BUSINESS AND THE LAW

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CIA-RDP91-00901R000500230027-2
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RIPPUB
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K
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4
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December 14, 2016
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November 30, 2000
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27
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April 23, 1985
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NSPR
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Hies to work together, it paid them to do so. Quick- - " Business and the LawadE'"" " r;a AP' AM NEW YORK TIMES Q* droved t,L?pI ^sa~200 64fW t4A10&91-00901 R00050023 27-2 Toiiit. Research Bafriers Fall I .WHEN Adm. Bobby $. Inmari first consid-, ered heading up a risky new joint re- search venture involving many of the na- tion's top computer and electronics companies, his ' i lawyers immediately said the business plan reeked. with antitrust problems. "I was urged not to do it; I was told legal hurdles could be overwhelming," Admiral Inman, the for- mer Deputy Director of Central intelligence, said recently. ?Naturally, I was very concerned at the outset, but I decided to go ahead anyway. A scant two and a half years later, worries about putting competing engineers in the same research laboratory seem almost laughable. Last month, the Justice Department said that it had no prob- lem with Admiral Inman's 20-company Micro- n.electronics and Computer Technology Corpora-: ~1?tion.' More. importantly, the , Reagan Administration, has openly Invited more of the same: In 'the tech- nology war against Japan, even a consortium in- volving virtually every American player in an in-; dustry could well pass antitrust scrutiny, said J;. .PaulMcGrath, who recently left the post of Assist-': ~r-antt Attorney General in charge of the antitrust- If division.. . ?wS 'F lr+t,} r ...- ? ..?::? ?fx=.,a-rfi, . "The message was clear, and it can't help but_,. ;.foster- more cooperative R&D," said Larry W. o_Sumney, president of the Semiconductor Research ,-Corporation, a consortium of 40 electronics comps rcide to pursue other avenues of joint development A that once looked doubtful, it will now be possible." . For decades, research and development consort.;; 11.thwn raised the same sort of problems that have plagued mergers and joint ventures within an in- , dustry. Companies joining togetherto develop .new'` , s technologies, critics charged, could reduce compe-' , I titian by coordinating the pace of innovation. At wors , they could become exclusive clubs, ,,all of their expensive technological gems within keeping' utamily: : ; _ r.:. i+ Defenders of such ventures have long argued is that society is best served by the economic efficien- cies of teamwdrk, but untli'receatly the argument carried little weight. Ina 1964 case involving a joint.;,-.-,. venture the Supreme Court said that "possible ` economies cannot be used as a defense to illegal-,., 1N At the same time, joint `research and develop-_ meat has always been afforded a somewhat privi- leged; if precarious, niche in the complex world of antitrust law:. p. ' . c Antitrust regulators have said that while cooper ation among competitors is usually suspect, it may be necessary if no individual company is willing to invest heavily in a risky new idea - a view that be-" came increasingly popular as Japanese manufac- turers began eating into the American market. In Japan, the Government not only allowed compa - ly, a rising chorus called for a change in American antitrust rules. w. , , '.?.< -`-'. "Remember, the precedents here were all set when society believed that the U.S. held - forgive the pun - all of the industrial chips," said Phillip E. Areeda, a professor at Harvard Law School and an expert on antitrust law. "Obviously, the psycho; logical background is different today." in response to pressure by Admiral Inman and others, the Justice Department has raced to refine its "rule of reason" approach in evaluating re- search and development consortiums. "We've essentially come to the conclusion that there are only two types of arrangements that are. troublesome," Mr. McGrath explained recently. "One is where the attempt is to limit innovation in an industry. The second is where there is an effort to limit what smaller competitors can do." . In the computer industry, Mr. McGrath insisted, there are no such risks. Conspicuously absent from membership in Admiral Inman's M.C.C. venture is the biggest player of them all, the International Business Machines Corporation. Even if I.B.M. were to join M.C.C., a situation Mr. McGrath said he was "not prepared to evaluate," hungry Japa-?" nese and European manufacturers would keep the marketplace honest. (I.B.M., for the record, says it is still not interested in joining M.C.C., in part be-' cause the company would have to divulge some proprietary research data to its competitors.) -; Even supporters of the Justice Department's ap- proach, however, concede that it leaves several problems unresolved. "I think there is agreement'- that you don't need as many centers of R&D to fos-" ter technology competition as you need companies n i''? in an industry to foster price competition,". Mr Areeda said. "But what is the.right number? I don't know if anyone has the answer to that Moreover, some critics say that the mere pres- ence of competition is not enough. It has to be competition with muscle.