SOVIET INITIATIVES IN INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
CIA-RDP92T00533R000100040020-5
Release Decision:
RIFPUB
Original Classification:
S
Document Page Count:
3
Document Creation Date:
December 21, 2016
Document Release Date:
June 13, 2008
Sequence Number:
20
Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 16, 1986
Content Type:
REGULATION
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Attachment | Size |
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CIA-RDP92T00533R000100040020-5.pdf | 120.91 KB |
Body:
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SiSTEM II
90618
September 16, 1986
NATIONAL SECURITY STUDY
DIRECTIVE NO. 2-86
SOVIET INITIATIVES IN INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS (S)
Introduction
This National Security Study Directive establishes the Terms of
Reference for completing a review of recent initiatives undertaken
by the Soviet Union in the area of international economic affairs.
The Study will be coordinated by the National Security Council
Staff. (S)
Objective of the Review
To assess the significance of greater Soviet interest in global
economic institutions and affairs; to develop U.S. policy on
appropriate response to new Soviet initiatives in international
economic affairs; and to begin preparation of U.S. positions on
economic issues for the next meeting between President Reagan and
General Secretary Gorbachev. (S)
Scope
The review will address the following topics: (S)
First Stage: To be completed by October 1, 1986.
-- Soviet Interest in International Economic Affairs: Full
review of information relating to recent Soviet interest in
international economic issues, including but not limited to
assessments of the significance of: (S)
o The reorganization of the Soviet Ministry of Foreign
Affairs ("MFA") to include a new Administration for Interna-
tional Economic Relations. (S)
o The application of the Soviet Union to participate
in the new round of multilateral trade negotiations under
the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. (S)
o Suggestions that the Soviet Union is interested in
joining the IMF/IBRD. (S)
o In the financial sector, settlement with the UK on
defaulted Czarist bonds and first time Soviet participation
in a Eurobond syndication. (S)
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o Increased volume and sophistication in Soviet inter-
national financial market transactions. (S)
o Soviet "International Economic Security Initiative",
which will presumably be tabled at the UNGA. (S)
o Soviet motives for encouraging EC-CEMA talks. (S)
o Soviet expressions of interest in joint ventures,
possibly involving western firms management and significant
western on-site participation. (S)
-- Past History: The following will be helpful in preparing
for discussions with the Soviets on their participation in.
international economic institutions: (S)
o Summary review of Soviet official comment on exist-
ing international institutions (GATT, IMF/IBRD, etc.) to
which they have applied or may apply for admission. Review
should focus on Soviet comments at time of creation of those
institutions and in the past ten years. (S)
o Summary reports of past Soviet participation in
specialized international institutions, e.g., UNCTAD,
UNESCO, ILO, WHO, FAO, ICAO. Which have they "politicized"?
To which have they made a positive contribution? What have
been their substantive positions on economic issues in these
fora? (S)
-- Forecast: An assessment of what future initiatives in
the international economic field the USSR might undertake and
what other international and financial institutions to which they
might apply. (S)
Second Stage
-- Analysis: An assessment of the potential significance
to the international economic system of the recent Soviet inter-
est in participating in major international economic insti-
tutions: (S)
(1) What has driven the new Soviet interest? (S)
(2) What changes have taken place in Soviet domestic and
international economic policy? (S)
(3) What changes are under consideration? (S)
(4) How compatible is-Soviet participation to the
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functioning of the major international economic insti-
tutions? (S)
(5) What are the general implications for the international
economic system of Soviet participation? (S)
(6) What are the specific implications for United States'
national security? (S)
(7) What are the pros and cons of possible U.S. policy
responses to these expressions of Soviet interest? (S)
A paper covering these topics should be prepared under the
direction of the National Security Council, and completed no
later than October 15, 1986. (S)
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