ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6
Release Decision: 
RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 28, 2011
Sequence Number: 
3
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 14, 1986
Content Type: 
REPORT
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6.pdf617.3 KB
Body: 
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Directorate of Intelligence Economic & Energy Indicators DI EE/ 86-006 14 March 1986 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 This publication is prepared for the use of US Government officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to meet their specific requirements. US Government officials may obtain additional copies of this document directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. Requesters outside the US Government may obtain subscriptions to CIA publications similar to this one by addressing inquiries to: Document Expediting (DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gift Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Requesters outside the US Government not interested in subscription service may purchase specific publications either in paper copy or microform from: Photoduplication Service Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 or: National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 (To expedite service call the NTIS Order Desk (703) 487-4650 Comments and queries on this paper may be directed to the DOCEX Project at the above address or by phone (202-287-9527), or the NTIS Office of Customer Services at the above address or by phone (703-487-4660). Publications are not available to the public from the Central Intelligence Agency. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Economic & Energy Indicators Industrial Production Gross National Product Consumer Prices Page Money.Supply Unemployment Rate Foreign Trade Current Account Balance Export Prices in US $ Import Prices in US $ Exchange Rate Trends Money Market Rates Agricultural Prices Industrial Materials Prices World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8 Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9 Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9 OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10 OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) 11 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Percent change from previous period seasonally adjusted at an annual rate West Germany 1.1 3.6 10.3 3.3 4.3 8.1 14.6 43.8 -8.1 United Kingdom NA NA 13.0 14.7 16.7 15.4 25.1 21.4 -8.1 Italy 11.2 11.6. 15.1 12.3 11.3 Canada 3.8 0.7 10.2 3.2 4.2 13.2 14.4 -7.4 -7.5 Based on amounts in national currency units. b Including MI-A and MI-B. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 United States b Exports 233.5 212.3 200.7 217.6 213.3 52.6 52.6 52.4 Imports 261.0 244.0 258.2 325.6 346.1 86.4 84.5 90.8 Balance -27.5 -31.6 -57.5 -108.0 -132.8 -33.8 -31.9 -38.4 Japan Exports 149.6 138.2 145.5 168.1 173.9 42.6 43.6 47.3 16.4 Imports 129.5 119.6 114.0 124.1 117.9 29.5 29.2 30.3 10.4 Balance 20.1 18.6 31.4 44.0 56.0 13.1 14.4 17.0 6.0 West Germany Exports 175.4 176.4 169.5 171.9 184.3 43.3 48.8 51.0 18.8 Imports c 163.4 155.3 152.9 153.1 159.0 37.2 41.7 43.6 15.2 Balance 11.9 21.1 16.6 18.8 25.3 6.2 7.1 7.4 3.6 France Exports 106.3 96.4 95.1 97.5 101.9 24.4 26.1 28.8 10.2 Imports 115.6 110.5 101.0 100.3 104.5 24.7 26.8 29.2 9.7 Balance -9.3 -14.0 -5.9 -2.5 -2.5 -0.4 -0.7 -0.4 0.5 United Kingdom Exports 102.5 97.1 92.1 93.7 101.2 25.4 25.5 27.3 8.9 Imports 94.6 93.1 93.7 99.1 103.9 25.7 26.2 27.3 8.7 Balance 7.9 4.0 -1.6 -5.3 -2.7 -0.3 -0.7 0 0.2 Italy Exports 75.4 73.9 72.8 73.5 78.9 18.3 20.4 22.5 7.1 Imports 91.2 86.7 80.6 84.3 90.7 21.9 21.2 26.1 8.9 Balance -15.9 -12.8 -7.9 -10.9 -11.8 -3.6 -0.8 -3.6 -1.8 Canada Exports 70.5 68.5 73.7 86.5 88.0 21.8 21.8 22.5 Imports 64.4 54.1 59.3 70.6 75.7 18.6 19.6 19.6 Balance 6.1 14.4 14.4 15.9 12.3 3.2 2.2 2.9 Seasonally adjusted. b Imports are customs values. c imports are c.i.f. Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market rates of exchange. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 France -12.0 -5.5 -4.8 -2.9 2.5 35.7 30.8 42.3 United Kingdom NA NA -6.2 -5.1 2.6 29.2 13.0 4.4 -10.6 Italy -7.8 -3.0 -4.4 -5.2 20.0 Percent change from previous period at an annual rate Percent change from previous period at an annual rate Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Exchange Rate Trends Percent change from previous period at an annual rate Japan 2.7 -12.9 4.6 0 -0.3 18.6 42.9 14.1 61.4 West Germany -24.6 -7.2 -5.2 -11.5 -3.3 27.8 32.1 27.4 41.0 Money Market Rates so United States 90-day certificates of deposit, secondary market Japan loans and discounts (2 months) West Germany interbank loans (3 months) France interbank money market (3 months) United Kingdom sterling interbank loans (3 months) Italy Milan interbank loans (3 months) Canada finance paper (3 months) Eurodollars 3-month deposits Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Agricultural Prices Bananas Fresh imported, (Total world, $ per metric ton) Australia (Boneless beef, f.o.b. US Ports) United States (Wholesale steer beef, midwest markets) Cocoa (0 per pound) 89.8 74.3 92.1 106.2 98.7 98.4 100.8 100.6 95.5 Coffee ($ per pound) 1.28 1.40 1.32 1.44 1.43 1.33 1.52 2.04' 1.94 Corn (US #3 yellow, c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton) 150 123 148 150 125 118 117 119 117 Cotton (World Cotton Prices, "A" index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 4/Ib.) Palm Oil (United Kingdom 5% bulk, c.i.f., $ per metric ton) US (No. 2, milled, 4% c.i.f. Rotterdam) Thai SWR (100% grade B c.i.f. Rotterdam) 573 362 339 310 249 236 263 238 237 Soybeans (US #2 yellow, c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton) Soybean Oil (Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill, $ per metric ton) 507 447 527 '727 571 518 454 457 402 Soybean Meal (US, c.i.f. Rotterdam $ per metric ton) Sugar (World raw cane, f.o.b. Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound) Tea Average Auction (London) (? per pound) Wheat (US #2. DNS c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton) 210 187 183 182 169 154 175 175 174 a The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3- year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Chrome Ore (South Africa chemical grade, $ per metric ton) Copper a (bar, ~ per pound) 79.0 67.1 72.0 64.2 64.5 62.6 64.2 64.2 63.8 Cold ($ per troy ounce) 460.0 375.5 424.4 360.0 317.2 323.2 326.0 343.1 338.9 19.3 20.0 17.7 18.3 17.8 16.7 16.7 Manganese Ore (48% Mn, $ per long ton) 82.1 79.9 73.3 69.8 68.4 68.4 67.2 67.2 67.2 Nickel ($ per pound) Cathode major producer Metals week, New York dealers' price Silver ($ per troy ounce) 10.5 7.9 11.4 8.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton) 92.0 63.1 73.2 86.4 74.4 72.7 69.2 73.5 NA Tin (e per pound) 641.4 581.6 590.9 556.6 543.2 571.0 559.4 NA NA Tungsten Ore (contained metal, $ per metric ton) 18,097 13,426 10,177 10,243 10,656 10,648 9,488 8,588 8,745 US Steel (finished steel, composite, $ per long ton) Lumber Index a (1980=100) 95 84 Industrial Materials Index r 85 71 (1980=100) ,, Approximates world market price frequently used by major world producers and traders, although only small quantities of these metals are actually traded on the LME. b S-type styrene, US export price. Quoted on New York market. d Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago. e This index is compiled by using the average of I I types of lumber whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction costs. 