ARMS TALKS STRATEGY: BARGAINING RANGES WIDELY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91-00587R000100580008-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 1
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 9, 2011
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: March 21, 1985
• Content Type: OPEN SOURCE

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/09: CIA-RDP91-00587R000100580008-2
NE YORK TP TS
21 "larch 19S5
Arms Talks Strategy:
BargainingRiges Widly
By LESLIE H. GELB Setback for Moscow Is Saes Center and former head of Soviet intel-
ce or the Central n e t secs
s~.d.i .. >A. r... Y.rc ii The virtually unanimous assessment
erts is that encv.
erican ex
A
p
m
TON. 20 - As the of foreign and
Wgan Ad ins tration Match and the Soviet Moscow has lost the first round . The key issue is whether the Rus-
Unon Par up their strategies andtrategi the et British and West Germans have an- sians will be smarter and bolder than in
Union seta arms their sst ounced their support for Mr. Reagan's the past be said. "They have to make
bargaining current arms goes well all cabeyondthdthe the et:- plans for as space-based defense sYs-. serious:,-enough offers on offensive
forces m convince people that a deal
changes behind closed doors in Geneva tem - as long as Moscow is unable to would be ssble it for the Ad a
to the political arenas of show how restrictions on research can istration'spossibe icenoton Stu Wads. 1009 as future 60- the United States and be pioyments of ive systems monitored any art "They have to find a way to do it that
does not oblige them to put their best
Now Western Europae the subject of negotiations -
Nys1s ."This gold to be offers on offensive weapons on the
fought out in Western To Soviet Union came back to the - table. Their problem is that they don't
newspapers and lam- point over the weekend. First, Its sego- want to pay a lot on offense to get the
Live bodies," said an Administration of- tiator, Viktor P. Karpov, said on televi- United states to forgo defense, and
ficial. ,It will not be settled by the sion that the United States was break- they don't want to be forced to engage
force of logic and reason in Geneva." ing an accord to stop the arms race in
As American officials and foreign space along with limiting strategic and in all-out competition on defense."
Mr. Horelick's reckoning is that Mos-
diplomats see it, the key will be which medium-range nuclear forces. Tbds cow is unlikely to walk out on the talks
side is able to convince Western public linkage had been agreed to by Secre- as it did is December 1963. In
opinion that the other b not negotiating tray of State George P. Shultz and For. age,
seriously. If the Washington wins. Moe- sign Minister Andrei A. Gromyko. retrospect, Soviet officials themselves
cow may have to come around. If not, Mr. Karpov's complaint was re- felt that the walkout strengthened Mr.
President Reagan will find himself vested the nett day in Pravda, the Reagan's hand.
trapped either into making concessions Communist Party newspaper. --For their part, American officials ex-
or looking like the obstacle to pesos Mr. Shultz, according to American P confidence in their strategy for
As of Tuesday, the Senate was will-( eta y, god Sunday that the i t the next several months and as krog d
ing to give him the benefit of the doubt belied its =Fesslcos Moscow does not take the initiative
Union's charges with a new sompr ombe peaposaL
is its 55.6 rote to approve a second ! of seriousness and be, in turn, repeated
batch of 21 MX missile, the new 1a! accusatiODS that the Soviet Union had Meanwhile, the hand . Americans up,
ms. -to
warhead ICBM's being deployed violated existing arms pacts. play means a
persuading ug the n def ans r not ii
Minuteman silos. Whatever happens In the nest few mea men and
it ca On lls far, sa strategic y missiles that s" a
Belgian Action a Faeroe = months, American officials do not es- nowbombers, now.
Also Tuesday, the Belgian' Parka- Pecl MosOW to abandon its criticism of one of several paths to deep recta t any
meat showed some skepticism of the space based defer plans? would be acceptable, wftbout specify.
Soviet motives when it authorized the The Americans believe that if the American concessions. on
Government to deploy 16 new Amer- Soviet Unions effort tails, it will switch m um-range forces, it will mean re-,
ican medium-range cruise missiles an emphasis from span weapons to iterating the offer for equality of min.
Belgian soil Moscow's resit tie was the issue of medium -range tares, the riles in Europe, with Moscow snowed
issue of concern to western Europe.
predictably swift and condemnatory. By this analysis, the Soviet Unions to deploy additional missiles facing
,
B itish
i
b
b
t
l
A
ou
s
a, a num
er a
equa
to
The essence of the American stoat- would than be to offer a
deg
egy, as outlined by Robert C. McFu- that it believes the Western Europeans and French missiles. -? '
f
i
i
sm
opt
m
lane, the national security adviser, in a cannot retuse, and then use them Public expressions o
recent briefing, is to be flexible on press the United states to make conces. aside, Administration officials display
strategic and medium-range weapons si on strategic weapons and on the Do optimism . about Moscow's going
and to stress the futuristic nature of oe-based ddewe system along. Their immediate concern is
get ridaof detenses. In other words, ~pular yl imowa as ..Star Wars." the whether
Coal gress will a and wfpth tube nam- with
ing
get rid of casting threats now and A posible Soviet appra h was
worry about future problems later. oreli space-based defense pica.
The Soviet Union, on the other hand, et
t officials on both sides judge
h
f
a
aces w
as the more difficult task of convincing
are danger Sus and must be blocked
duce: offensive weapons. Right or
wrong, experts on both sides see this as
a sophisticated argument that will be
hard to sell publicly. _ .
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/02/09: CIA-RDP91-00587R000100580008-2