ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000500110006-1
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 28
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 28, 2011
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: January 16, 1987
• Content Type: REPORT

Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
16 January 1987
DI EE/ 87-002
16 January 1987
Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production 1
Gross National Product 1
Consumer Prices 1
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change Jrom previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including M1-A and M1-B.
Unemployment Rate a
Percen
t seasonall
y adjusted
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Oct
Nov
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
7.4
7.1
7.0
7.1
6.8
6.9
6.9
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.6
2.8
2.9
2.8
2.8
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.1
9.0
8.9
8.7
8.7
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.7
10.0
9.8
10.1
10.2
10.2
10.2
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
10.7
11.1
11.3
11.5
11.6
11.6
11.5
11.4
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
10.5
11.5
11.3
10.8
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
United States n
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.6
218.0
213.1
53.0
53.3
55.3
19.0
18.8
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.4
326.3
346.1
91.7
88.2
93.6
29.9
36.0
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.9
-108.3
-132.9
-38.6
-34.9
-38.2
-10.9
-17.2
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.1
173.9
47.7
51.2
53.9
18.1
17.6
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.0
124.1
118.0
29.9
29.0
28.2
9.8
8.0
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.4
44.0
56.0
17.8
22.2
25.6
8.2
9.6
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
184.2
55.2
60.9
63.3
21.8
20.5
Imports ~
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
158.9
45.0
47.8
48.2
17.9
15.7
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.4
10.2
13.1
15.2
3.9
4.8
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
30.4
29.8
32.4
11.0
10.7
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
30.3
30.9
32.1
11.0
10.8
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
0.1
-1.1
0.3
0
-0.l
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.0
93.7
100.9
26.1
26.9
26.1
8.8
9.3
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.3
99.4
103.5
28.2
29.3
30.6
10.0
10.7
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.3
-5.7
-2.6
-2.1
-2.4
-4.5
-1.2
-1.5
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.8
23.4
24.3
25.0
9.1
8.6
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.7
84.4
90.8
26.1
24.4
24.3
9.6
8.4
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.9
-11.9
-2.7
0
0.7
-0.5
0.2
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.6
86.6
88.1
22.0
21.2
21.6
7.4
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.3
20.2
19.3
20.3
6.8
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.3
16.0
12.8
1.7
1.9
1.4
0.6
e Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
49.2
12.7
23.1
24.2
9.1
8.3
8.1
West Germany
-6.8
3.3
4.3
6.7
13.8
6.9
8.3
8.0
3.3
4.1
4.8
France
-4.7
-12.1
-4.9
-0.8
0.3
1.1
0.3
1.2
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Export Prices in US
$
Percent change
Jrom pre
at an
vious period
annual rate
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1st Qtr 2
d Qtr
3d Qtr S
ep
Oct
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.7
-0.4
1.7
5.2
3.8
-4.0
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
26.1 2
4.9
12.0 -
19.5
1.2
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
40.7 1
6.6
30.3
8.6
24.8
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
33.7 -
0.6
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
-2.6
7.2
-6.9
-9.6
-15.7
Italy
-7.8
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-0.3
27.2
6.1
21.5
12.7
73.7
Canada
3.9
-2.0
0.2
-0.4
-3.5
-14.0
2.6
-10.8
41.9
8.9
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
-
12.49
- --
9.23
10.56
8.16
7.68
6.75
6.09
5.92
6.07
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
6.38
5.98
5.68
xn
NA
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
12.19
8.82
5.78
5.96
5.40
4.53
4.52
4.53
4.67
4.80
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
15.47
14.68
12.51
11.74
9.97
9.01
7.37
7.14
7.68
7.92
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91 1
2.21
12.28 1
0.12
9.99 1
1.27 1
1.37
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
20.13
20.15
18.16
15.91 1
4.95
15.87 1
2.74 1
1.43 1
1.33 1
1.59
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
11.08
9.03
8.57
tvn
NA
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.40
7.90
7.00
6.29
6.15
6.36
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
214.0
217.0
232.0
243.0
110.3
109.8
108.5
109.0
NA
NA
Beef (? per pound)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
112.4
]07.4
111.1
101.0
96.6
97.6
91.3
92.5
NA
NA
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
90.7
87.8
84.4
89.7
NA
NA
Cocoa (? per pound)
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
95.7
82.6
90.8
87.9
85.6
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
2.01
1.73
1.61
1.48
1.33
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
125
116
116
89
84
86
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US ?/Ib.)
