ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 28, 2011
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: May 23, 1986
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EEI 86-011
23 May 1986
Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800300003-0
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Energy
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
Crude Oil Prices 10
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b
7.1
6.6
11.2
7.0
9.1
11.1
7.9
14.8
15.5
Japan
3.7
7.1
3.7
2.8
5.0
4.3
7.8
11.6
Canada
3.8
0.7
10.2
3.3
4.1
13.5
-2.8
3.8
-11.0
Based on amounts in national currency units.
Including MI-A and Ml-B.
Percent seasonally adjusted
West Germany
5.6
7.7
9.2
9.1
9.3
9.1
9.1
9.2 9.1
France
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.6
9.9
9.7
10.3
10.5 10.5
United Kingdom
10.0
11.6
12.4
12.4
12.9
12.9
13.0
13.1 13.2
Italy
8.4
9.1
9.9
10.4
10.7
11.0
11.5
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
Foreign Trade
United States b
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
217.6
213.3
52.6
52.4
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.3
326.2
345.9
85.5
91.7
30.9
31.0
31.0
Balance
-27.5
-31.6
-57.6
-108.5
-132.6
-32.9
-39.3
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.4
168.1
173.9
43.6
47.3
16.3
15.9
15.6
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.1
124.1
118.0
29.3
30.3
10.4
10.5
9.3
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.4
44.0
55.9
14.3
16.9
5.9
5.4
6.4
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.8
184.3
48.7
51.3
18.7
18.7
17.5
Imports
163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
159.0
41.7
43.9
15.2
15.4
14.3
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.3
6.9
7.4
3.6
3.3
3.2
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
26.2
28.8
10.2
10.3
9.9
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
27.0
29.2
9.7
10.3
10.2
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
-0.8
-0.4
0.5
0
-0.4
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.6
100.9
25.8
27.3
8.9
8.8
8.4
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.7
99.3
103.5
26.4
27.6
8.7
9.3
10.1
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.6
-5.7
-2.5
-0.6
-0.3
0.2
-0.5
-1.7
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.8
20.3
22.5
7.2
8.5
7.7
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.6
84.4
90.7
21.4
26.0
8.8
9.3
8.7
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.8
-10.9
-11.9
-1.0
-3.4
-1.6
-0.7
-1.0
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
86.5
88.0
21.8
22.5
7.7
7.1
6.7
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.7
19.6
19.6
7.0
7.0
5.8
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
15.9
12.3
2.2
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.9
Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
49.2
13.1
16.0
1.9
3.9
6.9
West Germany
-6.8
3.3
4.3
6.7
13.8
2.0
7.4
1.9
3.0
2.1
United Kingdom
15.3
8.5
4.5
1.3
4.0
1.5
1.3
1.6
0.4
-0.8
,, Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.6
-2.0
0.0
-11.4
7.9
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
44.6
31.9
60.6
32.7
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
13.8
-11.3
-16.0
26.4
Percent chang
e from pre
at an
vious period
annual rate
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
2.9
-9.7
-6.8
-31.5
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
26.9
-0.9
15.2
-6.9
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.16
7.93
7.95
NA
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.52
6.48
6.46
6.42
6.27
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
12.19
8.82
5.78
5.96
5.40
4.81
4.63
NA
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
15.47
14.68
12.51
11.74
9.97
9.10
9.65
NA
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91
12.21
11.60
12.05
NA
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
9.71
9.10
NA
NA
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
8.41
8.15
8.19
NA
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Bananas 214.0 217.0 232.0 243.0 110.3 109.8 109.3 110.7 NA
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (0 per pound)
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
95.7
95.5
91.0
84.9
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
2.01
1.95
2.04
1.92
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
125
116
115
113
113
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US ?/lb.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
571
445
502
730
501
289
283
243
240
US (No. 2, milled,
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
632
481
514
514
484
453
455
455
440
Thai SWR
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
288
244
282
283
225
218
217
218
213
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
507
447
527
727
571
407
395
369
350
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound)
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(? per pound)
Wheat 210 1.87 183 182 169 172 175 166 172
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Manganese Ore 82.1 79.9
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
Metals week, 446.0 326.7
New York dealers' price
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index 95 84
(I 980= 100)
Industrial Materials Index' 85 71
(I 980=100)
Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Penang market.
S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
,i Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
'The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0
World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
37,588
40,707
39,471
40,423
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,730
14,643
14,958
15,083
15,070
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
8,954
8,933
8,942
8,934
501
518
614
700
785
823
870
839
870
Other
717
-736
915
?921
1,022
1,023
1,072
1,088
1,087
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
7,922
7,888
7,678
7,393
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
2,738
2,721
2,510
2,400
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
890
856
860
600
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
4,294
4,311
4,308
4,393
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
1,203
1,286
1,200
1,300
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
2,335
2,301
1,700
2,200
Iraq
993
. 972?
922
1,203
1,437
1,482
1,666
1,680
Neutral Zone c
370
317
390
410
355
306
391
300
300
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241 ,
1,393
1,464
1,214
1,686
1,300
1,400
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
312
312
400
300
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
2,564
4,067
4,200
4,600
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
1,193
1,242
1,165
1,400
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
1,630
1,670
1,555
1,550
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,405
14,434
14,664
14,785
14,308
14,286
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,749
11,866
11,367
11,350
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,286
2,496
2,504
2,521
2,496
Other
411
410
420
420
419
415
420
440
Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
c Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Year
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
United States a
16,058
15,296
15,184
15,708
15,697
15,557
15,748
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,516
1,436
1,642
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,344
1,362
1,400
Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
15,923
16,056
16,457
15,833
1,718
1,855
1,535
1,359
United States
4,406
3,488
3,329
3,402
3,216
3,662
3,329
2,993
3,058
3,701
Japan
3,919
3,657
3,567
3,664
3,377
3,619
3,126
4,273
West Germany
1,591
1,451
1,307
1,335
1,284
1,210
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US $ per barrel
OPEC Average a 30.87 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 28.15 28.11 28.08 28.09
(Official Sales Price)
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
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Average Crude Oil Sales Pricea
34.50 33.63
3 n I I I I 0.87 I`~ ( - 29.31 28.70 r-, 27.16
11.29 11.02 11.77 12.88 12.93
r , f-1 n
3.19
f l I 1II IIJE
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
The 1973 price is derived from posted prices. 1974-84 prices
are derived from OPEC official sales prices, and beginning
in 1985. prices are a measure of average world sales prices.
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Approved For Release 2011/09/28: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800300003-0