(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: January 12, 2017
• Document Release Date: June 22, 2011
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: October 25, 1985
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 85-022
25 October 1985
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 I I II I I I i i i
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 Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Page
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) 11
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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 I I II I I .. L-11 I .. Li I I II L.
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
6.9
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.0
2.9
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.3
3.3
France
12.2
13.9
10.0
7.5
United Kingdom
NA
NA
13.0
14.7
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.2
12.0
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.2
3.3
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and M1-B.
United States
7.5
9.6
9.5
7.4
Japan.
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.6
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.4
12.6
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
Canada
7.5
11.1
11.8
11.3
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
10.9
10.6
21.7
9.7
22.4
12.1
11.3
-0.4
57.0
-29.2
3.7
1.4
-0.4
6.8
2.5
11.7
12.7
1.2
32.4
61.2.
-20.9
45.7
0.9
20.0
12.5
7.7
3.5
3.5
2.1
8.6
19.3
19.8
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
7.0
7.2
7.2
7.2
6.9
7.0
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
9.2
9.4
9.4
9.5
9.4
9.4
10.0
9.9
10.3
10.2
10.3
10.4
12.9
13.1
13.2
13.2
13.3
13.1
10.8
10.2
11.1
10.6
10.3
10.4
10.3
10.1
a Unemployment rates for France are estimated.
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United States b
Exports
233.5.
212.3
200.7
217.6
55.7
52.6
17.4
17.4
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
325.6
84.4
86.4
26.6
26.1
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-108.0
-28.7
-33.8
-9.2
-8.7
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.2
40.4
42.5
14.4
14.6
Imports
129.5
119.7
114.1
124.1
28.9
.29.5
9.7
9.6
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.5
44.1
11.6
13.0
4.7
5.0
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
40.9
43.7
17.2
15.8
Imports c
163.4
155.3
152.8
153.1
36.5
37.2
14.4 '
14.1
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
4.4
6.5
2.7
1.7
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1 '
97.5
22.5
'24.4
8.4
8.8
8.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
23.6
24.7
8.8
8.8
9:2
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-1.1
-0.4
-0.4
0
-0.3
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.7
22.7
25.4
8.7
8.4
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.7
99.1
24.1
25.7
8.8
8.6
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.6
-5:3
-1.4
-0.3
-0.1
-0.3
Italy
Exports
75.4
74.0
72.8
73.6
17.7
18.2
6.4
7.0
Imports
91.2
86.8
80.6
84.4
21.6
21.9
6.9
7.2
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.8
-3.8
-3.6
-0.6
-0.2
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
86.5
22.0
21.8
6.6
7.3
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
17.9
18.5
6.4
6.6
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
15.9
4.1
3.3
0.2
0.8
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
6.8
13.3
5.0
3.5
West Germany
-6.8
3.3
4.2
6.0
1.7
3.1
0.8
-0.3
France
-4.7
-12.1
-4.9
0.9
-0.8
0.5
Canada
-5.0
2.1
1.4
1.9
0.6
0.3
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 I I I I I I ,. ._ I; I I I L i
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
0.3
1.8
3.3 -7.8 -4.3
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-11.9
14.1
-1.7
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
-18.9
26.8
18.2 84.7 58.2
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
-13.4
28.9
8.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
-16.2
57.1
23.8 101.5 1.0
Italy
-7.8
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-13.0
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1st Qtr 2d Qtr Jun Jul Aug
United States 5.3 -2.0 -3.7 1.7 -10.4 -0.4 -9.9 3.5 0.3
Japan 3.6 -7.4 -5.0 -2.8 -10.9 3.1 15.7
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 Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
Japan
2.7
-12.9
4.6
0
-19.6
9.9
31.2
17.7
6.5
West Germany
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-11.5
-28.0
19.0
46.0
39.3
-20.0
France
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-14.7
-26.7
19.6
47.7
36.1
-17.9
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9
-28.6
59.9
142.2
6.2
-15.6
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6
-30.3
9.5
30.6
15.6
-21.0
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.1
-10.5
-5.0
12.5
-5.4
-10.8
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom 13.85 12.24 10.12 9.91 12.98 12.67
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
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 Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
Agricultural Prices
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
177
214
217
232
243
110.4
111.6
NA
110.0
NA
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
125.2
112.1
108.4
110.7
101.1
100.2
93.3
93.6
93.8
94.3
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
104.3':
100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
96.6
81
80.4
79.0
80.7
Cocoa (4 per pound)
113.5
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
99.2
96.4
98.4
98.2
101.3
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.54
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.44
1.42
1.33
1.33
1.33
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
150
123
148
150
133
133
118
115
113
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 4/lb.)
