POPULATION RESOURCES AND POLITICS IN THE THIRD WORLD: THE LONG VIEW

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP89B00423R000100020023-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2008
• Sequence Number: 23
• Publication Date: January 1, 1984
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2008/12/04: CIA-RDP89B00423R000100020023-8
.U 9J i
Central Intelligence Agency*
Office of the Deputy Director for Intelligence
th
~14 February 19
NOTE TO: The Honorable Robert C. McFarlane
Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs
We sometimes get so preoccupied with current
developments such as Lebanon or the Soviet
succession that it is hard to lift our sights
to longer range problems.
The attached assessment, Population, Resources,
and Politics in the Third World: The Long View,
represents an effort to look ahead to serious
problems that will confront the US years from now.
It deals with trends in population, urbanization,
resources, water and food that are unlikely to be
seriously deflected in the coming years. We believe
these problems will prompt many Third World leaders
to opt for authoritarian governments that, regardless
of ideology, may look more to the Soviet Union
because of its appeal as a model police state than
to the US as an economic model.
I'strongly commend it to you.
Robert M. Gates
Deputy Director for Intelligence
"J.
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 Approved For Release 2008/12/04: CIA-RDP89B00423R000100020023-8
Directorate of
Intelligence
Secret
Secret
GI 84-10022
January 1984
Copy 454
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 Approved For Release 2008/12/04: CIA-RDP89B00423R000100020023-8
GI` 84-10022
The Honorable Robert C. McFarlane
Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs
(White House Situation Room)
RADM John Poindexter, USN
Deputy Assistant to the President for
National Security Affairs
(White House Situation Room)
(Copy,443)
(Copy 444)
Mr.'Hugh Montgomery (Copy 445)
Director, Bureau of Intelligence and Research
Department of State
(Rm. 6531 New State)
The Honorable Lawrence S.' Eagleburger (Copy 446)
Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
(7th Floor -- New State)
The Honorable Kenneth W. Dam
The Deputy Secretary of State
(Rm. 7220 New State)
(Copy 447)
the Honorable Fred C. Ikle (Copy 448)
'Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
(Rm. 4E830, The Pentagon) +++
The Honorable Richard L. Armitage (Copy 449)
Assistant Secretary of Defense
(International Security Affairs)
(Rm. 4E808, The Pentagon).
LTG James A. Williams, USA (Copy 450)
Director, Defense Intelligence Agency
(Rm. 3E258, The Pentagon)
Maj Gen James C. Pfautz, USAF (Copy 451)
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence
Department of the Air Force
(Rm. 4A932, The Pentagon)
Approved For Release 2008/12/04: CIA-RDP89B00423R000100020023-8
 Approved For Release 2008/12/04: CIA-RDP89B00423R000100020023-8
MG William E. Odom, USA (Copy 452)
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence
Department of the Army
(Rm. 2E464, The Pentagon)
Mr. M. Peter McPherson (Copy 453)
Administrator, Agency for International Development
(Rm. 5942 -- 320 - 21st Street, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20523)
LTG Jack N. Merritt, USA (Copy 454)
Director, Joint Staff
Joint Chiefs of Staff
(Rm. 2E936, The Pentagon)
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