LETTER TO RAYMOND S. SLEEPER FROM WILLIAM J. CASEY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88B00443R001704340071-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 25, 2011
• Sequence Number: 71
• Publication Date: August 5, 1985
• Content Type: LETTER

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IIIc I )nc_titt uI .nail Ii IcIIiqncc .f Executive p";
1ti'atihui~l m I) ( .'11505
5 August 1985
Dear Colonel Sleeper,
Thank you for sending a copy of your book and for
your very interesting letter about the conference you
attended and the subject it addressed.
I think we need to have established somewhere in
the Free World an institute which would focus entirely
on the tactics and semantics of disinformation and
dissemination of analyses and conclusions. There was
an organization in New York in the late 30s called
The Institute for Propaganda Analysis that did this for
what we then called propaganda coming out of Nazi Germany.
I was interested in the book you are developing
on Soviet deception with General Schreiver. I attach
information, prospectus and outline of a book on a
conference on that subject which just crossed my desk.
I wish you well in both endeavors.
Colonel Raymond S. Sleeper
Attachments , ER 85-2814
Orig w/Atch - Addressee
.-Y w/o - DCI
1 w/o - ER File
STAT
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DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
MONTEREY. CALIFORNIA 93943-5100
NC4/56Pr
24 July 1985
d L.. .4 .:
Honorable William Casey
Director, Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, D. ~,,20.0
T h e Honora
Since 1979, I have headed an extensive research effort into
the theoretical and historical military dimensions of deception
and perceptions management at the Naval Postgraduate School.
An early product of that effort was a well received book edited
by Donald Daniel and Katherine Herbig, Strategic Military
Deception, published in 1982.
Since that time the research area has focused more
explicitly on problems of Soviet strategic deception and
perceptions management both in times of peace and war, thus
encompassing aspects of military as well as non-military
deception. The thrust of this research has been to go beyond the
theoretical exploration of deception to involve the policy-
relevant questions of Soviet deception efforts in all areas of
East-West interaction. The products of this effort will be
published later this Fall in a book entitled Soviet Strategic
Deception, edited by myself and Professor Brian Dailey.
A conference or workshop will be held at the Naval
Postgraduate School in Monterey, California on September 26-28,
1985. This conference will provide an opportunity for the
contributors to this book to present their research and findings,
and to promote discussion of- the implications of these findings
with other important and knowledgeable individuals inside and
outside of government. The conference is being jointly sponsored
by the Naval Postgraduate School and the Hoover Institution on
War, Revolution, and Peace.
We would l i k e t o extend a c o r d i a l i nv i tat i on to you to
attend this important conference. We feel your participation
will be important to our success in this effort, and will
enhance the relevance and quality of the final product.
Hotel accommodations at the Monterey Sheraton, meals, and
air-travel will be provided. We would appreciate it if you
could please notify the conference coordinator by 10 August
regarding your ability to attend.
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The conference coordinator (and NPS point of contact) is:
Prof. Kerry M. Kartchner (Code 56Kn)
Naval Postgraduate School
Monterey, California 93943
I have enclosed a copy of the conference schedule for your
review. Please note that some sessions of this conference will
be classified SECRET. An initial list of participants is also
provided.
We look forward to your reply.
PATRICK J. PARKER
Professor of National
Security Affairs
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DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
MONTEREY. CA 93943-5100
BOOK PROSPECTUS
SOVIET STRATEGIC DECEPTION
Since 1979, the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) at Monterey,
California, has been conducting a multi-disciplinary research
effort in the area of deception and perceptions management under
the direction of Professor Patrick Parker. An early product of
that effort was a well received book edited by Donald Daniel and
Katherine Herbig, Strategic Military Deception, published in
1982. Initial work focused on methodology and the historical
use of deception in military campaigns. This historical and
theoretical analysis promoted improved understanding of the roles
of deception and self-deception in international relations,
negotiations, crisis management, and war.
The lessons learned from these early efforts in deception,
perceptions management, and self-deception, have led to
insightful new analyses of national security issues. These
analyses are being organized into a new book entitled Soviet
Strategic Deception, to be edited by Professors Brian Dailey and
Patrick Parker. While other works on deception have included
Soviet approaches, this book will be unique in that it examines
all aspects of Soviet strategic deception in one volume.
In other words, while this effort will be comprehensive, it
will also be focused enough to allow rigorous analysis of subh
critical issues as: the historical and contemporary
organizational and doctrinal structure of Soviet strategic
deception and active measures; semantic misperceptions or
complexities in aspects of the Russian language and Marxist-
Leninist lexicon; examples of past and present Soviet diplomatic
and political active measures, disinformation, and perceptions
management, as well as military deception or maskirovka; case
studies of Soviet and Soviet-sponsored deception in regional
areas; and problems of formulating national security planning
when Soviet deception is a factor.
