ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000200150007-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 18, 2011
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: December 6, 1985
• Content Type: REPORT

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/18: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200150007-9
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
D/ EE/ 85-025
6 December 1985
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/18: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200150007-9
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 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/18: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200150007-9
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Energy
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) I 1
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
2.6
-7.2
5.9
11.6
2.1
1.3
1.6
-1.9
9.1
-1.0
1.0
0.4
3.5
11.1
-2.6
11.2
-0.4
22.7
-14.4
-12.9
West Germany
-2.3
-3.2
0.3
2.4
-3.0
11.5
0
-25.4
France
-2.6
-1.5
1.1
2.3
-3.0
3.1
8.4
43.5
0
-16.4
United Kingdom
-3.9
2.1
3.9
1.2
9.9
9.0
-1.2
-11.5
3.4
19.4
Italy
-1.6
-3.1
-3.2
3.1
7.4
1.1
-3.1
-37.4
11.9
9.1
Canada
0.5
-10.0
5.3
8.8
0.7
4.3
23.6
-0.8
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Japan
4.1
3.4
3.4
5.7
0.8 7.9
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.3
4.2
2.4
2.3 2.3
Japan
4.9
2.6
1.8
2.3
2.4
1.1
2.2
-2.1 -3.4 7.0
West Germany
6.0
5.3
3.3
2.4
3.4
2.7
-0.1
-0.1 1.8 -0.3
France
13.3
12.0
9.5
7.7
5.8
6.2
4.2
3.0 2.3 2.8
United Kingdom
11.9
8.6
4.6
5.0
7.1
9.3
2.8
2.8 1.8 1.3
Italy
19.3
16.4
14.9
10.6
10.1
10.5
7.1
7.0 2.3 6.8
Canada
12.5
10.8
5.8
4.3
5.2
3.9
3.4
4.1 4.0 2.2
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
6.9
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.0
2.9
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.3
3.3
France
12.2
13.9
10.0
7.5
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and MI-B.
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.6
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.4
12.6
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Aug
Sep
Oct
10.9
10.6
15.9
22.4
12.1
-1.2
11.1
-0.2
3.1
4.3
9.0
1.4
-0.4
8.1
11.7
32.5
12.3
9.2
9.4
9.4
9.4
9.4
9.2
10.0
9.9
10.3
10.3
10.4
10.4
12.9
13.1
13.2
13.2
13.1
13.1
10.8
10.2
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United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
217.6
55.7
52.6
52.6
17.4
17.7
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
325.6
84.4
86.4
84.5
26.1
31.8
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-108.0
-28.7
-33.8
-31.9
-8.7
-14.0
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.2
40.4
42.5
43.4
14.6
14.4
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.1
124.1
28.9
29.5
29.2
9.7
9.8
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.5
44.1
11.5
13.0
14.2
4.9
4.6
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.8
41.0
43.7
48.5
15.7
15.8
Imports C
163.4
155.3
152.8
153.1
36.5
37.1
41.7
14.0
13.4
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
4.5
6.5
6.8
1.7
2.3
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
22.5
24.4
26.1
8.8
8.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
23.6
24.7
26.8
8.8
9.2
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-1.1
-0.4
-0.7
0
-0.3
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.7
22.7
25.4
25.4
8.4
8.3
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.7
99.1
24.1
25.7
26.0
8.6
-8.6
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.6
-5.3
-1.4
-0.3
-0.6
-0.3
-0.3
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.7
73.5
17.7
18.2
20.3
7.0
6.9
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.6
84.4
21.6
21.8
21.0
7.2
6.9
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.9
-3.9
-3.6
-0.7
-0.2
0
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
86.5
22.0
21.8
21.7
7.3
7.8
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
17.9
18.5
19.4
6.6
6.5
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
15.9
4.1
3.4
2.3
0.8
1.3
Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
A Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
0.3
1.9
-8.1 -4.6 -2.6
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-11.9
14.1
23.3 4.1 7.0
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
-19.0
26.9
84.0 59.1 -18.4
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
-13.5
28.9
74.7 74.5
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
-16.2
57.1
101.5 1.0 -17.0
Italy
-7.8 _
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-13.1
21.9
Canada
3.9
-2.0
-1.3
--3.7
-0.2
-7.0
101.4 -19.7 -35.9
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
Japan
3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.6
Italy
1.0
-5.3
-6.6
-3.7
Canada
8.7
-1.1
