ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 21, 2011
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: December 5, 1986
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 86-025
5 December 1986
Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Year
3d Qtr
4th Qtr 1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr
2.5
-2.1
3.6
6.4
2.7
4.1
2.1
3.8 0.6 2.9
4.1
3.1
3.3
5.0
4.5
2.7
5.8
-2.1 3.6
Consumer Prices
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United Kingdom
11.9
8.6
4.6
5.0
6.1
4.2
0.5
2.6 8.0 2.9
19.3
16.4
14.9
10.6
8.6
5.9
5.1
5.1 2.3 1.6
Canada
12.5
10.8
5.8
4.3
4.0
4.7
3.0
4.7 3.3 5.9
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Money Supply, M-18
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3dQtr
Aug
Sep
United States b
7.1
.6.6
11.2
7.0
9.1
7.9
16.8
18.4
22.7
10.0
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.7
2.8
5.0
7.6
9.4
9.4
20.2
1.6
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.2
3.3
4.4
9.8
11.3
7.4
14.5
6.0
France
12.2
13.9
8.8
19.5
0.5
7.7
13.2
-10.4
United Kingdom
NA
NA
13.0
14.7
16.7
9.2
33.1
22.9
27.3
22.8
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.1
12.3
13.7
8.4
2.7
-12.6
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.1
3.4
4.2
-4.3
-1.9
15.4
4.8
21.2
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including M1-A and MI-B.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Sep
Oct
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
7.4
7.1
7.0
7.1
6.8
6.9
6.9
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.6
2.8
2.9
2.8
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.1
9.0
8.9
8.8
8.7
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.7
10.0
9.8
10.1
10.2
10.2
10.2
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
10.7
11.1
11.3
11.5
11.6
11.6
11.6
11.5
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
10.7
11.5
11.3
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.6
218.0
213.2
53.0
53.2
55.3
18.2
19.0
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.4
326.3
346.2
91.6
88.1
93.3
29.3
29.8
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.9
-108.3
-133.0
-38.6
-34.9
-38.0
-11.1
-10.8
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.4
168.0
173.9
47.8
51.4
53.9
18.4
18.2
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.0
124.1
117.9
29.9
29.1
28.2
9.6
9.8
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.4
43.9
55.9
17.9
22.3
25.7
8.8
8.4
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
184.2
55.2
60.8
63.4
22.2
21.9
Imports c
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
158.9
45.0
47.7
48.4
17.5
17.9
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.3
10.2
13.2
15.0
4.7
4.1
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
30.4
29.8
32.4
11.0
11.0
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
30.3
30.9
32.1
11.4
11.0
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
0.1
-1.1
0.3
-0.4
0
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.0
93.7
100.9
26.2
26.9
26.1
8.9
8.8
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.3
99.4
103.5
28.3
29.3
30.6
10.2
10.0
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.3
-5.7
-2.6
-2.1
-2.4
-4.5
-1.3
-1.2
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.8
23.4
24.4
25.1
8.5
9.1
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.7
84.4
90.8
26.2
24.3
24.4
9.1
9.7
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.9
-11.9
-2.8
0.2
0.7
-0.6
-0.6
Canada
Exports
70.5,
68.5.
73.6
86.6
88.1
22.0
21.2
21.5
7.4
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.3
20.3
19.2
20.4
6.6
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.3
16.0
12.8
1.7
2.0
1.1
0.8
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
49.2
12.7
23.1
24.2
7.1
9.1
8.3
West Germany
-6.8
3.3
4.3
6.7
13.8
6.9
8.3
8.0
2.0
3.3
4.0
France
-4.7
-12.1
-4.9
-0.8
0.3
1.1
0.3
1.2
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Export Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Aug
Sep
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.7
-0.3
1.4
5.6
0.8
4.4
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
26.1
24.9
12.0
4.8
-19.5
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
40.7
16.6
30.3
61.7
8.5
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
33.7
-0.6
- 27.9
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
-2.6
7.2
-6.4
-3.9
-5.5
Italy
-7.8
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-0.3
26.2
6.1
33.9
Canada
3.9
-2.0
0.2
-0.4
-3.5
-13.7
2.0
-11.4
-14.1
35.5
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
-7.4
-10.3
-13.0
-4.1
Japan
3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
-4.3
-5.3
-49.2
-52.9
15.1
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
10.0
-11.6
57.8
2.1
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-0.3
10.7
-12.1
-15.2
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
-0.5
2.4
-11.1
8.9
Italy
1.0
-5'.3
-6.6
-3.7
-1.0
10.0
-19.8
-19.6
Canada
8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
-9.1
3.7
-32.7
6.2
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
10.5
10.6
5.8
9.1
6.3
-17.8
-11.3
Japan
9.3
-5.7
10.4
6.2
6.8
26.8
42.4
West Germany
-2.1
7.0
5.8
1.0
1.7
8.5
6.0
Japan
2.7
-12.9
4.6
0
-0.3
32.2
33.5
27.5
-4.2
-12.8
-63.3
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
6.38
5.98
5.68
5.68
5.65
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
11.08
9.03
NA
8.57
NA
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.41
7.91
6.99
6.31
6.23
6.05
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric,ton)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 109.8 108.5 109.0 111.2 NA
Cocoa (? per pound)
89.8.
