COVERT ACTION: DISCONNECTING THE BULGARIAN CONNECTION

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Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 0 INFORMATION BULLETIN Number 23 $3.00 Disconnecting the "Bulgarian Connection? Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Editorial For the first time CAIB devotes an entire edition of the magazine to one issue. "The Bulgarian Connection Revisited" is the compelling analysis of a massive western disinformation campaign by rightwing government and intelligence officials and their propagandists, in this country and in Italy. It is a cam- paign which attempts the transsubstantiation of the Turkish fas- cist who shot Pope Paul II into an agent of Bulgaria, and by ex- tension the Soviet Union. The truth being inconvenient for these corrupt ideologues, they began, with the would-be assas- sin imprisoned and under their control, to fabricate a case against Bulgaria. For the past three years they have stood the facts on their head, appealing to religious emotions by man- ipulating the world's anger about the act against the Soviet Union, easily convincing the supine western media that the in- cident was not what it clearly appeared to be, but the very op- posite. More recently, however, this fiction has begun to crum- ble, and all but the ideologically fossilized realize they have been duped. The ups and downs of the "Bulgarian Connection" present a case study in disinformation under the Reagan administration as the authors of this article unravel every strand of the fabric of lies woven by the likes of Claire Sterling, Michael Ledeen, and Paul Henze. These hacks we accuse of deliberate lies, mis- statements, and distortions, designed not to elicit the truth but to pervert it. That they have become the "experts," writing "authoritative" books on the subject, parading their wares be- fore congressional committees, fabricating front-page byline stories in establishment papers like the New York Times, and frequently starring in late-night talk shows, bespeaks the sad state of the media in the West today. We believe the informa- tion presented here will help to expose the Bulgarian Connec- tion boosters for what they are-paranoid, dishonest dem- agogues, steeped in intelligence connections, pretending to be impartial journalists and commentators. We hope in addition this article will serve to illuminate pub- lic opinion about the Italian judiciary and police-the sole cus- todians of the sly and conniving Mehmet Ali Agca. For they too have perverted the truth; engaged as they have been for nearly four years in suppressing evidence which confirms the fascist origins of the assassination attempt and fabricating the tissue of lies which passes for the Bulgarian Connection. Judge Ilario Marietta, the presiding magistrate, is shown to be as par- tial as the rest of the disinformationists, and we accuse him of witting participation in this shabby conspiracy to defraud the world. By devoting this issue to a single subject-a case which is scheduled to come to trial this spring-we do not mean to ig- nore the dangerous situation in Central America. The Reagan administration is hell bent on violating every standard of inter- national law and decency in its frustrated desire to make the government of Nicaragua say "uncle," and in its contemptu- ous refusals to discuss better relations with Cuba and other socialist countries, or to abide by the rulings of the World Court. In the next issue of CAIB we will return to these concerns; in addition we will be publishing a series of articles on infiltration of the left by government provocateurs, and on torture as a growing means of bolstering U.S.-supported dictatorships, both tactics of the CIA and their surrogates which are on the in- crease around the world in startling proportions. ? r IF YOU MOVE: Please remember that CAIB is sent to subscribers through bulk mail. If you move and do not tell us, the postal service will not forward your mail, nor will they return it to us. We will not know you have moved until we get your nasty letter wanting to know why we did not send you the last issue. Therefore, you must remember to inform us when you move. Otherwise, we are constrained by our narrow budget to charge for replacement copies. Table of Contents Editorial 2 Part III: The Second Conspiracy 16 The Bulgarian Connection Revisited 3 Part IV: Antonov: A Political Prisoner 35 Part I: Background 3 Publications of Interest 44 Part II: The First Conspiracy 10 Cover Credit: NC Photo CovertAction Information Bulletin, Number 23, Spring 1985, published by Covert Action Publications, Inc., a District of Columbia Nonprofit Corporation, P. O. Box 50272, Washington, DC 20004; telephones (202) 737-5317 and (212) 254-1061. All rights reserved; copyright Oc 1985 by Covert Action Publications, Inc. Typography by Your Tvpe, New York, NY; printing by Faculty Press, Brooklyn, NY. Washington staff: Ellen Ray, William Schaap, Louis Wolf and B. Lynne Barbee. Board of Advisers: Philip Agee, Ken Lawrence, Clarence Lusane, Elsie Wilcott, Jim Wilcott. Indexed in the Alternative Press Index; ISSN 0275-309X. 2 CovertAction Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Darkness in Rome: The "Bulgarian Connection" Revisited By Frank Brodhead, Howard Friel, and Edward S. Herman* Part I: Background and Evolution of the Case 1.1 Introduction On May 13, 1981 a young Turkish gunman, Mehmet Ali Agca, fired shots at Pope John Paul II as the Pope's vehicle cir- cled slowly through the crowd in St. Peter's Square. Im- mediately arrested, Agca's movements prior to the shooting were soon reconstructed by the Italian police, who sought to determine his motives and accomplices. Yet when Agca was brought to trial in July 1981, little of this information was pro- duced in court; his aims were still unclear and no co-con- spirators were named.