EAST ASIA WARNING ASSESSMENT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91B00776R000100010048-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 23, 2009
• Sequence Number: 48
• Publication Date: January 27, 1983
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2009/01/23: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000100010048-8
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
27 January 1983
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
THROUGH National Intelligence Officer for Warning
Assistant NIQ or East Asia
SUBJECT : East Asia Warning Assessment
The following items were described by Community Representatives at
the 19 January Warning Meeting.
I. Warning - There were no warning items at this time in the East
Asia area; the possibility of a change in government in Thailand was
discussed.
II. Regional Developments
A. State gave an interim report on the Nakasone visit, which
was still underway. Most indicators were positive.
Significance for Collection and Analysis --
assessments were provided to policymakers in a timely and useful
manner before the Nakasone visit.
B. CIA described the relatively low level of VN military
activity in the Thai-Kampuchean border during this dry season. (In
only one of the four years since PAVN forces have been in the area
has a high level of activity -- "an offensive" taken place.)
C. NSA described the recent meeting with DCI of S/NIO, DIO, INR
DAS and DDI and DDO reps on intelligence activities this year.
Approved For Release 2009/01/23: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000100010048-8
 Approved For Release 2009/01/23: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000100010048-8
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D. NI0/EA described the preparations in support of Secretary
Shultz's trip to Asia; particular Community papers were noted.
III. Plans for Interagency Work - Work underway was reviewed.
Participants were asked to solicit additional possibilities from their
Agencies.
IV. Regional Policy Issues -- Secretary Shultz's visit remains the
principal item.
Approved For Release 2009/01/23: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000100010048-8