1999 THE WORLD OF TOMORROW

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90-00530R000300620003-3
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 2, 2013
• Sequence Number: 3
• Content Type: MISC

Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-0053OR000300620003-3
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THE WORLD OF
TOMORROW
Selections from THE. FUTURIST:
A Journal of Forecasts, Trends, and
Ideas about the Future
Edited by Edward Cornish
VIORLD FUTURE SOCIETY
4916 St. Elmo Avenue
Washington, D.C. 20014 ? U.S.A.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-0053OR000300620003-3
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-0053OR000300620003-3
Published by
World Future Society
4916 St. Elmo Avenue
Washington, D.C. 20014 ? U.S.A.
Copyright ? 1978 by
World Future Society
All rights reserved.
No part of this book may be reproduced by any means, nor transmitted, nor trans-
lated into machine language without the written permission of the publisher.
Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
(The Futurist library; no. 1)
Bibliography: p.
1. Twentieth century-Forecasts-Addresses, essays, lecture. I. Cornish,
Edward, 1927- II. The Futurist.
CB161.N56 909.82'9 78-17612
Library of Congress Catalog Number 78-17612
International Standard Book Number 0-930242-04-1
Design: Diane Smirnow
Production Manager: Peter Zuckerman
Editorial Coordinator: Hugh Myers
Cover Art: (taken from covers of THE FUTURIST): 1. "Future Work" by Richard
Fanelli; 2. "Transformation" by Sister Jessica; 3. "College Education" by Gerard C.
Pilachowski; 4. "Floating City" by Robert McCall; 5. "Lunar Landing" by Robert
McCall; 6. "Garden Earth" by Stowmar Enterprises ; 7. "Voluntary Simplicity" by
Diane Smirnow and Steven M. Johnson; 8. "Fantastic Megastructure" by Glen
Small; 9. "Space Colony" by NASA; 10. "Appropriate Technology" by Diane
Schatz and Marcia Johnson; 11. "Visions of the Future" by Sister Jessica; 12. "The
Automated Office" by Diane Smirnow with photographer Aboud' Dweck;
13. "Bureaucratic Complexity" by Steven M. Johnson and Diane Smirnow
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Price $4.95
$4.45 to members of the World Future Society
Please inquire for reduced multiple copy price for classroom use.
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-0053OR000300620003-3
 Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-00530R000300620003-3
CONTENTS
Part 1: The Future as History
The past can illuminate the future.
9 Smith, Marx, and Malthus: Ghosts Who Haunt Our Future
by James H. Weaver and Jon D. Wisman
Three economic visions of tomorrow's world.
20 You Will Think This a Dream
by Charles P. Steinmetz
A 1915 vision of the future.
24 On Charles P. Steinmetz as a Prophet
by Joseph P. Martino
A modern forecaster rates his predecessor.
The Future in Retrospect
by' Robert W. Prehoda
A review of a Nobel prize winner's 1955 forecasts.
Part 2: The Future as Progress
Technology continues to advance on all fronts. Here are some reports
30 The Automated Office
by Hollis Vail
S eeding up office work and making it possible to work at home.
34 Architecture Beyon
by Roy Mason
New materials and techniques may result in buildings that are al-
most beyond imagining today.
46 The Oceans in Our Future
by Larry Booda
The "wet frontier" is beckoning people everywhere.
57 Tomorrow's Aviation: The Sky Won't Be the Only Limit
by Jerry Richardson
Air officials have begun a major effort to forecast possible devel-
opments in aviation.
66 Space Colonies: The High Frontier
by Gerard K. O'Neill
Human beings may start living in space colonies.
75 The Preventive Psychiatry of the Future
by Stanley Lesse, M.D.
81 Medicine in the Post-Physician Era
Two doctors look at the way medicine may be practiced in the
coming years.
Part 3: The Future as Challenge
If we face emerging problems squarely, we may be able to solve them
or at least soften their impact.
86 The Coming Energy Transition
by Denis Hayes
Exhaustion of petroleum and natural gas supplies will force man-
kind to turn to other sources of energy.
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 93 _ Population and Education
by Joseph F. Coates
ow demogra hic trends will shape the U.S.
Wor in a Year 2
The nature of work is changing rapidly due to a variety of inter-
acting trends
America's Educational Futures: 1976-2001
by Harold Shane
Distinguished citizens and educators view the years ahead.
111 Prolongevity: The Extension of the Human Life Span
by Albert Rosenfeld
Some scientists are optimistic that the human life span can be ex-
tended to 200 or more years.
116 The Pleasure Bond: Reversing the Anti-Sex Ethic
by Robert T. Francoeur and Anna K. Francoeur
Sex in the future may be governed by a new ethic emphasizing
pleasure, caring, and mutual growth.
Part 4: The Future as Invention
"Inventing the future" has become a popular phrase among futurists.
They do not see the future as something that just happens to people;
instead, people create the future by deciding what they want and then
working to achieve it.
122 Recycling People
by Fred Best
Educatjon now comes at the beginning of a person's life, work dur-
ing the middle years, and leisure at the end. Distributing them
more evenly through a lifetime might make more sense in today's
fast-changing world.
134 Appropriate Technology: What It Is and Where It's Going
by Rowan A. Wakefield and Patricia Stafford
The current "appropriate technology" movement is challenging
traditional concepts of economic development.
139 Social Inventions
by D. Stuart Conger
Social inventions can solve social problems just as mechanical
inventions can solve technological problems.
149 Hawaii's Lessons for the Future
by Bob Krauss
Future shock? Limits to growth? An island people long ago found
ways to deal with them.
Conclusion
156 Towards a Philosophy of Futurism
by Edward S. Cornish
Futurists are developing a unique perspective on the world.
159 For Further Reading
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-0053OR000300620003-3
Declassified and Approved For Release 2013/01/02 : CIA-RDP90-0053OR000300620003-3