** Agca's crime was committed in the first months of the Reagan administration. From the outset, administration offi- cials and supporters sought to link the assassination attempt to the Soviet Union and its allies, in accordance with the princi- ples of Secretary of State Alexander Haig's war on "ter- rorism." This effort did not bear fruit, however, until the pub- lication of an article by Claire Sterling in the September 1982 issue of the Reader's Digest. Sterling maintained that the at- tempted assassination, previously thought to have been the work of a lone, rightwing gunman, was in fact instigated by the Bulgarian secret services, and behind them the KGB. The alle- gation of a "Bulgarian Connection" received apparent confir- mation in November 1982, when Agca declared that several Bulgarian officials living in Rome had assisted him in his crime, and that the plan had been originally laid while he was passing through Bulgaria in the summer of 1980. With the heightening of Cold War tensions, the allegation of * Howard Friel is writing On Capitalist Realism: How to Read Time and Newsweek, to be completed this fall. Frank Brodhead, a historian and jour- nalist, is the former editor of Resist and co-author (with Edward S. Herman) of Demonstration Elections: U.S.-Staged Elections in the Dominican Republic, Vietnam, and El Salvador. Edward S. Herman is Professor of Finance, Whar- ton School, University of Pennsylvania, co-author (with Noam Chomsky) of The Washington Connection, and author of The Real Terror Network: Ter- rorism in Fact and propaganda. **Not wanting to burden readers with citations for each factor opinion, we have been selective in footnoting. A general bibliographic foot- note is provided at the end of the text. a Bulgarian Connection in the attempted assassination of the Pope found a welcome and uncritical reception in the western media. While no independent evidence linking Agra to the Bulgarians, or the Bulgarians to the crime, has ever been pro- duced, leaks of Agca's evolving claims kept the Connection continuously before the public. The Bulgarian official, Sergei Antonov, arrested after Agca's new allegations were made, was all but convicted in the western press. On October 25, 1984, Judge Ilario Martella issued his final report officially in- dicting Antonov, other Bulgarians, and several Turks as mem- bers of a conspiracy to assassinate the Pope. A trial is expected to begin in April 1985. It is our judgment that the media's uncritical, even en- thusiastic, embrace of the Italians' case is not merely wrong, it is also indicative of the more general propaganda role played by the press. As we will show below, the credibility of Agca, the primary (in fact, sole) witness-based on his character, his- tory, interest, circumstances of imprisonment, and shifts and contradictions in testimony-is close to zero. Furthermore, the logic of the case as developed by its main proponents is com- pletely unconvincing and rests ultimately on Cold War ideological premises. We believe that similar evidence and ar- guments put forward in a case not helpful to western political interests would have been objects of derision and quickly re- jected and buried. Where the creators of the Bulgarian Connection see one con- spiracy, we see two. The first conspiracy, based in a Turkish neofascist organization called the Gray Wolves, assisted Agca in escaping from a Turkish prison in November 1979 and aided, financed, and sheltered him during the 18 months prior to the assassination attempt. All investigations into Agca's back- ground and associations in Turkey have placed him at the cen- ter of an intricate web of political rightists, drug dealers, and gun runners. We develop these links, and the possible underly- ing motivations which would have led Agca and his associates to kill the Pope, in Part II below. Our main focus, however, is on the political basis of the case as it has developed in the Italian and New Cold War context (Part III). We are entirely persuaded that this is the source of a plan and decision to pin the assassination attempt on the Bul- garians. This is a second conspiracy, which involved the Ital- Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 ian secret services, their friends in the CIA and Reagan admin- istration, and other elements within the Italian government and bureaucracy. We describe the domestic and international forces at work in 1981 and 1982 causing the Italian authorities to press Agca to play a cooperative role, the extensive penetration of the Italian security services by the rightwing conspiracy Propaganda Due (P-2), and the evidence of preparatory con- tacts of security agents and other outsiders with Agca prior to his new declarations. We show that Judge Ilario Martella was an ideal choice to pursue this case, quietly dignified but dedi- cated to proving an a priori truth (see 3.4 and 3.5). If the media are playing a supportive political role, they will not only stress news damaging to the enemy (suggestive of Bulgarian guilt), they will also ignore information that would arouse suspicions concerning the quality of the Italian estab- lishment and judiciary (the supporting cast). We stress the im- portance of understanding the Italian political context in order to grasp the basis of the Bulgarian Connection. This essential background, however, has barely been mentioned by the New York Times or other major media sources in the West. In fact, while featuring prominently the reports of Prosecutor Albano and Judge Martella and the upcoming trial of the jailed Bulgarian and Turks, the Times and its mass media associates have completely suppressed the recent major report by the Ital- ian Parliament on the P-2 conspiracy (see 3.2 below). The reasons for this dichotomous treatment seem clear. Thus Suzanne Garment of the Wall Street Journal can endorse the Bulgarian Connection (June 15, 1984) on the basis of the integ- rity and even superior wisdom of the Italians: "Mind you, this is the