-3.3
-0.1
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
-10.2
-0.5
3.6
0.5
0.3
-10.9
3.1
13.7
-18.5
-1.4
-13.7
20.4
56.1
29.5
-14.9
-11.3
15.5
52.1
35.7
-15.4
46.1
89.7
-17.2
-15.6
-8.5
23.8
-4.5
-2.2
27.0
17.2
-29.6
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Exchange Rate Trends,
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
Ist Qtr
2d Qtr
Aug
Sep
Oct
-3.1
-1.3
-10.5
-2.9
0.9
0.3
0.2
2.3
-2.3
-2.1
-10.2
-9.4
-5.7
Dollar Cost of Foreign Currency
. Japan
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-11.5
-28.0
19.0
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9
-28.6
59.9
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6
-30.3
9.5
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.76
8.61
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
West German
y
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kin
dom
g
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91
12.98
12.67
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
20.13
20.15
18.16
15.91
15.78
15.37
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
9.04
8.74
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IF
 I. III I i I
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Agricultural Prices
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
177
214
217
232
243
110.4
111.6
110.9.
1111.1
NA
Australia 125.2
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
112.1
108.4
110.7
101.1
100.2
93.3
93.6
94.3
96
United States 104.3
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
96.6
81
80.4
80.7
88.3
Cocoa (? per pound) 113.5
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
99.2
96.4
98.4
101.3,
102.5
Coffee ($ per pound) 1.54
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.44
1.42
1.33
1.33
1.39
Corn 150
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
133
133
118
113
111
Cotton 93.20
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 0/lb.)
72.69
74.48
85.71
63.91
62.27
63.78
56.76
53.58
48.88
Palm Oil 583
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
571
445
502
730
605
606
417
360
358
Rice ($ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled, 598
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
632
481
514
514
496
496
481
475
475
Thai SWR 522
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
573
362
339
310
254
243
236 .
241
255
Soybeans 296
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
288
244
282
283
240
236
213
206
205
Soybean Oil 598
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
507
447
527
727
651
658
518
469
455
Soybean Meal 257
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
252
219
238
197
159
146
152
164
170
$ per metric ton)
Sugar 29.03
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices Q per pound)
16.93
8.42
8.49
5.18
3.69
2.96
4.21
5.14
5.01
Tea 101.4
Average Auction (London)
(? per pound)
91.0
89.9
105.2
156.6
126.9
82.8
72.3
73.3
78.7
Wheat 209
(US #2. DNS
210
187
183
182 1
177
169
154
156
168
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Food Index a (1980=100) 100
87.9
78.1
86.4
91.5
83.6
79.1
76.5
76.9
78.2
a The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Copper a (bar, 0 per pound)
98.7
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
62.1
67.6
64.5
62.3
62.9
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
612.1
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
300.0
319.8
323.2
325.9
326
Lead a (~ per pound)
41.1
32.9
24.7
19.3
20.0
17.2
17.3
18.3
18.4
17.8
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
78.5
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
69.6
68.4
68.4
68.4
67.2
Metals week, 677.0 446.0 326.7 422.6
New York dealers' price
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index .100 95 84 114
(1980 = 100)
Industrial Materials Index r 100 84.7 71.2 82.2
(1980 =100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
J Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
10,243 11,515 10,974 10,648 11,068 9,964
C This index is compiled by using the average of 11 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 1. L 1. II I I 1j
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985-
I st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
World
59,793
56,217
53,514
53,098
54,187
53,462
52,380
51,526
51,625
Non-Communist countries
45,243
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,672
37,610
36;817
36,876
Developed countries
12,859
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,704
14,617
14,651
14,394
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,871
8,972
8,958
8,926
8,978
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,463
1,445
1,450
1,450
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,660
2,471
2,387
2,216
Norway
528
501
518
614
700
719
728
827
804
Other
691
717
736
915
921
991
1,001
1,029. .
