Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
Release Decision: 
Original Classification: 
Document Page Count: 
Document Creation Date: 
December 20, 2016
Document Release Date: 
August 24, 2007
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 8, 1984
Content Type: 
PDF icon CIA-RDP88B00443R001500080034-0.pdf1.15 MB
Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 S EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT ROUTING SLIP ACTION INFO DATE INITIAL DCI X 4 7 O -v t 2 DDCI X 'r o ' '`o ., entt a ry 3 EXDIR 4 D/ICS 5 DDI v t t 6 DDA 7 DDO 8 DDS&T 9 Chm/NIC 10 GC 11 IG 12 Compt 13 D/Pers 14 D/OLL 15 D/PAO 16 SA/IA 17 AO/DCI 18 C/IPD/OIS 19 E5 y w o att 20 21 22 SUSPENSE 19 Jtme Date Remarks STAT DCI 'REG Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 8 June 1984 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director for Intelligence FROM: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: Semantics and Structure of Disinformation Here is material I talked to you about this morning on our vulnerability to words, verbal formulations and concepts used as weapons against our security interests. I am groping around for a way to get some concentrated brain power, high level policy attention and possible public attention paid to this subject -- perhaps a small analytical group, perhaps a conference, perhaps a. research program. William J. Casey Attachments: Commentar June 1984 y, Copies of correspondence w 25X1 25X1 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 ? ? Commentary Can the Democracies Survive? Jean-Francois Revel D EMOCRACY may, after all, turn out to have been a historical accident, a brief parenthesis that is closing before our eyes. If so, in its modern sense of a form of society reconciling governmental efficiency with legiti- macy, authority with individual freedoms, democ- racy will have lasted a little over two centuries, to judge by the speed at which the forces bent on its destruction are growing. And, really, only a tiny minority of the human race will have experienced it. In both time and space, democracy fills a very small corner. The span of roughly two-hundred years applies only to the few countries where it first appeared, still very incomplete, at the end of the 18th century. Most of the other countries in which democracy exists adopted it under a century ago, under half a century ago, in some cases less than a decade ago. Democracy probably could endure if it were the only type of political organization in the world. But it is not basically structured to defend itself against outside enemies seeking its annihilation, especially since the latest and the most dangerous of these external enemies-Communism-parades as democracy perfected when it is in fact the abso- lute negation of democracy, the current and com- plete model of totalitarianism. Democracy is by its very nature turned inward. Its vocation is the patient and realistic improve- ment of life in a community. Communism, on the other hand, necessarily looks outward because it presides over a failed society and is incapable of engendering a viable one. The nomenklatura, the body of bureaucrat-dictators who govern the sys- tem, has no choice, therefore, but to direct its abilities toward expansion abroad. It is also more skillful, more persevering than democracy in de- fending itself. Democracy tends to ignore, even deny, threats to its existence because it loathes It sN-FRANc0Is REVEL, the distinguished French political u,mtncntator, is the author of lVithout Marx or Jesus and The Totalitarian Temptation, among other books. The pre~cnt essay is drawn from his new book, a long and de- railcYl analysis of the disadvantages from which democracies cufer in their conflict with totalitarianism. Entitled How 1)ernocracies Perish, it will be published by Doubleday later thi% %car. Copyright ? 1983 by jean-Francois Revel; transla- t,u" copyright ? 1984 by William F. Byron. doing what is needed to counter them. It awakens only when the danger becomes deadly, imminent, evident. By then, either there is too little time left for it to save itself, or the price of survival has be- come crushingly high. In addition to its external enemy (once Nazi, now Communist), whose intellectual energy and economic power are primarily destructive, democ- racy faces an internal enemy whose right to exist is written into the law itself. Totalitarianism liquidates its internal enemies or smashes opposition as soon as it arises; it uses methods that are simple and infallible because they are undemocratic. But democracy can defend itself from within only very feebly; its internal enemy has an easy time of it because he exploits the right to disagree that is inherent in democracy. His aim of destroying democracy itself, of actively seeking an absolute monopoly of power, is shrewd- ly hidden behind the citizen's legitimate right to oppose and criticize the system. Paradoxically, democracy offers those seeking to abolish it a unique opportunity to work against it legally. They can even receive almost open support from the external enemy without its being seen as a truly serious violation of the social contract. The frontier is vague, the transition easy between the status of a loyal opponent wielding a privilege built into democratic institutions, and that of an adversary subverting those institutions. To totali- tarianism, an opponent is by definition subversive; democracy, for fear of betraying its principles, treats subversives as mere opponents. What we end up with in what is conventionally called Western society is a topsy-turvy situation in which those seeking to destroy democracy appear to be fighting for legitimate aims, while the de- fenders of democracy are pictured as repressive reactionaries. Identification of democracy's in- ternal-and external adversaries with the forces of progress, legitimacy, even peace, discredits and paralyzes the efforts of people who are only trying to preserve their institutions. Already besieged by this combination of hostile forces and negative logic, the democracies are also harassed by guilt-producing accusations and in- timidation such as no other political system has ever had to tolerate. Like the "industry of vice" ;t- Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 20/COMMENTARY JUNE 1984? 