1The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for 18 raw, materials which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 World Crude Oil Production Excluding Natural Gas Liquids World 55,837 53,092 52,633 53,691 53,464 52,405 52,373 55,015 54,709 55,051 Non-Communist countries 41,602 38,810 38,228 39,257 38,672 37,610 37,588 40,707 40,418 40,760 Developed countries 12,886 13,276 13,864 14,302 14,704 14,617 14,643 14,958 14,989 14,860 United States 8,572 8,658 8,680 8,735 8,871 8,972 8,954 8,933 8,901 8,936 Canada 1,285 1,270 1,356 1,411 1,463 1,445 1,444 1,476 1,475 1,500 United Kingdom 1,811 2,094 2,299 2,535 2,660 2,471 2,399 2,607 2,655 2,481 Norway 501 518 614 700 719 728 823 870 879 870 Other 717 736 915 921 991 1,001 1,023 1,072 1,079 1,073 Non-OPEC LDCs 6,036 6,633 6,823 7,515 7,733 7,802 7,922 7,888 7,849 7,915 Mexico 2,321 2,746 2,666 2,746 2,711 2,724 2,738 2,721 2,679 2,733 Egypt 598 665 689 827 877 875 890 856 860 860 Other 3,117 3,222 3,468 3,942 4,145 4,203 4,294 4,311 4,310 4,322 OPEC 22,680 18,901 17,541 17,440 16,235 15,191 15,023 17,861 17,580 17,985 Algeria 803 701, 699 638 660 634 616 660 680 650 Ecuador 211 211 236 253 274 271 282 287 290 290 Indonesia 1,604 1,324 1,385 1,466 1,152 1,167 1,203 1,286 1,200 1,100 Iran 1,381 2,282 2,492 2,187 2,097 2,299 2,335 2,301 2,200 2,400 Iraq 993 972 922 1,203 1,255 1,340 1,482 1,666 1,700 1,650 Kuwaitb 947 663 881 912 914 800 800 899 950 900 Libya 1,137 1,183 1,076 1,073 1,051 1,057 933 1,234 1,200 1,300 Neutral Zone c 370 317 390 410 480 333 306 391 400 360 Nigeria 1,445 1,298 1,241 1,393 1,590 1,351 1,214 1,686 1,760 1,620 Qatar 405 328 295 399 292 297 312 312 300 335 Saudi Arabia b 9,625 6,327 4,867 4,444 3,659 2,731 2,564 4,067 4,000 4,500 UAE 1,500 1,248 1,119 1,097 1,123 1,120 1,193 1,242 1,185 1,165 Venezuela 2,108 1,893 1,781 1,813 1,538 1,641 1,630 1,670 1,555 1,555 Communist countries 14,235 14,282 14,405 14,434 14,792 14,795 14,785 14,308 14,291 14,291 USSR 11,800 11,830 11,864 11,728 11,920 11,870 11,866 11,367 11,350 11,350 China 2,024 2,042 2,121 2,286 2,452 2,505 2,504 2,521 2,521 2,521 Other 411 410 420 420 420 420 415 420 420 420 a Preliminary. b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately. Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses. n Principal products only prior to 1981. Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports United States 4,406 3,488 3,329 3,402 3,216 3,397 3,171 3,662 4,105 3,640 Japan 3,919 3,657 3,567 3,664 3,118 3,003 3,233 West Germany 1,591 1,451 1,307 1,335 1,284 1,260 1,248 1,210 1,182 1,150 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800250003-6 Algeria 44? API 0.10% sulfur 37.59 39.58 35.79 31.30 30.50 29.66 30.15 29.50 29.50 29.50 Ecuador 28? API 0.93% sulfur 34.42 34.50 32.96 27.59 27.50 26.41 26.82 26.50 26.15 26.15 Gabon 29? API 1.26 % sulfur 31.09 34.83 34.00 29.82 29.00 28.09. 28.35 28.00 28.00 28.00 Indonesia 35? API 0.09% sulfur 30.55 35.00 34.92 29.95 29.53 28.62 28.88 28.53 28.53 28.53 Light 34? API 1.35% sulfur 34.54 36.60 31.05 28.61 28.00 28.13 28.38 28.05 28.05 28.05 Heavy 31 ? API 1.60% sulfur 33.60 35.57 29.15 27.44 27.10 27.37 27.41 27.35 27.35 27.35 Iraq c 35? API 1.95% sulfur 30.30 36.66 34.86 30.32 29.43 28.27 28.78 28.43 28.43 28.43 Kuwait 31 ? API 2.50% sulfur 29.84 35.08 32.30 27.68 27.30 27.30 27.30 27.30 27.30 27.30 Libya 40? API 0.22% sulfur 36.07 40.08 35.69 30.91 30.40 30.40 30.40 30.40 30.40 30.40 Nigeria 34? API 0.16% sulfur 35.50 38.48 35.64 30.22 29.12 28.34 28.24 28.37 28.37 28.37 Berri 39? API 1.16% sulfur 30.19 34.04 34.68 29.96 29.52 28.20 28.48 28.11 28.11 28.11 Light 34? API 1.70% sulfur 28.67 32.50 34.00 29.46 29.00 28.08 28.32 28.00 28.00 28.00 Medium 311 API 2.40% sulfur 28.12 31.84 32.40 27.86 27.40 27.32 27.48 27.40 27.20 27.20 Heavy 27? API 2.85% sulfur 27.67 31.13 31.00 26.46 26.00 26.25 26.50 26.50 26.00 26.00 UAE 39? API 0.75% sulfur 31.57 36.42 34.74 30.38 29.56 28.24 28.52 28.15 28.15 28.15 Venezuela 26? API 1.52% sulfur 28.44 32.88 32.88 28.69 27.88 27.37 27.69 27.60 27.10 27.10 F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. b Weighted by the volume of production. Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in calculating the OPEC average official sales price. Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800250003-6