Italians-no American hawk paranoids but instead people who live with a new government every thirty days. You simply cannot doubt their word." If we are to take their word, it is important that we be kept in the dark about reports and scandals that call these claims into question. While the media have suppressed the Italian context, their treatment of the U.S. involvement in the Bulgarian Connection has attained an even higher level of propaganda service. Here the very individuals actively manufacturing the conspiracy be- come the prime sources of media information. The main inves- tigative work- or, we would say, creative writing-in estab- lishing the hypothesis of the Bulgarian Connection has been done by Claire Sterling, Paul Henze, and Michael Ledeen. Their writings in the New York Times, Christian Science Moni- tor, Reader's Digest, and other publications, and their frequent appearances on the McNeil-Lehrer News Hour and the Sunday television news programs, and in well-reported appearances be- fore Senator Denton's Subcommittee on Security and Ter- rorism, show them to be the media's commentators of choice on terrorism in general and the Bulgarian Connection in particu- lar. These individuals have long records of CIA and other intel- ligence agency connections and disinformation service, re- Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 cords which have not been disclosed to the American public.' In every Red Scare era, such as the period of the Palmer Raids (1919-1920), or during the time of the Sacco and Vanzetti trial, hysteria and bias overwhelm any sense of fair play-and justice. A wave of passion and propaganda establishes guilt be- forehand and makes doubts seem subversive. These Red Scares are often cultivated and stoked by the prospective bene- ficiaries and their agents.' The Bulgarian Connection met a pressing demand in a suitably prepared moral environment (see 3.2). We believe that it was created, stoked, and even partially organized' by Sterling, Henze, Ledeen, and their governmental and media allies (see 3.3 and 3.6). It was made into an accepted truth by insistent and indignant attention, and came into being as a legal proceeding as a result of pressure and intense public- ity. The Bulgarian Connection thus provides a scenario worthy of a plot by Pirandello: Influential disinformation specialists linked to the Italian secret services and the Reagan administra- tion create a useful scenario, sell it to the slow-moving Italians, who then implement it-with the final touch being that the New York Times, Christian Science Monitor, the McNeil- Lehrer News Hour, and NBC News then rely on Henze, Sterling, and Ledeen to elucidate the real story on what the nefarious KGB has been up to! 1.2 The Evolving Case: A Conclusion in Search of Plausible Evidence In the early period of development of the Bulgarian Connec- tion, as expounded by Claire Sterling and NBC-TV before Agca named his alleged Bulgarian co-conspirators, the case for the Connection rested on one small Fact, plus a set of specula- tive Cold War inferences. The Fact was that, following his es- cape from a Turkish prison, Agca visited Sofia, Bulgaria. This was the only fact supporting the hypothesis of the Bulgarian Connection in its first phase. Related but inconvenient facts, such as that Agca visited approximately a dozen other coun- tries from the time he left Turkey until he shot the Pope, did not fit preconceived models and have not been given much at- tention. The Cold War inferences woven around the Fact were as fol- lows: because Bulgaria is a Communist police state, the Bulgar- ian police know everything. Although Agca was traveling under an assumed name and with a false passport good enough to fool border officials in 12 other countries, the early and widely accepted western hypothesis was that the Bulgarians knowingly sheltered Agca. By further inference, if the Bulgar- ians protected Agca they must have had something in mind for him to do, like assassinating the Pope. By extension, because the Bulgarians never do anything without Soviet permission, the Soviets must have been involved in this enterprise and can I. The U.S. media have conveniently overlooked the slander suits against Sterling in Paris, the long career of Henze as a CIA official and propaganda specialist, and the accusations against Michael Ledeen made by the head of the Italian secret service, who castigated him before the Italian Parliament as an "intriguer" and suggested that he was persona non grata in Italy! See Maurizio De Luca. "Fuori l'intrigante: esclusivo/scandalo nei rapporti Italia-USA," L'Espresso, August 5, 1984. See further, 3.3 and 3.6 below. See also, "Italian Officials Finger Ledeen, CIA." in CAIB, Number 22 (Fall 1982), p. 41; the discussion of Claire Sterling in CAIB, Number 19 (Spring-Summer 1983), pp. 18-19; and the biography of Paul Henze in Ellen Ray, et al., eds., Dirty Work 2: The CIA in Africa (Lyle Stuart, Secaucus:l979), pp. 382-383. 2. See Robert Murray, Red Scare: .4 Study in National Hysteria, /9/9-1920 (Univ. of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis: 1955). 3. See 3.3 below: "The U.S.