0 that reform groups used to talk about, there is and foes with reasons why defending itself would now an "industry of blame"; it promotes the now universally accepted notion that everything bad that happens in the Third World is the fault of forces necessarily and exclusively located in the "more advanced" or "rich" countries, meaning, in almost every case-and for good reason-the democracies. The major shareholders in this industry of blame are, first, the despots who oppress the peo- ples of that unfortunate Third World with im- punity. Next come the Communist countries, ex- ploiting the underdevelopment abroad that they cannot remedy at home and converting the poor nations into totalitarian military fortresses. Here too, in what are termed North-South rela- tions, foreign and domestic enemies of democracy are converging; their maneuvers are of no help at all in improving the lot of the poor countries, but they are marvelously effective in undermining the democracies' confidence in their own legitimacy, their own right to exist. The "progressive" support some Westerners give to the worst of the Third World regimes is merely a geographical relocation of what for sixty years was "progressive" support of the Soviet Union and, later, Mao Zedong's China: complicity by a part of the Western Left against the peoples of the less-developed countries and with the tyrants who enslave, brutalize, starve, and exterminate them. It seems, then, that the combination of forces- at once psychological and material, political and moral, economic and ideological-intent on the extinction of democracy is more powerful than those bent on keeping it alive. Democracy is not given credit for its achievements and benefits, but it pays an infinitely higher price for its failures, its inadequacies, and its mistakes than its adver- saries do. I NDEED, democratic civilization is the first in history to blame itself because another power is working to destroy it. The dis- tinguishing mark of our century is not so much Communism's determination to erase democracy from our planet, or its frequent success in pursu- ing that end, as it is the humility with which de- mocracy not only consents to its own obliteration, but contrives to legitimize the victory of its dead- liest enemy. It is natural for Communism to try with all its might to eliminate democracy, since the two sys- tems are incompatible and Communism's survival depends on the annihilation of democracy. That the Communist offensive is more successful, more skillful than democracy's resistance, will be seen by history as just another example of one power outmaneuvering another. But it is less natural and more novel that the stricken civilization should not only be deeply convinced that it deserves to be defeated, but that it should regale its friends be immoral and, in any event, superfluous, useless, even dangerous. Civilizations losing confidence in themselves: an old story in history. They stop believing they can survive, because of an internal crisis that is both insoluble and intolerable, or under threat from an external enemy so strong that the only remaining choice is between servitude and sui- cide. I do not believe democracy is in either pre- dicament, but it acts as if it were in both. It seems almost eager to believe in its own guilt and in the inevitable result of that guilt. Democracy's predecessors hid such beliefs as shameful even when they thought, or knew, they were doomed. But democracy is zealous in devising arguments to prove the justice of its adversary's case and to lengthen the already overwhelming list of its own inadequacies. Are these inadequacies real or imaginary? Some are real, of course, just as there is real cause to blame specific democracies or the democracies in general for some of the injustice and misfortune in the world. But many of these alleged inade- quacies and much of the democracies' responsibility for the world's ills are exaggerated or conjectural or purely imaginary. And besides, are those real faults serious enough to provide moral justifica- tion for totalitarianism to exterminate the de- mocracies? And why are the imaginary flaws so widely credited in the democracies themselves, which thus consent to their own calumniation? If democracy does succumb, it will not be to the sort of internal crisis, an essential lack of viability, that nearly wrecked it between the two world wars. From 1919 to 1939, the democracies seemed to be eaten from within by an irresistible malady that raised a rash of right-wing dictator- ships. One after another, they capitulated to au- thoritarian or totalitarian governments born of their own inability to govern themselves. In Cen- tral Europe, almost none of the parliamentary regimes established after World War I were still functioning ten years later. In Western Europe, first Italy went fascist, then Portugal, Germany, Spain. Of the great European powers, only Britain and France remained faithful to democracy, and in France democracy was so feeble, so incoherent, and so beleaguered that there were grave fears for its survival. The situation now, as the century nears its end, is nothing like that. For the first time since 1922, when Mussolini took power in Rome, all of West- ern Europe is democratic. The Greek colonels' seven-year dictatorship (1967-74) ended with their fall and a reinforcement of democracy there. In Spain, the Putsch dreaded since 1975 was tried and failed. The most dangerous, most unrelenting attacks against democracy have come from the revolutionary Left: red terrorism in Italy, Spain, and West Germany, and a minority attempt in Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 '~~ Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88BOO443RO01500080034-0 ? CAN THAMOCRACIES SURVIVE?/21 1975 to saddle Portugal with a Communist mili- tary dictatorship. Despite these trials, the old democracies have held firm and the new ones have survived and even developed. The laborious effort the Left peri- odically makes to frighten people with the specter of a neo-Nazi peril in Europe always collides with the brute fact that none of the fascist movements in Europe today has reached party status or has managed to elect a member of any parliament. As for the stupidly inflated notion of an "extra-par- liamentary Left" that flourished in Italy and Ger- many around 1970, it expressed nothing more than the revolutionary Left's inability to seduce enough voters into making it parliamentary. Yet while democratic institutions are no longer challenged politically from within, the societies, civilization, and values democracy has created are being increasingly questioned. Self-criticism is, of course, one of the vital springs of democratic civili- zation and one of the reasons for its superiority over all other systems. But constant self-condemna- tion, often with little or no foundation, is a source of weakness and inferiority in dealing with an imperial power that has dispensed with such scru- ples. Believing one is always right, even when the facts say otherwise, is as blinding and weakening to a society as to an individual. But assuming one is always wrong, whatever the truth may be, is discouraging and paralyzing. Not only do the democracies today blame them- selves for sins they have not committed, they have formed the habit of judging themselves by ideals so inaccessible that the defendants are auto- matically guilty. Clearly a civilization that feels guilty for everything it is and does and thinks will lack the energy and conviction to defend itself when its existence is threatened. Drilling the idea into a civilization that it deserves defending only if it can incarnate absolute justice is tantamount to urging that it let itself die or be enslaved. T HE same problem has invariably plagued the