CENTRAL AMERICA

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4
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RIPPUB
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K
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4
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Sequence Number: 
135
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Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4.pdf497.99 KB
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Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4 .qtr ti-I TO: Routing Slip ACTION INFO DATE ITIAL 2 DD 3 EXDIR 4 D/ICS 5 DDI 6 DDA 7 DDO 8 DDS&T 9 Chm/NIC 10 GC 11 IG 12 Compt 13 D/EEO 14 D/Pers 15 D/OEA 16 C/PAD/OEA 17 SWIA 18 A0/DCI 19 C/IPD/01S 20 h.- o j 21 22 EXECUTIVE SE AEIAT SUSPENSE Oat. Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4 ---- Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4 The Director of Central Intelligence Washington, D. C 20505 ? Fss~.-vC+e BaCistc~ AL I 9 September 1982 MEMORANDUM FOR: NI0/LA FROM: DCI SUBJECT: Central America We should talk about this., F William J. Casey Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4 Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443R001203970135-4 International outlook The Reagan Administration veers left in central America The Reagan Administration's Central American policy has zagged sharply to the left in anticipation of a major new escalation of violence in the region. In a speech delivered at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco, Assistant Secre- tary of State for inter-American affairs Thomas 0. Enders adroitly backtracked on previous positions. The Enders speech is being explained to hard-liners inside and outside the gov- ernment as a "tactical" attempt to persuade critics, particular- ly of U. S. policy toward El Salvador, that the Administration can be reasonable. But in spe- cial State Dept news brief- ings, the Enders speech was presented as a policy reversal reflecting the position of new Secretary of State George P. Shultz. The policy turn comes at a critical time for the Sandinis- tas in Nicaragua. Internal op- position to the regime has in- creased substantially and is allied with a coalition formed from the remnants of the So- moza National Guard forces heavily reinforced with other, The coalition, which can field o 8,000 well-trained men, claims to have some 200 small units operating inside Nicaragua-and attacks by small units have taken place even in Managua, the capital. Meanwhile, a war of attrition is on between the Sandi- nista leadership and the Meskuit Indians who live along the Caribbean coast-across which passes the Sandinistas' lifeline to the Cubans. A new level of violence. All this has produced an almost con- stant clash in recent weeks between Sandinista and anti- Sandinista forces on both sides of the Nicaragua-Honduras border. And Daniel Ortega, the leading radical member of the Sandinista junta, has threatened to cross the Honduran bor- der "to take out [the exile army] with surgical precision." If that kind of engagement does come, it could force a formal "internationalization" on the anti-communist side by invoking the Central American Defense Treaty to match the alliance of communist forces with the Sandinistas. Or it could produce a call to invoke the Treaty of Rio de Janeiro calling on all American states-including the U. S.-to halt aggression. The U. S. is already involved. Clandestine aid from the U. S. had been flowing to the Nicaraguan exiles-although, per- haps in line with Enders' speech and a new policy, the aid apparently was cut off in mid-August. Americans also have been associated with the famous Commander Zero (Eden Pas- tora), a former Sandinista leader who earlier this summer announced that the Nicaraguan revolution had been "be- trayed" and that he was going into armed left-wing opposi- tion. But Pastora, whose Mexican, Libyan, and possibly Cu- ban connections make him suspect to other Nicaraguan exiles, says he will fight the- Honduras-based group, which he labels "Somozistas." . Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01203970135-4 Honduran troops: Unable to stop Salvadoran guerrillas from using the country as a sanctuary. In El Salvador, the situation for the U. S.