ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2011
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: July 5, 1985
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 85-014
5 July 1985
Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800070003-6
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Page
Economic Industrial Production
Gross National Product 1
Consumer Prices 1
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials' Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, 'Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil,Qfficial Sales Price (Chart) l 1
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States
2.6
-8.1
6.4
10.7
2.0
2.2
2.2 3.7 -2.9 -1.4
Japan
1.0
0.4
3.5
11.1
-2.6
3.0
-1.0 -15.7 39.0 25.1
West Germany
-2.3
-3.2
0.3
2.4
-5.6
-1.2
-1.2 10.2
France
-2.6
-1.5
1.1
2.6
-3.0
-24.6
74.8 19.8 -23.8
United Kingdom
-3.9
2.1
3.9
1.0
7.8
5.9
4.7 29.9 7.0
Italy
-1.6
-3.1
-3.2
3.1
7.4
-37.9
174.3 3.7 -42.6
Canada
0.5
-10.0
5.7
8.7
-1.1
-8.7
-4.9 -7.3 10.5
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States
2.5 '
-2.1
3.7
6.8
7.1 1.6 4.2 0.3
Japan
4.1
3.4 .
3.1
5.7
7.6 2.6 9.6 0.4
West Germany
-0.2
-1.0
1.3
2.6
-7.4 9.8 5.8 -3.1
France
0.2
2.0
0.7
1.6
-1.7 4.7 -0.2 0
United Kingdom
-0.9
1.5
3.4
1.6
-5.6 -1.4 13.2 1.9
Italy
0.2
-0.5
-0.4
2.6
2.6 4.4 -2.3 2.6
Canada
3.3
-4.4
?3.3
5.0
3.0 6.7 3.4 3.7
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Mar Apr May Jun
United States
10.3 6.2
3.2
4.3 3.3
5.8 4.6 2.7
Japan
4.9 2.6
1.8
2.3 2.3
-0.3 2.2 -4.9
West Germany
6.0 5.3
3.6
2.4 3.7
5.6 2.2 1.9
France
13.3 12.0
9.5
7.7 5.7
6.6 5.7 7.1
United Kingdom
11.9 8.6
4.6
5.0 7.1
2.7 12.4 6.3
Italy
19.3 16.4
14.9
10.6 10.2
10.6
1.1 11.9 9.3 8.9
Canada
12.5 10.8
5.8
4.3 5.4
2.0 6.4 2.0
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Mar
Apr May Jun
United States b 7.1 6.6
11.2
6.9
10.9
5.8
6.0
14.9
Japan 3.7 7.1
3.0
2.9
11.5
69.9
-50.4
West Germany 1.1 3.6
10.3
3.3
1.4
13.2
-9.0
-1.2
France 12.2 13.9
10.0
7.5
United Kingdom NA NA
13.0
14.6
0.7
27.8
46.1
31.5
Italy 11.2 11.6
15.3
11.0
Canada 3.8 0.6
10.2
2.3
-7.2
9.1
21.8
-5.7
43.6 29.2
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including M1-A and M1-B.
Percent seasonally adjusted
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Mar
Apr May Jun
United States
7.5
9.6
9.5
7.4
7.2
7.2
7.2
7.2
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
2.5
2.6
2.4
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
10.4
10.0
9.3
8.8
France
7.6
8.6
8.5
9.6
10.1
10.3
10.0
10.2
10.2
10.3
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Foreign Trade a
United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
217.6
55.7
17.9
18.4
17.8
17.4
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
325.6
84.4
28.0
28.1
28.3
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-107.9
-28.7
-10.1
-9.7
-10.5
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.3
145.5
168.2
40.2
13.3
12.8
14.2
Imports
129.5
119.7
114.1
124.1
28.8
9.7
9.5
10.3
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.5
44.1
11.4
3.5
3.2
3.9
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.4
172.0
40.8
13.7
13.1
14.5
14.6
Imports c
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
36.4
12.0
11.6
12.4
12.4
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
4.4
1.7
1.5
2.1
2.2
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
22.5
7.6
7.9
8.2
8.0
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
23.6
8.2
8.0
8.7
8.1
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-1.1
-0.6
-0.1
-0.4
-0.1
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.7
22.7
7.6
7.7
8.5
8.5
Imports
94.6
93.0
93.8
99.2
24.2
7.9
8.8
8.9
8.2
Balance
7.9
4.1
-1.8
-5.5
-1.5
-0.3
-1.1
-0.3
0.3
Italy
Exports
75.4
74.0
72.8
73.6
17.6
6.1
5.9
5.5
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.6
84.3
21.4
7.3
7.2
7.0
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.8
-10.7
-3.8
-1.2
-1.3
-1.6
Canada
Exports
70.5
68:5
73.7
86.8
21.9
7.1
7.5
7.4
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.8
17.9
5.9
5.9
5.8
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
16.1
4.0
1.3
1.6
1.6
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
c Imports are c.i.f.