foreign policy of the de- mocracies in the struggle against Communist im- perialism. From the day President Truman de- clared that "it must be the policy of the United States to support free peoples who are resisting at- tempted subjugation by armed minorities or by outside pressure," the democracies were locked of their own free will into an almost insurmountable bind. For they laid down the condition that to have the right to resist absorption into the Com- munist empire, a country must be irreproachably democratic. In so doing, the West condemned it- self to failure or opprobrium. It became the pris- oner of an insoluble, self-imposed dilenmma: either it allowed most of the planet to sink under Com- munist domination, or, too often, it would be called on to protect countries that did not have democratic governments. The trap was a boon to Communist propaganda, which on this point was widely supported by the liberal Left in the democracies. And honesty does command that any democrat with consistent ideas deplore the hypocrisy of defending human rights and individual freedom while supporting authori- tarian governments. The best of these may be no more than relics or revivals of archaic power struc- tures, the worst are violent, police-run fascist re- gimes, or pseudo-democracies where elections are held only spasmodically; rarely, if ever, are they genuinely faithful to the ideal of the rule of law on which the West claims to base the legitimacy of its diplomacy and its defense. From the outset, then, the game has been un- fair. Strategic necessity is regarded as justification enough for a Soviet presence in another country, or a Soviet alliance with or aid to that country; anyone calling for further excuses is requested, even in the West itself, to mind his own business. A democracy, on the other hand, is not granted the right to defend the vital barricades of its own security unless the democratic imperative is s' obeyed. If it is not, the West's duty is evidently! to cede the territory in question to the Commu-1 nists who are unhampered by this democratic obligation. Thus, defending the independence of South Vietnam in the 1960's and 70's was tinged with infamy because the South Vietnamese regime was hardly one of exemplary purity. But the Hanoi regime had no need to furnish guarantees of its purity to win the right to defend itself or to at- tack its neighbors. Progressive and even centrist opinion throughout the world granted North Viet- nam "popular" legitimacy on trust, which its his- tory after 1975 did not support, but which its totalitarian and aggressive behavior even before 1975 never seemed to diminish. Better still: if Moscow's worldwide strategic in- terests so require, the Soviet Union is allowed to ally itself with traditional-style fascist regimes that dispense with even a facade of progressivism. And the Soviets can do so without bringing down on their heads the vehement criticism that world opinion levels at any democratic nation attempt- ing the same expedient. The Soviet Union and Cuba, for example, loudly took Argentina's side against Britain in the 1982 Falkland Islands war simply because it was obviously in the Kremlin's interest to oppose the Western democracies; sud- denly, no one in the Communist world minded the evil international reputation of the "odious and bloody fascist dictatorship" of the junta in Buenos Aires. The Soviet Union, then, is licensed by most people to safeguard its economic interests and cap- italize on its strategic advantages by realistic links with any government notorious for its disregard of human rights. But we hear only clamor and 1 vituperation when a Western country is cornered Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88BOO443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 22/COMMENTARY JUNE? into collaboration with South Africa or the Shah's Iran or Turkey. This double standard gives the Soviet empire an automatic advantage over the West: it not only Ican defend itself and expand without having to bother about the rules governing the foreign policy of the democracies, but its satellites and 1 clients are also exempted. This is really a two- pronged advantage: although it need not respect human rights at home, the Soviet empire is free to condemn violations, real or fictitious, anywhere else, to exploit them and set its agents to exploit- ing them. It can even provoke violations, using terrorism to elicit repression in the Western coun- tries or those associated with them. The Soviet Union, then, enjoys the privilege of being entitled not only to defend its empire, but to enlarge it without being judged on the basis of its subject states' standards of living, social justice, political freedoms, or respect for human rights. When subjugated peoples rise against Commu- nism, the West usually refrains from helping them, thus recognizing the legitimacy of Communist domination in all circumstances. The Commu- nists, on the other hand, recognize the legitimacy of no government outside their empire, least of all in the democratic countries. Conversely, the democracies suffer the theoreti- cal handicap in their struggle with the Soviet Union of being responsible on all the above- mentioned grounds both for their own behavior and for that of their allies. For example, when military governments took over in Greece in 1967, and in Turkey ten years later, the question im- mediately arose in the democracies of whether these countries, which had broken faith with de- mocracy, deserved to remain within the Western defense system. But when Poland declared a state of martial law to allow its army to shore up the shaky Communist-party dictatorship, Westerners immediately argued that no real liberalization is possible in a country like Poland because it is a vital strategic zone for the Soviet Union. Yet Turkey is just as essential to the West as Poland is to the Soviets. Driving it out of NATO, or even suspending weapons shipments to the Turkish army (which was done because of the Greco-Turk- ish conflict over Cyprus' in 1974), means opening a fatal breach in the Atlantic alliance's southern flank. D ETRACTORS of the United States and the "free world"-the expression is usually employed as a terrn7of derision, as though there were not really a free world and a slave world-have always maintained that we cannot fight in the name of democracy by consorting with non-democratic countries. And, of course, it would be ideal if the democracies could survive by defending only other democracies. In most cases, however, this moral ideal runs up against local ? traditions of government or de-facto situations the West cannot easily alter. President Carter's human-rights policy, under which he suspended American aid to the dictatorships in Argen- tina, Chile, and Bolivia, produced no political improvement in those countries, but the Soviet Union leaped into the breach to increase tradI with them. In Iran, Carter hastened the fall o what was certainly a detestably tyrannical regim -which was succeeded by a much worse one. It