THE WASHINGTON POST THE SS19 LOOPHOLE

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88-01315R000400360046-2
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RIFPUB
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K
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1
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 8, 2004
Sequence Number: 
46
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Publication Date: 
July 27, 1979
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NSPR
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Approved For Release 2005/01/12 : CIA-RDP88-01315R000400360046-2 THE WV ASHINGTON POST Article appeared 27 July 1979 on page A-19 Rower . 'yc its and Robert Nora* e SSS19 Loophole.. A -reading of the fine print in the S:\LT 11 treaty after it went to the Sen- ate has revealed, to the horror of sup-. porters of the arm*control pact, an un- canny repetition of the worst U.S. blooper in the 1972 SALT I treaty.... -.- The 1972 mistake, not die=. tit long after ratification, failed to. pin down specific limits on the size of a.- raplacement for the SS11 intercon? : tire w's noway' stop SS19 de? 17eloom nt. Moscow blithely kept insist- hag ita new missile was just a slightly updated model of the old SS11. Now, following S .ALT II, the x nssians have a loophole to sustain their own version of a ? legal' follow-6n. m ule? to the SS19 by claiming that the U.S. definition of the SSl.9's size is simply wrong, and that Moscow never agreed to it. This would not come up if the. Rim. a new negotiating blooper discovered, cally refused to agree or disagree wit',- suns played fair and square. But they as the Senate. ratification debate be. the U.S deter. play, to win they take advantage of ;mss, SALT U does not clearly define: The State Departnteat v y admftr whatever opportunity is granted.. the size of Moscow's mainstay SS19",that It could not nail dowwn the Soviets. ' Discovery of Soviet deception on the ICB I, which it sets as the limit on the..: its "detailed analysis"' of the treaty, sent. SS19 by the 2iixon-l' ord arimm istrZion. size of any new missiles. to all senators, spells out this country's long after S.ALT I took effect depended That history should be so sadly es-.. pcdtioxn. the.. United States "considers" on Americas ally, Iran. But the true played Is explicable only by this fact: , the SS19 to have a launch-weft (weight size of * "*e SS' 9 -almost certainiv would The Russians simply refused to agree in the silo) of 9Q,CCO kilograms and a have eluded U.S. intelligence :tor even on a specific definition of the size of throw-wed twe ght of the warheads) of longer lad it m been the SS19. This adds new evidence that;.. 3,60 kilograms. These are key zaewaa- U.S. negotiators, under orders from, ments of size- ~, . Washington for an agreement at almost : "These figures are based on otw esd- any cost, bowed to the iron will of their ;Hate for the SS19," the senators were : Soviet counterparts. told. "The Soviet Union did not respond ironically, the 1979 mistake ~ - to this statement [butj the United nn an effort to correct the effect of the- States- will. regard these fl?gures.as the. x'72 negotiating blunder. By failing to...: limits for the one new type of ... ICBM. Tin down the size of the new Soviet permitted to the United States." ICBMs, SALT I contributed to the vul- - But will the r` ians? Realists here nerability of land-based U.S. missiles. doubt it, anymore than in 1972 Kissinger Limiting future Russian ICBMs to the- learned the hard truth slowly, as U.S. size of the SS19 is an effort to protect monitors in Iran began to accumulate the land-based U.S. missile force.,-- ; data on the true size-of the new SS19 But if there was no agreement on the-:: being tested to replace the cld SSfL - fqze. of the SS19, how can Moscow le- Trapped: by Soviet. duplicity three' gally be held to the terms of the treaty?.. years later, Kissinger., found himself' The answer. It cannot, any more than lamely explaining away the sudden ap- xt could be forced to comply with the pearance,of the big: SS19. "We obviva- elear understanding of limits on "new" ously did not know in 1972 what mis- missiles in- the- 1972 treaty; negotiated .siles the Soviet Union would be testing, by Henry Kissinger.. in 1974," Kissinger told a State Depart-: of ;he maul ~o e* test rang - 'T'hose stations no longer and the United States is not close to du plicating. {!hem. This enhances the strong prcaabii.ity that the one- new Soviet missile permitted under the treaty will not only greatly exceed lizn. its set forth by U.S. ,negotiators but also that the Soviets w ll not reveal its full launch-weight and throw weight until it has been tested repeatedly-ready to i enter the Soviet missile force. This undermines the SALT sellers' ar-} gument that the treaty, while not ac-, complishing all that much, dces no i harm. On the contrary, this new revela- tion of non-Yankee bargaining suggests: that the Soviet Union, under S_T.I1 as. under SALT I, will loophole its.-way tot nuclear supremacy whtler. Americans' play by the rules. Kissinger relied, to his later dismay, on went press ^onf erence on Dec. 9,19 whathe+tallea e; r-d of scq~et assurance "that no miles larger than the heaviest light missile that now ewrs a can be substituted." In 197Z that was the SS11. But after SALT I took effect, the 8511. was replaced by th}e.;ig~,SSI9, which was almost three times as w. President Carter's negotiators retraced'KI ger'a slippery footsteps, relying on their own understanding of. the size of the SS19. The Soviets typi- Approved For Release 2005/01/12 : CIA-RDP88-01315R000400360046-2