TALKING POINTS FOR ADDI IMPLICATIONS OF THE PERES/SHAMIR TRANSITION

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91B00874R000100280006-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: September 20, 2011
• Sequence Number: 6
• Publication Date: September 29, 1986
• Content Type: MISC

Talking Points for ADDI
29 September 1986
Implications of the Peres/Shamir Transition
~~^^nn r Gc ~
Dramatic chan a "n Israeli policy are unlikely after Prime Minister Peresl~r'
and ore1ign nister Shamir switch jobs iri mid-Oc ober.
25X1
--The balance of forces between Labor and Likud in government
decis onmaking bodies will remain even y vi a --allowing Labor to
veto controversial Likud initiatives.
Labor and Likud a~tree on the broad outlines of policy in several key areas
including:
--Support for the security zone ~outh Lebanon atrolled by General
Lahad's Israeli-a11ieT rmA- v of South--L~n n_
-_Militarv retaliation for Palestinian and Lebane error.
--Lessening government intervention in t
f
con erence f ,r Middle East a believes it woul eave Israel
fore a Soviet-led Arab bloc. ~~~~-
Sham -unlike Peres--is adamantly opposed to an kind o
far different, less com romisin tone in relations with
than Peres has uring the past two years.
Nevertheless, on the rhetorical level, Shamir as prime minis
Jordan and the Palestinians could agree on a negotiating
framework acceptable to Israel's Labor Party, the national unity
government probably would .split over the f}IIPRtinn ?f r~r~oi~~
participation in an international conference.
--- ~----- - _ ~ L -- - - -
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/20: CIA-RDP91 B00874R000100280006-6
r will try to ow Labor initia
~an Araas a greater role in running e r own a
bly try to establish one or two new West Bank
,~cvi,icu~c~i~a YlCGJC [ldi'ullile su o LSDOr OppOS1t10n and -,~d~~~s
ser o nanc al constraints, however, will prevent the establishment J
o many new settlements.
Shamir's distaste for West Ban iatives may contribute to renewed
coolness with E tian P __.- ~o has long regarded Shamir as an _ ,~A ~~
x e leader . 'v' ~
25X1
j ~~ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/20: CIA-RDP91 B00874R000100280006-6
 --- - - --- 1 _ .. ~ 1 _
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/09/20: CIA-RDP91 B00874R000100280006-6
--Shamir opposed the Camp David Accords and the peace treaty at the
t me they were concluded, althoug he now endorses o
Under Shamir, the government is.likel to continue with the economic policies ~~~ `q -
initiated under Peres, focusing on~tax reform, cuts in su si es an pu ~
sector spending, and increased productiv y an em loyment. ~ d