- backed regime continues to deteriorate. Leftist guerrillas, unable to force a victorious military showdown with the government, are methodi- cally destroying the economic infrastructure in an effort to demoralize the population. Hondu- ran forces under military strongman General Gustavo Alvarez, who supported free and fair elections there earlier this summer, have back- stopped Salvadoran government forces. They are trying to stop the use of Honduras as the "Cambodia" of the Salvador- an conflict. Honduras' relatively large size, sparse population, and weak armed forces make it difficult to halt the infiltra- tion of weapons and men, providing a sanctuary for the Sandinista- and Cuba-backed Salvadoran guerrillas that cross back and forth into El Salvador. The U. S. is extending military aid and training to the Honduran forces and improving the airport facilities at San Andres, a Colombian island off Nicaragua. The Hondurans are also training marines for the new Guatemalan regime, which-while more acceptable to Washington than the previ- ous military junta-is still under a U. S. embargo that forbids the training and delivery of weapons. Massed vehicles. The question is whether these measures by the U. S. are adequate in the face of the continuing buildup of arms and forces in Nicaragua. For example, the Sandinistas reportedly have massed amphibious vehicles at Monkey Point, near the Costa Rican border opposite San Andres. The Hondu- ran air force, long considered that country's main defense against any Sandinista attack, may soon be outclassed by Nicaraguan pilots being trained on MiGs in communist coun- tries. Other Nicaraguan recruits training on Cuba's 'Isle of Pines and in other communist countries for the past year are due back in strength this fall. . . At the same time, the Sandinistas are getting training and direct participatory support on the ground from a wide range of communist and left-wing allies, including. the Palestine Liberation Organization,- East Germans, Vietnamese, North Koreans, and Bulgarians; plus, a large Cuban contingent- Approved For Release 2007/06/08: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01203970135-4 International outlook /CONTINUED 0 Enders said 2,000, but others contend the figure is higher. characterization of present policy as a bipartisan continuation Enders' speech, reportedly written by Luigi R. Einaudi, a of the Carter Administration's actions. The Reagan strate- liberal Columbia University professor now on State Dept. gists had argued that the Carter Administration had tacitly duty, backtracks to the Carter Administration's positions. It approved left-wing takeovers and, by its singleminded concen- emphasizes the region's polarization between right and left tration on human rights, helped destroy the Somoza regime rather than the entry of Cuba- with Soviet support, as Reagan and undermine America's traditional friends in the region to strategists have always seen it It equates the Somoza regime the benefit of the Cubans and Soviets. with the Sandinistas, although-most Nicaraguan exiles-even Failed programs. The speech for the first time publicly offers Sandinista defectors-now argue that domestic conditions the Sandinistas a "nonaggression" pact, something conserva- have worsened. In effect;. it rejects the thesis of U. N. Ambas-s tives believe will guarantee the continuation of a Cuban-type sador Jean Kirkpatrick,, a. Latin American specialist, that a Soviet satellite in Nicaragua. And Enders' call for a halt to choice between, authoritarian: regimes historically allied with ? arms traffic in the region by both sides and a withdrawal of the U. S.. _and. new-totalitarian- governments allied with the military advisers under international supervision is seen as a Soviets: is,:the-crucial strategic problem for U. S_ policy. The -' replica of failed programs in half a dozen areas around the speech contains a forthright denunciation .of the Sandinistas" world, including Vietnam. internal policies- but. refers to a situation of six months ago, Enders' statement comes very close to ruling out interven- before their crackdown wiped out the last vestiges of plural- tion by American forces in the region---a position former ism. Referring to the new crisis between the Roman Catholic Secretary of State Alexander M. Haig Jr. repeatedly refused Church and the Marxist-Leninist regime in Managua, it ig- to commit the U. S. to, arguing that to do so would strength- nores,the church's dilemma:. whether to remain in opposition en Moscow, Havana, and the communists in the region in and risk total ejection of its priests and presence, as happened their long-term effort to undermine morale of the anti-con in Cuba under Fidel Castro, or make some sort of accommo- munists. The Enders' speech in Latin America is construed as dation to preserve the church's presence even under an out- and-out communist dictatorship, as in Poland. Perhaps the most startling element of the speech is its a move toward accommodation with left-wing forces in the region and a retreat from confrontation by the Reagan Ad- ministration. ^ Yang's Executive Class. There's mom for everything. Except improvement., 11 only 30 seats. That gives you an unusually spacious cabin with more legroom, more room in the aisles, and best of all, more room to enjoy Varig's incomparable award-winning on board service. 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