PRESIDENT SAYS SALT CAN BE 'ADEQUATELY VERIFIED'

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CIA-RDP88-01315R000400380118-0
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RIFPUB
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K
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1
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December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 8, 2004
Sequence Number: 
118
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Publication Date: 
May 1, 1979
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NSPR
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Approved For RTHE e 0A0ff?Ilkt2,- fi1j~-F 8 01315R000 Article appeared 1 May 1979 on page A-1,15 reent -Sas es' . SALT Can Be ` n Adequately a Says Cheating. Would Risk Confrontation By John M. Goshko . washinaton POat Staff WLiter President Carter, asserting that a strategic arms limitation treaty (SALT) can be "adequately verified," said. yesterday.--..the- Soviet----Union knows that cheating could ruin its 'good relations }with. the United States and "escalate into a nuclear confron- tation. ' # Defending hadministration's move toward a SALT.-11 agreement with Moscow,' the' president said at a press conferepce: "If. the only, purpose of the Soviet Union in the long,. tedious' negotia tions of a SALT treaty is to have ? document.that they can violate ."At would make .'our. problem much worse. "But," he added, "there is. an ele m.ent of rationality and stability be- cause the Soviets know that it we eves detect any violation of the SALT agreement, that that would be a basis on which to reject the treaty in its en- tirety; there would be a. possible ter mination of the good relationships bt tween our country and the Soviet Un- ion?unwhich detente is~ based, and it might very well escalate into a nu- clear confrontation."- Agreement'on. SALT Il is expected within the next few-days, and itis ex- pected to be signed shortly attertvarci at a summit meeting of Carter-and So- viet President Leonid I. Brezhnev. But the treaty then-faces a difficult battle for approval by the -Senate. When, Carter was' asked yesterday .about reports that thee United States would need. from`.one to four years to be able to fully verify Soviet, comp'_i ance -with. its. restrictions,' he grasped .the opportunity to make a- new sales pitch for the agreement. The president conceded that lle-, fense?:,Secretary Harold 'Brown ..had said it would take a year to compen- sate for the los& of U.S. monitoring posts in Iran. But he noted that Brown also said that; even, with diminished U.S. intelligence resources, the treaty could be adequately, verified from the day it is signed. "There is no doubt in my mind that', this is the case," 'Carter said. He re- peated his` pledge.'that he will "not' sign nor present to the Congress nor to the :American people Any : treaty which in my opirUon could not be ade- quately verified Prom; the first day it is.effectve.'.' He admitted- that-.:there :are limita- tions on what the -United States can learn. about Soviet missiles. Still, lie insisted, "for the Soviets to develop any kind of significant new missile, they would have to have 20 to 50 test. launchings. And, during that' process, there is, every likelihood, that we would be able to detedt any violation,j of the SALT treaty. Aithough.? Carter said, -he `believes the accord will win Senate apProv;al, he declared ,that if it is rejected he would still try to abide by` its terms, in order to avoid a new arms race. "It would certainly not be proper; for me if the treaty were not ratified to immediately launch our country. into a massive ? nuclear arms -race," Carter said. "The constraints placed l on me and the Soviet Union, moni-i Cored very- carefully by each other, would be a basis on which, to con- strain ourselves and -to avoid a nu- clear confrontation in the. absence of a treaty. The? president also ? denied specula- tion that he might delay the treaty un- til -election: year 1980 to put= extra- political; pressure on the Senate. He said: d "No one 'has ever seriously consid- y ered in my administration, to'-.-in knowledge,.. any,. slightest :, de,lay inn con- cluding- the SALT. treaty,.;for,, political purposes;'' or 'any' :other-, :purpose::.. 'My understand ing is-that, if itcan,beacon eluded fairly early that it.-wiiI:'be con, sidered:as -a very -top priority-by the Senate; and:. the actionsby"the `Senate; will lie concluded--this- year.":.r~ - On 'another` -question' of 'iup66o 'wet relations;, Carter".-"said' , he. 'favors . ex tending 'most favored- nation" tariff status-to both the Soviet ?Union and China "if it can be done in compliance with existing law," : ;That -was a ?referenee to four-year I old legislation that ties. preferential trade status for ' certain communist countries, particularly the Soviet:Un ion,.,to relaxation of emigration, poli ties for Jews. There recently has been a big rise in emigration by Soviet Jews, and the administration is- ex. ploring the chances, of, getting Con= gress to approve preferred status for the Soviet Union ? under the laws waiver provisions"% Asked. about the possibility of fur=` ther. prisoner exchanges such, .aslast week's trade of, five Soviet dissidents for two Russians held-: here on espio- :Wage charges;.the; president said: "We, have not forgotten any human' rights activist in the Soviet Union -who is be.': ing punished.or.imprisoned ' put forward. names and we would as-,- sess those ,names 'and repeatedly re- ject them because we did not think they were adequate." " On. another foreign policy question,' l' raeli settlements , in the-occupied -Acknowledging : a .continuing dispute over new settlements, Carter-said; ."I' severely-rgstrain,..any inclination ei--~ -ther approved by~the Knesset or done.. 'without legal..sanctiQn,,in establishing;: on a sovereign ;nation Approved For Release 2005/01/12 : CIA-RDP88-01315R000400380118-0