680
17,608
18,337
18,488
19,525
2,004
4,267
4,999
6,512
8,715
10,150
12,911
12,380
12,108
12,091
1,628
1,642
1,518
1,931
2,578
3,222
3,050
3,650
1,026
1,017
1,136
1,599
2,119
2,735
3,330
3,784
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