-Italian Connection: From Ledeen to Pazienza to SISMI." reasonably be assessed responsibility for its surrogate's hiring of Agca and the shooting itself. This analysis suffers first and foremost from its purely speculative character. There is no supportive evidence that the Bulgarians knew of Agca's presence or had any dealings with him. There is an assumption that the police in the Communist world are omniscient and omnipotent, but this is a premise rooted in ideology, not fact. This assumption is also quietly set aside when it flies in the face of other lines of argument, as in explaining the gross mishandling of the assassination attempt in St. Peter's Square, which is hard to reconcile with an omis- cient and omnipotent Communist secret police. Several million Turks pass through Bulgaria every year on their way to West- ern Europe, and there is no reason to suppose that the Bulgar- ians know the identity of most of them. The West German, Swiss, and Italian police were all warned by Turkey that Agca had been spotted in their countries and should be immediately apprehended, and they failed to do so; but Cold War ideology permits acceptance of the claim that only the Bulgarians, and not our West European allies, protected and used Agca. In Claire Sterling's version of the story, based on early Agca statements subsequently repudiated in whole or in part, Agca stayed at the Vitosha Hotel in Sofia for 50 days in the summer of 1980. During this period he was visited by various individu- als who gave him a forged passport, fixed the assassination contract, and provided him with the nine millimeter Browning gun with which he shot the Pope. According to Agca, he en- tered Bulgaria using a passport under the forged name of Yoginder Singh. This passport has never been found, and even Paul Henze questions whether Agca could have passed through Bulgarian customs as an Indian, given his physical characteris- tics and minimal knowledge of English. The passport found in Agca's possession upon his apprehension in Rome was made out in the name of Faruk Ozgun. It showed him entering Bul- garia from Turkey on August 30 and leaving Bulgaria for Yugoslavia the next day, August 3l.' Claire Sterling asserts that this exit stamp is a forgery, but she offers no evidence for this claim. (Sterling generally asserts that any inconvenient 4. Christian Roulette, La Filiere: Jean-Paul II-Antonor-Agca (Editions du Sorbier, Paris: 1984), p. 239. Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 piece of evidence is a forgery. She is fortunate that the western media never require that she prove anything.) If it is argued that the passport found on Agca was kept in order to deceive, why deceive with one that shows him to have visited Bulgaria at all? A further problem is that the Vitosha Hotel, which is Japanese-owned and run on a very business-like basis, requires all guests to produce passports and to sign in. No sign-in or passport is recorded in the hotel records under any of the names on passports, real or alleged, used by Agca.S This suggests that the stay in the Vitosha Hotel may never have occurred. Of the main contacts claimed by Agca and Sterling to have done busi- ness with him in Sofia, Bekir Celenk denies having been in Sofia during the time of Agca's alleged stay and claims never to have met Agca at any time. Celenk is a Turkish businessman who has been charged with smuggling in both Italy and Tur- key.The second alleged principal contact, Omer Mersan, ac- knowledges meeting Agca in Sofia, but denies having provided him with a passport (as claimed by Agca). Mersan is a Turkish drug smuggler and has done business with the Gray Wolves, Agca's primary institutional affiliation, heavily involved in the Turkish-Bulgarian-Western European drug trade. That Mersan would have been serving as an intermediary for the Bulgarian police is entirely unproven, and has been consistently denied by West German and Italian authorities. The provision of the gun to Agca in the Vitosha Hotel, asserted by Sterling, has been repudiated by Agca himself, and more critically by a police interception of an Agca phone conversation discussing the problem of getting a gun, which occurred long after Agca's stay in Sofia. The evidence on Mersan and Celenk is clearly in- decisive, but major elements of the original Sterling version of the Sofia connection have disintegrated, replaced by other Agca formulations. Once Agca had named his Bulgarian accomplices, his further confessions opened up other possibilities for connecting the Bulgarians with the assassination attempt. The most impor- tant of the new linkages were other Turks, also allegedly pro- tected by the Bulgarians in Sofia, who Agca claimed were in- termediaries between himself and the Bulgarian secret police. Most of these Turks were part of a massive smuggling opera- tion that connected eastern Turkey with Western Europe. The fact that these Turks were without exception enlisted in the neo-Nazi rightwing of Turkish politics was buried under an av- alanche of information on the background of the Turkish smuggling trade and the alleged Bulgarian complicity in it, all of which is relevant only if Agca and his confessions are be- lievable. As we describe in the next section, the Turkish Con- nection is fundamental in explaining the motives of Agca and his comrades, but the smuggling trade and the Bulgarian in- volvement in it are not. While great mileage has been extracted from the general be- lief in a Soviet propensity to evil, the Bulgarian Connection has still always required a motive to sustain the assassination attempt. In all versions of the case, Bulgarian Connection en- thusiasts have depended on the situation in Poland following the election of Cardinal Wojtyla as Pope in 1979, culminating in the proclamation of Solidarity in late August 1980. It was the Pope's declaration of support for Solidarity which is held to be the key to the Soviet desire to want him out of the way, and at one point it was even claimed that he had declared his intention to lay down the papal crown and return to Poland in the event of a Soviet invasion. This claim has never been authenticated. 