-t. A!~rxt.h;. A consortium of the biggest American players,' some legal experts argue, would bold the power to`-' industry standards that leave nonparticipants" out in the cold. In the computer industry, for exam-`: pie, a consortium of manufacturers could agree on.- a common computer language, set of protocols orb configuration of hardware.. The result could be the exclusion of a foreign" competitor. And any competing company, Amer . scan or forei;,n, that wanted to make a quantum leap with radically new software' technology, for- example, would have to risk ignoring the de facto stand, r~l. = L r. i t' ' t' E the other hand, many manufachuers, espe- 7:; . ~y in the computer field, choose their own set of.;? standards just t o be different-not b e t t e r . T h e re suit is greater expense for users of many different'. types of equipment. " '-. c. __ r.. ~.' .....t.:r+e. i S:.;e:f. ? .l tC: .With most Of the antitrust hurdles now toppled, it may be the unwillingness of competitors to join bands, not the unwillingness of the courts, that blocks further cooperation.? "R&D is tremendously expensive, and It is get ting more expensive every year," Mr. Sumney. said. "The question now isn't how much joint re search is legal, it's how much the industry can of-, Approved For Release 2003/04/02 : 'CIA-RDP91-00901 R000500230027-2 Pka ApiirpANd For Release ~0631WTWYCIA-RDP91-00901 R000500230027-2 '^15 April, 1985 Topic: ARMS Bomb Inman, 54, di- rected the National ecu- rity Agencv from and was deputy director oTthe CIA 1981-1,962. e is now press en o e Microelectronics and _ Computer Technology Corp. in Austin. a o0 part in last week's con er- e ce on international se- cunt and arms control Atlanta. He was inter- viewed by USA TODAY's Mark Mayfield. INQUIRY Bobby Inman USA TODAY: Was there much talk about Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev's offer to freeze medium-range missile deployment? INMAN: With this group, there is a broader understand. ing of what the Soviet force lev- el programs have already been. They have already ex- ceeded what we had under- stood previously to be their in- tended ceiling on SS-20s. A freeze at this point in time would simply be a freeze at a level that's already larger than they originally said they were going to build. USA TODAY: Do you think You just can't sweep `star wars' issue aside USA TODAY: You partici- pated in an arms control con- ference hosted by former presidents Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford in Atlanta last week. Soviet leaders attended too. How did that go? INMAN: It was a very lively series, though there was as much debate among the Amer- ican participants as there was among the Soviet participants. It must have been fascinating for the Soviets to watch eight or nine different U.S. views - and to see the difference in how openly we argue different issues. If I were to stand back and look at it, as compared to past conferences, it's clear that the current administration's Strategic Defense Initiative has enlivened the discussion on strategic forces. USA TODAY: What did the participants think about SDI - "star wars"? INMAN: Whether people like the Strategic Defense Ini- tiative or don't like it, it has forced a recognition of the rate at which technology is chang- ing - that we are going to have to give thought to the question of strategic defense systems. That does not automatically mean weapons in space. There are, of course, proponents who would put an entire strategic defense system in space. There are others who would have it it's at all encouraging that Gorbachev made the offer? USA TODAY: Will "star wars" have much impact on the Geneva talks? INMAN: You have to begin factoring that into arms control, agreements - particularly if the view you take is that you want to approach it in a collab orative way. You've got to ne- gotiate that before you're ever to a point of having it ready to do. I'm afraid the public image, has been captured by that phrase "star wars." You think about space platforms zapping missiles in space. That may no ultimately be what a strategic defenses will look like at all, That might be an element of it, but it might be only a small ele~- ment, or it might not even be part of It USA TODAY: Do you favor a summit meeting betwee President Reagan and Gorb - chev? entirely land-based, entirely INMAN: We don't do private land and air. negotiations in the modern USA TODAY: Is a defense world. Some of them take against missiles really poses-, place around the table and the ble? rest take place around the me- dia, trying to shape public opin- INMAN: As one looks out to- ion. The other thing that we have have rehearsed with this group to detect ward 1995, the ability by a variety of sensors, to cor- relate those detections in sec- Pershing and cruise missiles to onds, to discriminate between Europe was not a U.S. idea. warheads and decoys, and to That's so often forgotten in this target thousands of objects in country. It came from West, seconds, might be doable. Be- Germany - from Helmut cause we cannot in fact say Schmidt, who was then chap- that is not going to occur - the cellor. He first articulated it in technology is moving at such a late '77 or early '78 as a re- rate that you have to say it sponse to the changed situation could occur - then you have , when the Soviets deployed to begin thinking about what their SS-20s. The USA did not the form of