takes a profound ignorance of history to blame American imperialism alone for the long Latin American tradition of coups d'etat, military dictatorships, civil wars, corruption, revolution, bloody terror, and repression; all this goes back to the very founding of independent states nearly two centuries ago. On the African continent, it is striking that one-man, one-party rule has tri- umphed almost everywhere, in North Africa and Black Africa, in the former French colonies as in the former Belgian and British colonies, in "pro- gressive" and "moderate" regimes alike. Even such leaders as President-for-Life Kenneth Kaunda in Zambia and Zimbabwe's Prime Minister Robert Mugabe, after opting for multiparty systems when their countries received independence, soon changed their minds on the ground that one-party systems are "more in tune with the African char- acter." Some of the most barbarous examples of internal genocide, like the slaughter in Burundi, had nothing at all to do with Western "imperial- ism"; neither have some of Africa's most mon- strous tyrants, such as Uganda's Idi Amin. And for the people of Uganda, the country's "liberation" from Amin by troops from "progressive" Tan- zania inaugurated an era of suffering and martyr- dom that has been every bit as abominable as the one that preceded it. In any case, the free world's moral turpitude and political inconsistency are recognized, pro- claimed, and condemned whenever it collaborates with largely or wholly undemocratic governments that violate human rights, whether it merely ac- cepts them passively or assists them actively. To escape this contradiction and avoid condemnation before the tribunal of free-world opinion, the West must therefore deny itself the support, in its struggle against Soviet expansionism, of any coun- try that is undemocratic and disrespectful of human rights. This principle means that the right of the democracies to defend themselves must be subordinated to the conversion of the whole world to democracy. Clearly, this can only lead to the disappearance of what subsists of democracy in today's world. In short, without always going so far as to ap- prove, we nevertheless consider it natural for the Soviet Union to defend its interests, increase its power, install its henchmen through a craftily spaced series of coups d'etat and purges. No one asks these imperialists to make the people they Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 ? CAN THE I OCRACIES SURVIVE?/23 capture happy; no one thinks the Communists can be scolded into retreating. Nor does anyone in the democratic camp recognize his own right-not openly, at least-to fight Soviet imperialism with its own weapons. Instead, the free world again risks being accused of impure complicity with a reactionary "feudal" regime when it defends Saudi Arabia, say, against the undermining and subver- sion that the Soviet Union and its agents, includ- ing the Libyans, have been carrying on there for years. The moral is that the Soviet Union must be allowed to take over the Arabian peninsula unless all the countries there mold themselves to Western democratic ideals, an eventuality I would wish for but scarcely expect, at least in the immediate future, which is all that counts. Also at stake in the immediate or very near future is the fate of southern Africa, especially that of the Republic of South Africa, which has earned the rightful hostility of all defenders of human rights for its official policy of racial segregation. That it should be excluded from all international sports events is not sur- prising-until we remember that the Soviet Union, the People's Republic of China, North Korea, and Rumania, which have as many or more human-rights blots on their records, do take part in these events. This is another example of the double standard. But athletics is just a side issue here. What really matters is whether the West should, as the most enlightened and respectable voices of Western public opinion recommend, refuse any political and strategic cooperation with South Africa until apartheid has been eliminated. Considering that, at best, it would take a long time to end racial segregation in South Africa, that the Soviet Union is already strongly entrenched in the region, and that the slow process of reform might be radically accelerated by an uprising of South Africa's blacks, the West might gain little from abandoning South Africa and would certainly be seriously weakened. For, as we know, the sea route around the Cape of Good Hope is the main channel for our supplies of oil from the Persian Gulf. More- over, South Africa's soil holds most of the world's deposits of rare minerals outside the Soviet Union, supplying most of the metals needed by the in- dustrialized countries. In other words, if South Africa were to come under Soviet influence, Moscow would control not only its own vast mineral resources, but also those of South Africa and Namibia, where the pro- Communist SWAPO (Southwest African People's Organization) is likely to take power. The Soviet Union would then have a stranglehold on most and, in some cases, all the minerals vital to our industries. It could block oil shipments to us-if it had not already shut them off at the source along the Persian Gulf. That kind of economic power would make the Soviet Union master of the West without recourse to war, nuclear or conventional, in Europe. The Soviet Union's great strength lies in its freedom to invade areas where history has left the decaying remnants of archaic regimes that are important to the West's security or are sources of vital materials. Never mind that these regimes are replaced, as they always are, by bloodier, more re- pressive Communist police states and that the change leaves the area's poor more starved than they were before. The Soviets still come out ahead. For local and world opinion perceive the relative advantages of the old regime and the horrors of Communist putrefaction only after the new re- gime is in power and irreversible. When the West tries to protect archaic regimes or those of "modernistic authoritarians" like the Shah of Iran from disintegration, or attempts to restrain their abuses, it cannot help seeming to defend the Right against the Left, the past against the future, the billionaires against the poverty- stricken masses. The fact that when the Commu- nist Left overturns the Right it brings with it ram- pant famine, the camps, and the boat people never works as a preventive. If the West tries to pressure an archaic regime into becoming more liberal, either it is accused of "interference" by outraged nationalists, or its well-meaning proselytizing shoves the country into unforeseeable chaos, as exemplified by the Islamic revolution in Iran. And while the Ayatollah's bloody terror may now be partly anti-Communist for essentially religious reasons, the Kremlin knows very well that in the long run, when the brink of anarchy is reached, Iran may topple into the Soviet camp, but is un- likely ever to tip back into the free world. The Soviet