EL SALVADOR AND CENTRAL AMERICA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88B00443R001103940039-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 13, 2007
• Sequence Number: 39
• Publication Date: March 22, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

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EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT
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Note !ead1iales ssigned by the
Orr in p raryraph TII.
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TOP SECRET
UNCLASSIFIED when blank-TOP SECRET when attached to Top Secret Document-Automatically downgraded or declassi-
Fed when filled in form is detached from controlled document.
CONTROL AND COVER SHEET -FOIE TOP SECRET DOCUMENT
DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION
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REGISTRY
SOURCE ~/+~
DCI
CIA CONTROL NO.
TS820227/1
DOC. NO.
DATE DOCUMENT RECEIVED
DOC. DAT March
23 March 1982
COPY NO.
LOGGED BY
NUMBER OF PAGES
LS
NUMBER OF ATTACHMENTS
ATTENTION: This form will be placed on top of and attached to each Top Secret document received by the Central Intelligence Agency
or classified Top Secret within the CIA and will remain attached to the document until such time as it is downgraded, destroyed, or
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and transmitted to Central Top Secret Control for record.
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8.73 26 use PREVIOUS EDITIONS.
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MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Intelligence
FROM . Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT . El Salvador and Central America
REFERENCE . Memorandum from William P. Clark dtd 15 March 1982
? (TS-820227); Subject: El Salvador
1. CIA has been asked to prepare an assessment of the military situation
in El Salvador and has been assigned a paper due for my review by 26 March 1982.
2. Recent information suggests that the NSC will undertake an overall
review of our policy in Central America following the March 28 election in
El Salvador. Therefore, we should prepare brief summaries of our current
information on the following themes for the different countries as indicated:
I. Country Trends
El Salvador
A. Overview of the political forces, their composition and resources;
extreme right; extreme left and moderate groups (including parties,
business, labor).
B. Military balance and trends between the government and the guerrillas.
C. Implications of three most possible electoral outcomes.
Guatemala
A. Same as above.
B. Same as above plus
C Prospects for moderate groups to cooperate with the Guevara government.
Honduras
A. Same as above.
B. Signs of trends toward neutralism in the military or other sectors?
Costa Rica
A. Same as above.
DRV FM MULTIPLE
CL BY SIGNER
TOP SECRET RVW MARCH 1988
TS820227/1
Cy 2
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II. Cuban/Nicaraguan Actions in Support for the Extreme Left Groups
A. Brief overview of facts and trends in each of the above countries
(including Costa Rica)
B. Vulnerabilities of the external guerrilla support systems from
Nicaragua and from Cuba (emphasis on those funneling resources to
El Salvador and Guatemala).
III. Implications for the Re
the Next 6-12 Months
f an Extreme Left Victory in El Salvador in
It'should be understood that a brief synthesis of factual information and
judgments is requested. This should be coordinated with the NIO for Latin
America and any substantive disagreements should be explicit in the material
I receive.
The NI0/LA should receive a draft by cob, Thursday, 25 March, and a final
draft should be submitted to me by cob Friday, 26. March 1982.
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