The subject's importance is self-evident. The roles that
deception, perceptions management, and self-deception play in
furthering the political and military objectives of the Soviet
Union should always be kept in mind by policy makers and analysts
responsible for U.S. national security. In an era of
intercontinental missiles and nuclear weapons, it is essential
that the Western world comprehend the decisive importance of
deception and surprise in military strategy and planning;
especially with respect to totalitarian regimes such as the
Soviet Union where secrecy arid internal discipline provide a
greater opportunity to systematically employ deception than in
the West.
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At the same time, it is crucial to realize that deception is
not used only in war.- The studies in this book show that the
Soviet Union uses deception and perceptions management regularly
in its day-to-day foreign policy and military planning. The
pervasiveness of Soviet deception efforts will be central to the
analyses contained in this book.
The success of Soviet perceptions management efforts relies,
to a large extent, on exploiting tendencies to self-deception--
for example, telling Western audiences what they want to hear and
allowing it to be assimilated into the mindset of decision
makers, analysts, and the public. Consequently, another
essential dimension of this particular volume will be an
exploration of the inadvertent and sometimes deliberate role
played by self-deception in support of Soviet deception
objectives.
This book brings together a comprehensive overview of the
sinews of Soviet strategic deception to better inform the public,
the academic world, and government policy makers and analysts of
the reality and consequences of this problem. We believe that it
will become a standard reference book in the field.
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SOVIET STRATEGIC DECEPTION
(Revised 24 July 1985)
Foreword by Andrew Marshall
1. Introduction
Deception and Perceptions Management in Soviet Strategy
Brian Dailey
II. Soviet Organizational Structure for Deception and
Active Measures
* Soviet Deception: The Organizational Tradition
STAT
* The KGB, GRU, and I I D and ID of the CPSU:
Architects of Soviet Deception and Disinformation
STAT
* Soviet Active Measures and Disinformation
III. Language, Ideology, and Diplomacy
* Language as a Means of Self-deception
Misperception
Robert Bathurst
* The Soviet Worldview: Ideology, Theory and Practice
Robert Conquest
* The Strategic Use of Deception in the Political
-Military Dialogue
* The Role of Deception in Imperial Russian and Soviet
Diplomacy
Kerry Kartchner
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IV. The Soviet Military and Deception
* The Theory, Planning, and Practice of Soviet
Military Deception
Notra Trulock
* "Reflexive Control" in Soviet Military Planning
Unattributable Author
* The Use of Outer Space in Soviet Military Deception
Angelo Codevilla
* CBW: The Covert Dimension
Joseph Douglass
V. Arms Control and Verification
* The Use of Deception in Arms Control
William Graham
* Deception and Perception Management in Arms Control:
A Case Study of ABM Treaty
Brian Dailey
* Deception in the Mutual Balance Force Reductions
Negotiations
VI. Regional Deception
* Cuba and Nicaragua
Roberta Wohlstetter and David Blair
* The Middle East
Avigdor Haselkorn
* Soviet Perceptions Management Efforts in the Federal
Republic of Germany Regarding Intermediate-Range
Nuclear Force Modernization and Arms Control
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VIf. Economic Deception and Technology Transfer
Deception in Tech Transfer (via the Eastern Bloc)
Richard Perle
* Economic Deception
Steven Rosefielde
VIII. Deception and Strategic Planning
* Strategic Warning and Surprise Attack
William Van Cleave
Electronic Deception
Richard Montgomery
* Deception and the Formulation of National Estimates
Tom Rona
* The Problems of Deception in Strategic Targeting and
War Planning
Leon Sloss
IX. Concluding Chapter
* Patrick Parker and Seymour Weiss
Denotes those individuals who have accepted the invitation to
participate.
