ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 27, 2011
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: February 27, 1987
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
27 February 1987
DI EEI 87-005
27 February 1987
Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
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Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
West Germany 1.1 3.6
10.2
3.3
4.4
9.8
11.3
7.4
9.9
-1.1
France 12.2 13.9
8.8
15.9
2.0
8.4
-0.1
-15.4
United Kingdom NA NA
13.0
22.0
26.1
30.7
14.2
-13.8
Italy 11.2 11.6
15.1
12.3
13.7
8.4
2.3
5.5
Canada 3.8 0.7
10.1
3.4
4.2
-4.3
-1.7
15.8
14.6
-3.4
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and M1-B.
West Germany 5.6 7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.1
9.0
8.8
8.7
8.7
France 7.6 8.4
8.6
9.8
10.2
10.1
10.4
10.5
10.5
10.5
United Kingdom 10.0 11.6
10.7
11.1
11.3
11.5
11.6
11.6
11.4
11.3
Italy 8.4 9.1
9.9
9.9
10.1
10.9
10.7
10.7
Canada 7.5 11.1
11.9
11.3
10.5
9.7
9.6
9.7
9.4
9.7
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Foreign Trade a
United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.6
218.0
213.1
53.0
53.2
55.3
55.9
18.3
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.4
326.3
346.1
91.6
88.3
93.4
96.7
30.8
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.9
-108.3
-133.0
-38.6
-35.1
-38.1
-40.8
-12.5
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.1
173.9
47.8
51.4
54.0
52.2
17.1
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.0
124.1
118.0
29.9
28.9
28.0
26.2
8.4
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.4
43.9
55.9
17.9
22.4
26.0
26.0
8.7
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
184.3
55.2
60.8
63.2
64.7
22.2
Imports
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
158.9
44.9
47.9
48.1
50.5
16.8
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.3
10.3
12.9
15.1
14.2
5.4
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
30.4
29.8
32.4
32.7
11.0
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
30.3
30.9
32.1
32.2
10.4
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
0.1
-1.1
0.3
0.5
0.6
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.0
93.7
100.9
26.1
26.9
26.1
27.5
9.4
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.3
99.4
103.5
28.2
29.3
30.6
31.3
10.5
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.3
-5.7
-2.6
-2.1
-2.4
-4.5
-3.8
-1.1
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.9
23.3
24.4
24.9
25.2
7.7
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.7
84.4
90.8
26.0
24.4
24.2
25.3
7.4
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.9
-11.9
-2.7
0
0.7
-0.1
0.3
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.6
86.6
88.1
21.8
21.1
21.7
22.6
7.5
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.3
20.2
19.3
20.3
20.6
6.8
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.3
16.0
12.8
1.7
1.8
1.4
2.0
0.7
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
c Imports are c.i.f.
United Kingdom
15.3
8.5
4.7
1.7
4.7
0.8
0.4
-1.2
-0.3
-0.3
0.1
Italy
-8.6
-5.7
0.6
-2.8
-4.0
-3.4
1.2
Canada
-5.0
2.1
2.4
2.6
-0.4
-1.9
-1.4
-1.6
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.6
-0.5
1.8
5.0
5.6
3.2
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
26.1
24.9
12.0
6.9
-3.0
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
40.7
16.5
30.3
-12.3
23.4
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
33.3
-0.6
20.1
-18.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
-2.6
7.2
-7.4
5.1
12.3
Italy
-7.8
-3.0
-4.4
-5.2
-0.3
27.3
6.3
21.9
-2.6
Canada
3.9
-2.0
0.2
-0.4
-3.5
-14.0
2.8
-10.4
-18.0
3.7
Percent changefrom previous period
at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Nov
Dec
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
-6.5
-9.6
-1.6
-3.9
-8.3
Japan
3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
-4.3
-5.3
-49.2
-12.6
-2.0
16.2
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
10.0
-11.1
5.3
-17.8
15.8
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-0.4
11.0
-11.8
1.0
-13.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
-0.5
2.4
- 8.5
10.0
31.7
Italy
1.0
-5.3
-6.6
-3.7
-1.0
10.6
-19.1
- 2.7
-8.7
Canada
8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
-8.7
3.4
- 6.8
-15.6
-4.7
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
10.5
10.6
5.8
9.1
6.3
-17.8
-11.3
-6.9
-4.0
-10.5
Japan
9.3
-5.7
10.4
6.2
6.8
26.8
42.4
51.2
-16.9
-7.2
West Germany
-2.1
7.0
5.8
1.0
1.7
8.5
6.0
13.7
7.0
6.8
France
-5.1
-6.1
-4.7
-2.1
2.7
5.8
-10.4
2.4
4.1
-0.2
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9 -3.0
1.7 20.8
-5.9
-14.8
15.3
67.9
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6 -8.6
30.1 14.5
24.2
12.4
16.5
42.3
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.1 -5.4
-6.9 5.7
-0.3
-0.3
5.8
14.7
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
6.38
5.98
5.68
NA
NA
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
11.08
NA
8.57
NA
NA
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.40
7.90
7.00
6.29
6.15
6.36
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Agricultural Prices
Year
1st Qtr 2d Qtr
3d Qtr
4th Qtr Jan
Bananas
214.0
217.0
232.0
243.0
110.3
108.9
109.8
108.5
109.0
108.4
NA
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Australia
112.4
107.4
111.1
101.0
96.6
NA
97.6
91.3
92.5
NA
NA
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
90.7
NA
87.8
84.4
89.7
NA
NA
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (0 per pound)
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
89.3
95.7
82.6
90.8
87.9
86.1
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
1.71
2.01
1.73
1.61
1.47
1.20
Corn
150
123
148
150
125
101
116
116
89
84
81
