LETTER TO RONALD REAGAN FROM G. A. KEYWORTH, II

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4
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RIFPUB
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K
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4
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 17, 2011
Sequence Number: 
3
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Publication Date: 
December 17, 1985
Content Type: 
LETTER
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PDF icon CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4.pdf210.69 KB
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Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 THE WHITE HOUSE December 17, 1985 Dear Mr. President, Beginning with your second, foreign-policy debate with Walter Mondale and, again, in many of your public comments before the-Geneva talks, your repeated emphasis on 'sharing' the fruits of the SDI with the Soviets has prompted ae to explore the implications of that concept with our White House Science Council, Bill Casey and a number of defense experts. Before I conclude as your science advisor, I want to offer you my thoughts on this subject. I believe sharing the SDI represents an opportunity to bring about the new stability you seek and to banish the cobwebs of tortured logic that have encumbered so ouch of the public debate on strategic defense. A trend of eroding stability began in the 1960s with the-advent of the counter-force era -- the intro- duction of missiles so accurate that the opponent's hardened silos could be targetted with confidence. This new precision, combined with large numbers of warheads deliverable with KIR9'd missiles, ushered in the 'window of vulnerability' and the attendant perception that a preemptive first-strike is possible. ' Modernisation of O.S. strategic forces was an essential step toward steaming -- but not toward repairing -- the eroding stability. Your SDI offers today the only opportunity to repair the diminished stability that counterforce weapons introduced. To fully appreciate the role of the SDI in this picture, one need only imagine a world where strategic defenses are prohibited. one could only attempt to stem the erosion, with no hope of repair. Without the SDI, the situation would be analogous to entering a competition with plans only to avoid losing, rather than planning to win! - Let we nog be scars specific about 'has SDI could be shared. And pardon my.brief lapse into a technician's perspective. Imagine strategic defenses to be divided into two types -- what I will call 'global' and *sovereign*. Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 Global defenses are the main thrust of the SDI program, the so-called boost-phase defenses that are designed to destroy the missiles themselves, shortly after launch. The tern, 'global' is chosen because all targets on the globe would share in the protection, wherever they may be -- whether Washington, Moscow, Peking or Baghdad. In contrast, sovereign defenses are those more traditional defenses -- terminal defenses -- that are designed to protect silos or, perhaps, cities. The U.S.S.R. is currently developing both types, whereas the principal emphasis of the SDI is to explore opportunities for the global, boost-phase defenses that could make ballistic missiles effectively obsolete by making then simply unreliable as delivery ysth: ?ssencss these defenses that, to set capture the SDI, as well as original purpose for beginning providing tools that could be shared to repair the erosion- in the nuclear balance. You have proposed to share the technology of SDI, the components of SDI and, esteth~t youZ,goalseanebest strategic defenses. I sugfl be met by sharing the control of strategic defenses -- and by using the Summit iscussions with Kr. Gorbachev And to develop Joint management of global defenses. this could a put ort as a logical extension of Paul liitze's Strategic Concept as the Joint Strategic Concept. the Concept would The objective of the Joint Strategic be to ensure that neither aid* plit me tools sa to possess a first-strike capsb Y joint management would not be the mechanismsefs~~s~ ~lsaborats. but rather their control Any global defense system presently envisioned would comprise a number of elements, including those for launch detection, aiming and tracking, battle management and interception. But the cotroop mechanism would require an enablement switch* pr is, ro r control of the chief executive you. s mat would possess the authority to enable those defenses if and when heightened tensions catitt ~a ~aableaent, attack preparations should be iadieatsO raters, whose control would be transferred to comp instructions are codified as soteraine theaaset of and pre-defined instructions that the extent of a missile attack and how best to deploy Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 to U.S.U.S.S.R. vthe S.iSr and pro)ouzect defenses to negate `h: attack. to jointly develop global defenses to destroy any missiles that represented an act of aggression, be they U.S., D.S.S.A. or third- country in origin, would ensure that any act of nuclear aggression would be deterred. Further, accompanying a proposal for joint oversight or joint development of the control software with a proposal to share the enabling switch itself -- so that you Mr. Gorbachev or other national leaders vouldcould, servet,toeplacedballistic those shared defenses missiles in a category with smallpox. Just as sharing smallpox vaccine has msaefen.es~couldrrender ballistic sharing global missile missiles obsolete. Such a proposal, radical as it may at first appear, can be achieved simply by recognising that defenessre not threatening. Fach side could continue to posses and control its own defenses while achieving additional benefit from participating in joint global defenses. That is, each side could onlylbenefit from compliance. And compliance could A number of test launches, verified by random tests. permit any party to simulating real attacks, would penable the global defensendto~n`~ii~ofttiareef emus ? to verify the jointly developed sharing defenses in this manner can be accomplished i safely, without risking our own security. And fundajwntal difference nature the and the more the nature of nature re of f defenses our present dependence on offense for deterrence would be starkly revealed. I believe the lack of appreciation of the signifi- canes of your proposal to 'share SDI arises ro'msphasis emphasis upon not losing, rather than upon your upon seeking stability. And it is further encumbered by 'fussy' thinking about arms control, resulting from decades of failed expects practically and from could to Geneva just bow easily and pract Y sharing lishould be accomplished. Your own recent accomp inning in arms have shown to many skeptics that a new beg s oin armtiatiins control is possible. You have refocused offal negotiations onto the essental. ~e s~ssagebtha~I,z Ocrived was that nuclear stability. you are committed to restoring a stable fnlancs and to reducing the avsome role that nuc ear weapons play today . Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4 in our view of the world -- not just in a relative- number-of-sissiles game. In your future discussions with Mr. Gorbachev, sharing SDI can, II itylievt,eanintain, focus on that sole essential n or even negate his expressed fears of an eventual U.S. first-strike capability. And it can capture the support of free people at both ends of the political spectrum by clearing away the cobwebs that flexible response, SALT I , the ABM Treaty and a generation of tailed expectations for arms control have woven. Mr. President, I believe your offer to share SDI with the Soviets and further, with the world, would both strike at and remedy the moral dilemma that the nuclear age presents and that the counterforce era has worsened. I also believe that the present emphasis upon developing global, or boost-phase, defenses to destroy whole missiles shortly after launch, rather than to attempt to intercept warheads among thousands of decoys during just seconds before they strike, offers us the opportunity to manage jointly with the U.S. . the inevitable obsolescence of the very ICBK's that have so; eroded the stablity our citizens expect. !iou have an opportunity to retain the arms control focus where it belongs -- on stability -- and to step up to the line and truly manage the nuclear dilemma. With great respect, 0#r G. A. Beyworth, II The honorable Ronald Reagan The president of the United States Washington, D.L. 20500 P.S. It has been an honor and a pleasure to serve you, and to be even a small part of what Dave Packard called possibly the most important act of genuine leadership in the twentieth century' -- the SDI. I only regret that I was unable coPerh Ps Patti be energy is safe and reliable. more convincing. Approved For Release 2011/03/17: CIA-RDP88G01117R000903020003-4