5. Ibid., pp. 245-252. There are several very serious difficulties with this imputed rationale. First, Agca had already threatened to kill the Pope in 1979 during the Pope's visit to Turkey, long before Solidarity existed or Poland was in turmoil. This suggests the likelihood that the real explanation for the assassination attempt in St. Peter's Square is to be found in the Turkish environment in which Agca lived. Second, the timing of Agca's alleged con- spiracy with the Bulgarians presents problems, as Solidarity was formed in late August 1980, while, according to Sterling, Agca's dealings in Sofia were completed in early July of that year. Third, the Pope did not constitute a threat to the Soviet Union serious enough to justify the costs and risks of either a successful or bungled assassination plot. The magnitude of the potential damage from such an effort has been demonstrated by the events which have unfolded since May 1981, as the attemp- ted assassination was quickly pinned on the Soviets on the basis of mere suspicion. Nowhere is the belief in Soviet com- plicity stronger than in Poland, and it is hard to imagine how any Soviet official could anticipate that unrest in Poland could be quelled by a successful assassination attempt. Furthermore, if successfully pinned on the Soviet Union the plot would have had a devastating effect on the Soviet effort to oppose the new missiles planned for Europe and to advance the gas pipeline project. Further serious difficulties with the Bulgarian Connection hypothesis relate to the ineptness of the alleged plot. In the ver- sion of the Connection developed in the second half of 1982 by Sterling in the Reader's Digest and by Marvin Kalb on NBC- TV, these difficulties centered in the implausibility of bringing Agca to a prominent hotel in Sofia to be recruited and/or to get his instructions. This action violates the cardinal rule of sus- taining plausible deniability. Moreover, if contact between Agca and Bulgarian officials were observed by western agents in Sofia, certainly a reasonable possibility, it would blow the Plot out of the water before it got started. Thus the presence of Agca in Sofia, rather than supporting the Bulgarian Connec- tion, tends to undermine it. In fact, it more readily supports two alternative views. One is that someone wanted Agca to be linked to Bulgaria before he got on with his assassination at- tempt, after which he could be worked over at leisure until he Agca at Rome police headquarters for questioning. Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 THE MAN WHO SHOT THE POPE-A STUDY IN TERRORISM It reads like a classic thriller. An electrifying meeting between Pope John Paul II and Lech Walesa. The shocking murder of a Turkish reporter. A defiant letter from the Pope to Leonid Brezhnev A super-secret conspiracy linking the Bulgarian secret service, the Turkish mafia and the Russian KGB. It cli- maxes with a world leader on his way to a public appearance and a dirt-poor Turkish terrorist keeping an appointment with des- tiny. One fateful moment ... two lives on a collision course in St. Peter's Square. AN NBC WHITE PAPER It is all true. Journey with NBC News Correspondents Marvin Kalb and Bill McLaughlin into a spell- binding tale of international terrorism. Who was behind the plot to kill the Pope? What was the real motive? Why are West German and Italian authorities silent about impor- tant evidence? The man who shot the Pope is behind bars. The people who ordered the as- sassination are still free. Who will be the next target? Ubiquitous NBC advertisement for Marvin Kalb show. Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 "confessed." The second is that because Agca had stayed in Sofia briefly, Italian and other western intelligence services and propagandists seized the opportunity to build a case which, with an induced confession, would be salable in the well-con- ditioned West. A closely related operational difficulty is the unlikelihood that the Bulgarians and/or Soviets would hire Agca at all. He was a rightwing fanatic, strongly anticommunist, and mentally unbalanced, someone who might readily give the game away upon apprehension. The fact that he failed to confess quickly has never been adequately explained, but can be easily under- stood if the confession was a fabrication and Agca had to be in- duced to cooperate in creating a fairy tale. The long (ten month) time lag between the contractual arrangement in Sofia in July 1980 and the assassination attempt in May 1981 has also never been explained. Furthermore, Agca was a poor choice as a hired gun because, as Turkey's most notorious ter- rorist, he was too well known. The Turkish government and Interpol had issued bulletins about his escape from Turkey, and several Turkish nationals recognized him during his months of travel and reported his presence to various authorities. Another major operational difficulty with the hypothesis of the Bulgarian Connection is the gross ineptitude of the plan for the assassination and its implementation. In explaining the lack of any direct evidence for Bulgarian or Soviet involvement, Sterling and her associates have always retreated to the notion that the Soviet KGB is a very professional body that does things well, covers its tracks, and operates from a base of plausible deniability. Thus the very lack of evidence, accord- ing to the Sterling school, points to a Soviet hand in the plot. Yet it is hard to imagine a more incompetent plan of attack than the one put into use. Agca not only failed to kill the Pope, but he himself was neither killed nor rescued. Other evidence also points to serious incompetence: on the afternoon of the assassi- nation attempt, for example, Agca apparently asked a priest through which door the Pope would enter St. Peter's Square. Writings and other items supposedly found in his room after he was arrested would have helped incriminate and identify him if he had escaped or been killed. On the whole there is nothing in Agca's operation that even hints at professionalism. The operational weaknesses of the Plot were greatly inten- sified after Agca had declared that Bulgarian state officials met Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 with him and guided his movements in Rome. Proponents of the case would have us believe that the Bulgarian secret service involved its agents in direct contact, planning, and tactical maneuvers with Agca up to the day of the assassination attempt itself. Agca