PRM 10

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91M00696R000200090032-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 15, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 1, 2004
• Sequence Number: 32
• Publication Date: March 3, 1977
• Content Type: MF

THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTEI`7ENCE
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WASHINGTON, D. C. 20505
National Intelligence Officers
MEMORANDUM FOR: Admiral Turner
3 March 1977
FROM : Richard Lehman
Deputy to the DCI for National Intelligence
SUBJECT : PRM 10
1. The latest draft terms of reference for PRM 10, Comprehensive
Net Assessment and Military Force Posture Review, are attached Tab A .
Principals are asked to comment to Dr. Brzezinski by close of business
Friday, 4 March. Should you wish to engage yourself at this stage, a
proposed reply for your signature is also attached in draft. (Tab B).
2. The President and Secretary Brown have made clear their view of
the importance of this project and we must give it our best effort. It'
is, however, an extremely'ambitious undertaking, especially in the net
assessment field. Almost certainly the study finally produced will have
to be more tightly focused than that now envisaged in the terms of reference.
If not carefully managed, it could become a bureaucratic nightmare, and the
managers (essentially Lyn Davis of ISA and Sam Huntington and Vic Utgoff
of NSC Staff) are not broadly experienced in such matters.
3.. I attended an interagency meeting chaired by Utgoff and Huntington
that discussed an earlier, and quite similar, draft on 1 March.. No one pre-
sent proposed any narrowing of the terms of reference. Rather, the consensus
of the departmental and agency representatives was that many'pitfalls could
be avoided by placing primary emphasis on an effort by the two Working
Groups proposed in Paras. IIC and IIIC to produce by l April detailed out-
lines and tasking assignments. Implicit in such an effort would be a
sharper definition of the project. Your staffs share this view, and for
this reason the response we recommend for you does not propose extensive
revisions at this stage.
4. Whatever the shape of the final paper, the intelligence effort to
support it will be large and complex, and will strain the resources of the
Community. Fortunately, much of the necessary work has been done and many
SECRET
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other relevant projects are underway. Nevertheless, we will be unable to
do all that every task group or sub-group chairman would like to have done.
lie will need an intelligence structure that will enable you to:
--Keep your hand on the intelligence effort as a whole;
--Set priorities and avoid duplication;
--Employ to the maximum work completed or in progress;
--Ensure that all Agency interests are adequately
represented and that tasks are equitably allotted.
5. With the informal concurrence of John McMahon for your Community
Staff, Sayre Stevens for CIA, VAdm. Inman for DIA, and Ambassador Kirk for
INR, I recommend the following organizational arrangements, and if you
approve will establish them when the terms of reference are issued. (See
sketch at Tab C).
--I will represent you on the PRC Military Strategy and Force
Posture Group-and on the SCC Net Assessment Group, which are
to be at the Assistant Secretary level.
nominally NIO for Economics, and
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NI for Soviet and East European Affairs, will represent
you on the corresponding Working Groups.
- --Floward Stoertz and NIQs for Strategic 25X1
Programs and Conventional Forces respectively, will have
important responsibilities running across both halves of
the project. In addition, they must ride herd on concurrent
efforts on SALT and MBFR. We therefore propose that they
not engage directly in organization of the study at this
stage, as they would normally do.
--Within the Intelligence Community there already exists an
informal National Intelligence Steering Group consisting of
the production chiefs of CIA, DIA, State, and myself which
has met occasionally to discuss tasking problems. We will
activate this group to provide overall coordination of the
intelligence effort and set priorities and assignments, under
your guidance. As task groups are established and specific
tasks are defined, Will bring them to the
Steering Group for assignment of a Community representative
and for allocation of production responsibility. (The
Steering Group will not engage in substantive coordination;
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 this wot '.be cumbersome in the extrerrme, Interagency
ApproveUqRt~dFRof 120d41btm3th?I& Pi9Il OQO$RQ OMqW2-1
informal.)
6. In the past the DCI has insisted that comprehensive net assess-
ments not be undertaken by the Intelligence Community. It should provide
the Red side information, DoD the Blue, and some independent authority
under the NSC should conduct the final assessment with the assistance of
both. Part III of the project is structured this way. We are acting on
the assumption that, at least for the present exercise, you will maintain
the position taken by your predecessors.
25X1
Richard Lehman
Deputy to the DCI for National Intelligence
Attachments:
Tab A
Tab B
Tab C
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 NIP /777
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THE DIRECTOR OF
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Officers
Admiral Turner
3 March 1977
There has not been time for coordination of
this memorandum. It reflects discussion with
appropriate members of your staffs and contains their
suggestions
As not
d
h
.
e
,
owever, the suggested
organizational arrangements have the concurrence of
the Co
i
mmun
ty agencies primarily involved.
25X1-
chard Lehman
D/DCI/NI
Orig - Addressee
bistribution:
1 -ER
1 - NIO/SP
1 - NIO/USSR
1 - NIO/E
1 NIO/CF
1 - Bob Gates,
1-
1 -
1-
1-
1-
1
1-
PRM File
D/DCI/NI Chrono
1 - RI
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