ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 29, 2011
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: October 25, 1985
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 85-022
25 October 1985
Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Page
Economic Industrial Production
Gross National Product 1
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart)
9
9
10
11
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
6.9
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.0
2.9
West Germany
1.1
3.6
10.3
3.3
France
12.2
13.9
10.0
7.5
United Kingdom
NA
NA
13.0
14.7
Italy
11.2
11.6
15.2
12.0
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.2
3.3
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
10.9
10.6
21.7
9.7
22.4
12.1
11.3
-0.4
57.0
-29.2
3.7
1.4
-0.4
6.8
2.5
11.7
12.7
1.2
32.4
61.2
-20.9
45.7
0.9
20.0
12.5
7.7
3.5
3.5
2.1
8.6
19.3
19.8
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and M1-B.
Unemployment Rate a
United States
7.5
9.6
9.5
7.4
Japan
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.7
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.6
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.4
12.6
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Jul
Aug
Sep
7.0
7.2
7.2
7.2
6.9
7.0
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
9.2
9.4
9.4
9.5'
9.4
9.4
10.0
9.9
10.3
10.2
10.3
10.4
12.9
13.1
13.2
13.2
13.3
13.1
10.8
10.2
a Unemployment rates for France are estimated.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Foreign Trade a
United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
217.6
55.7
52.6
17.4
17.4
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
325.6
84.4
86.4
26.6
26.1
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-108.0
-28.7
-33.8
-9.2
-8.7
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.2
40.4
42.5
14.4
14.6
Imports
129.5
119.7
114.1
124.1
28.9
29.5
9.7
9.6
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.5
44.1
11.6
13.0
4.7
5.0
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
40.9
43.7
17.2
15.8
Imports
163.4
155.3
152.8
153.1
36.5
37.2
14.4
14.1
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
4.4
6.5
2.7
1.7
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
22.5
24.4
8.4
8.8
8.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
23.6
24.7
8.8
8.8
9.2
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-1.1
-0.4
-0.4
0
-0.3
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.7
22.7
25.4
8.7
8.4
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.7
99.1
24.1
25.7
8.8
8.6
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.6
-5.3
-1.4
-0.3
-0.1
-0.3
Italy
Exports
75.4
74.0
72.8
73.6
17.7
18.2
6.4
7.0
Imports
91.2
86.8
80.6
84.4
21.6
21.9
6.9
7.2
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.8
-3.8
-3.6
-0.6
-0.2
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
86.5
22.0
21.8
6.6
7.3
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
17.9
18.5
6.4
6.6
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
15.9
4.1
3.3
0.2
0.8
a Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
Italy -8.6 -5.7 0.6 -3.2
a Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
-18.9
26.8
18.2 84.7 58.2
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
-16.2
57.1
23.8 101.5 1.0
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-13.2
19.9
2.7 56.2 28.5
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-10.6
15.4
4.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.6
-15.4
46.1
11.1 89.7 -17.2
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.76
8.61
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.55
6.54
6.53 6.52 6.51
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
12.19
8.82
5.78
5.96
6.12
5.98
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
15.47
14.68
12.51
11.74
10.64
10.58
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91
12.98
12.67
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
20.13
20.15
18.16
15.91
15.78
15.37
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
10.59
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
9.04
8.74
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Agricultural Prices
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
125.2
112.1
108.4
110.7
101.1
100.2'
93.3
93.6
93.8
94.3
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
104.3
100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
96.6
81
80.4
79.0
80.7
Cocoa (? per pound)
113.5.
89,8
74.3
92.1
1062:
99.2
96.4
98.4
98.2,
101.3
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.54
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.44
1.42
1.33
1.33
1.33
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
150
123
148
150
133
133
118
115
1'13
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 0/lb.)