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Wednesday September 25
Arrival of Conference Participants
Thursday September 26
9:00-9:15 AM INTRODUCTION AND WELCOME
9:15-11:45 PANEL I-PLENARY SESSION: SOVIET ORGANIZATIONAL
STRUCTURE FOR DECEPTION AND ACTIVE MEASURES
Lunch: 11:45-1:00 PM
Arnold Beichman)
1:15-4:00 PM PANEL IIA: LANGUAGE, IDEOLOGY, AND DIPLOMACY
(Robert Bathurst, Robert Conquest, Kerry Kartchner)
1:15-4:00 PM PANEL IV (SECRET): THE SOVIET MILITARY AND
DECEPTION
(Notra Trulock, Angelo Codevilla, Joseph Douglass)
7:00-11:00 PM DINNER AT MONTEREY BAY AQUARIUM
Friday September 27
9:00-11:45 PM PANEL IIIA: REGIONAL DECEPTION
(Avigdor Haselkorn, David Yost, Roberta Wohlstetter,
David Blair)
9:00-11:45 PM PANEL IIB (SECRET): ARMS CONTROL AND
VERIFICATION
(William Graham, Brian Dailey, William Harris,
Richard Staar)
Lunch: 11:45-12:45
1:15-4:00 AM PANEL IIIB: ECONOMIC DECEPTION AND TECHNOLOGY
TRANSFER
(Steven Rosefielde)
1:15-4:00 AM PANEL V (SECRET): DECEPTION AND STRATEGIC
PLANNING
(William Van Cleave, Tom Rona, Leon Sloss)
Saturday September 28
9:30-12:00: PLENARY SESSION AND CONCLUDING REMARKS
(Discussion Led by Patrick Parker and Seymour Weiss)
STAT
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CONFERENCE ON SOVIET STRATEGIC DECEPTION
September 26-28, 1985
List of Participants and Invitees
1. Patrick J. Parker (56Pr)
Professor of National Security Affairs
Project Director
Naval Postgraduate School
Monterey, CA 93943-5100
Office: (408) 646-2521 or 2097
2. Brian D. Dailey (56Di)
Adjunct Professor of National Security Affairs
Project Manager
Naval Postgraduate School
Monterey, CA 93943-5100
Office: [phone] or 3486
3. Kerry M. Kartchner (56Kn)
Adjunct Professor of National Security Affairs
Conference Coordinator
Naval Postgraduate School
Monterey, CA 93943-5100
Office: [phone] or 3483
4. Robert Bathurst
Adjunct Professor
Naval Postgraduate School
5. John Battilega
Vice President and Senior Defense Analyst
Foreign Systems Research Center
Science Applications, Inc.
6. Arnold Beichman
Visiting Scholar
Hoover Institution
7. David Blair
Policy Analyst
Pan Heuristics, RDA
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8. -Angelo Codevilla
Senior Research Fellow
Hoover Institution
9. Robert Conquest
Senior Research Fellow,
Hoover Institution
10. Joseph Douglass
Senior Analyst
Falcon Associates
STAT
12. William Graham
Chairman, President's General Advisory Committee on Arms Control
Partner, Research & Development Associates
13. Judy Grange
Vice President and Senior Specialist in Soviet Military
Assessment Methods
Foreign Systems Research Center
Science Applications, Inc.
14. William Harris
Senior Staff Member
Rand Corporation
15. Avigdor Haselkorn
Senior Analyst
Analytical Assessments Corporation
Consultant, DoD
STAT
17. Uri Ra'anan
Professor and Chairman, International Security
Studies Program
Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy
18. Tom Rona
Office of the Secretary of Defense
Department of Defense
49. .Steven Rosefielde
Associate Professor
North Carolina University
20. Leon Sloss
President, Leon Sloss Associates
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21: Richard Stear
Senior Fellow
Hoover Institution
22. Notra Trulock
Manager, Threat Assessment Programs
Foreign Systems Research Center
Science Applications, Inc.
23. William R. Van Cleave
Director, Defense and Strategic Studies Program
University of Southern California
24. Seymour Weiss
President of SY Corporation
Vice President of Abington Corporation
25. Roberta Wohistetter
Senior Researcher and
Consultant to the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
Pan Heuristics, RDA
26. David Yost
Associate Professor
Naval Postgraduate School
Council on Foreign Relations Fellow
27. Richard Burress
Associate Director, Hoover Institution
on War, Revolution, and Peace
28. William Casey
Director, Central Intelligence Agency
29. Donald Daniel
Associate Professor
Naval War College
30. Fritz Ermarth
National Intelligence Officer for
the USSR
National Intelligence Council
;31. , Larry Gerswin
National Intelligence Officer for
Strategic Programs
National Intelligence Council
32. Fred C. Ikie
Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
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33. Henry A. Kissinger
Former Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs
34. Paul H. Nitze
Special Adviser to the President and the
Secretary of State on Arms Control Matters
35. William H. J. Manthorpe, Jr.
Office of the Chief of Naval Operations
36. Andrew Marshall
Director, Office of Net Assessment
Department of Defense
37. William Odom
Director, National Security Agency
38. Richard Perle
Assistant Security of Defense (International
Security Policy)
39. Eugene Rostow
Former Director of ACDA and Visiting Professor
of Law and Diplomacy
at the National Defense University
40. Henry Rowen
Senior Research Fellow
Hoover Institution on War, Revolution,
and Peace
41. Vernon Walters
Ambassador of United States to
the United Nations
42. Barton Whaley
Consultant
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