Union's advantage over the free world is that neither world opinion nor, of course, its own muzzled public expects it to preach to its allies before associating with them, or to hold on to its satellites by any method but sheer force; it is not even required to provide enough food for the peoples it absorbs into its imperial system. But "international opinion"-the phrase de- scribes part of the free world's public opinion plus Soviet propaganda-will not accept violation of the rules of democracy by the West's friends. Even when such countries as Taiwan, South Korea, Malaysia, and Singapore develop thriving econo- mies that most other nations in the Third World envy and that would bring cries of admiration from the Western Left if they blossomed under Soviet banners, they are not appreciated. For they have curtailed their citizens' freedom. The social- ist regimes, of course, have obliterated freedom without even achieving comparable prosperity. THIS inequality of duties that so favors the Communists over the free world, however, prevents no one from turning around Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 24;'COMMMMENTARY JUNE 198- and equating the two sides when argument re- quires it. The technique for doing this seems fair but is in fact discriminatory: it simply consists of lumping the democracies and the Soviets together in iniquity. This technique represents a change of tactics. Almost throughout the 20th century, the politic- ally cross-eyed Left in the democracies has un- sheathed its fury only against the crimes of the capitalist world. Around 1970, the amnesia that periodically rejected unsavory. disclosures about the Communist world began to show cracks. Tell- tale scars remained after each new cleansing abso- lution. Soon the mass of facts grew too dense to deny out of hand. At this point a new hoax was devised. It consisted of admitting the existence of Com- munist crimes and failures provided these could instantly be matched by equivalents in the capi- talist world. Communism was now absolved not because it never sins, but because the democracies sin as grievously. In this new dialectical game, everyone is free, without necessarily being dishon- est, to retail the misdeeds and failings of totalitar- ian Communism, but on condition that we hasten to present their capitalist twins. Any deviation from the rule is immediately vilified as "selective indignation" and earns the severe censure of im- partial players. For example, a doctrinally pure French Social- ist, Louis Mermaz, president of the National As- sembly since 1981, replied to a reporter's question about the gulags: "I am as horrified as you are by the gulags, which are a perversion of Commu- nism. But I ask that you also condemn that mon- strosity of the capitalist system: hunger through- out the world that kills 50 million people each year, 30 million of them children." The retort, remarkable for its speed, is less so for its objec- tivity. For the parallel is only apparent: the gu- lags are a "perversion" of Communism, but fam- ine, according to the Socialist leader, is a product of the basic nature of capitalism. And while the magic of parallelism makes the Communist sin almost venial, that of capitalism remains mortal. Indeed, absolution is usually a one-way grant-to forgive the horrors of Communism. It seems un- likely that, if questioned on famine in the world, Mermaz would have replied with a diatribe against the gulags; he would have protested vio- lently against the shocking malnutrition of some of our fellow humans, and he would have been right. That the gulags exist does not make Third World poverty less morally intolerable. But by what sorcery is the reverse true? Besides, the magician was using phony statistics. As demographers know, some 50 million people die in the world every year. They can't all die of starvation and three-fifths of them can't be chil- dren. The fight against infant mortality in the poor countries has reduced its incidence, which is ? why their populations are increasing. Nutrition- ists estimate the number of deaths annually due to malnutrition at 10 percent of the total and this includes the Communist countries, which slightly weakens the indictment of capitalism. Death from starvation in the Communist world may be better hidden, but the victims are just as dead as any others. Mao's successors have confirmed what demographers had already determined from their study of Chinese population patterns: that tens of millions of Chinese died of starvation in 1960-70. A final objection to the Mermaz comparison: the gulags came into being by deliberate political decisions of Communist governments, whereas historically, capitalism has in fact rid Europe of the periodic famines that plagued it until the middle of the 18th century, as they now do the less-developed countries. Capitalism has even, be- gun to relieve starvation in some of the poorer countries, India and Brazil for example, which now export foodstuffs. Much, enormously much, remains to be done everywhere before all man- kind can enjoy the high nutritional standard that not even the capitalist West reached until the 19th century. But this problem has nothing what- ever to do with the question at issue: the delib- erate creation by an organized political regime of a repressive concentration-camp 'system that dou- bles as a system of government. I Am not going here into why industrial capitalism, the first. and only system of production that has wrested people from penury and that could perform the same service for those still experiencing penury, is the most decried. Nor will I waste time arguing at length that since the l8th century, the nations where industrial capital- ism has developed also happen to be those where modern democracy took root. This does not mean that these countries have kept consistent faith with democracy, or that democracy is found wher- ever capitalism goes. But it does mean that two centuries of history are witness to a general con- comitance between capitalism and democracy. I will only note that this monumental file of evi- dence has been filched and that the democracies themselves have adopted the Communists' image of the world and their perspective on history. The falsest and most pernicious characteristic of this image and this perspective lies probably in the antithesis between socialism and capitalism, between totalitarianism and democracy. This func- tions in most minds as an interpretive grid, even for those opposed to socialism. Its imposition is not the least of disinformation's victories, for this disinformation no longer bears on events, but on ideas; it is philosophical disinformation, a sort of ideological mole that has burrowed into the under- standing most of us have of these forces. Adopting this grid means accepting the prin- ciple that any regime that is less than perfectly Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 0 CAN TH?MOCRACIES SURVIVE?