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
95.7
82.6
90.8
95.6
90.6
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
2.01
1.73
1.61
1.81
1.62
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
125
116
116
89
82
81
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 0/lb.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices Q per pound)
16.93
8.42
8.49
5.18
4.04
5.83
7.45
5.25
4.67
5.42
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(0 per pound)
91.0
89.9
105.2
156.6
90.0
86.4
85.6
86.0
91.6
94.1
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Food Index a (1980=100)
88
78
86
92
81
95
94
82
82
81
a The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Major US producer
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
_LME cash
57.4
44.9
65.1
56.8
47.2
51.4
53.1
52.2
54.8
52.8
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
43.9
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
Copper a (bar, 0 per pound)
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
64.5
64.5
64.5
60.3
61.1
60.0
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
317.2
342.6
341.6
376.2
414.8
423.6
32.9
24.7
19.3
20.0
17.7
16.7
17.6
17.7
18.5
19.5
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
68.4
67.2
64.8
65.1
64.8
65.3
Nickel ($ per pound)
LME Cash
2.7
2.2
2.1
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
517.0
600.0
600.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
291.0
383.1,
420.1
510.8
598.8
565.2
44.4
44.1
42.8
38.7
35.6
34.1
NA
49.6
42.0
41.7
40.1
44.1
45.1
46.6
8.1
6.1
5.9
5.2
5.3
5.7
5.7
86.4
74.4
74.0
71.8
73.8
74.5
NA
556.6
543.2
357.4
250.5
244.9
245.1
246.7
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
8,673
7,567
6,558
5,195
5,120
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Zinc a (Q per pound)
38.4.
33.7
34.7
41.5
35.4
28.5
33.8
37.5
39.4
39.8
Lumber Index a
(1980= 100)
95
84
114
105
103
100
121
113
114
110
Industrial Materials Index f
85
71
82
(1980 = 100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Penang market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
f The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18'raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
55,837
53,092
52,625
53,674
52,931
54,244
55,196
56,347
57,426
58,081
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
39,758
40,473
41,597
42,673
43,278
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
15,022
14,301
14,308
14,808
14,593
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
8,898
8,816
8,808
8,800
8,653
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
1,480
1,450
1,541
1,571
1,500
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,711
2,429
2,196
2,599
2,563
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
856
664
848
935
904
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,077
942
915
903
973
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,556
7,891
7,964
7,745
7,987
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,376
2,477
2,547
2,536
2,567
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
758
786
753
583
781
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,422
4,628
4,664
4,626
4,639
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
17,180
18,281
19,325
20,120
20,698
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
602
600
600
600
600
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
275
300
300
300
265
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
160
163
170
170
170
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,223
1,250
1,230
1,220
1,298
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
1,890
2,100
2,200
2,200
1,700
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,732
1,667
1,800
1,800
1,800
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
1,169
1,433
1,500
1,600
1,500
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
1,000
1,067
1,200
1,150
1,150
Neutral Zone
370
317
390
410
355
276
253
300
410
465
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,417
1,563.
1,490
1,505
1,715
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
352
300
360
400
400
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
4,256
4,650
5,100
5,700
6,200
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,287
1,388
1,505
1,505
1,535
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
.1,813
1,621
-1,541
1,547
1,570
1,560
1,900
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,397
14,417
14,239
14,486
14,723
14,750
14,753
14,803
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,350
11,540
11,723
11,760
11,790
11,840
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,280
2,496
2,506
2,557
2,557
2,530
2,530
Other
411
410
412
409
393
440
443
433
433
433
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United States
16,058
15,296
15,184
15,708
15,726
15,923
16,056
16,188'
15,743
15,852
15,998
16,075
16,623
Japan
4,444
4,204
4,193
4,349
4,123
4,661
5,002
4,547
3,890
3,523
3,556
3,771
3,895
West Germany,
2,120
2,024.
2,009.
2,012 ,
2,060
2,096
2,406
2,141
2,640
2,388
2,473
2,447
2,028
France
1,744
1,632
1,594
1,531
1,498
1,624
2,007
1,525
1,701
1,245
1,380
1,424
1,398
United Kingdom
1,325
1,345
1,290
1,624
1,402
1,290
1,483
1,447
1,426
1,331
1,323
1,309
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,507
1,710
1,842
1,520
1,495
1,345
1,329
1,481
1,363
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,342
1,336
1,348
1,168
1,235
1,297
1,357
1,370
1,358
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,426
3,201
3,329
2,993
3,000
3,701
3,872
4,675
4,648
4,826
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,377
3,126
4,273
3,673
3,469
2,756
2,798
2,912
3,359
West Germany
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,284
1,321
1,258
1,429
1,285
1,340
1,256
1,413
1,484
France
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,395
1,476
1,430
1,420
1,380
1,608
1,235
1,454
1,268
1,491
United Kingdom
736
565
456
482
523
493
445
494
610
767
442
639
638
Italy
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,507
1,462
1,593
1,593
1,593
Canada
521
334
247
244
283
353
424
260
185
Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0500060006-7
OPEC Average a 30.87 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 26.17 22.59 22.33 22.96 22.75
(Official Sales Price)
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0500060006-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7
Average Crude Oil Sales Price'
11.29 11.02 11.77 1288 12.93
3.39
a The 1973 price is derived from posted prices, 1974-84 prices are derived
from OPEC official sales prices, and beginning in 1985, prices are a
measure of average world sales prices.
Approved For Release 2011/09/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500060006-7