strategic defenses pick up on it for about a year. might be. Either you ban it, or you plunge in to build a system unilaterally, or you try to nego- tiate with the other major pow- er and do it in a collaborative manner. USA TODAY: So the "star wars" issue was very much a part of the debate in Atlanta? INMAN: It was a very signifi- cant topic. What it has at least done is to stir up those who spend a lot of time thinking about strategic issues - you just can't sweep it aside. You have to at least come back and examine the implications. Part of the reason you have to do that is because of changing technology. INMAN: I was not in favor of a race to have a conference be- tween President Reagan and General Secretary Leon d Brezhnev or Konstantin Cher- nenko. On the other hand, My own view is that there is sonhe value in a meeting with Gor a- chev. He is of a different gener- ation. He will not be acting In- dependently. This is also a time frame in which he will forming his views for what could turn out to be 20 years' of leadership. And therefore, giv- en how limited a view he has had of the outside world I think the best of all words would be a visit to this count ry. If that is not possible, I still value in a meeting at a neut M1 site. I think it would be of more value to him and to the whole process if it were in this coiun- try. USA TODAY: Did the Sovi- ets in Atlanta seem to over- look that point? INMAN: They detoured around it. USA TODAY: Will the con- ference have any effect on the arms talks in Geneva? INMAN: No. This really won't affect those at all. It gave the Soviets a chance to re- hearse positions that they'll be doing there. USA TODAY: Why? INMAN: The broader se he gets of the pace of Chang in the rest of the world, the ore he will have to contemp ate Continued Approved For Release 2003/04/02 : CIA-RDP91-00901 R000500230027-2 -RDP91-0090tJfense of Moscow - RQQ 2JJQ0&'h?~ty. what has to happen in the Sovi- et Union to be able to adapt to the pace of change in the out- side world - or get left further behind. USA TODAY: Do you be- lieve his personality will help in dealing with other nations? INMAN: He's a skillful actor. He's going to play beautifully in the media. I don't see how the Soviets can pass up the kind of coup that's likely to bring off. What you're going to see now is that the Soviets are going to play this game with much greater skill. He will find in the dialogue with the president that Reagan's a great deal more pragmatic than the rhet- oric might otherwise suggest. By Susan Harlan, USA TODAY is a conference like this? INMAN: The minimum lev- el of the value of such a confer- ence is that foreign representa- tives take home, both an under- standing of the diversity of U.S. views, and the process by which U.S. views ultimately correlate. USA TODAY: Do you see any other benefits to come out of all the talk about "star wars"? INMAN: Perhaps this con- ference has helped get across to our Soviet colleagues that they don't end the discussion on strategic defenses purely by focusing on "no weapons in space." It is a much more com- plex problem. It's also given us the opportunity to view and ask questions about the fact that the Soviets have for years maintained an anti-ballistic de- And they have modernized it at very major costs and have maintained for years a very vi- able research program looking at additional weapons for up- grading their ABM system. So they can't have it both ways - saying there's no value for ABMs and yet justifying spend- ing the limit the treaty system has now authorized. USA TODAY: Is there a way to strike a balance of power between the two coun- tries? INMAN: What we have diffi- culty in reaching agreement on is: What is a balance? While there is no insistence from at least the majority of U.S. par- ticipants that you have to have an absolute balance, or that you've got to have superiority in nuclear forces if you are in- ferior in conventional forces - you cannot foreclose first use of nuclear weapons as the way you protect yourself against that conventional superiority. If a decision were made in the West to build conventional forces that fully matched the Soviets, then you could enter into a discussion on "no first use." It would be very unwise to do that if you did not have the commitment or any of the building actually being done. That's not just an investment by the USA. That clearly would have to be our allies in Western Europe willing to spend the kinds of dollars, francs, pounds for conventional forces. USA TODAY: Were the talks with the Soviets in At- lanta as tough, say, as negoti- ating with the Soviets in Ge- neva? INMAN: No, because you're not down to the stage of having to hammer out some kind of agreement. You aren't going to have to turn to the Senate to ratify the terms. We only dealt with problems like verification in passing. In negotiations, you really have to get out and do very precise things. But I think we don't do enough of the ex- posing of views. USA TODAY: Was this con- ference unique? INMAN: Clearly it's unique because two former presidents were involved. There is no comparison to other confer- ences, because in this one for- mer presidents were able to say very directly how they re- acted to certain situations. d f- 4&yFYP428QffW2 Leaders debate 'star wars' More than 60 leaders from around the world, includ- ing a delegation from the Soviet Union, debated major arms control issues last week in Atlanta at a conference hosted by former