72.69
74.48
85.71
63.91
57.87
53.60
45.51
38.91
NA
NA
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
571
445
502
730
501
289
241
208
288
290
Rice ($ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
632
481
514
514
484
453
352
294
300
295
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
573
362
339
310
249
236
224
235
221
215
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
288
244
282
283
225
218
213
199
201
204
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
507
447
527
727
571
407
348
294
317
309
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
252
219
238
197
157
188
184
187
182
177
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound)
16.93
8.42
8.49
5.18
4.04
5.83
7.45
5.25
NA
NA
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(~ per pound)
91.0
89.9
105.2
1 S`?.6
90.0
86.4
85.6
86.0
NA
NA
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
210
187
183
182
169
172
158
126
135
137
~~ The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
43.9
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
Copper a (bar, ? per pound)
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
64.5
64.5
64.5
60.3
59.8
60.6
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
317.2
342.6
341.6
376.2
404.1
391.4
Lead a (? per pound)
32.9
24.7
19.3
20.0
17.7
16.7
17.6
17.7
21.5
23.8
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
68.4
67.2
64.8
65.1
64.8
64.8
Nickel ($ per pound)
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.2
2.2
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.6
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
'
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
517.0
600.6
600.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
291.0
383.1
420.1
510.8
518.5
476.0
Rubber (? per pound)
Synthetic b
47.5
45.7
44.0
44.4
44.1
42.8
38.7
35.6
NA
NA
Naturals
56.8
45.4
56.2
49.6
42.0
41.7
40.1
44.1
45.3
44.5
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
6.1
5.9
5.2
5.3
5.6
5.4
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
74.4
74.0
71.8
73.8
NA
NA
Tina (? per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
357.4
250.5
244.9
270.4
289.3
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
8,673
7,567
6,558
4,945
4,929
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
543.5
567.3
590.2
611.6
617.8
551.2
554.4
557.1
NA
NA
Zinc a (? per pound)
38.4
33.7
34.7
41.5
35.4
28.5
33.8
37.5
38.1
36.5
Lumber[ndexe
(1980 =100)
95
84
114
105
103
100
121
113
112
112
Industrial Materials Index r
85
71
82
76
69
69
70
68
71
71
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Kuala Lumpur market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
c Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Aug
Sep
World
55,837
53,092
52,625
53,674
52,931
54,244
55,196
56,592
58,123
54,226
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
39,758
40,473
41,783
43,296
39,379
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
15,022
14,301
14,665
14,631
14,556
United States
8;572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
8,898
8,816
8,682
8,653
8,594
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
1,480
1,450
1,536
1,536
1,500
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,711
2,429
2,562
2,563
2,525
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
856
664
895
904
845
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,077
942
990
975
1,092
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,556
7,891
7,937
7,967
8,097
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,376
2,477
2,557
2,567
2,567
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
758
786
762
781
921
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,422
4,628
4,618
4,619
4,609
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
17,180
18,281
19,181
20,698
16,726
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
602
600
600
600
600
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
275
300
263
265
225
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
160
163
163
170
150
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,223
1,250
1,234
1,298
1,185
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
1,890
2,100
1,800
1,700
1,500
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,732
1,667
1,800
1,800
1,800
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
1,169
1,433
1,333
1,500
900
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
1,000
1,067
1,097
1,150
990
Neutral Zone ~
370
317
390
410
355
276
253
437
465
436
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,417
1,563
1,490
1,715
1,250
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
352
300
360
400
280
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
4,256
4,650
5,500
6,200
4,600
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,287
1,388
1,432
1,535
1,255
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,541
1,547
1,672
1,900
1,555
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,397
14,417
14,239
14,486
14,723
14,809
14,827
14,847
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,350
11,540
11,723
11,830
11,840
11,860
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,280
2,496
2,506
2,557
2,550
2,560
2,560
Other
411
410
412
409
393
440
443
429
427
427
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
1st Qtr 2d Qtr Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
United States a 16,058 15,296 15,184 15,708 15,726 16,056 .15,864 16,075 16,686 15,755 16,269 16,630
Japan 4,444 4,204 4,193 4,349 4,123 4,737 3,658 3,765 3,873 3,908
West Germany 2,120 2,024 2,009 2,012 2,060 2,214 2,500 2,447 2,028 1,896
France 1,744 1,632 1,594 1,531 1,498 1,718 1,441 1,425 1,398 1,443 1,463 1,471
Italy n 1,705 1,618 1,594 1,513 1,507 1,691 1,390 1,481 1,363 1,656 1,672
Canada 1,617 1,454 1,354 1,348 1,342 1,291 1,302 1,364 1,344
e Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
1st Qtr 2d Qtr Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
United States 4,406 3,488 3,329 3,426 3,201 3,107 4,083 4,648 4,826 4,984 4,280 4,410
Japan 3,919 3,657 3,567 3,664 3,377 3,691 3,008 2,912 3,359 3,168
West Germany 1,591 1,451 1,307 1,335 1,284 1,336 1,294 1,413 1,474
United Kingdom 736 565 456 482 523 477 606 639 638
Italy 1,816 1,710 1,532 1,507 1,462 1,593 1,640
Canada 521 334 247 244 283 346 295 410 413
Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
OPEC Average a 30.87 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 23.49 26.17 22.59 22.33 22.86
(Official Sales Price)
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2011/11/28 :CIA-RDP88-007988000500110006-1
Average Crude Oil Sales PriceA
34.50 33.63
3087 29.31 ~R ~n .., . ,
[m"""I [.....1 k ~ I E :;