SALT SABOTAGE

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP90-00965R000301890046-4
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
K
Document Page Count: 
1
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 25, 2012
Sequence Number: 
46
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 18, 1985
Content Type: 
OPEN SOURCE
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PDF icon CIA-RDP90-00965R000301890046-4.pdf94.83 KB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/25: CIA-RDP90-00965R000301890046-4 9e ARTICLE A:X.52 ON PACE Rowland Evans and Robert Novak SALT Sabotage - Testimony secretly given to the House Intel-- ligence Committee by Gen. Richard Ellis that the Soviet Union has a "good" SALT treaty compliance record helps sabotage President Reagan's five-year battle for a new arms con- trol policy. As the administration's man on the U.S.- Soviet compliance commission, former Strategic Air Commander Ellis is presumably well-qualified on Soviet treaty performance, or nonperformance. Yet his Nov. 20 testi- mony seems a direct contradiction of charges Reagan himself has often 'made publicly over the last two years about Soviet violations. Ellis' testimony helps explain strong hints of SALT treaty continuity that Secretary of State George Shultz has given U.S. NATO allies. Shultz has virtually assured them the president will continue to adhere to basic SALT II provisions after Dec. 31, the date the treaty would have expired had it ever been ratified. SALT It, once stigmatized by Reagan as "fatally flawed," is becoming Rea- gan's tar baby: the harder he attacks it, the faster he is stuck. Ellis' testimony angered Pentagon officials at the command level. But its implication?that the United States should stick with the treaty despite Soviet misconduct?fits a despondent new mood imposed on the three services by unprecedented spending cuts that were ap- proved by Reagan himself when he signed the Gramm-Rudman budget-balancing legislation last week Sticking to SALT II means that by late spring the Navy will probably be compelled to cut up two more of its Poseidon subma- rines to make way for one more Trident mis- sile-firing sub destined to enter sea trials by then. Navy Secretary John Lehman has qui- etly passed word that given the extraordi- nary spending cuts of Gramm-Rudman, he would prefer to retire the aging Poseidons and use the money saved for more urgent purposes. The same mood threatens to conflict With a series of sensible proposals soon to come to the president's desk from Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger. Weinberger and his top SALT adviser, Assistant Secretary Richard Perle, have completed major work on recom- mendations for "proportionate" U.S. re- sponses to Soviet violations, leaving SALT II theoretically intact while the U.S. attempts to compensate for Soviet violations. One of these is likely to be a proposal for WASHINGTON POST 18 December 1985 costly improvement of "pen-aids," shorthand for a whole series of devices to give U.S. war- heads a better chance to penetrate Soviet de- fenses. But pen-aids are expensive; the Air Force and the Navy, caretakers of the strategic missile forces, would not be likely to sacrifice pilot flying hours or ship steaming days, consid- ered the heart and core of readiness, for pene- tration aids that may or may not work. Another "proportionate" U.S. response under consideration is encryption of testing data, a Soviet violation that has become rou- tine. But the United States knows that Moscow already. has good intelkence on American strategic weapons, much ri of it availableAu.., unclassified sources. Moreover. the United States has no new weaixxis_to testicKlav. The president will be informed early next year by the arms control agency that there were no "overall" improvements in Soviet treaty compliance during 1985 and some evi- dence of cheating in new areas not noticed before. That would counsel no easing of any kind in the president's determination not to let Soviet noncompliance off scot-free. But SALT II may have claimed Reagan as its victim beyond recall. The one new political in- gredient?Adm. John Poindexter, who suc- ceeded Robert McFarlane as Reagan's national security adviser?is regarded is axisidera more hard-line on some issues than his p cessx. The president's tough an 'radio address last Saturday might never thiysi passed muster with McFarlane. But Poindexter was far removed from SA Lf matters and maneuvers during McFarlane's'W cendancy. It would take formidable talent for ' him to turn back the momentum of bureau- cratic pressure now aimed at forcing the presi.o dent to abide by SALT II. The implications for Ronald Reagan as chief, architect of his own second-term policies profound. Instead of mustering the poll strength of his own judgment and the prolifif record of Soviet cheating and honorably endingl American compliance with a treaty that 'has never been ratified, he seems compliantlylfg the grip of forces operating against his own mr terests. What makes that doubly wounding for him is ? that the Dec. 31 treaty expiration date was set by President Carter. If Reagan extends SALT II beyond that, he can no longer pass it off as Jimmy Carter's. It then becomes Ronald Rea- gan's tar baby. s-,1985, News American Syndicate Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/09/25: CIA-RDP90-00965R000301890046-4