LIBYA AFTER QADHAFI

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 12, 2011
• Sequence Number: 38
• Publication Date: August 4, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90GO1359R000300060038-0
up-ir
TlRANSIWiitTAL SLIP
4 August 1986
TO:
DDI
ROOM NO.
BUILDING
7E44
H OS
REMARKS:
?
Attached are copies of the memo
that Mr. Kerr signed for
NESA/AI/M.
FROM:
NESA/AI/M
ROOM NO.
BUILDING
6G00
HQS
FORM FORM
56 241 WHICH MAY BE USED.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90GO1359R000300060038-0
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
SECRET
Central Intelligence Agency
4 August 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: Mr. Donald Gregg
Assistant to the Vice President
for National Security Affairs
Libya After Qadhafi
The recent meeting on Libya indicated that the attached
assessment, "Libya: What if Qadhafi is Ousted?" would be of
interest to you and other CPPG principals. The study concluded
that Qadhafi's removal probably would result in a regime less
supportive of worldwide terrorism. Even so, we cannot expect
Qadhafi's successors to refrain from meddling in regional affairs
or to support US policies in the Middle East and Africa.
Moreover, we cannot rule out the possibility of an extremist-
controlled regime taking control that could be an even greater
Richard J. Kerr
Deputy Director for Intelligence
SECRET
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
SECRET
Central Intelligence Agency
4 August 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: The Honorable Richard L. Armitage
Assistant Secretary of Defense
for International Security Affairs
SUBJECT: Libya After Qadhafi
The recent meeting on Libya indicated that the attached
assessment, "Libya: What if Qadhafi is Ousted?" would be of
interest to you and other CPPG principals. The study concluded
that Qadhafi's removal probably would result in a regime less
supportive of worldwide terrorism. Even so, we cannot expect
Qadhafi's successors to refrain from meddling in regional affairs
or to support US policies in the Middle East and Africa.
Moreover, we cannot rule out the possibility of an extremist-
controlled regime taking control that could be an even greater
threat to US interests than Qadhafi.
Richard J. Kerr
Deputy Director for Intelligence
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12: CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
SL RF;r
Central Intelligence Agency
4 August 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: Lieutenant General John H. Moellering, USA
Assistant to the Chairman
Joint Chiefs of Staff
SUBJECT: Libya After Qadhafi
The recent meeting on Libya indicated that the attached
assessment, "Libya: What if Qadhafi is ousted?" would be of
interest to you and other CPPG principals. The study concluded
that Qadhafi's removal probably would result in a regime less
supportive of worldwide terrorism. Even so, we cannot expect
Qadhafi's successors to refrain from meddling in regional affairs
or to support US policies in the Middle East and Africa.
Moreover, we cannot rule out the possibility of an extremist-
controlled regime taking control that could be an even greater
threat to US interests than Qadhafi.
micnara e
Deputy Director for Intelligence
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
Central Intelligence Agency
4 August 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: The Honorable Michael H. Armacost
Under Secretary of State
for Political Affairs
SUBJECT: Libya After Qadhafi
The recent meeting on Libya indicated that the attached
assessment, "Libya: What if Qadhafi is Ousted?" would be of
interest to you and other CPPG principals. The study concluded
that Qadhafi's removal probably would result in a regime less
supportive of worldwide terrorism. Even so, we cannot expect
Qadhafi's successors to refrain from meddling in regional affairs
or to support US policies in the Middle East and Africa.
Moreover, we cannot rule out the possibility of an extremist-
controlled regime taking control that could h an even greater
Deputy Director for Intelligence
SECRET
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12 : CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0
SECRET
Central Intelligence Agency
4 August 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: Mr. Rodney B. McDaniel
Special Assistant to the President
for National Security Affairs
Libya After Qadhafi
The recent meeting on Libya indicated that the attached
assessment, "Libya: What if Qadhafi is Ousted?" would be of
interest to you and other CPPG principals. The study concluded
that Qadhafi's removal probably would result in a regime less
supportive of worldwide terrorism. Even so, we cannot expect
Qadhafi's successors to refrain from meddling in regional affairs
or to support US policies in the Middle East and Africa.
Moreover, we cannot rule out the possibility of an extremist-
controlled regime taking control that could be an even greater
is ar err
Deputy Director for Intelligence
25X1
25X1
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/12: CIA-RDP90G01359R000300060038-0