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
0.2
5.1
7.3 -6.8
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-11.9
-8.2
-11.2 93.0
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
-18.9
-33.9
4.1 119.9 -2.3
France
-12.0
-5.5
-5.0
2.7
-34.3
Canada
3.9
-2.0
-1.2
-3.7
-0.6
-18.1
14.2 16.2
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
Annual
4th Qtr
1st Qtr
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.9
-10.9
0.9
-9.1
0
Japan
3.6
-7.3
-5.0
-2.8
-8.4
-10.9
4.9
19.2
-7.2
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-11.3
-12.9
-24.6
21.2
77.2
-5.9
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-3.7
-27.4
United Kingdom
NA
-5.2
-4.0
-13.0
-15.7
-0.6
57.5
148.7
-12.4
Italy
1.0
Canada .
8.7
-1.1
-3.4
-0.1.
-2.8
-4.8
-41.4
-11.4-
18.0
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
Japan
9.3
-5.7
10.4
6.2
West Germany
-2.1
7.0
5.8
1.0
France
-5.1
-6.1
-4.7
-2.1
2.5
-2.1
-5.0
-2.5
-9.2
-5.1
-1.6
-3.1
0.3
0.2
2.3
-2.3
Japan
2.7
-12.8
4.5
West Germany
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-11.5
France
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-14.7
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6
Canada
-2.5
-2.9
0.1
-5.1
1st Qtr
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
0.9
22.8
6.7
-0.2
2.0
9.3
0.9
5.7
11.6
-10.5
40.8
86.6
1.3
-23.8
-11.9
- 2.1
-22.6
- 5.3
-19.6
9.6
25.5
0.5
12.2
-28.0
-0.8
54.2
-4.3
13.3
-26.7
-1.0
55.4
-5.5
14.1
-28.6
41.1
212.0
10.5
29.1
-30.3
-29.4
46.4
-2.9
13.9
-10.5
-31.5
14.7
-9.3
5.3
Money Market Rates
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.76
8.84
9.13
8.61
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.55
6.55.
6.54
6.55
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
12.19
8.82
5.78
5.96
5.84
6.17
6.35
5.98
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91
12.98
13.56
13.63
12.67
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
10.59
10.59
11.35
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
9.04
9.19
9.43
8.86
8.61
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b., US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa
(0 per pound)
Coffee
($ per pound)
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "B"
index, c.i.f. Europe, US 0/lb.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US
(No. 2,'milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mil.
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton) '
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean. Ports, spot.
prices 0/lb.)
Tea
Average Auction (London)-
(US 0 per pound)
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
Rotterdam c.i.f.
$ per metric ton)
Food Index a
(1975 =100)
104.3 100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
96.6
89.2
89.4
NA
113.5 89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
99.2
101.6
75.2
NA
1.54 1.28 ;).
x:1.40 ?- =
1.32
1.44 ~
'51.44
r ;1.41
583 571
445
.502
730 .
.;605
653
610
NA
598 632
481
514
514
496
496
496
NA
522 573
362
339
310
254 1
241
250'+
NA
598 507
447
527
727
651
693
652
NA
155
145
142
29.03.. ..., 16.93
8.42
9.49--, ..