presidents Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford. Carter said he hoped the conference left the Sovi- et and U.S. participants with a better understanding of the issues that separate them. The two major areas of debate included: ^ The USA's deployment of Pershing 2 and cruise missiles in Europe. U.S. officials say the missiles are needed to offset a Soviet buildup of medium-range mis- siles. The Soviets say the deployment represents an es- calation of the arms race. ^ President Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative, sometimes called "star wars," which aims to develop a defense against nuclear missiles. The Soviets claim that Reagan is trying to militarize space. Many U.S. experts counter that the Soviets are hard at work on their own "star wars" program. Source; Conference on International Arms Control, Emory Univenstty a 1 10 April 1985 US spy agencies expand intelligence efforts; still face clamor for better data By PetecGrier Demanding such specificity may be I Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor _ asking for too much, a House Intelligence Washington Committee report concludes. While the How good are US intelligence agencies CIA didn't pinpoint the coming attack, it at figuring out what goes on in the world? did warn repeatedly of possible vehicle- After all, information on such things as bomb attacks in Lebanon, official sources Soviet SS-20 missile launchers and the in- say. tentions of Islamic militia often greatly in- Overall, the ability of US intelligence fluences United States officials pondering to decipher world events has been greatly hard decisions. strengthened in recent years, according to The quality of US intelligence assess- government officials. With bigger budgets ments declined during the late 1960s and have come more analysts. Contacts with early '7 Os, former and current intelligence outside experts have been expanded. officials say. But in recent years the per- Training standards and travel time for been ability intelligence ttlhese gence data have been vastlyrincreased, beeen markedly strengthened, sources assert., these sources say. b der The number of lon-term reports, deal- a ' The CIA estimates that Soviet spend- ing on weapons has been relatively. flat in recent years, around 2 percent annually. The DIA believes it has been between 5 and 8 percent. But focusing on this number may mag- nify the differences between the agencies, some say. Still, "there are relatively few disagree- ments on what the Soviets have deployed in the strategic arena," says one official. re better, we work on a ro "We range. of subjects today. We still have ing with subjects such as possible Soviet imperfections we're working. on,'.', says. a weapons of the future, has been increased senior intelligence source. and will top 700 this year. National Intelli- gence Estimates, large reports with contri- Current Washington debate over the . butions from numerous agencies, now fea- data-producing effectiveness of the CIA, ture dissenting opinions, in the body of the the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), fit., and other US intelligence arms in many ways marks the closing of a circle. . "We're trying to be more forthcoming In the late '60s and early '70s, the po- with policy people about the quality of our litical climate and revelations of contro- sources, and the level of confidence in -our versial spy operations put US intelligence judgments," a senior intelligence official agencies into disrepute. Congress set up says. oversight committees to keep a close eye Critics are skeptical of the effects of on the CIA, And intelligence budgets w these reforms. Allan Goodman, a former slashed. At one point, the num r o CIA high CIA official who is now a George- - analysts studying the Soviet economy fell town University associate dean, feels re- to 50, from a high of 200. / cent changes have had only a marginal ef- Sometime during the Carter adminis- fect on the quality of intelligence. tration, things began to change. Intelh- The US intelligence community, Mr. gene budgets quietly started to grow Goodman complains, does not study its 11 again. failures. Frank rating of sources is done "This turnaround was led in some de- only in the most important reports, he gree by CongressIt accelerated in a ma- says, and Central Intelligence Director jor. way in the early '80s," said Adm. William Casey has altered reports to fit Bobby Inman; former deputy director of his preconceived political views. the CIA, in a recent interview. Congress, for its part, stands in be- . But with this rejuvenation have come tween these poles of opinion. demands for better performance. A House Intelligence Committee re- Policymakers today want more detail in port, issued earlier this year, concluded their intelligence reports than ever before. that "a number of steps have been taken When a terrorist bomb leveled the US Ma- to improve the quality of intelligence. rine barracks in Lebanon, for instance, Nevertheless, shortcomings in analysis some members of Congress complained of and collection continue to appear." an intelligence failure, saying. the marines Analysis of the rate of growth of Soviet should have been warned about a pending ' defense spending is one subject that in attack. particular has recently caused problems in the US intelligence community., . -~Pp9~J~90~9QN1J Q1 0500230027-2 1,,,Appfo ed7 r Release 2003 CNRI S CA~4 N It U l~~ Approved For Release 2003/04/02 : CIA-RDP91-00901 R000500230027-2