and three Bulgarians allegedly visited St. Peter's Square on each of the two days preceding the assassination at- tempt in order to make the final plans. Not one but two of the Bulgarians would allegedly drive Agca to the scene of the crime, and one Bulgarian official would use smoke bombs to divert the crowd's attention so that Agca could get a good shot and/or make a getaway. In his original declaration implicating the Bulgarians, Agca even claimed that he visited their homes in the Embassy compound, and that in one instance, just days before the assassination attempt, he met the Bulgarian An- tonov's wife and young daughter. This latter statement has since been withdrawn, but this was not done on the basis of scrutiny or ridicule on the part of the western press, nor doubts and investigative efforts by Martella. The accumulated con- tradictions and exposed lies had become too topheavy to sus- tain. Following Agca's admission of major falsifications in June 1983, the problem has been to keep the Plot viable in the face of the disintegration of Agca's credibility (although he will pre- sumably retain it with Claire Sterling and the New York Times even past the point where he admits to having been coached). Under the guidance of the credulous Martella, Agca's fancies took wider flight: He now remembered that he was sent by his Bulgarian "control officer" to Tunisia and Malta to inspect the possibilities of murdering their heads of state. He had partici- pated in a plot to kill Lech Walesa. We will review some of the specifics of Agca's shifts in testimony, withdrawals, and evi- dence of coaching later. At this point we want to note how well these were covered over in Prosecutor Albano's report, and even more so in Claire Sterling's highly selective rendition of that report in the Times, by the emergence of a new Fact: the Truck. According to the prosecutor's report, Agca eventually declared that a getaway was planned by the Bulgarians for him- self and his alleged companion Oral Celik. In this version, Agca claims that he and Celik were to be driven from St. Peter's Square to the Bulgarian Embassy, where they were to be loaded onto a Transports Internationaux Routiers (TIR) truck which would then be sealed by customs officials and dri- ven across several national frontiers to Bulgaria. (Such trucks, once sealed, need not have their contents examined at each in- ternational border.) The prosecutor's report says that such a truck was in fact sealed at the Bulgarian Embassy on the very afternoon of the assassination attempt. Moreover, the report claims that the truck was sealed on the Embassy grounds, rather than in front of the Embassy as was invariably the prac- tice, and that this unusual deviation from standard practice sup- ports the claim that the truck was used to help Celik escape. The Truck Ploy, which attempts to establish the Bulgarian Connection on grounds firmer than Agca's word, does little to meet this end. For one thing, the truck as an escape route runs counter to the information in a note found in Agca's possession on the day of the assassination attempt, which indicates that he was planning a train trip to Naples (see Sidebar). Furthermore, the presence of the truck at the Embassy was brought into the case by the Bulgarians themselves, who introduced it to contest Agca's claim that the Bulgarian official Aivazov had accom- panied him to St. Peter's Square. To establish his alibi the Bul- garians introduced evidence from Italian customs officials that Aivazov had been with them at the very time when Agca claimed Aivazov was preparing to divert the crowd in St. Peter's Square with smoke bombs. And in response to the pro- secutor's report, Antonov's counsel has found credible witnes- ses who will testify that the truck never entered the Bulgarian compound, but was parked, loaded, and sealed on a busy pub- lic street. He also maintains that Italian customs officials will swear that the truck did not conceal a man at the time of its sea- ling, and that it was not unusual to seal trucks at the Embassy compound. While the next step of Sterling, Martella, and company may be to claim that the seals on the truck were broken at some later point, at which time Celik was stuffed aboard and the truck re- sealed, this will not save the new Fact from depending once again on the word of Agca. We should note again that the truck story emerged out of a disproof of Agca's claim regarding a Bulgarian official's presence at St. Peter's Square, that it was provided by the Bulgarians, and that it could easily have been fed back to Agca for further embroidery. We wonder also whether the Bulgarian Embassy in Rome is not under surveil- lance by the Italian and U.S. intelligence services, and whether the Bulgarians do not assume that this is so. This suggests that the use of the truck as an escape vehicle would have been irra- tional behavior on the part of the Bulgarians. Another question arises from the fact that Celik has been sighted several times since May 13, 1981 in Western Europe. If the Bulgarian secret service had taken him to Bulgaria by truck, would they have released him to resume his wanderings-and possibly be ap- prehended? The Truck and the Trip to Naples As we point out in the text, the Albano report as fea- tured by Claire Sterling in the New York Times of June 10, 1984 made much of Agca's claim that a truck at the Bulgarian Embassy was the planned escape route follow- ing the assassination attempt. If we look back at Claire Sterling's Reader's Digest article of September 1982, however, we find a contradictory line of evidence that Sterling has never reconciled with the truck, nor even ad- dressed. Sterling says that when captured on May 13, 1981 Agca had in his possession a note with detailed in- structions on what he was to do. She states authorita- tively that "'a control' must have given him" these in- structions at the last minute. Among the