THE LEGACY OF SALT I: SOVIET DECEPTION AND U.S. RETREAT

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88-01315R000400390139-6
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RIFPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
1
Document Creation Date: 
December 16, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 3, 2004
Sequence Number: 
139
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Publication Date: 
January 1, 1979
Content Type: 
MAGAZINE
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A A F R 1 2005/01/12 ? CIA RDP88 013158000400390139 6 a pprove or ease - - - r 3TRA i, IC R'SJUEA' :MINTER 1979 d rrS, THE LEGACY OF 9ALT I: SOVIET DECEPTION AND U. S. RETREAT DAVID S. SULLIVAN THE AUTHOR: Mr. Sullivan assumed the post of Legis- lative Assistant for Military Affairs and SALT to Senator Lloyd Bentsen (D-Tex.) after serving as a strategic analyst in the Central Intelligence Agency from 1971 to 1976. His service in the U.S. Marine Corps from 1966 to 1970 included a tour in Vietnam as a Vietnamese Language and Intelli- gence Officer. He received a Master's degree in International Affairs from Columbia University and was editor of Revo- lutionary War: Western Response (1971), Change and the Future International System (1972), and the Columbia Journal of International Affairs. The views expressed in this article should not be attributed to Senator Bentsen. IN BRIEF In SALT I the United States fell victim to Soviet deceit, and to its own gullibility and myopic as- sumptions. In essence, the United States traded off its superior AB114 technology in return for what proved to be illusory constraints on Soviet offensive strategic capabilities. Carefully shrouding their. ongoing and ambitious strategic programs, the Soviets negotiated ceilings that in no way compro- mised their force goals. They used this deception and loopholes in the SALT agreements both to camouflage and legitimize a thrust to strategic superiority that will endure at least into the 1980s. As the debate over the ratification of SALT II gathers, the question becomes ever more insistent: Has the United States learned from its blatant mistakes or is it destined to compound them, with ever more dire consequences for its security? he Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT) between the United States and the Soviet Union are significantly shaping the terrain that will hold the strategic environment of the future. The SALT I con- cords of May 1972-October 1977 have been ex- tended for over a year. Many of their provi- sions will be continued and expanded in the emerging SALT II Agreement. In. the mean- time, awesome strides by the Soviet Union in strategic programs and weapons deployments since 1972 have startled many U.S. policy- makers. Hindsight' illuminates more clearly Soviet negotiating behavior and intentions in May 1972 as indicators of future behavior and intentions. It is therefore vitally important, as we approach the ratification debate over SALT II, that we recognize keenly the lessons of the past. In casting this backward look, this article advances five general propositions about the "arms race" and SALT. The first proposition is that SALT has not led to true or balanced arms control. The Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty of 1972 is not a valid exception to this statement, nor was the required deactivation of the .210 old Soviet SS-7 and SS-S interconti nental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) under the Interim Agreement on Offensive Systems. The ABM Treaty in effect limited only U.S.-ABMs; there is no known evidence that in 1972 the Soviets planned. to deploy more than the ABM 26 Approved For Release 2005/01/12: CIA-F2DP88-01315R000400390139-6 Strategic Review