93.20
72.69
74.48
85.71
63.91
62.27
63.78
56.76
55.80 .
53.58
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
583
571
445
502
730
605
606
417
404
360
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
598
632
481
514 "
544
496
496
481
479
475
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
522
573
362
339
310
254
243
236
238
241
Soybeans
(US # 2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
296
288
244
282
283?
240
236
213
209
206
Soybean Oil 1.
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
598
507
447
527
727
651
658
518
518
469
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
257
252 ?
219
238
197
159
146
152
150
160
Sugar 29.03
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices 4 per pound)
16.93.
8.42
8.49
5.18
3.69
2.96 ..
4.21
4.35
5.14
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(4 per pound)
101'.4
91.0
89.9
105.2
156.6
126.9
82.8
72.3
72.2
73.3
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
209
210
.
187
183
182
177
169
154
148
156
a The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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8L0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
56.8
49.2
49.3
45.6
46.2
44.9
Chrome Ore
55.0
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
49.9
44.7
41.0
41.0
41.0
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Copper a (bar, 4 per pound)
98.7
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
62.1
67.6
64.5
65.3
62.3
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
612.1
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
300.0
319.8
323.2
327.9
325.9
Lead a (? per pound)
41.1
32.9
24.7
19.3
20.0
17.2
17.3
18.3
18.6
18.4
Manganese Ore
78.5
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
69.6
68.4
68.4
68.4
68.4
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
Major producer
439.5
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
Metals week,
677.0
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
269.3
275:4
294.0
298.2
316.1
New York.dealers' price
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
20.7
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
5.9 .
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.1
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
-91.2
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
83.7
71.9
72.7
74.2
72.8
Tin a (4 per pound)
761.3
641.4
581.6
590:9
556.6
501.1
541.3
571.0
574.6
562.7
Tungsten Ore
18,219
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
11,515
10,974
10,648
10,714
068.
11
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
,
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Zinc a (4 per pound)
34.4
38.4
33.7
34.7
Lumber Index
100
95
84
114
(1980=100)
Industrial Materials Index r
100
84.7
71.2
82.2
75.9
69.7
72.4
68.6
68.6
66.3 -
(1980=100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by majorworld
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
e Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and ,Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of. 1 I types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist-for
18-raw.materialswhich-enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
Non-Communist countries
45,243
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,672
37,665
35,634
36,957
Developed countries
12,859
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,704
14,617
14,230
14,651
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,871
8,972
8,975
8,958
Communist countries
14,220
14,238
14,289
14,396
14,417
14,790
14,748
14,580
USSR
11,700
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,920
11,848
11,680
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
United States
5,220
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,402
Japan
4,373
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
West Germany
1,953
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
France
2,182
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,395
United Kingdom
893
736
565
456
482
Italy
1,860
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,507
Canada
557
521
334
247
244
1st Qtr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
2,545
3,488
3,301
3,189
2,908
3,777
3,607
2,477
1,419
1,235
1,313
1,168
1,578
1,139
1,148
1 349
534
598
324
376
1,453
189
317
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OPEC average b
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.70
.Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
Iran
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
Heavy
310 API 1.60% sulfur
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
Iraq c
35? API 1.95% sulfur
30.30
36.66
34.86
30.32
29.43
Kuwait
310 API 2.50% sulfur
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur '
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.12
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
28.48
Saudi Arabia
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.52
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
Medium
310 API 2.40% sulfur
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
c Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
28.25
28.11
28.00
28.04
28.14
30.15
29.50
29.50
29.50
29.50
26.82
26.50
26.15
26.15
26.15
28.35
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.88
28.53.
28.53
28.53
28.53
28.38
28.05
28.05
28.05
28.05
27.41
27.35
27.35
27.35
27.35
28.78
28.43
28.43
28.43
28.43
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
30.40
30.40 .
30.40
30.40
30.40
28.24
28.37
28.37
28.37
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.48
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.32
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
27.48
27.40
27.20
27.20
27.20
26.50
26.50
26.00
26.00
26.00
28.52
28.15
28.15
28.15
28.15
27.69
27.60
27.10
27.10
27.10
Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
 u i
Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
34.50 33.63
30.87 29.31
28.10
1973 74 75 76 77 78
Annual average
.6 .6
3 N N N N N N N 28.59
LLL 2009 28 06 28 10 28 11 28 12
28
1
.
N N ?. . 28.00 28.0'74
Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
 Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9
-11- - -- Approved For Release 2011/06/22 : CIA-RDP88-00798R000200090004-9