/25 democratic may be likened to totalitarianism and so loses its right to defend itself against Commu- nism. Since the world is full of governments that are neither totalitarian nor democratic, their futures are sealed. For one thing, because none of the democracies, even those recognized as such, is perfect, and since there are oppressive features to any society, which regime can claim a genuine right to defend itself against Communism? None. And, following the same line of reasoning, if all that need be done to legitimize Communism is to show that capitalism has its faults, its vices. and crises, then let world power be turned over to the Communists at once, on the principle that the best way to correct a limp is to cut off both legs. The real antithesis is not that of totalitarianism to democracy or Communism to capitalism, but of totalitarian Communism to all the rest. Commu- nism is a necrosis of economics, totalitarianism a necrosis of politics, of the body civic and of cul- ture. As a dead society, totalitarianism can be con- trasted with countless social forms now and in the past that cannot be called democratic as the term is understood in a few societies today, but which were not and are not dead, either. Medieval Eu- rope, Ming China, African, Polynesian, and Amer- ican societies before their contact with Europeans, the France of Louis XV and Napoleon III, Eliza- bethan England, the Spain of Philip IV, India under the Gupta dynasty and the Germany of Kant's day were neither democratic nor totalita- rian, but they were all living societies that, each in its own way, created valuable civilizations. The existence of injustice, persecution, oppres- sion in a group is one thing; for a group to be a negation of human nature in every aspect of its structure and ideology is something else again. This is the group to which totalitarianism be- longs. True, today we believe that to fulfill them- selves, all societies should aspire to democracy, progress toward it, and finally achieve it. I cer-- tainly do. Nevertheless, thousands of social or- ganizations down through history, while not com- parable to modern democracies, were not nega- tions of humanity and did contribute elements of civilization to our present patchwork culture. Unlike capitalism, Communism is not an eco- nomic system, it is a political system that must necessarily asphyxiate an economy. We should therefore refuse to lump Communism in with other authoritarian systems or them with it. Total- itarianism endangers not democracy alone, but life itself. Communism is not simply one despotic political system among many, or one inefficient and unjust economic system among others. In nor- mal life, despotism and inefficiency are among the rare qualities that can be corrected, as is shown by all of history-except the history of Commu- nism. To survive, Communism seeks to destroy not just existing democracy, but every possibility of democracy. Any society of any type in the world today can accede to democracy, with a single exception: Com- munist society, which cannot go democratic with- out destroying itself. Understandably, then, total- itarian strategists try to reverse or block this ten- dency in the still malleable world around them. 'What is less easy to understand is that they can recruit some of their assiduous disciples from among democracy's guides and thinkers. B UT recruit then they do. Broad sectors of public opinion and of the West's political and cultural elite see the democracies as more reactionary, more damaging to the Third World, more aggressive militarily, especially as regards nuclear warfare, than the Soviet Union and its satellites. Westerners who favor an effec- tive nuclear deterrent and a verifiable balance of forces are still viewed as "conservatives," "right- wingers," "warmongers," or, at best, as "cold warriors." Those "liberals" advocating unilateral disarmament or, at any rate, prior and increasingly juicier concessions to the Soviet Union without reciprocal guarantees are considered generous souls who love peace. In practice, what these "liberals" are really pro- moting is an imbalance that would enable the Soviet Union to force its economic and political will on a growing number of countries without going to war, thus enlarging an already spacious orbit. For history teaches us that never, anywhere, have concessions coaxed the Soviet Union into making concessions. From this unhappy truth, for which they are in no way responsible, the demo- cracies do not conclude that they must change their diplomatic approach, but that they must concede still more. Indeed, anyone with his ear to the political ground might think the only danger to the West is Western arms and Western diplomacy. For ex- ample, the New York Times of April 2, 1983 an- nounced that "An Adverse Impact Among Allies Is Feared After Reagan Remark on-Soviet Superi- ority." That is, the real danger to America's Euro- pean allies is not seen as possible Soviet military superiority but in America's plan to counter it by reinforcing West European defenses. Any President of the United States visiting Western Europe has been treated to demonstrations so hostile that an unsuspecting spectator would think he were the worst enemy Europe ever had. True, the people often show better judgment than the elites and the activists. In 1982, a survey revealed that all the peoples of Western Europe except the Spanish thought the growth of the Soviet military potential was more important in explaining international tension than the growth of America's military potential. (This had its clownish side, however: by a margin of 45 percent to 21 percent, the French people believed that American interest rates and the dollar's role in Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443R001500080034-0 international finance were much more serious causes of tension than the USSR's bulging arsenal.) Despite an improved and, by 1981, clearer per- ception of Soviet power, or perhaps because of the realism of that perception, most Europeans, and not just militant pacifists, said that if their countries were invaded, they would rather submit than re- sist. Asked in another poll, "If the Soviet army entered French territory, do you think the Presi- dent of France should immediately open peace talks with the Soviet Union?," 63 percent of the French answered "yes," 7 percent favored the use of nuclear weapons, and 31 percent thought France should fight, but without using its nuclear missiles. Now, one may very well prefer servitude to death. But we can also avoid putting ourselves in a situation in which that grim choice is all that is open to its. Yet the will to avoid such a situa- tion is precisely what the West seems to lack The replied via Somalia or Eritrea or both. No reply. We noted that and put it into our analyses. Then we took Aden and set up a powerful Soviet base there. Aden! On the Arabian penin- sula! In the heart of your supply center! No re- sponse. So we noted: we can take Aden. THROUGHOUT the course of relations be- tween the Communist and democratic worlds, the question of which will destroy the other has always been obscured