ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 28, 2011
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: March 27, 1987
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EE187-007
27 March 1987
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0 -
 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0500210006-0
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Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0500210006-0
 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Economic Industrial Production
Gross National Product 1
Consumer Prices 1
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
West Germany
-2.3
-3.2
0.3
3.3
3.9
-0.1
9.5
-4.0
1.4
17.4
France
-2.6
-1.5
1.1
2.5
0.5
-5.8
6.2
7.1
-2.9
-23.3
United Kingdom
-3.9
2.1
3.9
1.3
4.7
2.5
0.7
5.2
-2.9
-7.4
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
France
0.2
1.8
0.7
1.5
1.4
2.6
0.8
4.3
United Kingdom
-1.4
1.9
3.5
2.8
3.4
1.1
4.4
2.9
2.9
2.8
Italy
0.2
-0.5
-0.2
2.8
2.3
1.6
-1.7
11.1
1.6
Canada
3.3
-4.4
3.1
5.5
4.0
7.3
2.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
Percent change
seasonally adjus
from previ
ted at an a
ous period
nnual rate
United States
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
-1.3
2.4
2.7
8.3
Japan
4.9
2.6
1.9
2.3
2.0
0.9
-2.0
-0.1
-4.7
-1.2
West Germany
6.0
5.3
3.3
2.4
2.2
-1.1
-0.5
-1.6
1.5
1.0
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3dQtr
4th Qtr
Jan
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
7.0
9.2
9.1
16.4
17.5
18.2
12.3
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.7
2.8
5.0
7.2
9.7
9.4
9.4
17.3
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.2
3.3
4.4
9.8
11.3
7.4
9.9
1.4
France
12.2
13.9
10.3
15.8
1.8
8.1
0.3
35.2
United Kingdom
NA
NA
13.0
22.0
25.9
30.7
15.6
41.0
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.1
12.3
13.7
8.4
2.3
5.5
27.1
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.1
3.4
4.2
-4.5
-1.7
15.8
14.8
5.6
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including M1-A and M1-B.
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Jan
Feb
United States
7.5
9.6
9.4
7.4
7.1
7.0
6.8
6.7
6.6
6.6
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.8
2.9
2.8
3.0
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.0
8.8
8.7
8.7
8.8
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.8
10.2
10.4
10.5
10.5
10.6
10.7
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Foreign Trade a
Billion US $, fo.b.
United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.6
217.9
213.1
53.2
53.3
55.3
55.7
16.7
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.4
326.2
345.9
92.0
88.3
93.3
96.3
28.6
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.9
-108.2
-132.8
-38.8
-35.0
-38.0
-40.7
-11.9
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.1
173.9
47.8
51.3
54.0
52.2
18.7
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.0
124.1
118.0
29.8
28.9
28.0
26.3
8.9
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.4
43.9
55.9
18.0
22.3
26.1
25.9
9.8
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
184.3
55.3
60.7
63.1
64.6
21.3
Imports c
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
158.9
44.9
47.8
48.1
50.5
16.4
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.3
10.4
12.9
15.0
14.1
4.9
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
30.4
29.8
32.4
32.5
10.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
30.3
30.9
32.1
32.2
11.3
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
0.1
-1.1
0.3
0.4
-0.4
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.0
93.7
100.9
26.1
26.9
26.1
27.7
9.3
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.3
99.4
103.5
28.2
29.2
30.4
31.4
10.1
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.3
-5.7
-2.6
-2.1
-2.4
-4.3
-3.7
-0.8
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.8
23.3
24.4
25.0
25.1
8.5
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.7
84.4
90.9
25.7
24.4
24.2
25.6
9.0
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-11.0
-12.1
-2.4
0
0.8
-0.5
-0.5
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.6
86.6
88.1
21.8
21.1
21.6
22.5
7.1
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.3
20.0
19.1
20.0
20.5
6.8
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.3
16.0
12.8
1.8
2.0
1.6
2.0
0.4
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
c Imports are c.i.f.
