SOVIET AFFAIRS CONSULTANT SAYS ANDROPOV PROBABLE REPLACEMENT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90-00806R000100130070-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: May 24, 2011
• Sequence Number: 70
• Publication Date: November 11, 1982
• Content Type: OPEN SOURCE

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/25: CIA-RDP90-00806R000100130070-9
UNITED PRESS IF M NATIONAL
11. NOVEMBER 1982
--_.'s colsultalt _a?- Andrep_v prob_b1E replacer.e
r I,it. Ore.
Ex--;~:t chief ,ur . :ndrepcv, who 'Sp'eaks Excellent English and has visited
Soli-.:Et '-eater Leoni: Br_= t.c , F
s the -ch:i-E to r' -
m r rr'c'Central intelligence Agency official said Thursday.
Art ur ra:y Co> ho a so 15 an a "t;:cr End Consultant oil ScviEt 2*falr.~ tc1Q
r:_~ c,,-?~?:_ t a_ Ar,,.Z~w s s lectio; ea :n; Ere: c funeral
3rrar"I#nt Committee was a "tip' ' he had the support to become the new leader.
' 'The decision was made by the entire Politiburo," explained Cox. "Normally
you would nave thought arrangements would be made by (Brezhnev's) friend and
heir-apparent (Konstantin) Chernenko."
Cox, a former senior fellow of the Brookings Institution and author of
"Russian Roulette -- the Superpower Game, " speculated a "collegial " group of
Kremlin leaders would take over. He noted Brezhnev and Andrei Kosygin were part
of such a group when Nikita Khruschev was ousted as leader in 1965.
''If in one month, one man emerges as the leader, my guess is that it would
be Ancropov, " Cox said.
Cox, who took part in a Portland State University symposium entitled
"Solution to the r;:1cle2r Arms Race, said the sale; Rion of the former
:ri~el_igE"r a chief :4culd ce - beneficial choice -r Soviet-American relations
-e said Ar,oropcv was an Expert in nuclear arms and arms control.
Ye would be from our standpoint the best man,' said Cox. ' '.Hespeaks
x:Elient English and has visited America.''
An ropcv has a record of supporting arms control with the United States. HE
`-,uro leaders who ''are ready to deal tomorrow.''
SF. i
Ilso seeing no change in the Soviet position on weapons negotiations was
r,-fville Jr, a for-e, CIA deputy director of research and president
of Control Assccia ion. But Erezhnev's success would be "less prone to
make ccc.*.te55ion5, " Scoville said at the news conference.
r:jst recd rize hE successor) cannot appear to be kowtowing to the
Americans," Scoville said. ' 'Don't look for any major breakthroughs or negative
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/05/25: CIA-RDP90-00806R000100130070-9
CC ~ :';1;;la ed a Siiift iri Soviet policy no matter who 15 ElECtet