in the democratic camp by adventitious side issues. Communism's leaders have never concealed their belief that this is the only question that counts and that they are determined to answer it with a total Communist victory. No temporary compromise, they feel, can alter the final judgment of history. If people in the West find it hard to bear this vision of merciless struggle between the two forms relentless Soviet "peace offensive," therefore, has of society if they sometimes drive it out of their every chance of succeeding, that is, of persuading minds, 'it is partly because the socialist cause was the West and the rest of the world to accept per- forged within the democracies themselves in the manent military inferiority b this as 19th century, was one of their offspring that then Y Y Y portraying ~--- r ''?' an absolute guarantee against war. Any normal person naturally hates the idea of war, and, of course, this feeling interferes with proper public information about strategy, as though the information itself were dangerous. But a Soviet "peace" is synonymous with subjugation, for which the West is already being psychological- ly conditioned, and its continued pursuit will lead by imperceptible stages to a state of undeclared but total satellization. Even economic weapons, not to mention military deterrence, have been for- bidden to the West, or rather, the West has for- bidden itself to use them. This refusal to apply stern economic sanctions against the Soviet Union must have vastly reassured the men in the Krem- lin. And if the West can no longer resort to a credible strategic deterrent or to economic weap- ons, what is there to prevent the Soviet Union from continuing to trample the sovereignty of oth- er countries, other continents, the whole world? The practical conclusion Communist leaders draw from Western military and economic pas- sivity is that they can go right on doing what they have been doing. Jean-Francois Deniau, a former cabinet minister under Giscard d'Estaing, quoted a high Soviet official as having told him: We took Angola and you did not protest. We even saw that you could have beaten us in An- gola-the government was on our side, but it was within an ace of giving up-and that you did nothing to win; on the contrary. And when, to save ourselves, we sent in 30,000 Cuban sol- diers, Ambassador Andrew Young, a member of the American cabinet, said it was a positive step and an element. of stability. All right, we noted the fact and included it in our analyses. Then we took Mozambique. Forget it, you don't even know where it is. Then we took Ethiopia, a key move. There again we noted that you could have life. We have trouble understanding that this off- spring's heir presumptive, 20th-century Commu- nism, has assumed the historical mission of de- stroying the democracy from which it issued. We persist in viewing it as just another political per- suasion that may have degenerated, but which can mend its ways, calm down, participate someday in a global concert. To think otherwise, we feel, sins against tolerance. Unfortunately, the democracies are not making the rules in this game. The Com- munists in no way share their concern for toler- ance and the coexistence of systems. Communism considers itself permanently at war with the rest of the world, even if it must occasionally agree to an armistice. This is nothing to be indignant about. We must simply recognize it; unless we do, we obviously cannot begin taking suitable political countermeasures. The Commu- nists' war is fought in many ways. If necessary, this includes military action, but to Commu- nism's leaders, all forms of action are part of this war, beginning with negotiation, at least their very particular notion of negotiation. In their minds, the aim of negotiation has never been to reach a lasting agreement, but to weaken their adversary and prepare him to make further concessions while fostering his illusion that the new concessions will be the last, the ones that will bring him stability, security, tranquillity. The Soviets' "peace" propaganda, which to them means convincing others not to defend themselves, always overlies a threat of war, of implicit intimi- dation that exploits our very justifiable fear of an atomic cataclysm. This belligerent demand for peace merely summons the democracies to buy their security with slavery; it is an elaborate way to say "surrender or be wiped out." It has been called "attack through pacifism." Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443R001500080034-0 =I 1 11 MM Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 ? Because in its social system, as in its foreign policy, Communism is meeting increasing disap- proval, Communist leaders do not rely much any more on honey to catch their future victims (ex- cept, perhaps, in some badly informed Third World countries). Having given up trying to se- duce the unwary by pretending to represent leftist ideals, they are stripping off their mask and using pure force. Unlike the Western leadership, which is tormented by remorse and a sense of guilt, the Soviet leaders have perfectly clear consciences, which allows them to use brute force with utter serenity both to preserve their power at home and to extend it abroad. Many in the West take comfort from the in- ternal weaknesses of Communism-especially its economic inefficiency. But I for one am more frightened than comforted by these weaknesses. A system that has grown so strong despite so many failings, that increasingly dominates the world even when no one wants anything to do with it, at least not the majority of the people in the countries it seeks to penetrate, and that, where it is in power, everyone except the nomenklatura longs to be rid of-this system must nevertheless embody a principle of action and a monopoliza- tion of power more effective than any mankind has ever known before. Communism and the Soviet empire are unprecedented in history. None of the classic concepts that make the past intelli- gible explains Communist imperialism. The Soviet empire does not follow the bell-shaped expansion- ist curve of previous empires. Yet the democracies persist in believing that it will decline of itself and inevitably grow more moderate. The truth is, however, that the longer Soviet Communism lasts, the more expansionist it be- comes and the more difficult it is to control. Other Communist states, notably Cuba, Vietnam, and North Korea, have shown similar propensities for conquest. It does not follow that because Commu- nism is showing signs of rot and suffers reverses, it will turn to the path of peace. Except when they were disintegrating, few other empires had to deal with as many national and popular re- bellions as the Soviet empire has had since 1953. But it has withstood and quelled them without going to pieces. And these difficulties have in no way slowed its expansionist thrust. Frequently, part or all of a Soviet ruler's reign is scarred by serious setbacks. This happened under Stalin from 1925 to 1935, it happened during the reign of Khrushchev, who for a while seemed to be digging the empire's grave, and in the years imme- diately following his fall: the break with China, the loss of Albania, North Korean and Vietnamese neutrality in the Moscow-Peking quarrel, insurrec- tions in Poland, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia, Rumania's new standoffishness, cracks in the mono- lithic Communist International. Yet never did the empire expand so much or so boost its military CAN THEEMOCRACIES SURVIVE?