details is a refer- ence to a "trip to Naples," for which Agca is instructed: "Check if train ticket valid." If Agca had been fixed up already with a ride in a Bulgarian truck, why would he be going to Naples or checking out the validity of a ticket to that destination? In fact, the note in general is incom- patible with the Bulgarian Connection. It lists a series of dates for the Pope's appearance in St. Peter's Square, which suggests that there was no fixed timing for the plot; it never hints at any Bulgarian involvement; and its looseness runs counter to the detailed and carefully planned scenario which Agca spelled out in connection with the Bulgarians. This note is mentioned in Sterling's Time of the Assassins, but she carefully avoids dis- cussing either the trip to Naples or the compatibility of the other details of the note with Bulgarian involvement. It is fortunate for Claire Sterling that she never has to face serious questions on her shifting authoritative pro- nouncements. ? Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Part II: The First Conspiracy: Agca and the Gray Wolves 2.1 The Turkish Background While it is possible that the Pope's would-be assassin was manipulated by some outside party, in our view Agca's moti- vation must be sought in his Turkish roots. The picture of Mehmet Ali Agca that emerged in the first weeks after his assassination attempt was one of a young man deeply involved in Turkey's neofascist right. Coincidentally, his assassination attempt occurred at the same time that Tur- key's new military government handed down a 945-page in- dictment against the Nationalist Action Party (NAP), the neo- fascist organization within whose political milieu Agca functioned. Thus the western media had ready access to vast amounts of information about the extensive political network that had sheltered and perhaps guided Agca in his attempt. Agca, moreover, had been arrested, tried, and convicted for the 1979 assassination of one of Turkey's most prominent newspaper editors, Abdi Ipecki; and information disclosed at this trial was also available to the western media. This informa- tion was originally tapped by the media, albeit gingerly, but was then dropped entirely when the Bulgarian Connection began to assume prominence. Born in the eastern, more underdeveloped part of Turkey, Agca came of age during the time that the growing ranks of the NAP and its youth affiliate, the Gray Wolves, were destabiliz- ing Turkish society and politics. They were particularly active in high schools and universities. A member of the NAP served as Minister of Education in a coalition government in the mid- 1970s, while Gray Wolves terrorists beat and murdered oppo- nents to gain hegemony in the schools. Agca's high school was one of those taken over by Gray Wolves militants; and his teachers, courses, and high school chums shared the rightwing views of the NAP. The importance of Agca's immersion in the world of Tur- key's ultra-right cannot be underestimated. Yet it is quickly passed over by the "terrorist experts" of the western media who, claiming to see no reason why a Turk would want to kill the Pope, cast their gaze to the East. An elementary acquain- tance with the history and ideology of the NAP, however, quickly reveals a worldview that adequately supports-if it does not "rationally" explain-an attempt on the Pope's life. Agca's younger brother Adnan, for example, told a reporter for Newsweek that Agca wanted to kill the Pope "because of his conviction that the Christians have imperialist designs against the Muslim world and are doing injustices to the Islamic coun- tries. "' The Nationalist Action Party was formed in the mid-1960s when Col. Alpaslan Turkes and some other former army offi- cers took over a largely moribund party of the traditional right and infused it with Pan-Turkish ideology and cadres. Turkes and the NAP were heirs to three-quarters of a century of Pan- Turkish aspirations and politics. At first the Pan-Turks had hoped to reunite all Turkish peoples in a single nation stretch- ing from western China to parts of Spain. At the end of World War I, with the Russian Revolution, the collapse of the Otto- man Empire, and the emergence of the modern Turkish state, Pan-Turks focused their agitation on the plight of the "Outer Turks," those people of Turkish descent who had been left outside Turkey's national boundaries and who constituted a majority of all Turkic peoples. It was of great significance to the future development of Pan-Turkism that a majority of Outer Turks were now "Cap- tive Turks" within the Soviet Empire. Not surprisingly, the German invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941 was greeted ea- gerly by Pan-Turkish organizations, as it provided an opportu- nity to dissolve the Soviet Empire and to unite with the Turkish motherland the Turkish peoples "held captive." More than a hundred thousand Soviet Turks were recruited out of POW camps by the Nazis and enrolled in army units that fought alongside the Germans. With the defeat of Germany, and thus Cover of Bozkurt, a Pan-Turkish journal published be- tween 1939 and 1942. Pan-Turkish hopes, most Turkish people were still outside of Turkey proper. Pan-Turkish organizations were henceforth characterized by a strongly anticommunist, and especially anti- Soviet, ideology.' This was the inheritance that Turkes and his colleagues brought to the NAP in the mid-1960s. The party's structure served in turn as a vehicle to disseminate a Pan-Turkish worldview, and it soon emerged as a force to be reckoned with in modern Turkish politics. In his writings and speeches Turkes combined a vision of a science-based, state-planned economy which was to bring Turkey into the Atomic Age with 7. Jacob M. Landau, Pan-Turkism in Turkey: A Study in Irredentism, Archon Books, 1981, passim. Number 23 (Spring 1985) Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 the legends