998
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,443
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,733
7,802
7,726
7,987
Mexico
1,936
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,711
2,724
2,620
2,796
2,815
Egypt
595
598
665
689
827
877
875
870
905
Other
2,912
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,145
4,203
4,236
4,286,
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,235
15,191 `
14,440
14,495
15,445'
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
638
660
634
600
600
650
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
253
274
271
285
280
280
Gabon
175
151
154
157
152
150
150
150
150
160
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,152
1,167
1,160
1,120
1,070
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,097
2,299
2,200
2,600
2,200
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,203
1,255
1,340
1,450
1,400
1,600
Kuwait b
1,389
947
663
881
912
914
800
800
800
800.
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,051
1,057
900
900
1,000
Neutral Zone c
544
370
317
390
410
480
333
280
280
360
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,590
1,351
950
1,150
1,450
Qatar
471
405
328
295
399
292
297
320
320
295
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,659
2,731
2,700
2,200
2,800
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,123
1,120
1,095
1,140
1,225
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
1,893
' 1,781
1,813
1,538
1,641
1,550
1,555
1,555
Communist countries
14,550
14,615
14,704
14,870
14,930
14,790
14,770
14,709
14,749
14,809
USSR
12,030
12,180
12,250
12,330
12,230
11,920
11,870
11,820
11,860
11,920
China
2,113
2,024
2,044
2,120
2,280
2,450
2,480
2,474
2,474
2,474
Other
407
411
410
420
420
420
420
415
415
415
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jul
Aug
United States
16,058
15,296
15,184
15,708
15,813
15,452
15,217
16,039
15,555
14,859
Japan
4,444
4,204
4,193
4,349
4,710
3,577
3,814
3,933
West Germany
2,120
2,024
2,009
2,012
1,993
2,034
2,346
2,415
France
1,744
1,632
1,594
1,531
1,759
1,344
1,300
1,181
1,441
United Kingdom
1,325
1,345
1,290
1,624
1,879
1,208
1,186
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,715
1,276
1,401
1,300
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,327
1,296
1,349
Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,402
2,545
3,397
3,189
3,110
3
055
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,777
3,118
2,903
2,936
,
West Germany
1,591
1,45
11,307
1,335
1,419
1,265
1,237
1,197
1
259
France
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,395
1,578
1,212
1 349
1,472
,
United Kingdom
736
482
534
518
376
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OPEC average b
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.70
28.25
28.11
28.13
28.14
28.15
Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
30.15
29.50
29.50
29.50
29.50
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
26.82
26.50
26.15
26.15
26.15
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
28.35
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
28.88
28.53
28.53
28.53
28.53
Iran
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
28.38
28.05
28.05
28.05
28.05
Heavy
310 API 1.60% sulfur
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
27.41
27.35
27.35
27.35
27.35
Iraq c
35? API 1.95% sulfur
Kuwait
310 API 2.50% sulfur
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.12
28.24
28.37
28.37
28.37
28.37
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
28.48
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.10
Saudi Arabia
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.52
28.48
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.11
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
28.32
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Medium
310 API 2.40% sulfur
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
27.48
27.40
27.20
27.20
27.20
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
26.50
26.50
26.00
26.00
26.00
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
28.52
28.15
28.15
28.15
28.15
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
27.69
27.60
27.10
27.10
27.10
F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
c Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
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OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
28.59
28.09 28.06 28.10 28.11 28.1228.00 28.04 28.14 28.15
STAT
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