/27 power as in the years that followed this critical period. The closer we get to the end of the century, the more Communist imperialism becomes the chief problem of our time. No other threat to world freedom has endured as long. Other totalitarian systems were defeated or simply crumbled with age. In many other unhappy countries that have been or still are ruled by dictators, democracy and dictatorship-or, at least, adulterated forms of dic- tatorship (arid democracy)-have swept in and out like tides. Only Communist totalitarianism is both durable and immutable. To THE question of what should the non- Communist countries do, I am tempted to answer by turning to Demosthenes. "Some peo- ple," he said, "think they can stump the man who mounts the tribune by asking him what's to be done. To those I will give what I believe is the fairest and truest answer: don't do what you are doing now." This is not as summary an answer as it seems, even to today's problems. What, indeed, can we do? To go on as we have been doing would guar- antee the continued advance of totalitarianism, for, as experience has shown, it will not be stopped by its own weaknesses and internal failures. A second option is based on the hope that the Soviet Union will change its ways voluntarily if we acknowledge its place in the sun and show clearly through concessions that we have no intention of attacking it. Anchored to peaceful coexistence and detente, this option has too adequately proved its harmfulness to warrant further discussion. But since we have yet to scrap it, I can only warn peo- ple not to count on it to save us. It will keep us out of war by ushering us into subordination or slavery. A third choice proposed, reviving-horrorsl- the "cold war," which we are so repeatedly admon- ished not to do, really does not exist, since there has never been a cold war. What is called the cold war has simply been a toned-clown version of detente that has certainly not attained its theoreti- cal goal of "containment." The democracies selfish- ly thought to use detente to guarantee their own security by signing treaties finally and officially confirming the subjugation of the peoples already under Communist dictatorship. In this they have failed. All we have succeeded in doing is abandon- ing these enslaved peoples to their masters. As he was being exchanged for a Chilean Communist, the Soviet dissident Vladimir Bukovsky found a cruel symbol of this complicity: "The Chekist [secret policeman] who took off my handcuffs, remarked for my edification, 'These handcuffs, incidentally- they're American.' And he showed me the stamp. As though I had waited this long to learn that since the Soviets took power, or just about, the West has been supplying us with handcuffs, literal- ly and figuratively." Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 28/COMMENTARY JUNE 19' Yet this complicity has not brought us the security we expected from it. Never were the de- mocracies more vulnerable, more baffled, more ex- posed to the blows of Communist imperialism than they were when the so-called detente period ended. The years since 1981 have been especially tragic, with confusion sown in the democratic camp by the Polish ? and Afghan affairs, by the democracies' gradual but irresistible acceptance of Soviet military superiority despite the more and more threatening, impudently biting, and brutal way the Kremlin talks to them. Some responsible thinkers are pessimistic enough to believe that the West has become so docile that it can no longer call a halt without risking war. I have reached the opposite conclusion. I am con- vinced that the Soviets are intent on maintaining their nuclear superiority over Western Europe as a way to increase their pressure on us without be- ing dragged into a general war while gradually dis- engaging-the United States from the continent of Europe. Thus the Western nuclear deterrent re- mains the principal guarantor of peace it has proved to be for the past thirty-five years. The noinenklatura doesn't want to die either. Once this first point is well understood, and ? acted upon, the second article of a worthy foreign policy would be to reply to any Soviet encroach- ment with immediate reprisals, mainly economic, and to make no further concessions without mani- fest, equivalent, and palpable counterconcessions. The free world's revised foreign policy must and can have a precise objective: to make the Soviets understand once and for all that the irrevocable prior condition for resumption of negotiations and the granting of concessions of any kind is a defini- tive halt to Communist imperialism everywhere in the world. Activating this new policy, which really would be no more than a return to normal diplomacy, presupposes an almost total Western intellectual reconversion, sound understanding-at last-of what Communism is and how it works, and a hitherto unprecedented harmonization and coordi- nation of policy among all the democracies. This amounts to saying that while such a new diplo- matic departure appears objectively possible, it seems to me highly unlikely because of the intellec- tual frivolity, indecisiveness, and discord of the men called on to apply it. And that is why I fear that democracy may not survive the closing years of the 20th century. L Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0 \\'IL.L1.o J. CASEY 21 May 1984 Dear Gene, I had a very interesting talk with your wife at the PFIAB reception a week or two ago. She put her finger on something which has troubled me. Why are we so weak on semantics and the structure of disinformation? We talked about some people who had done work in this area. She talked about a Glaswell in Chicago, I think. I remember a fellow, a name like Lassiter, who was at Columbia a decade or two ago. ? I would like to get some ideas on how we could get a small group of knowledgeable people interested and versed in the art of science and semantics to study why we do so poorly and how we might do better. I recall quite a lot of work done on this with respect to Hitler in the late 30s. Again, there was someone whose name I can't recall who gained a lot of prominence in writing and speaking about the semantics of propaganda. Not many of us left with memories that go back that far. If you or Mrs. Rostow have any ideas I would appreciate getting them. Yours, William J. Casey The Honorable Eugene V. Rostow Yale Law School Box 401A Yale Station New Haven, Connecticut 06511 Approved For Release 2007/08/26: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01500080034-0