of the gray wolf who led the Turkic peoples out of Asia to their homeland. As with European fascism, Tiirkes's Pan-Turkism sought to appeal to the "little man" crushed be- tween capitalist monopolies and a strong labor movement. It was also addressed to "patriots" who believed their nation was being humiliated by its weakness in relation to the Soviet Union and the capitalist powers of the West. Agca became involved with the NAP's youth affiliate, the Gray Wolves, at the height of its terrorist phase. At that time the Gray Wolves were training thousands of young recruits in camps throughout Turkey.' The NAP developed a powerful base in Turkey, and in 1975 it elected four members to parlia- ment and served as a junior partner in the National Front gov- ernment organized by the rightwing Justice Party. By the time of the military coup in September 1980, there were 1,700 Gray Wolves organizations in Turkey with 200,000 registered mem- bers and about a million sympathizers. In its indictment of the NAP in May 1981, the Turkish military government charged 220 members of the party and its affiliates with responsibility for 694 murders. 2.2 Agca as Terrorist: The Gray Wolves Nexus Although Agca's immersion in the world of the Gray Wolves is inconvenient for supporters of the Bulgarian Con- nection, the evidence connecting Agca to Turkey's neofascist right is overwhelming. What is more, these connections never tapered off and may be traced to the very day of the assassina- tion attempt. There are, nevertheless, two models of linkages that try to explain the nature of the conspiracy supporting Agca's attempt. One model, the Gray Wolves Connection, is supported by the testimony of investigators in several different countries and contains a large volume of hard evidence. The other model-that of Sterling, Henze, and Martella-is based on Agca's shifting claims made after a long stay in Italian pris- ons. Hard evidence for this model is nonexistent. The Gray Wolves Connection began when Agca was in high school. According to Rasit Kisacik, a Turkish journalist who has studied Agca's early years, he was often seen with Gray Wolves leaders while in school; and when the police later raided Agca's home they found pictures showing the young Agca in the company of leaders of the Gray Wolves.' Moreover, the people Agca came to know among his home town Gray Wolves activists aided him in many of his later ter- rorist activities, including his attempt on the Pope. Agca in a high school yearbook photo. 8. Boston Globe, June 7, 1981. 9. New York Times, May 23, 1981. On paper the Gray Wolves were directed by the Nationalist Action Party. "In fact," notes Michael Dobbs in the Washington Post, "the command structure seems to have been a loose one, allowing plenty of room for semiautonomous fac- tions and groups that did not necessarily take their orders from the top. `0 The loose network of Gray Wolves from Agca's home base, the Malatya region of eastern Turkey, seems to have functioned as one such semiautonomous group. Led by Oral Celik-apparently involved in the murder of Ipecki and the operation that broke Agca out of prison in 1979, and who has been identified as the second gunman in St. Peter's Oral Celik (Turkish police photo). Square-the Malatya gang supported itself by smuggling oper- ations and robberies. We find their presence at each of the milestones on Agca's path from high school to St. Peter's Square. In 1978 Agca enrolled in Istanbul University. He apparently spent little time in classes. Instead he hung out in rightwing cafes like the Marmara, which "advertised the politics of those who frequented it with a large mural of a gray wolf on one of its walls."" According to historian Feroz Ahmad, "students in the hostel where he lived remembered him as a well known `militant' who was allegedly seen shooting two students in the legs during an attack on a leftist hostel. His notoriety in ter- rorist circles was such that leftists tried to kill him on a number of occasions."" On February 1, 1979, the Malatya gang assassinated Abdi Ipecki, perhaps Turkey's most prominent newspaper editor. Agca was arrested a few months later; and, although there now seems to be serious doubt whether Agca was indeed the gun- 10. Washington Post, October 14, 1984. 11. New York Times, May 25, 1981. 12. Boston Globe, June 7, 1981. Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 Approved For Release 2010/06/03: CIA-RDP90-00845R000100170006-3 man, he quickly confessed to the crime. At his trial the follow- ing October Agca steadfastly denied any connection with the NAP or the Gray Wolves, claiming instead to "represent a new form of terror on my own." After several sessions of his trial, Agca threatened in court to name "the truly responsible par- ties" when the trial next convened. This was clearly a signal that someone had better get him out, and a few days later some Gray Wolves led by Celik smuggled Agca, disguised as a sol- dier, through eight checkpoints and out of prison. Agca's first act upon escaping from prison was to send a let- ter to Milliyet, Ipecki's newspaper, threatening to kill the Pope, who was about to visit Turkey. Once again we stumble upon an event which presents inconvenient facts for Sterling and company. For on its face Agca's act supports the probabil- ity that he (and the Malatya gang) needed no KGB hand to guide them toward a papal assassination. In his letter to Mil- liyet Agca stated: Fearing the creation of a new political and military power in the Middle East by Turkey along with its brother Arab states, western imperialism has . . . dispatched to Turkey in the guise of religious leader the crusade commander John Paul. Unless this untimely and meaningless visit is post- poned, I shall certainly shoot the Pope. +~!G M'L1.iyt i .Gn2Et`E5 V, . .Mitwl.~ k.v~v Isla.,. il~~ler~ ; It pr4a~Lr ytnt b;r .a;.yt,>I,/{Skcri ,~ FL~,.~~..;t. wi? R)t~ 4u0,gastn k.r~.ae ,b..~llt a