CRITIQUE OF PERFORMANCE ON SOVIET GAS PIPELINE

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88B00443R001404080140-3
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: January 4, 2017
• Document Release Date: April 24, 2008
• Sequence Number: 140
• Publication Date: July 11, 1983
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2008/04/24: CIA-RDP88B00443R001404080140-3
11 July 1983
MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Intelligence
FROM: Director of Central Intelligence
SUBJECT: Critique of Performance on Soviet Gas Pipeline
1. Helene and her staff did a very good job on the critique of the
performance on the Soviet gas pipeline. I attach notes I made on the subject.
As discussed with you earlier today, I would like to have the same talents
used to take a look at the intelligence judgments preceding significant
historical failures like the Castro significance of a year or two before
he took power in Havana, the likelihood of North Vietnam intervention in
South Vietnam, the likelihood of all-out Soviet support to Hanoi, the
prospects of further Soviet intervention in Afghanistan after the first coup
in the late 1970s.
2. My purpose in this is to see what we can learn about the proper
handling of future possibilities suggested by the suggestion but not strongly
supported by any evidence. Coincidentally, the DDCI has been thinking along
the same line in other areas. I was asked for a review of thoughts, ways
and accuracy to see where we were off on those issues. I believe something
of this was done prior to the Team B effort in 1976.
3. This came to me as a result of pondering the current state about the
implications of the insurgency in Nicaragua and in presenting the briefing
on where Castro is likely to go from here.
4. Once again, as part of this I would like to see the post-mortem
William J. Casey
Approved For Release 2008/04/24: CIA-RDP88B00443R001404080140-3
 Approved For Release 2008/04/24: CIA-RDP88B00443R001404080140-3
Approved For Release 2008/04/24: CIA-RDP88B00443R001404080140-3