5.18
3.69,-.-,,
3.37:.,
5.58-.-
NA
101:4 '91.0
209 210 187 183 182 177 171 171 166
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800070003-6
Industrial Materials Prices
Major US producer
71.6
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
LME cash
80.8
57.4
44.9
65.1
56.8
49.2
49.8
50.4
47.5
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
55.0
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
49.9
50.0
43.2
41.0
Copper a (bar, d per pound)
98.7
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
62.1
67.2
70.0
65.7
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
612.1
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
300.0
326.7
317.5
515.7
Lead a (0 per pound)
41.1
32.9
24.7
19.3 '
20.0
17.2
17.3
17.1
17.4
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
78.5
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
69.6
68.4
68.4
68.4
Nickel ($ per pound)
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
3.0
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.4
2.5
2.5
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
Synthetic b
40.6
47.5
45.7
44.0
44.4
46.6
46.2
NA
NA
Natural c
73.8
56.8
45.4
56.2
49.6
42.0
42.0
41.0
41.6
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
20.7
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
5.9
6.4
6.3
6.2
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
91.2
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
83.7
79.2
NA
NA
Tine (4 per pound)
761.3
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
501.1
533.3
536.0
556.6
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,219
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
11,515
11,895
10,832
NA
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index a
(1975-100)
167
159
140
Industrial Materials Index r
184
166
142
(1975-100) ,
. Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
c Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
This index is compiled by using the average of 11 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international; trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
59,463
55,827
53,014
52,588
53,827
52,484
51,332
53,039
53,186
Non-Communist countries
45,243
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,272
37,115
38,829
38,976
Developed countries
12,859
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,691
14,587
14,696
14,787
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,871
8,737
8,911
8,968
8,907
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,467
1,450
1,450
1,500
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,660
2,728
2,650
2,600
Norway
528
501
518
614
700
719
695
705
755
Other
691
717
736
915
921
974
977
980
964
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,443
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,763
7,682
7,742
7,919
Mexico
1,936
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,711
2,634
2,687
2,810
2,820
Egypt
595
598
665
689
827
916
890
925
935
Other
2,912
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,136
4,158
4,130
4,174
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
15,818
14,846
16,391
16,270
15,910
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
638
617
600
600
650
650
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
253
270
260
270
280
280
Gabon
175
151
154
157
152
150
150
150
150
150
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,166
1,160
1,190
1,150
1,050
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
1,893
1,400
2,100
2,200
2,400
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,203
1,233
1,250
1,250
1,200
1,370
Kuwait b
1,389
947
663
881
912
883
900
900
850
800
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
Neutral Zonec
544
370
317
390
410
447
420
450
470
340
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,597
1,400
1,700
1,700
1,600
Qatar
471
405
328
295
399
316
345
290
310
260
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,559
3,300
3,800
3,600
3,300
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,123
1,106
1,106
1,155
1,155
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,564
1,555
1,585
1,555
1,555
Communist countries
14,220
14,238
14,289
14,396
14,417
14,212
14,217
14,210
14,210
USSR
11,700
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,402
11,407
11,400
11,400
China
2,113
2,024
2,044
2,120
2,280
2,390
2,390
2,390
2,390
Other
407
414
415
412
409
420
420
420
420
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
c Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Thousand b/d
Japan
4,674
4,444
4,204
4,193
4,349
4,373
5,029 '
4,666
5,059
West Germany
2,356
2,120
2,024
2,009
2,012
2,076
1,856
2,162
2,003
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price a
US $ per barrel
Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
19.65
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
30.15
29.50
29.50
29.50
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
22.41
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
26.82
26.50
26.50
26.50
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
18.20
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
28.35
28.00
28.00
28.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
18.35
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
28.88
28.53
28.53
28.53
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
19.45
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
28.38
28.05
28.05
28.05
Heavy
31 ? API 1.60% sulfur
18.49
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
27.41
27.35
27.35
27.35
Iraq =
35? API 1.95% sulfur
18.56
30.30
36.66
34.86
30.32
29.43
28.78
28.43
28.43
28.43
Kuwait
311 API 2.50% sulfur
18.48
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
21.16
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
20.86
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.12
28.24
28.37
28.37
28.37
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
19.72
31.76
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
28.48
28.10
28.10
28.10
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
19.33
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.52
28.48
28.11
28.11
28.11
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
17.26
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
28.32
28.00
28.00
28.00
Medium
311 API 2.40% sulfur
16.79
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
27.48
r
27.40
27.40
27.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
16.41
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
26.50
26.50
26.50
26.50
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
19.81
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
28.52
28.15
28.15
28.15
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
17.22
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
27.69
27.60
27.60
27.60
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
? Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
o6
.6
W
N
N N
28.59 28.09 28.06 28.10 28.1
1
O
~ N
{
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Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
 Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6
Approved For Release 2011/09/16: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800070003-6