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US ~/Ib.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled,
632
481
514
514
484
348
453
352
294
300
NA
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
573
362
339
310
249
229
236
224
235
221
NA
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
507
447
527
727
571
342
407
348
294
317
NA
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
16.93
8.42
8.49
5.18
4.04
6.05
5.83
7.45
5.25
5.67
6.47
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound)
Tea
91.0
89.9
105.2
156.6
90.0
87.5
86.4
85.6
86.0
92.1
NA
Average Auction (London)
(Q per pound)
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Major US producer
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
LME cash
57.4
44.9
65.1
56.8
47.2
52.2
51.4
53.1
52.2
52.0
53.1
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
43.9
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
Copper a (bar, 4 per pound)
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
64.5
62.3
64.5
64.5
60.3
59.8
61.5
Gold (S per troy ounce)
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
317.2
366.1
342.6
341.6
376.2
404.1
407.3
Lead a (0 per pound)
32.9
24.7
19.3
20.0
17.7
18.4
16.7
17.6
17.7
21.5
21.8
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
68.4
65.5
67.2
64.8
65.1
64.8
64.8
Nickel ($ per pound)
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
2.7
2.2
2.1
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
291.0
458.1
383.1
420.1
510.8
518.5
493.3
Tina (Q per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
280.8
357.4
250.5
244.9
270.4
303.6
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
6,936
8,673
7,567
6,558
4,945
5,460
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index
(1980= 100)
Industrial Materials Index r 85 71 82
(1980= 100)
Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Kuala Lumpur market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
r The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Oct
Nov
World
55,837
53,092
52,625
53,674
52,931
54,988
55,800
56,678
54,642
55,422
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
40,395,
41,024
41,806
39,722
40,452
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
15,125
14,198
14,360
14,427
14,367
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
9,099
8,762
8,455
8,434
8,321
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457.
1,412
1,456
1,529
1,527
1,500
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,667
2,378
2,513
2,510
2,468
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
867
652
892
890
1,018
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,080
950
'971
1,066
1,060
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,600
7,887
7,907
7,821
8,097
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,273
2,478
2,509
2,359
2,452
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
813
787
760
799
938
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,514
4,622
4,638
4,663
.4,707
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
17,670
18,939
19,539
17,474
17,988
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
652
684
688
662
662
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
297
299
285
268
268
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
180
180
180
180
180
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,265
1,342
1,263
1,188
1,188
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
2,324
2,067
1,537
1,400
2,000
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,750
1,748
1,750
1,750
1,550
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
1,134
1,402
1,536
1,300
1,300
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
1,000
1,306
1,242
1,000
1,000
Neutral Zones
370
317 .
390
410
355
234
305
433
354
373
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,432
1,566
1,542
1,301
1,308
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
300
334
374
350
374
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
4,318
4,696
5,676
4,900
5,000
UAE
1,500
1,248
.1,119
1,097
1,146
1,230
1,430 ,
1,448
1,236
-1,200
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,554
1,580
1,585
1,585
1,585
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,397
14,417
14,239
14,593
14,776
14,872
14,920
14,970
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,350
11,540
11,720
11,830
11,880
11,930
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,280
2,496
2,613
2,613
2,613
2,613
2,613
Other
411
410
412
409
393
440
443
429
427
427
Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
c Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Italy b 1,705 1,618 1,594 1,513 1,507 1,691 1,390 1,500 1,656 1,672
Canada 1,617 1,454 1,354 1,348 1,342 1,297 1,308 1,365 1,382 1,386
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
Japan 3,919 3,657 3,567 3,664 3,377 3,691 3,008 3,359 3,168 3,122
West Germany 1,591 1,451 1,307 1,335 1,284 1,336 1,294 1,474 1,382 1,223
France 1,804 1,596 1,429 1,395 1,476 1,410 1,432 1,491 1,825 1,123 1,209
Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0500170006-5
OPEC Average a 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 23.49 26.17 22.59 22.33 22.86 18.01
(Official Sales Price)
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0500170006-5
 Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5
Average Crude Oil Sales Price?
11.29 1102 11.77 118 11-3
I I I
O
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86
N
O a
N
ul ~
M pp
N
a The 1973 price is derived from posted prices; 1974-84 prices are derived
from OPEC official sales prices; and, beginning in 1985, prices are a
measure of average world sales prices.
2~1 28.770 27.16
Approved For Release 2011/09/27: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500170006-5