MEMO TO JAY KEYWORTH FROM JULIAN C. NALL

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2012
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: October 26, 1984
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9 STAT
THE DIRECTOR OF
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Council
96 October 1984
NOTF FOR: Jay Keyworth
I want to thank you very much for providing
to me the thoughtful comments on the Concept
Paper for the report on the "Future of Soviet
Sciences." These comments are very helpful to
us and I assure you that your questions will be
addressed in the work that we are doing. I
would like to keep you informed as the project
proceeds so that we may continue to benefit from
your ideas.
Thank you as always for your help and I
look forward to seeing you again very soon.
,J 1ian C. Nall
v NI(1 for SAT
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9
 STAT
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9
THE WHITE HOUSE
October 15, 1984
2 5 OCT 10
11-1l .. /11'e // - 7 - art
Dear Julian:
I have examined both the concept paper on "The Future of
Soviet Science", and the description of the fields to be
covered in the Soviet Science NIE that you have given
me for examination and comment; and believe they address
both areas appropriately. There are, however, a few
points that I would like to stress which will be of great
interest to the policy level consumer.
Specifically, I think that defining and understanding the
Soviet science base as it now exists and as we see it
developing over the next decade is important. But it is
also important that we devote sufficient effort to making
an adequate appraisal of the Soviet process of adapting
science to technology; and understanding the full
technological, political, and military relevance of the
Soviet science base.
The impact of Soviet science and technology policy on
national security is a problem I struggle with on a
daily basis. The governmental system produces a directed
economy with limited emphasis on the commercial sector
and great emphasis on the defense sector. The lack of
consumer goods and the abundance of military systems
demonstrates this emphasis. Assuming that the Soviets
desire, as they clearly demonstrate, to obtain defense
levers a from the application of science to defense
technology, I would suggest that you specifically consider
the following questions in your research and subsequent
reporting:
How do the Soviets develop national goals
for science and technology policy (i.e., what
is the decision process)?
What are these goals?
How do they implement these goals?
What is the institutional structure which
allocates resources to science and
technology?
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9
What are their investment strategies?
What means are used to ensure that basic
science is transitioned into technological
leverage?
How does the science community, both
research and academic, interrelate with
the bureaucracy of government and the
industrial sector?
This top level downward approach to Soviet science and
technology policy is the analog to the vision I have of
a more focused effort for the allocation of research
within our own government.
Finally if we look backward from the military operational
requirements arena through the industrial base and on into
the technology arena and science base, can we identify
some of the motivations and drivers that guide the Soviet's
investment strategy in scientific research.
I look forward to the results of your efforts as an important
input to the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP)
and the United States policy making community, and hope you
find my comments useful.
G. A Kbyworth
Science Advisor to the President
Dr. Julian Nall
National Intelligence Officer
for Science and Technology
Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, D.C. 20505
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/28: CIA-RDP92T00277R000300020003-9