93.20
72.69
74.48
85.71
63.91
62.27
63.78
56.76
55.80
53.58
Palm Oil
(United kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
583
571
445
502
730
605
606
417
404
360
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
522
573
362
339
310
254,
243
236
238
241
Soybeans
(US # 2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
296
288
244
282
283
240
236
213
209
206
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
598
507
447
527
727
651
658
518
518
469'
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
257 `
252
219
238
197
159
146
152
150
160
Sugar 29.03
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices 0 per pound)
16.93
8.42
8.49
5.18
3.69
2.96
4.21
4.35
5.14
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(? per pound)
101.4
91.0
89.9
105.2
156.6
126.9
82.8
72.3
72.2
73.3
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
209
210
187
183
182
177
169
154
148
156
9 The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
50.0 49.9 44.7 41.0 41.0 41.0
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
78.5
82.1
79.9
73.3
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
677.0
446.0
326.7
422.6
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
20.7
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
5.9
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.1
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
91.2
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
83.7
71.9
72.7
74.2
72.8
Tina (? per pound)
761.3
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
501.1
541.3
571.0
574.6
562.7
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index
(1980=100)
100
95
84
114
Industrial Materials Index r
100
84.7
71.2
82.2
75.9
69.7
72.4
68.6
68.6
66.3'
(1980= 100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
c Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. 1 heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 11 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
59,463
55,827
53,014
52,588
53,827
53,462
53,413
50,214
Non-Communist countries
45,243
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,672
37,665
35,634
36,957
Developed countries
12,859
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,704
14,617
14,230
14,651
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,871
8,972
8,975
8,958
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,463
1,445
1,436
1,450
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,660
2,471
2,190
2,387
Norway
528
501
518
614
700
719
728
652
827
Other
691
717
736
915
921
991.
1,001
977
1,029
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,443
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,733
7,802
7,626
7,726
Mexico
1,936
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,711
2,724
2,555
2,620
Egypt
595
598
665
689
827
877
875
887
870
Other
2,912
3,117
3;222
3,468
3,942
4,145
4,203
4,184
4,236
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,235
15,246
13,778
14,580
13,315
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
638
660
634
600
600
650
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
253
274
271
268
250
280
Gabon
175
151
154
157
152
150
150
150
150
150
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,152
1,167
850
1,050
1,050
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,097
2,299
2,200
2,400
2,500
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,203
1,255
1,340
1,360
1,440
1,400
Kuwait b
1,389
947
663
881
912
914
800
800
800
800
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,051
1,057
970
900
1,000
Neutral Zone c
544
370
317
390
410
480
333
280
280
300
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
.1,590
1,367
1,100
1,000
1,300
Qatar
471
405
328
295
399
292
297
300
300
300
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,659
2,731
2,300
2,700
2,200
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,123
1,120
1,045
1,155
1,155
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
- 1,893,
1,781
1,813
1,538
1,680
1,555
1,555
1,385
Communist countries
14,220
14,238
14,289
14,396
14,417
14,790
14,748
14,580
USSR
11,700
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,920
11,848
11,680
China
2,113
2,024
2,044
2,120
2,280
2,450
2,480
2,480
a Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
c Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Thousand b/d
n Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
West Germany
1,953
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,419
1,235
1,313
1,168
France
2,182
1,804
1,596
1,429
1,395
1,578
1,139
1,148
1 349
United Kingdom
893
736
565
456
482
534
598
324
376
Italy
1,860
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,507
1,453
Canada
557
521
334
247
244
189
317
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Algeria
42? API 0.10% sulfur
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
'30.15
29.50
29.50
29.50
29.50
Ecuador
28? API 0.93% sulfur
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
26.82
26.50
26.15
26.15
26.15
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
28.35
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
30.55
35.00
34.92
29.95
29.53
28.88
28.53
28.53
28.53
28.53
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
28.38
28.05
28.05
28.05
28.05
Heavy
311 API 1.60% sulfur
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
27.41
27.35
.27.35
27.35
27.35
Iraq c
35? API 1.95% sulfur
30.30
36.66
34.86
30.32
29.43
28.78
28.43
28.43
28.43
28.43
Kuwait
311 API 2.50% sulfur
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
Libya
40? API 0.22% sulfur
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur '
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.12
28.24
28.37
28.37
28.37
28.37
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
37.12
34.56
29.95
29.49
28.48
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.10
28.10
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
30.19
34.04
34.68
29.96
29.52
28.48
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.11
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
28.32
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
Medium
311 API 2.40% sulfur
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
27.48
27.40
27.20
27.20
27.20
Heavy
271 API 2.85% sulfur
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
26.50
26.50
26.00
26.00
26.00
UAE
39? API 0.75% sulfur
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
28.52
28.15
28.15
28.15
28.15
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
27.69
27.60
27.10
27.10
27.10
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
? Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
0 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
28.59 28-09 28.06 28.10 28.1128:1228.00 28.04 28.14
1 11 III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I H J F M A M J J A S
1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985
The 1973 price is derived from posted prices, not official sales prices.
Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
 Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7
Approved For Release 2011/09/29: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800150003-7