United States
6.3
-8.1
-46.6
-106.5
-117.7
-34.0
-34.4
-35.3
-36.8
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
49.2
12.7
23.1
24.4
25.8
9.4
5.0
West Germany
-6.8
3.3
4.3
6.7
13.8
6.9
8.3
8.0
13.2
4.3
2.6
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Export Prices in US $
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan
United States 9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.6
-0.5
1.8
5.0 1.3
Japan 5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
26.5
24.5
11.8 -2.6 57.9
West Germany -14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
40.7
16.5
30.3 -15.0 102.7
France -12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
33.3
-0.6
20.1
United Kingdom NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
-2.6
7.2
-7.4 -4.7 92.6
Import Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan
United States 5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
-6.5
-9.6
-1.6 6.4
Japan 3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
-4.3
-5.7
-49.5
-11.2 -1.4 71.8
West Germany -8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
9.4
-10.5
5.5 7.9 104.2
France -7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-0.4
11.0
-11.8
1.0
United Kingdom NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
-0.5
2.4
-8.5 2.2 88.1
Italy 1.0
-5.3
-6.6
-3.7
-1.0
8.6
-18.6
-0.7 15.9
Canada 8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
-8.7
3.4
-6.8 1.3 -6.8
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Exchange Rate Trends
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9
-3.0
1.7
20.8
-5.9
-14.8
67.9
20.3
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6
-8.6
30.1
14.5
24.2
12.4
42.3
16.1
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.1
-5.4
-6.9
5.7
-0.3
-0.3
14.7
21.5
Money Market Rates
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.16
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.40
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Dec
7.68
6.75
6.09
5.92
6.07
6.38
5.98
5.68
5.58
5.51
11.08
NA
8.57
NA
NA
7.90
7.00
6.29
6.15
6.36
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Year 2d Qtr 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan Feb
214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 108.9 108.5 109.0 108.4 115.6 NA
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (4 per pound)
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
89.3
82.6
90.8
87.9
86.1
84.8
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
1.71
1.73
1.61
1.47
1.20
1.15
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
125
101
116
89
84
81
81
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 4/lb.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound)
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(? per pound)
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
a The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
57.4
44.9
65.1
56.8
47.2
52.2
53.1
52.2
52.0
53.1
58.3
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
43.9
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
Copper a (bar, ? per pound)
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
64.5
62.3
64.5
60.3
59.8
61.1
62.6
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
317.2
366.1
341.6
376.2
404.1
408.5
401.1
20.0
17.7
18.4
17.6
17.6
21.5
21.0
20.9
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
68.4
65.5
64.8
65.1
64.8
64.8
68.4
Nickel ($ per pound)
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
2.2
2.2
1.75
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.6
1.7
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
517.0
475.0
517.0
600.6
600.0
600.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
291.0
458.1
420.1
510.8
518.5
507.0
514.0
Synthetic b
47.5
45.7
44.0
44.4
44.1
37.6
38.7
35.6
33.2
32.2
NA
Natural c
56.8
45.4
56.2
49.6
42.0
42.8
40.1
44.1
45.3
45.9
46.5
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
6.1
5.5
5.2
5.3
5.6
5.5
5.5
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
74.4
73.4
71.8
73.8
73.9
76.5
NA
Tin a (? per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
280.8
250.5
244.9
270.4
304.9
303.5
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
6,936
7,567
6,558
4,945
5,566
6,202
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index e
(1980= 100)
95
84
114
Industrial Materials Index r
85
71
82
(1980=100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Kuala Lumpur market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
c Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
fThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
55,837
53,092
.52,625
53,674
52,931
54,977
55,802
56,705
55,167
55,648
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
40,384
41,026
41,833
40,287
40,768
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
15,114
14,200
14,380
14,384
14,416
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
9,099
8,762
8,455
8,368
8,348
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
1,412
1,456
1,529
1,509
1,500
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
2,663
2,377
2,513
2,479
2,502
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
860
651
892
959
1,000
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
1,080
954
991
1,069
1,066
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,600
7,887
7,914
8,039
8,218
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,273
2,478
2,509
2,460
2,570
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
813
787
760
890
935
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,514
4,622
4,645
4,689
4,713
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
17,670
18,939
19,539
17,864
18,134
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
652
684
688
662
662
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
297
299
285
274
285
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
180
180
180
180
180
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,265
1,342
1,263
1,188
1,188
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
2,324
2,067
1,537
1,865
2,200
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
1,750
1,748
1,750
1,617
1,550
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
1,134
1,402
1,536
1,300
1,300
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
1,000
1,306
1,242
1,000
1,000
Neutral Zone c
370
317
390
410
355
234
305
433
353
333
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
1,432
1,566
1,542
1,303
1,300
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
300
334
374
358
350
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
4,318
4,696
5,676
4,966
5,000
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,230
1,430
1,448
1,213
1,201
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,554
1,580
1,585
1,585
1,585
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,397
14,417
14,239
14,593
14,776
14,872
14,880
14,880
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,350
11,540
11,720
11,830
11,840
11,840
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,280
2,496
2,613
2,613
2,613
2,613
2,613
Other
411
410
412
409
393
440
443
429
427
427
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
fI
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United States a
16,058
15,296
15,184
15,708
15,726
Japan
4,444
4,204
4,193
4,349
4,123
West Germany
2,120
2,024
2,009
2,012
2,060
France
1,744
1,632
1,594
1,531
1,498
United Kingdom
1,325
1,345
1,290
1,624
1,402
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,507
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,342
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,426
3,201
3,111
4,138
4,984
4,317
4,453
4,444
4,281
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,377
3,691
3,008
3,168
3,122
West Germany
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,284
1,336
1,294
1,382
1,240
United Kingdom
736
565
456
482
523
477
606
925
897
689
Italy
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,507
1,462
1,593
1,640
Canada
521
334
247
244
283
346
295
400
421
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Oct Nov Dec Jan
16,056 15,864 16,172 16,441 16,051 16,897 16,583
4,737 3,658 3,824 4,117 4,548
2,214 2,500 2,124 1,955 1,797
1,719 1,441 1,421 1,463 1,463 1,741
1,407 1,360 1,387 1,434 1,318
1,691 1,362 .1,500 1,672 1,647 1,793
1,297 1,308 1,365 1,386
Il
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr 4th Qtr Jan Feb
OPEC Average a 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 26.17 22.59 22.33 22.86 18.01 18.10
(Official Sales Price)
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0
Average Crude Oil Sales Prices
34.50 33.63
30.87 , 29.31 28.70
n f f o 2716
3.39
Q
11,77 12.88 12.93
1.29 11.02 r ,a r
a The 1973 price is derived from posted prices; 1974-84 prices are derived
from OPEC official sales prices; and, beginning in 1985, prices are a
measure of average world sales prices.
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000500210006-0